Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Thursday August 16, 2018. 

In this edition:  China US Talks, $AAPL, $NVDA, $SRPT, $WMT, $AMZN, OIL, $VIX, $DXY, $SPY and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events:

  • Thursday Aug 15 – Live Trading Room with lead trader and/or other team members as follows and as available (constant change in the markets);
    • 9:25 Market Open – access limited to live trading room members
    • 12:00 Mid Day Trade Review – access limited to live trading room members
      • Any other live trading sessions will be notified by email.
      • The above listed times are expected live trading time blocks only. Live voice broadcast will only occur if there is a trade set-up to discuss by the lead trader. Screen sharing will be active through-out each time frame.
      • Link: https://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading
      • Password: **** (email for access if you do not have it, password changes will be emailed when changed only)
      • For membership access, options here: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-features/
  • Before Sept 1 – New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
  • Before Sept 1 – Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
  • Before Sept 1 – Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
  • Aug 25-26, Santo Domingo – Oil Algorithm (EPIC) Multi-User License Trade Execution & Integration (private invitational, institutional).
  • Sept 14-16, Cabarete – Trade Coaching Event – Learn How to Trade or Take Your Trading to the Next Level (public, retail).

Machine Trading Coding Team Mandate: In current development and roll-out (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning. 

Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure:

Subscribers to read disclaimer.

Recent Blog / Video / Social Posts: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Aug 16 – Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.

Aug 12 – Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)

Aug 7 – Protected: Swing Trading Earnings Special Report (Members) Tues Aug 7 $DIS, $AMD, $AAPL, $WMT, $FB, $JKS, $EXP, $LTBR, $SPY, $DXY more.

Aug 6 – Swing Trading Earnings Special Report (Members) Mon Aug 6 $BABA, $BA, $ARWR, $EDIT, $C, $DIS, $PSTG, $MXIM, $ATHM, $BWA, $LIT, $FB more.

Aug 5 – Protected: Swing Trading Earnings Special Report (Members) Sun Aug 5 $GPRO, $NFLX, $TAN, $TWLO, $WYNN, $XLE, $XLF, $X, $RIG…

Aug 5 – Protected: Swing Trading Earnings Special Report (Members) Sun Aug 5 $SNAP, $HIIQ, $FIT, $TWLO, $GOOGL, $FB, $CELG, $PSTG …

Aug 3 – Protected: Swing Trading Special Earnings Report (Members) $TSLA, $FB, $HIIQ, $GTHX, $PSTG, $FIT, $ATHM, $FEYE … #swingtrading #tradealerts

Aug 2 – Oil Trading Alerts Live Video w EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA Report #Oil #Trading #Algorithm #Alerts $USOIL $WTI $CL_F

July 29 – Protected: Special Swing Trading Report (Members) #earnings Sun July 29 OIL, $RIOT, $SPY, $PSTG, $AMBA, $FSLR, $AAOI, $LITE, $CALA …

July 29 – Protected: Trading Alphabet (GOOGL) Post Earnings. Swing Trading, Day Trades, Investing (Member Edition) $GOOGL

July 28 – Protected: Trading Facebook (FB) Earnings Part 2 – Opportunity Knocks (Member Edition) $FB #trading #earnings

Protected: Trading Facebook (FB) Earnings Wash-out on Revenue Growth Warning (Member Edition) $FB #trading

Earnings Season Charting July 24 $RIOT, $CELG, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA …

Earnings Season Charting July 24 $SPY, OIL, $VIX, $DXY, $GOOGL, $HCLP, $ARRY, $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SSW

Swing Trading Special Report $CELG, $RIOT, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $MBRX, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA.

Swing Trading Special Report $SPY, OIL, $VIX, $DXY, $GOOGL, $HCLP, $ARRY, $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SSW

Swing Trading Set-ups Special Report; $VIX, $DXY, $SPY, $DIS, $RCL, $RKDA, $SQ, $HEAR, $TGTX, $SMIT

Protected: Swing Trading Report (Earnings Season Special Report) July 19: $VIX, $DXY, $SPY, $DIS, $RCL, $RKDA, $SQ, $HEAR, $TGTX, $SMIT and more.

“The Nut Hand” Today’s Huge Oil Trade Win. Exactly How It Was Done. How I Knew & How You Can Too.

How to Swing Trade Like the Pros and Win Most Trades.

Protected: How to Trade Allergan (AGN) Stock Move (Exclusive) $AGN

FITBIT INC CLASS A (NYSE: FIT). How to Trade FitBit for 40% Gain (Member Exclusive) $FIT #swingtrading #daytrading #chart

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

Stock Futures Soar On Trade War Break: Walmart, Cisco Power The Dow http://dlvr.it/Qg4YLc

Market Observation:

Markets as of  7:40 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.57, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 65.11, Gold $GLD trading 1181.20, Silver $SLV trading 14.63, $SPY 281.78, Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6427.00 and $VIX trading 13.7.

Momentum Stocks / GAPS to Watch: 

28 Stocks Moving In Thursday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12217039 $GSM $WMT $SBBP $CSCO $VBLT $WUBA $HUYA $PTIE $PSTN $IIN $NTAP $RIOT $JD

News: 

Your Thursday morning Speed Read:

– Amazon wants to acquire Mark Cuban’s Landmark Theaters, .@business reports $AMZN
– U.S., China will hold 1st trade talks since May later this month 🤞🏽$SPY $FXI
– Semi stock bellwether NVIDIA investors its Q2 print after the bell 2day $NVDA

#5things
-China-U.S. talks
-Erdogan’s friends
-Retail health check
-Markets mixed
-Data due
https://bloom.bg/2vNjmiC

$WVE Receives Orphan Drug And Rare Pediatric Disease Designations For WVE-210201 #DMD Drug. $SRPT

After visiting Tesla’s Freemont facility, Evercore ISI says Model 3 ‘on track’ $TSLA http://dlvr.it/Qg4TVM

$REGN & $TEVA Announce Positive Topline Phase 3 Fasinumab Results in Patients With Chronic Pain From Osteoarthritis of the Knee or Hip

$SMMT Awarded Additional $12M by BARDA for Phase 3 Development Program of Ridinilazole

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

$SRPT CEO buys 16K shares @ avg price: $125.26/share

Weight Watchers 6M share Block Trade priced at $76.00 $WTW http://dlvr.it/QfyXKn

Recent IPO’s:

BioNano Genomics to offer 2.45 million shares in IPO priced at $6 to $7 each

GoDaddy’s stock falls after public offering of 10.4 million shares

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/godaddys-stock-falls-after-public-offering-of-104-million-shares-2018-08-15?mod=BreakingNewsSecondary

Earnings:

J.C. Penney shares slump 16% after wider-than-expected loss, revenue decline

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/jc-penney-shares-slump-16-after-wider-than-expected-loss-revenue-decline-2018-08-16?mod=BreakingNewsSecondary

JD.com Earnings, Revenue Miss; Stock Falls

So I hear Walmart earnings are “great”? 🙄

Well, have you seen a bigger disaster than this? This is like Enron/dot come level era bust

-90% net income before taxes
-130% net income per EPS

$WMT lost -30 cents per share in Q2. In a 4% f-ing economy!

#earnings for the week

$NVDA $JD $HD $AMAT $WMT $CSCO $JCP $M $YY $SYY $BZUN $DE $TSG $CGC $GWGH $SPCB $CRON $AAP $VIPS $JKS $NTAP $NINE $SWCH $CSIQ $HQCL $AG $BLRX $TPR $JWN $A $CREE $EAT $CNNE $ESES $ARRY $TGEN $CAE $GDS $ROSE $SNES $SORL $EAST $AVGR

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for sometime).

OIL testing upside intra-day resistance in structure, possible move to 61.65 next intra day. #oil #trading #algorithm

oil, premarket, algorithm

OIL testing upside intra-day resistance in structure, possible move to 61.65 next intra day. #oil #trading #algorithm

APPLE (APPL) premarket nearing 212.65 range resistance trading 210.30, trim in to it add above. $AAPL #premarket #swingtrading

AAPL, trading, premarket, chart

APPLE (APPL) premarket nearing 212.65 range resistance trading 210.30, trim in to it add above. $AAPL #premarket #swingtrading

US Dollar Index (DXY) Did come off intra-day at resistance area testing 200 MA on 30 min chart $DXY $UUP #USD

DXY, USD, Dollar, algorithm, chart

US Dollar Index (DXY) Did come off intra-day at resistance area testing 200 MA on 30 min chart$DXY $UUP #USD

Oil sell-off today, EPIC Oil Algorithm buy side oil trade alerts 64.50 buy side at day lows for members. #oil #trade #alerts FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OOTT #Algorithm

$VIX on daily chart MACD crossing up. $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #VIX

$VIX, volatility, daily, chart, MACD

$VIX on daily chart MACD crossing up. $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #VIX

Oil Daily Chart. MACD cross up failed, trade under 50 MA. Bearish trend continues. Aug 12 947 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart

oil, daily, chart, 50MA, MACD

Oil Daily Chart. MACD cross up failed, trade under 50 MA. Bearish trend continues. Aug 12 947 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart

PS Dollar trading HOD $DXY 95.47 and if 95,61 breached held it will rip some faces off.

One of our best swing trades of the year by far…. blew through our most bullish target today and then some and more and more some. $GTHX #swingtrading

SP500 (SPY) Chart continues trend with MACD flat on high side about to test previous highs. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS

SPY, SP500, daily chart,

SP500 (SPY) Chart continues trend with MACD flat on high side about to test previous highs. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS

Gold on 50 percent retrace, MACD may cross up here. Aug 9 1243 AM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $UGLD $DGLD #chart

Gold, daily, chart, GLD

Gold on 50 percent retrace, MACD may cross up here. Aug 9 1243 AM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $UGLD $DGLD #chart

It bounced and hasn’t looked back. #swingtrading $AAOI

$TSLA Swing target price hit. #swingtrading

How to Trade the Tesla Move | Price Targets | Buy Sell Triggers | Time Cycles $TSLA #swingtrading #daytrading

FACEBOOK (FB) Closed 177.78 Friday with 181.80 trajectory price target Aug 8 then 195.00 Aug 27. $FB #swingtrade #chart

FACEBOOK, $FB, chart

FACEBOOK (FB) Closed 177.78 Friday with 181.80 trajectory price target Aug 8 then 195.00 Aug 27. $FB #swingtrade #chart

Health Innovations (HIIQ) ripped through the chart structure in a fantastic way. Careful above channel resistance. $HIIQ chart. #swingtrade

$HIIQ, chart, stock

Health Innovations (HIIQ) ripped through the chart structure in a fantastic way. Careful above channel resistance. $HIIQ chart. #swingtrade

ALPHABET (GOOGL) Daytrading chart with lower time frame support and resistance levels for daytraders. $GOOGL #daytrading #chart

GOOGLE, $GOOGL, stock, chart

ALPHABET (GOOGL) Daytrading chart with lower time frame support and resistance levels for daytraders. $GOOGL #daytrading #chart

$BTC 8300’s to 6900’s…. always know where that 200MA is. #Bitcoin #premarket #crypto

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

Futures rebound on strong earnings, trade talk hopes –

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $ANW $SMMT $GSM $NFX $CPST $WMT $WUBA $AVLR $HTGM $SYMC $CSCO $OSTK $HUYA $AVEO $SBBP $NUGT $IQ

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades:

Southwestern Energy $SWN PT Raised to $5 at Morgan Stanley

Oasis Petroleum $OAS PT Raised to $20 at Morgan Stanley

NetApp $NTAP PT Raised to $70 at Morgan Stanley

HCP $HCP PT Raised to $25 at Morgan Stanley

Harris Corp. $HRS PT Raised to $190 at Argus

Brixmor Property $BRX PT Raised to $22 at Wells Fargo

Patrick Industries $PATK PT Raised to $67 at Wells Fargo

Cisco $CSCO PT Raised to $53 at UBS

Morgan Stanley Resumes Williams Companies $WMB at Overweight

Independence Contract Drilling $ICD PT Raised to $6 at RBC Capital

Wolverine World Wide $WWW PT Raised to $38 at Buckingham Research

(6) Recent Downgrades:

Range Resources $RRC PT Lowered to $16 at Morgan Stanley

Noble Energy $NBL PT Lowered to $36 at Morgan Stanley

Devon Energy $DVN PT Lowered to $45 at Morgan Stanley

Cimarex Energy $XEC PT Lowered to $123 at Morgan Stanley

Constellation Brands $STZ PT Lowered to $235 at BofA/Merrill Lynch

U.S. Concrete $USCR PT Lowered to $68 at Stephens on 2Q Report; ‘Headwinds from Acquisitions’

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, China US Talks, $AAPL, $NVDA, $SRPT, $WMT, $AMZN, OIL, $VIX, $DXY, $SPY