05
Mar 2019

New Personal Trade Schedule, Code Updates, Machine Protocols, P/Ls, Alerts, Reports, Swing Trades, Events, On-boarding.

Machine Trading, News, Office Memorandum , , , , Curt Melonopoly

New Personal Schedule to Accommodate Peak Trading Times:

Jeremy and I have resigned ourselves to perform daily oil machine trade code updates until only weekly updates are needed (weekly wasn’t going to do it).

Until now we have found ourselves doing the code updates early morning between 3 am and 7 am (then I prep for premarket).

This time slot for updates doesn’t work.

It doesn’t work because the machine trading (and my personal trading) needs to be firing during this time. The overnight session after midnight and in to early morning are important as the global regular markets are opening – many of the daily moves start there and if we’re updating code there is no trading. It also interferes with my equity day trades in to open because I am not prepared properly and swing trade positioning as needed in the premarket session.

So we’re moving the oil machine trade code updates to the time-slot between 8 pm to 12 Midnight each night because futures are normally quiet in that time slot.

We will always be in the trading room daily from regular USA open at 9:30 AM to 2:30 PM.

From 2:30 PM – 8:00 PM we will be on our personal time break daily.

Mid day trade set-ups will normally take place in the main trading room from Noon to 1 PM daily.

Reporting:

The mid day review today went over all the swing trades for 2019 this year so far. We have done exceptionally well with our 2019 swing trades considering the funky markets. This will be an important video (mid day from today) to review when we send it out. It will include a written report. We will next be adding more swing trade set-ups we are watching over the next few days to our swing trade portfolio for 2019.

The crude oil machine trading protocols will be emailed this evening. Early morning today we completed the code updates for all the protocols and now staff are completing the client documents for review of the protocols.

Machine Trade in Oil Alerts Profit / Loss:

The February P&L will be out soon for those that have asked.

January Oil Trade Profit and Loss is here:

Oil Trading Profit/Loss Jan 2019 | +63.05% +63,049.00 41 Wins 3 Losses 93% Win Rate Large Account | Crude Oil Trade Alerts

Trade Alerts:

As of the next session (midnight tonight) you can expect the frequency to increase (up to 200 per month) for the oil trade alerts. The last few days have been riddled with updates (including today) specifically because we’re tying the actual code to the public side protocol documents – they have to match so that when you the trader see an oil alert you can the reference the trade set-up protocol that the machine or myself are trading with. This will help our clients plan their own trade. Anyway, it was a large undertaking (like most others) than we expected. We’re wrapping it all up right now and the trade alerts will reflect completion and higher frequency in to this evening’s session forward. Thanks for your patience.

Onboarding New Clients:

Most commercial and private new clients have been onboarded as I am writing this. However, specific to the newest Legacy Member Clients we have not done the onboarding. I am working on my schedule two weeks out right now and will contact each of you over the next few days to get you scheduled for the onboarding conference call I need to do with each of you. Because it is a 24 access to my trading station it requires more instruction / preparation than most onboarding scenarios. Your fees will not start until after you are successfully onboarded.

Events: Special Webinar Series and Trade Coaching Boot Camp

We have a Special Webinar Event Series starting March 24 running in to April and May of 2019.

The first webinar up is for crude oil traders, the next will be Swing Trading and then so on. Don’t miss out, it may be the only webinar series we do of this kind.

Everything I Know About Trading Crude Oil | Special Webinar Event Series | March 24: 10 AM – 6 PM

Intensive Crude Oil Trade Training Webinar.

Spend a Day With Me March 24, 2019 – I will be hosting a crude oil trading webinar. I will cover everything I know about crude oil trade in a one-time 8 hour special webinar event.

The webinar will cover my strategies for conventional and algorithmic oil trade and charting, intra-day trading, short term swing trading, longer term swing trading, trade sizing, time cycles, key set-ups and much more.

I will explain in detail how I maintain a win rate of better than 90% in crude oil trade (live recorded in our oil trading room and live alerted to our members).

Limited attendance of 25 persons to allow me to take questions and converse as needed to be sure we cover the trading concepts in detail.

Current member clients of Compound Trading Group receive 50% off. Use promo code: member

Early bird registrants prior to March 11, 2019 receive 30% off (cannot be used in conjunction with other offers). Use promo code: early.

To Register for the Crude Oil Trading Webinar Click Here.

Trade Coaching Boot Camp: 

Take your trading to the next level with our lead trader at our next trade coaching boot camp at Cabarete Beach, Dominican Republic April 19 – 21, 2019.

If you can’t attend in person you can attend the class online virtually and take part in question and answer as if you were in the boot camp live.

Register Here: Trade Coaching Boot Camp April 19, 20, 21 2019.

 

 

 

 

 

 

04
Mar 2019

Machine Learning Trade Software Advisory | Crude Oil: Trade Frequency

Machine Trading, Trade Alerts , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Crude Oil Trade Software Advisory:

This advisory is a follow up / adjustment to the advisory at this link:

Machine Learning Trade Software Advisory | Crude Oil: (1) Frequency (2) IDENT Program

Trade Frequency.

This is to advise that the crude oil machine trade software will now trigger all active protocols at a higher frequency as of 6:00 PM Monday March 4, 2019.

For example, on most occasions it will now fire trades at the majority of 1 minute model support and resistance and at most EPIC 30 Min Model support and resistance (quads, channels, mid channel, mid quad).

The various software trading protocols (based on specific models) will be distributed in 24 – 28 hours to stakeholders. There are a total of 42 and approximately 16 that we are currently running (on time-frames from 1 minute to 1 week charting models).

This adjustment to the software “throttle” will increase frequency considerably (approximately 160 – 200 executions or more possible per month).

The win rate will be lower than the previous two months but a higher return monthly is expected.

The minimum bar is an 80% win rate and a progressive increase in monthly return as software is tweaked, and an average draw down less than 12 ticks (3 – 16 ticks depending on the protocol). Average win greater than 12 ticks.

Staff will (when time allows) alert the trade protocol details to the trade alert feeds on Twitter and Discord private oil server.

Thank you.

 

03
Mar 2019

How to Trade Anadarko Petroleum (APC) Stock Set-Up | Symmetry, Time Cycle, Indicators #swingtrading $APC

Swing Newsletters, Swing Trading, Trade Alerts , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Swing Trading the Anadarko Petroleum (APC) Chart Set-Up. 

Anadarko has sold off considerably, but it has sold off to a predictable support area on the weekly chart.

It is highly probable that the support area of the chart holds for an excellent reversal in trade.

The historical symmetry of trade on the weekly chart agrees, as does the MACD and Stochastic RSI.

There is even some time-cycle symmetry, albeit a bit loose, but it is there.

About Anadarko Petroleum:

Website http://www.anadarko.com/

Anadarko Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:APC), Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (publ.) (OM:SEB A) Stock Valuation & Investor Review https://hawthorncaller.com/anadarko-petroleum-corporation-nyseapc-skandinaviska-enskilda-banken-ab-publ-omseb-a-stock-valuation-investor-review/

Anadarko Petroleum Earnings: APC Stock Dips on Q4 Profit Miss https://investorplace.com/2019/02/anadarko-petroleum-earnings-apc-stock/

How to trade it?

Wait for the MACD to turn up (it is pinching up now on the weekly chart), the Stochastic RSI was high every other occasion the stock reversed for a bullish run (like it is now). take a long entry with tight stops on a lower time frame (15 minute or even 5 minute) and if you get stopped re-try each time it looks like it will start to run.

If it doesn’t reverse for a nice bullish run up with excellent historical returns you know your risk reward was well within a rule-based process.

This is a very attractive set-up that is high on my watch-list this week.

It closed the regular trading session on Friday at 44.40 and could easily run in to mid 75.00 area Feb of 2020 (next year).

This is a very attractive set-up that is high on my watch-list this week.

See the trade set up in Anadarko Petroleum below: The symmetry (green), the time-cycle inflections (green vertical lines), the chart indicators being Stochastic RSI and MACD (marked with white arrows).

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/APC/zWIIIFqk-ANADARKO-PETROLEUM-CORP-APC-How-to-Swing-Trade-the-Anadarko-St/

APC, Anadarko, swing trade, chart

ANADARKO PETROLEUM CORP (APC) How to Swing Trade the Anadarko Stock Set-up #swingtrading $APC

Below I charted the price target for March of 2020 for Anadarko and marked it with red circle on the chart and trajectory arrow (green) for a possible bullish reversal set up from historical support on this trade. Very structured trade set up with high probability of excellent return with very low downside risk if you manage your stops properly.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/APC/pu9pHoBm-ANADARKO-PETROLEUM-CORP-APC-Price-target-for-bullish-trade-in/

APC, Anadarko, stock, swing trade

ANADARKO PETROLEUM CORP (APC) Price target for bullish trade in to March of 2020 #swingtrading $APC

 

03
Mar 2019

How to Trade TerraForm Power Earnings and Swing Trade Time Cycle. #swingtrading $TERP #earnings

Swing Newsletters, Swing Trading, Trade Alerts, Trading Earnings , , , , Curt Melonopoly

TERRAFORM POWER (TERP) How to trade TerraForm Power earnings and swing trade it to next time cycle. #swingtrading $TERP #earnings

The trade set-up in TerraForm is hard to ignore. For a structured swing trade / investment, this one is hard to beat (on other side of earnings) in my opinion. Sure, it may not be the return some traders are looking for, but if it plays like the chart structure is indicating, there’s a 50% or better upside over the next two years and much of that move could be on the other side of this coming earnings or the next.

To trade it, I will wait for earnings. I won’t wait long however. The move is likely to see a decent return in the early time-frame and then play out over the next 12 – 24 months. If it doesn’t transpire this earnings season then I will watch each earnings season forward because a bullish run should occur in this stock based on the time cycle structure of the weekly TerraForm chart.

The move is likely to see a decent return in the early time-frame and then play out over the next 12 – 24 months.

The most likely scenario I have charted below. The two yellow lines are the expected bullish swing trade channel and the red circle is the price target and date that the price target comes in. If the channel does not transpire then simply move the channel over to the next earnings period reporting and watch if the trend transpires at that juncture.

TerraForm reports earnings in just over a week – it’s on high watch for me here.

TERP Earnings Date
Earnings announcement* for TERP: Mar 14, 2019

https://www.nasdaq.com/earnings/report/terp

TerraForm Website: http://www.terraform.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=253464&p=irol-home

3 Top Energy Stocks to Buy Right Now
Energy stocks can be painfully cyclical and subject to big commodity price swings, but here are three we really like right now — including one great “buy on the dip” opportunity.
Jason Hall, Travis Hoium, And Matthew DiLallo (TMFVelvetHammer)
Feb 5, 2019 at 6:02AM

https://www.fool.com/investing/2019/02/05/3-top-energy-stocks-to-buy-right-now.aspx

TerraForm Power uses 80% to 85% of its cash flow to pay a dividend, which has a current yield of 6.7%, with the additional funds going to pay down debt or fund growth projects. Long term, management aims to grow the dividend by 5% to 8% annually, which is a conservative target, and could be done with organic growth for the foreseeable future.

Investors who don’t know where to turn in energy today should consider yieldcos like TerraForm Power. The company is stable, pays a great dividend, and avoids a lot of the commodity risks that will make the energy industry a volatile sector in 2019.

TerraForm Earnings Chart Swing Trade Set-Up.

Below is the weekly chart for TerraForm going in to earnings in a week. The structure of this stock chart implies a significant move up in to May 20, 2020 (next year). If the move does not occur as the channel below is drawn then simply move the channel over to the next time TerrForm reports earnings.

The structure of this stock chart implies a significant move up in to May 20, 2020 (next year).

Each horizontal Fibonacci resistance is an area to possibly trim and add above (or you can use the channel support to add and channel resistance to trim your position).

The key horizontal support and resistance marks are at 12.37, 16.76, 21.17 and 25.41 areas.

The key moving average is the 200 MA over head near term on the chart (pink).

It traded last at 12.59 during the regular session on Friday and was up .64% on the day.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TERP/PpvHiwUj-TERRAFORM-POWER-TERP-How-to-trade-TerraForm-Power-earnings-and/

TERP, terraform power, earnings, swing trade

TERRAFORM POWER (TERP) How to trade TerraForm Power earnings and swing trade it to next time cycle. #swingtrading $TERP #earnings

 

 

03
Mar 2019

Everything I Know About Trading Crude Oil | Special Webinar Event Series | March 24: 10 AM – 6 PM

Webinars , , , Curt Melonopoly

Intensive Crude Oil Trade Training Webinar.

Spend a Day With Me March 24, 2019 – I will be hosting a crude oil trading webinar. I will cover everything I know about crude oil trade in a one-time 8 hour special webinar event.

The webinar will cover my strategies for conventional and algorithmic oil trade and charting, intra-day trading, short term swing trading, longer term swing trading, trade sizing, time cycles, key set-ups and much more.

I will explain in detail how I maintain a win rate of better than 90% in crude oil trade (live recorded in our oil trading room and live alerted to our members).

Limited attendance of 25 persons to allow me to take questions and converse as needed to be sure we cover the trading concepts in detail.

Current member clients of Compound Trading Group receive 50% off. Use promo code: member

Early bird registrants prior to March 11, 2019 receive 30% off (cannot be used in conjunction with other offers). Use promo code: early.

To Register for the Crude Oil Trading Webinar Click Here.

The 8 hour special webinar event cost : 499.00.

Attendees receive a free video report of the webinar after we’re done so that you can study the in depth knowledge long in to the future. The video will also be available online at our store (for non attendees).

Can’t attend? The post webinar cost for non-attendees for the video is 799.00 at our online shop. Pre-orders (prior to March 24) receive a 30% discount. Use promo code: earlybird. To pre-order the video click here VIDEO: Everything I Know About Trading Crude Oil | Special Webinar Event Series

For complimentary trade articles, click this link: Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil.

03
Mar 2019

Trade Coaching Boot Camp April 19, 20, 21 2019

Learn to Trade, News, Trade Coaching , , , Curt Melonopoly

Welcome to the Next Trading Boot Camp Cabarete Beach, Dominican Republic!

  • 10 Student Maximum for in person attendance. 25 Student Maximum for online attendance.
  • Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us!
  • Book Before Mar 15 For Early Bird 30% Discount (2999.00 – 899.70 = 2099.30) for this session, use code “coach30” at check-out.
  • Returning Student Alumni 50% Discount (2999.00 – 1499.50 = 1499.50), use code “alumni” at check-out.
  • Event price 2999.00 includes the training (online or in-person) plus;
    • Attendees receive All Access Membership (1499.00 value) incl for 30 days – click here for detail.
    • Attendees receive Video Recordings of Previous Trade Coaching Boot Camp (1499.00 value).
    • Attendees receive previously recorded 20 Hour Master Class Series video set (1499.00 value).

Take your trading to the next level with our lead trader at our next trade coaching boot camp at Cabarete Beach, Dominican Republic April 19 – 21, 2019.

If you can’t attend in person you can attend the class online virtually and take part in question and answer as if you were in the boot camp live.

Register Here: Trade Coaching Boot Camp April 19, 20, 21 2019.

Video of Trade Boot-Camp Location:

Curriculum Outline (customized for the group booked – appropriate to skill-set and requests).

You can find / review details of previous boot-camps and copies of previous trade coaching itinerary details (memorandums etc) at this link.

  • What is a trading plan?
  • Trader Vocabulary
  • Risk Management: Sizing, Risk-Reward Calculations
  • Stock Evaluation: Fundamental versus Technical Analysis
    • Basic Technical Analysis Tools: Price Action, Catalysts, Indicators, Pre-Market/After-Market, Earnings, and others
    • Keyword and News Analysis
  • Putting a trading plan into action
  • Risk Management: Time dimensions, scaling in and out of trades
  • Technical Analysis: Time/Price Cycles, Fibonacci, Elliot Wave, Charting, and others
  • Bringing it all together: simulated trading in equities, commodities and crypto.
  • Real-time trade planning for intra-day and swing traders
  • Technical Analysis: Combining multiple analytic tools, inverses, algorithmic and black box modeling, third-party scripting and widgets
  • Open Q/A. You trade your own account in a live environment
    • Availability of team trading pending on group sizes

Your Instructor.

A rare opportunity to receive trade coaching from a thirty year Wall Street trading veteran, you won’t regret this small investment for a future of freedom. Click here for our lead trader biography and trading disciplines.

Learn how to trade like the pros using technical set-ups only the largest funds have access too. The stock market’s liquidity is exponentially being traded more and more by algorithmic traders and machine trading.

Our trade coaching equips the every-day trader with a serious edge to compete in this new market generation.

The lead trader at Compound Trading is a technical market architect contracted by many funds in the stock market – he knows how to structure your trades to compete.

This opportunity won’t present itself for long as our lead trader is nearing retirement.

Third party professional authority profile of our lead trader.

The Cost.

Pricing is 2999.00 for the 3 days (you pay travel, meals, hotel). We are running a 30% Early Bird discount for this session, use code coach30 at checkout.

Register Here: Trade Coaching Boot Camp April 19, 20, 21 2019.

Travel Assistance.

Let us know if you need a hand with hotel recommendations and more! The boot camp is held right at Cabarete Beach for coordinating your hotel. We can also refer you to gated communities nearby with packages. Many students come days prior or stay days after the boot camp to trade with our lead trader, other traders and enjoy some of the excursions available on the island!

Any questions let us know!

The Compound Trading Group Team

Email: [email protected]

1 2