Tag Archives: China US Talks

Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Tuesday Jan 8, 2019.

In this premarket trading edition: China US Talks, Special Reports, TSLA, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:

• Main Trading Room
  • Jan 8 – I am in session in main trading room today for market open, mid day review, during active trading and overnight futures.
• Development Team Work in Progress:
  • Jan 6 – Members please review Lead Trader 2019 Trading Guidance Report (Time Cycles) & Trading Platform Updates

Premarket Reporting: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.

Jan 8 – A number of trading strategy posts were sent to members. Please review.

Jan 6 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategies | 240 Min Simple Chart Model Structure & Trade Plan

Jan 3 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategies | Oil Trading Room | Trade Oil Review

Jan 3 – Protected: Gold Trading Strategies | Live Trading Room | Chart Review

Jan 3 – Protected: SP500 SPY Trading Strategies | Live Trading Room | Chart Review

Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ

Nov 29 – Protected: Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part E) Thurs Nov 29 ATHM, ESPR, CALA, APVO, MOMO, GSUM, CLDR, FIT …

Nov 29 – Protected: Trading Strategies: Crude Oil WTI USOIL, Bitcoin BTC, SP500 SPY, Volatility VIX, Arrowhead ARWR …

Nov 18 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part D) Sun Nov 18 NFLX, MTEM, PYX, XXII, PRQR, BOX, GTHX, SSW, HIIQ …

Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…

Oct 30 – The Best Crude Oil Day Trading Signal Available | It Happened Again Today for 153 Tick Gain Intra-Day.

Oct 29 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part B) Mon Oct 29 SQ, AGN, BOX, PRQR, NBEV, PYX, NFLX, BLDP, LEVB, DIS.

Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.

Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.

Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

Tuesday Jan 8 – Today in to EIA is the final watch on market structure that we need and we’ll start producing the structured trading range reports for the next 6 months. 24 hours of patience. Then its go time. I think we have it nailed down. Please watch those mid day review videos so you are in the know before we go. Really really important.

Monday Jan 7 – Two days to let market structure settle and the report flow for the next six month time cycles starts. #patience #caution.

Fri Jan 4 – If Fed pauses hikes and US-China trade relations improve oil should run in to May targets oil bundle members have (especially if OPEC cuts remain in play), the markets should run up in to May. Gold, Silver, VIX, DXY and Bitcoin may (are likely) to get soft and equities will be a stock pickers environment (traded properly within instrument structure) during that period (Q1 2019). Generally this is how it looks currently. But yet to be seen in to next week forward – this is one scenario. Reporting and alerts (either way) will become very active as next week rolls out and in to next 6 months. We will have the structure of trade for our coverage (the algorithm models and swing platform) so that we can trade either scenarios (up or down in each, including swing trading).

Market Observation:

Markets as of 7:48 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.89, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 49.18, Gold $GLD trading 1292.00, Silver $SLV trading 15.73, $SPY 256.20 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 4015.00 and $VIX trading 22.4.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: 

24 Stocks Moving In Tuesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12949656 $AXSM $VNE $MEET $UNP $HX $MAXR $FTR $ILMN $WB $SFE

Avon’s stock surges after deal to sell China manufacturing operations

News: 

$TSLA Oracle’s Ellison reveals US$1b stake in Tesla https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/transport/oracles-ellison-reveals-us1b-stake-in-tesla …

Larry Ellison has disclosed a $1 billion stake in Tesla #swingtrading $TSLA https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-01-08/oracle-s-ellison-reveals-1-billion-stake-in-tesla-filing-shows via @technology

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:

Earnings:

Aurora Cannabis’s stock slips as revenue growth outlook falls shy of some estimates.

Helen of Troy beats profit and revenue expectations, trims sales outlook.

Boston Scientific reports preliminary sales in line with expectations.

getting less notice today but equally horrible sign for global economy / Korea economy

LG Electronics sees EPS drop 80% in Q4

between this and Samsung and $AAPL , you are seeing MONSTER misses in huge companies

#earnings scheduled for the week

$STZ $BBBY $SGH $LEN $KBH $CMC $FCEL $HELE $AYI $AZZ $LNN $SCHN $SNX $MSM $PLUG $WDFC $EXFO $GBX $PSMT $SAR $INFY $FC $NTIC $KSHB $VOXX $SLP $MPAA

http://eps.sh/cal

A look at Jan #earnings calendar.

$NFLX $BAC $BA $BBBY $KBH $SGH $STZ $MA $JPM $C $GS $JNJ $UNH $WFC $AA $LRCX $CJPRY $SLB $ABT $LEN $UNF $AKS $BMY $LW $VLO $RPM $AXP $SMPL $SNX $MSM $WYI $CMC $HELE $FAST $PHM $CSX $INFO $CALM $LNN

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).

Test chart for machine sizing – in a turn up red more important support and resistance $CL_F $WTI $USOIL #Oil https://www.tradingview.com/chart/WTICOUSD/cb0obWVI-Test-chart-for-machine-sizing-in-a-turn-up-red-more-important/

Test chart for machine sizing – in a turn up red more important support and resistance $CL_F $WTI $USOIL #Oil

Oil trade since late Dec time cycle peak I was on about. $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO #timecycles #oil #OOTT

Oil trade since late Dec time cycle peak I was on about. $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO #timecycles #oil #OOTT

When @EPICtheAlgo helps you win $CL_F $USOIL $USO $WTI #oil #trade #alerts #OOTT

When @EPICtheAlgo helps you win $CL_F $USOIL $USO $WTI #oil #trade #alerts #OOTT

Crude oil resistance points, trade technically should come under pressure in to the 10th and then possibly bounce to target.

Crude oil resistance points, trade technically should come under pressure in to the 10th and then possibly bounce to target.

Closed $DGAZ long at 86.79 (NatGas short) from 52.30. Nice trade. #swingtrading #premarket

Closed $DGAZ long at 86.79 (NatGas short) from 52.30. Nice trade. #swingtrading #premarket

Gold (Monthly) Structure seems to suggest near term resistance at diagonal FIB TL, yet to be seen. #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD #swingtrading

Gold (Monthly) Structure seems to suggest near term resistance at diagonal FIB TL, yet to be seen. #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD #swingtrading

Last trading session in crude oil trade alerts screen shot. Will be more active now that not sick and Jan 1 near. #oiltradealerts

Last trading session in crude oil trade alerts screen shot. Will be more active now that not sick and Jan 1 near. #oiltradealerts

Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading

I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT

Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT

Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT

Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO

Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading

Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading

We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts

We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts

Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading

Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading

To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO

Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

Talks with China are going very well!

#5Things
-Trump looks at emergency powers to pay for wall
-Big miss on German industrial production
-Trade talks go well
-Markets rise
-Oil nears $50
https://bloom.bg/2SGACQ3

Renaissance joins big hedge funds in defying 2018 gloom https://www.ft.com/content/83f75daa-1293-11e9-a581-4ff78404524e … https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1082630358233956352

The last time the McClellan Oscillator went from -80 (super oversold) to +80 (super overbought) within two weeks?

March 2009.

It just happened yesterday.

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:  $CTXR $TOPS $PXS $AXSM $RHE $GLBS $PRPO $DCIX $BPMX $VNE $UNP $ROKU $UGAZ $MEET $HTBX $LJPC

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $BMA $DVA $PNFP $NYB $OAS $WLTW $GPN $VOYA $CAKE $EAT $CHSP $LFUS $NDSN $DVA $NCLH $OKE $KMPR $NOK $NYCB $PNFP $BILI $UNP $NTR

(6) Recent Downgrades: $MAXR $H $SUPV $FTR $CNSL $UNIT $ENTG $AON $PFG $HCLP $UN $HUBB $HON $EVBG $WMB $WRK $WB $BIDU $CE $ELVT $GD $NTRS $MA $EVOP $X

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, China US Talks, Special Reports, TSLA, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY