Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday October 31, 2018. 

In this premarket trading edition: EIA, Oil, Credit Markets, Time-Cycles, $FB $AMZN $NFLX $GOOGL and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events / Platform Development Work in Progress:

  • Ask for a tour of our member swing trading alert feed – we’ve done well through this and expect it to get better through Q1 2019. Been through many downturns over 30 years. Check the feed and tell me I’m wrong. #swingtrading #premarket https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1057255452621324289
  • Platform Expansion This Week – Nominal Intermittent Down Time Expected: 1. We are integrating web mail servers with machine trading api’s for our clients, this may cause intermittent downtime for email info@compoundtrading.com – use compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com if you experience issues. 2. We are moving our main fiber line – expect full trading room platform downtime for up to 30 mins.
  • Oct 31 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 10:30 EIA report, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
  • Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us!  https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
    • https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1054318666878238720
  • Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
  • What’s New / Work in Progress (week of Oct 29 we expect to clear this WIP list):
    • Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room starting mid to late week of Oct 29.
    • New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
    • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
    • Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
    • Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
    • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
    • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
      • 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
  • Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
  • Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
  • Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
  • Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning. 

Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Oct 30 – The Best Crude Oil Day Trading Signal Available | It Happened Again Today for 153 Tick Gain Intra-Day.

Oct 29 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part B) Mon Oct 29 SQ, AGN, BOX, PRQR, NBEV, PYX, NFLX, BLDP, LEVB, DIS.

Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.

Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.

Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Sept 28 – Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. Our SQUARE $SQ Trade As Example #swingtrading

Sept 26 – Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades (w / video) Trading Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.

Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

October 31 Trading Plan: Today is EIA day, oil is near support and resistance on most time frames on charts – should be a decision area on the charts. Credit markets on close watch as we near the Nov 11 time-cycle peak in to the next mid to end of December (large time cycle per previous reports).

Careful with the bounce, FANG stocks are on fire so of course they are on close watch (we have models for most tech related of substance).

October 30 Trading Plan: I published a swing trading report (Part B of the special series) last night – from that report and Part A of the series I have many stocks on watch that I think are decent candidates for long swings soon. I am watching a major support area on oil transpire in premarket, if it fails it may be another ladder down, if not it may be a decent long. Gold, Silver, BTC are under pressure and likely to be so now until Nov 11 ish. Sell-off should calm for a bit soon, other side of Nov 11 time cycle unclear at this point. VIX likely short set-up here. Those are my general bias near term but let price do the talking.

In equities also watching WMT, MCD, AAOI closely for long positions.

October 29 Trading Plan: Watching. Looks like a bounce in equity markets possible. Watching.

October 24 Trading Plan: It’s all about oil $WTI $CL_F today, then it will be about GOLD $GLD, SILVER $SLV, VIX $VIX and SP500 $SPY for me thereafter. Watching the TESLA $TSLA play and MCDONALDS $MCD very close. Everything else will be reviewed on swing trading report due out today.

October 23: Notes per below remain in play. New position long in Silver is working from 14.63’s as a swing trade, oil short in to open yesterday worked, watching for an intra-day bounce possible in to open in oil and then down likely. Gold has a bounce as does VIX as I expected in to this time cycle. Momentum daytrading is very dangerous right now. Watching some swing trades in equities (forming a report right now and I’ll release it today).

Considering a long term (6 months or more) swing trade in $MCD soon. Long.

$VIX up more than double since we were alerting time cycle run #premarket.

October 22: I have a new position in Silver in 14.63’s long that may get some pressure but there is a plan to add at support below. Earnings season may help equities some here near term – but it is dubious.

I will continue chewing around the edges of this crude oil sell-off at support areas for a reversal to the retracement and try and get a decent short position also when I can at upside resistance. Serious, serious pressure here in oil trade BUT support areas for possible reversal are starting to hit now on various charting time-frames and structures – BUT that doesn’t mean it will reverse. It reverses when it reverses, trade the indicators not bias.

Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.

PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.

I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.

This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.

I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.

It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.

Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.

Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.

Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.

Market Observation:

Markets as of 8:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 97.006, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 66.12, Gold $GLD trading 1213.56, Silver $SLV trading 14.28, $SPY 270.64 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6268.50 and $VIX trading 22.0.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: 

38 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12600756 $KMPH $LKSD $ACAD $GM $EXAS $FEYE $FB $CLVS $DDD $SFLY $TCS $IQ $SPWR $EA $CLX $WATT

The Dow poised to extend its rally from yesterday with futures implying a more than 200 point gain for the index

Stock Market up more than 400 points yesterday. Today looks to be another good one. Companies earnings are great!

News: 

Credit markets are showing more nervousness about defaults – not just higher rates – now than they did at the beginning of the month. Investors are now demanding the most extra yield to own U.S. junk bonds vs investment-grade ones since the beginning of February.

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Recent IPO’s:

Earnings:

Facebook Misses Sales Estimates, Weighed Down by Scandals

#earnings for the week

$FB $AAPL $BABA $GE $IQ $MA $BIDU $EBAY $CHK $XOM $EA $TEVA $GM $UAA $TNDM $BP $SPOT $ON $FDC $ADP $CVX $KO $AMRN $SBUX $X $ABBV $PFE $FIT $PAYC $YNDX $OLED $ABMD $WTW $ANET $WLL $LL $FEYE $DDD $RIG $SNE $KEM $NWL $STX $BAH $FTNT

http://eps.sh/cal

#earningsseason calendar

$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:

Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.

Yesterday’s Trading Action in Crude Oil (see oil post for detail) – EIA day today.

crude, oil, sell-off, best, trading, signal, trading plan

Crude oil sells off in to open, bottoms 65.31 915 AM, 1046 AM pops out of consolidation, high of day 1207 PM 66.84 #crudeoil #trading

Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT

Crude Oil – The only chart that matters today (beyond EPIC Oil Algorithm) FX USOIL WTI CL_F USO #crudeoil

crude, oil, chart

Crude Oil – The only chart that matters today (beyond EPIC Oil Algorithm) FX USOIL WTI CL_F USO #crudeoil

Swing trading with technical analysis $BLDP

Swing trading with technical analysis $LEVB

Swing trading with technical analysis $PYX

Swing trading with technical analysis. $NBEV

Swing trading with technical analysis. $BOX

Crude oil 4 hour chart. Trendlines. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #chart #OOTT https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1056884532408926208

crude, oil, trading, chart, premarket

Crude oil 4 hour chart. Trendlines. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #chart

$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

crude, oil, trade, alert

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

On the daily oil chart price ended the week right above the 200 MA and above the primary pivot marked on the chart.

crude, oil, daily, chart

On the daily chart price ended the week right above the 200 MA and above the primary pivot marked on the chart.

Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.

crude, oil, trade, alerts, short

Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts

Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.

swing, trade, alert, silver

Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV

Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.

trading, alerts, SLV

Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver

Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Silver, weekly, chart

Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

daytrading, crude, oil ,signals

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude, oil, trading, alerts

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts

Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading

Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm

This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.

$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

VIX, volatility, chart

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Bitcoin, BTC, chart, wedge

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

W/good times about to end, mkts have grown ruthless to comps that fail to deliver earnings: Stocks that miss estimates being more punished than usual, Barclays says. Investors have little patience for underperformers who are getting more punished than outperformers are rewarded.

I did not realize how little fundamental analysis is going on in individual stocks until today I investigated one opportunity. I’m just flabbergasted at how most of the volume is literally ETFs, quants and computers.

Between 2012 and 2016, almost two-thirds of crude oil contracts traded on CME’s futures exchange were automated, up from 54 per cent. #Oil #Algorithm #Trading #OOTT
Commodity trading enters the age of digitisation

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $TNXP $AMRH $LKSD $KIN $KMPH $IGT $ABIL $PXS $GSL $ARNC $GM $YUM $S $EBAY $FEYE $ACAD

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades:

(6) Recent Downgrades:

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, EIA, Oil, Credit Markets, Time-Cycles, $FB $AMZN $NFLX $GOOGL


Yes, You Read That Right, This Crude Oil Signal Sees 153 Tick Day Trade Win in Crude Oil.

And the best part – it is a winning alert signal approximately 90% of the time. Back-tested and proven.

You can investigate the validity of my claim by studying our oil newsletter (algorithm model posts) – we make them public – they are unlocked historically).

On my last crude oil trading strategy report two days ago (October 28) I wrote;

“I wouldn’t be surprised at this point to see a bounce in price, however, the weekly wedge support now becomes resistance. If price breaches the previous support (now resistance) then trades should be ready for a retest of previous support before possible higher”.

Today there was an intra-day 153 tick move in trade of crude oil for a fantastic day trading set-up. The signals on the algorithm model were very clear.

Unfortunately for us I was in a business conference meeting and our tech (Jeremy) was on a conference with a broker programming one of the last Python API’s for the machine trading platform – we didn’t execute on the signal for a trade.

But that doesn’t mean we didn’t know the set-up was in play.

The oil trading algorithm report explains this very set-up in detail (members receive the report weekly) and the set-up was signaled to members in the oil trading room.

Rich (a long time member at Compound Trading) at 9:39 AM alerted the crude oil trade signal for the day-trade long in the oil trading room on Discord.

Below is a snap-shot (screen shot) of the chat in the oil chat room.

crude, oil, trade, alert, signal, trading room

Rich (a long time member at Compound Trading) at 939 AM alerted crude oil trade signal day-trade in oil trading room.

Here’s how the trade set-up was in play:

Crude oil sold off heavy in to open. It then sells off through the quadrant support on the oil algorithm but in to the main swing trading support range on the algorithm. Oil trade bottomed at 65.31 of FX USOIL WTI at 9:15 AM (white arrow on chart below).

On the 1 minute chart below at 10:46 AM trade pops (green arrow on chart) out of tight consolidation (after popping at support on the model) and runs to a high of day at 12:07 PM to 66.84.

Rich’s signal alert above in the oil chat room was for trade to hit 67.10 by Wednesday morning (at time of writing it is late Tuesday night and that target hasn’t hit yet but is very possible at the time he quoted possible for tomorrow morning).

crude, oil, sell-off, open

Crude oil sells off in to open, bottoms 65.31 915 AM, 1046 AM pops out of consolidation, high of day 1207 PM 66.84 #crudeoil #trading

Crude oil trade high of day was 66.84 at 12:07 PM near trend-line resistance on 1 minute oil chart for a 153 tick gain – what a daytrade!

crude, oil, chart, HOD

Crude oil high of day 66.84 1207 PM near trendline on 1 minute oil chart. #crude #oil #trading

Above were two conventional one minute oil charts to show you what happened on the day. Below are screen shots of the oil algorithm and how clear the signals were for the trade.

Crude oil trade touches main swing trading support on EPIC Crude Oil Trading Algorithm and bounces (gray thick horizontal line on the chart and yellow arrow).

crude, oil, algorithm, support, trade

Crude oil trade touches main swing trading support on EPIC Crude Oil Trading Algorithm and bounces #crude #oil #algorithm #trading

The next day-trading signal and further confirmation for a long position on the day was the 10:30 AM 30 minute candle when trade bounced perfect off the machine trading support line (yellow diagonal line on chart and green arrow).

intraday, oil, trade, support

The next daytrading signal was the 1030 AM 30 minute candle bounced perfect off machine trading support line.

Then the signal to close the long crude oil day-trade was much clearer and precise – it was when the price of crude oil hit the key intra-day resistance on the EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm charting highlighted with a red arrow on the chart below.

daytrade, crude, oil, signal, close

The signal to close the long crude oil daytrade was when price hit the key intraday resistance on EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm. #daytrading #crude #oil

As in the previous report I continue in this bias, “until there is a bounce, retrace and confirmed reversal the bias is short at resistance. The opposite will be true when a reversal is confirmed”. 

But nothing beats this best of class trade signal for crude oil traders (I repeat from my previous post);

“Bottom line, the EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm continues to reward those that take long positions at support (channel support and quad support) and short at resistance areas of the algorithmic trading model. This will be my focus and I know the machine trading tech(s) will be focused primarily to those areas of trade also”.

Our oil algorithm is now near two years old and has proven time and time again that it provides the most predictable oil trading signals I have been able to find on the market, and this specific signal (outlined in this article) is the most predictable best crude oil signal of them all.

Where can you find a trading set-up that executes for a win at 150+ ticks intra-day in crude oil trade with a probability of approximately 90%? Test it and tell me I’m wrong.

One trade a month pays 1500.00 per month at 1 oil futures contract size.

Follow this link for a detailed description of my longer term crude oil trading strategy review at this post.

Increase Your Crude Oil Trading With These Tools.

  • There is a link below to our oil trading academy page that has a number of links to articles on our site,.
  • You can book private online trade coaching via Skype.
  • Join our live trading room.
  • Sign on to our oil trading alert feed subscription, (alerts are on a private member Twitter feed).
  • Sign on to our weekly algorithm reporting that provides the algorithm model, conventional charting, guidance for the week etc.
  • Attend a trading boot camp (in person or online).
  • Request via email the videos of our most recent trading boot camp or the master class series videos (both sets are approximately 20 hours each). They are available only by email request at this time by emailing info@compoundtrading.com. Soon they will be posted to our shop on website.

Thanks

Curt

Any questions let me know!

Further Reading to Help You Trade Oil:

Find more posts like this one on our Oil Trading Academy Page – links to numerous oil trade strategy reports.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Our Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Best, Crude, Oil, Day Trading, Signals, Strategy, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO

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Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Tuesday October 30, 2018. 

In this premarket trading edition: Earnings, Crude Oil, TTWO, UAA, LEVB, PYX, BOX, NBEV, BLDP and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events / Platform Development Work in Progress:

  • Ask for a tour of our member swing trading alert feed – we’ve done well through this and expect it to get better through Q1 2019. Been through many downturns over 30 years. Check the feed and tell me I’m wrong. #swingtrading #premarket https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1057255452621324289
  • Platform Expansion This Week – Nominal Intermittent Down Time Expected: 1. We are integrating web mail servers with machine trading api’s for our clients, this may cause intermittent downtime for email info@compoundtrading.com – use compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com if you experience issues. 2. We are moving our main fiber line – expect full trading room platform downtime for up to 30 mins.
  • Oct 30 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
  • Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us!  https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
    • https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1054318666878238720
  • Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
  • What’s New / Work in Progress (week of Oct 29 we expect to clear this WIP list):
    • Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room starting mid to late week of Oct 29.
    • New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
    • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
    • Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
    • Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
    • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
    • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
      • 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
  • Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
  • Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
  • Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
  • Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning. 

Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Oct 29 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part B) Mon Oct 29 SQ, AGN, BOX, PRQR, NBEV, PYX, NFLX, BLDP, LEVB, DIS.

Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.

Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.

Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Sept 28 – Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. Our SQUARE $SQ Trade As Example #swingtrading

Sept 26 – Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades (w / video) Trading Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.

Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

October 30 Trading Plan: I published a swing trading report (Part B of the special series) last night – from that report and Part A of the series I have many stocks on watch that I think are decent candidates for long swings soon. I am watching a major support area on oil transpire in premarket, if it fails it may be another ladder down, if not it may be a decent long. Gold, Silver, BTC are under pressure and likely to be so now until Nov 11 ish. Sell-off should calm for a bit soon, other side of Nov 11 time cycle unclear at this point. VIX likely short set-up here. Those are my general bias near term but let price do the talking.

In equities also watching WMT, MCD, AAOI closely for long positions.

October 29 Trading Plan: Watching. Looks like a bounce in equity markets possible. Watching.

October 24 Trading Plan: It’s all about oil $WTI $CL_F today, then it will be about GOLD $GLD, SILVER $SLV, VIX $VIX and SP500 $SPY for me thereafter. Watching the TESLA $TSLA play and MCDONALDS $MCD very close. Everything else will be reviewed on swing trading report due out today.

October 23: Notes per below remain in play. New position long in Silver is working from 14.63’s as a swing trade, oil short in to open yesterday worked, watching for an intra-day bounce possible in to open in oil and then down likely. Gold has a bounce as does VIX as I expected in to this time cycle. Momentum daytrading is very dangerous right now. Watching some swing trades in equities (forming a report right now and I’ll release it today).

Considering a long term (6 months or more) swing trade in $MCD soon. Long.

$VIX up more than double since we were alerting time cycle run #premarket.

October 22: I have a new position in Silver in 14.63’s long that may get some pressure but there is a plan to add at support below. Earnings season may help equities some here near term – but it is dubious.

I will continue chewing around the edges of this crude oil sell-off at support areas for a reversal to the retracement and try and get a decent short position also when I can at upside resistance. Serious, serious pressure here in oil trade BUT support areas for possible reversal are starting to hit now on various charting time-frames and structures – BUT that doesn’t mean it will reverse. It reverses when it reverses, trade the indicators not bias.

Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.

PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.

I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.

This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.

I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.

It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.

Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.

Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.

Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.

Market Observation:

Markets as of 8:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.68, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 66.46, Gold $GLD trading 1222.56, Silver $SLV trading 14.43, $SPY 265.30 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6272.50 and $VIX trading 24.2.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: 

TTWO:RED DEAD LAUNCH GETS BIGGEST OPENING WEEKEND OF ALL TIME

Stocks making the biggest move premarket: KO, GE, PFE, TPR, UAA & more –

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/10/30/stocks-making-the-biggest-move-premarket-ko-ge-pfe-tpr-uaa–more.html

News: 

$URGN FDA Grants Breakthrough Therapy Designation UGN-101 For The Treatment Of Patients With Low-Grade Upper Tract Urothelial Cancer (LG UTUC)

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Recent IPO’s:

Initial public offerings haven’t enriched investors so far this financial year amid volatility in the market.

Earnings:

HCA shares up 3.1% premarket after earnings beat.

Mastercard stock rises after earnings beat.

#earnings for the week

$FB $AAPL $BABA $GE $IQ $MA $BIDU $EBAY $CHK $XOM $EA $TEVA $GM $UAA $TNDM $BP $SPOT $ON $FDC $ADP $CVX $KO $AMRN $SBUX $X $ABBV $PFE $FIT $PAYC $YNDX $OLED $ABMD $WTW $ANET $WLL $LL $FEYE $DDD $RIG $SNE $KEM $NWL $STX $BAH $FTNT

http://eps.sh/cal

#earningsseason calendar

$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:

Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.

Crude Oil – The only chart that matters today (beyond EPIC Oil Algorithm) FX USOIL WTI CL_F USO #crudeoil

crude, oil, chart

Crude Oil – The only chart that matters today (beyond EPIC Oil Algorithm) FX USOIL WTI CL_F USO #crudeoil

Swing trading with technical analysis $BLDP

Swing trading with technical analysis $LEVB

Swing trading with technical analysis $PYX

Swing trading with technical analysis. $NBEV

Swing trading with technical analysis. $BOX

Crude oil 4 hour chart. Trendlines. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #chart #OOTT https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1056884532408926208

crude, oil, trading, chart, premarket

Crude oil 4 hour chart. Trendlines. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #chart

$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

crude, oil, trade, alert

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

On the daily oil chart price ended the week right above the 200 MA and above the primary pivot marked on the chart.

crude, oil, daily, chart

On the daily chart price ended the week right above the 200 MA and above the primary pivot marked on the chart.

Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.

crude, oil, trade, alerts, short

Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts

Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.

swing, trade, alert, silver

Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV

Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.

trading, alerts, SLV

Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver

Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Silver, weekly, chart

Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

daytrading, crude, oil ,signals

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude, oil, trading, alerts

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart.

crude, oil, chart, trend lines

Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart Reviewed at 950 mins on video.

Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts

Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading

Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm

This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.

$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

VIX, volatility, chart

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Bitcoin, BTC, chart, wedge

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

#5things
-Trump wants a great deal
-Huge day for earnings
-Euro-area GDP misses
-Markets mixed
-Coming up…
https://bloom.bg/2PsZ7C0

The Stock Market is up massively since the Election, but is now taking a little pause – people want to see what happens with the Midterms. If you want your Stocks to go down, I strongly suggest voting Democrat. They like the Venezuela financial model, High Taxes & Open Borders!

holy shit

Smart Money Flow Index now at lowest since Jan. 1996…

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $ESIO $GSL $ACHV $DFBG $TTWO $AKAM $UA $UAA $CHGG $CCCL $KEM $DRYS $MYSZ $NSPR $UGAZ $BP

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $HES $WERN $CSTM $SCHW $CHGG $PSX $JBLU $COOP $SNDR $XPO $ODFL $CVE $GRFS $NVDA $POR $JWN $AMED $AKAM

$PRTO initiated at Buy at Maxim. PT $5

(6) Recent Downgrades: $ELVT $ETFC $UAL $SAVE $LUV $WFT $ARCB $GPC $UNFI $DDS $FLEX

AMD price target cut to $26 from $33 at Cowen

TriNet Group $TNET PT Lowered to $54 at Credit Suisse

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Earnings, Earnings, Crude Oil, TTWO, UAA, LEVB, PYX, BOX, NBEV, BLDP


Compound Trading Swing Trade Report Monday October 29, 2018 (Part B).

Swing Trading Signals and Stock Picks In this Issue: SQ, AGN, BOX, PRQR, NBEV, PYX, NFLX, BLDP, LEVB, DIS. 

Email us at compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

Below is Part B of this special swing trading report series covering stocks that we have recently been trading or have been active stocks traded by our members and/or stocks that were recently covered at the Trade Coaching Boot Camp. Part A of this swing trading special series can be found here.

Basically we are consolidating all the most recent swing trade strategies in to a few reports prior to earnings season kicking in.

After this short series of reports we will return to the regular rotational reports and also introduce some themed swing trading reports (we have one for swing trading pot stocks, we are working on a financials report and an energy special report currently). 

Swing trading set-ups in this short series of reports will provide charting and trade signals for the following equities; FEYE, ROU, SHOP, ARWR, TSLA, AGN, CRON, SQ, XBIO, FB, DIS, LEVB, NBEV, NIHD, BZUN, BLDP, AMD, OSI, CARA, BABA, EDIT, AAPL, NFLX, MTEM, PYX, XXII, PRQR, BOX, GTHX, SSW, HIIQ, ATHM, ESPR, CALA, APVO, MOMO, GSUM, CLDR, FIT among others. If you have any swing trading charting requests send them to us on email. The first of the trading set-ups in this series are included below.

Until mid July 2018 we distributed one swing trading report (1 of 5 in rotation) with a mandate being one report per week on average cycling the five reports that include over one hundred equities every five weeks (approximately).

Commencing July 2018 we switched up our swing trading service to also include special reports for earnings season, special trade set-ups, and swing trade alerts direct to your email inbox. Per above, soon we will also be producing themed reports.

When managing your trades with the weekly reports keep in mind that you will have to invest an hour or two a week to check the indicators mentioned for buy and sell triggers. I was asked recently why we do not usually (although we do sometimes) include precise entry and exit points. The reason is simple, they don’t work – those services have terrible results.

Swing trading success, even with a service, does require “some” maintenance on the part of the user, although the new live alert service will take much of that burden off the user as we know many of our users have busy lives. It is the indicators lining up that signal a trade long entry or an exit. In our case we rely heavily on the natural trading structure of the financial instrument; including the MACD on daily or weekly, Stochastic RSI, Moving Averages, trading boxes, quadrants, Fibonacci support and resistance, trend lines, trajectory / trend of trade, time-cycles and more.

Indicators we base trade entry and exits on are at times listed with each trade posted so any user that does even moderate trade management will know when the indicator(s) have turn with or against the trade (here again it is wise to have at least a basic understanding of trading structures because you need to be able to respond to your own trading rules based process).

It is critical that you attend to the maintenance of your signals at least once a week if not twice and set stops and preferably alarms so that intra-week you can enter / exit or add / trim as required.

If you need help with rules based swing trading technical analysis, a specific trading plan (entries, exits, adds or trims) or with a simple understanding of proper structured charting and/or trading structured set-ups you can book some trade coaching time and we will assist you with your trade planning as needed. You may find after a few hours of trade coaching that this is all you need to become a proficient profit side trader.

We can schedule private coaching online, you can attend a trading boot-camp (online or in person) or order the downloadable recordings of a recent trading boot-camp or master class series (each about 20 hours of training per event). For any of those options email us for details.

Below is a primer if you know none or very little about proper chart structures:

“I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 – 6:00 min”. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Intra-week you can DM myself on Twitter (@curtmelonopoly), visit me on Discord (http://discord.gg/2HRTk6n) and private message me or email me (info@compoundtrading.com) with specific questions regarding trades you are considering. You can also visit the main trading during the mid-day review and ask questions by text in the chat area of the room.

IF WE DON’T GET BACK TO YOU RIGHT AWAY it is usually because we are pressured with reporting deadlines or are in a trading session.

Also, as live charts are made available below, click on link and open viewer. Then to use chart yourself click on share button at bottom right (near thumbs up) and then click “make it mine”.

Newer updates are in red type for ease of review.

Recent Compound Trading Videos and/ or Blog Posts for Swing Traders / Charting Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts. Listed from most recent. For newer members, if you need a password for a locked historical post please email us your request.

Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.

Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.

Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Sept 28 – Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. Our SQUARE $SQ Trade As Example #swingtrading

Sept 26 – Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades (w / video) Trading Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.

Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)

Current Swing Trading Signals and Stock Charts.

SQUARE (SQ) Near key support on watch for a bounce. $SQ #swingtrade #tradealerts

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SQ/oOzvFUUU-SQUARE-SQ-Near-key-support-on-watch-for-a-bounce-SQ-swingtr/

SQ, swing trade

SQUARE (SQ) Near key support on watch for a bounce. $SQ #swingtrade #tradealerts

ALLERGAN (AGN) Near support on watch for adds to swing trade. $AGN #swingtrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AGN/NFSdrnCm-ALLERGAN-AGN-Near-support-on-watch-for-adds-to-swing-trade-A/

AGN, swingtrading, chart

ALLERGAN (AGN) Near support on watch for adds to swing trade. $AGN #swingtrading

BOX INC (BOX) Short PT hit – short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #tradealerts

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BOX/gQnbqUL4-BOX-INC-BOX-Short-PT-hit-short-under-red-box-support-down-s/

BOX, swingtrade, trading, alerts

BOX INC (BOX) Short PT hit – short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #tradealerts

PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Hit price target from previous alert, on watch for support bounce – over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast $PRQR #swingtrading #tradealerts

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/PRQR/0gFiFG5Z-PROQR-THERAPEUTICS-PRQR-Hit-price-target-from-previous-alert/

PRQR, chart, swing, trade

PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Hit price target from previous alert, on watch for support bounce – over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast $PRQR #swingtrading #tradealerts

DISNEY (DIS) Holding its structure in market downturn, looking for long 112 area $DIS #swingtrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DIS/sEgdutLw-DISNEY-DIS-Holding-its-structure-in-market-downturn-looking-f/

DISNEY, chart

DISNEY (DIS) Holding its structure in market downturn, looking for long 112 area $DIS #swingtrading

LEVEL BRANDS (LEVB) hit the 8.09 price target and then some, now nearing support watch again $LEVB #swingtrade

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/LEVB/lk28J0jb-LEVEL-BRANDS-LEVB-hit-the-8-09-price-target-and-then-some-now/

LEVB, swing trade

LEVEL BRANDS (LEVB) hit the 8.09 price target and then some, now nearing support watch again $LEVB #swingtrade

BALLARD POWER (BLDP) Turned down perfectly on time per alert, now it is a matter of where it turns. $BLDP #swingtrading #tradealerts

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BLDP/TETMxyhj-BALLARD-POWER-BLDP-Turned-down-perfectly-on-time-per-alert-no/

Ballard Power, chart

BALLARD POWER (BLDP) Turned down perfectly on time per alert, now it is a matter of where it turns. $BLDP #swingtrading #tradealerts

NEW AGE BEVERAGES (NBEV) Near support again on watch after near 4 x gains on last alert – above 2.80, targets 3.27, 4.17, 4.89 $NBEV #tradealerts #swingtrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NBEV/yrRNdxkw-NEW-AGE-BEVERAGES-NBEV-Near-support-again-on-watch-after-near/

NEBV, trade

NEW AGE BEVERAGES (NBEV) Near support again on watch after near 4 x gains on last alert – above 2.80, targets 3.27, 4.17, 4.89 $NBEV #tradealerts #swingtrading

PYXUS $PYX near triple x since last alerted now nearing support and on watch for another run #swingtrade #tradealert

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/PYX/kjZiXjWJ-PYXUS-PYX-near-triple-x-since-last-alerted-now-nearing-support/

PYX, trade, alert

PYXUS $PYX near triple x since last alerted now nearing support and on watch for another run #swingtrade #tradealert

NETFLIX (NFLX) on watch for bounce at diagonal trendline support and possible MACD turn on 240 min chart. $NFLX #swingtrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NFLX/MmA8EpEI-NETFLIX-NFLX-on-watch-for-bounce-at-diagonal-trendline-support/

NFLX, swing, trading

NETFLIX (NFLX) on watch for bounce at diagonal trendline support and possible MACD turn on 240 min chart. $NFLX #swingtrading

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

Cheers!

Curtis

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Article Topics; Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stocks, Signals, Alerts, FSQ, AGN, BOX, PRQR, NBEV, PYX, NFLX, BLDP, LEVB, DIS


Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Monday October 29, 2018. 

In this premarket trading edition: Earnings, Oil, $TSLA, $AAPL, $RHT, $IBM, $ESPR and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events / Platform Development Work in Progress:

  • Platform Expansion This Week – Nominal Intermittent Down Time Expected: 1. We are integrating web mail servers with machine trading api’s for our clients, this may cause intermittent downtime for email info@compoundtrading.com – use compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com if you experience issues. 2. We are moving our main fiber line – expect full trading room platform downtime for up to 30 mins.
  • Oct 29 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
  • Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us!  https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
    • https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1054318666878238720
  • Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
  • What’s New / Work in Progress (week of Oct 29 we expect to clear this WIP list):
    • Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room starting mid to late week of Oct 29.
    • New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
    • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
    • Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
    • Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
    • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
    • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
      • 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
      • 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
  • Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
  • Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
  • Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
  • Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning. 

Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.

Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.

Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Sept 28 – Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. Our SQUARE $SQ Trade As Example #swingtrading

Sept 26 – Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades (w / video) Trading Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.

Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

October 29 Trading Plan: Watching. Looks like a bounce in equity markets possible. Watching.

October 24 Trading Plan: It’s all about oil $WTI $CL_F today, then it will be about GOLD $GLD, SILVER $SLV, VIX $VIX and SP500 $SPY for me thereafter. Watching the TESLA $TSLA play and MCDONALDS $MCD very close. Everything else will be reviewed on swing trading report due out today.

October 23: Notes per below remain in play. New position long in Silver is working from 14.63’s as a swing trade, oil short in to open yesterday worked, watching for an intra-day bounce possible in to open in oil and then down likely. Gold has a bounce as does VIX as I expected in to this time cycle. Momentum daytrading is very dangerous right now. Watching some swing trades in equities (forming a report right now and I’ll release it today).

Considering a long term (6 months or more) swing trade in $MCD soon. Long.

$VIX up more than double since we were alerting time cycle run #premarket.

October 22: I have a new position in Silver in 14.63’s long that may get some pressure but there is a plan to add at support below. Earnings season may help equities some here near term – but it is dubious.

I will continue chewing around the edges of this crude oil sell-off at support areas for a reversal to the retracement and try and get a decent short position also when I can at upside resistance. Serious, serious pressure here in oil trade BUT support areas for possible reversal are starting to hit now on various charting time-frames and structures – BUT that doesn’t mean it will reverse. It reverses when it reverses, trade the indicators not bias.

Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.

PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.

I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.

This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.

I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.

It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.

Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.

Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.

Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.

Market Observation:

Markets as of 8:55 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.32, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 67.44, Gold $GLD trading 1229.56, Silver $SLV trading 14.65, $SPY 268.92 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6333.50 and $VIX trading 23.1.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: 

Blue Apron shares soar 18% after announcing availability through Walmart’s http://Jet.com

IBM To Buy Red Hat In $34B Deal, IT Stocks Surge https://benzinga.com/z/12581762 $IBM $RHT $CRM $SPLK $WDAY $AKAM #swingtrading https://www.benzinga.com/news/18/10/12581762/ibm-to-buy-red-hat-in-34b-deal-it-stocks-surge

Stocks making the biggest move premarket: IBM, RHT, HSBC, BLMN, FDC & more

News: 

$TSLA Ballie Gifford Willing to Throw More Money Behind Tesla $TSLA if Needed – The Times @Street_Insider

$AAPL Initial Apple (AAPL) iPhone XR Sales Weak, Trims Production Estimates – Rosenblatt @Street_Insider

$ESPR Esperion stock surges 15% on late-stage results for cholesterol drug. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/esperion-stock-surges-15-on-late-stage-results-for-cholesterol-drug-2018-10-29?mod=BreakingNewsSecondary

Dicerna’s stock set to soar after licensing, research collaboration with Eli Lilly.

China Regulator to Propose 50% Cut to Car Purchase Tax https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-10-29/china-regulator-is-said-to-propose-50-cut-to-car-purchase-tax.

$JAZZ Announces FDA Approval of Xyrem for the Treatment of Cataplexy or Excessive Daytime Sleepiness in Pediatric Narcolepsy Patients.

$TSRO Announces Achievement of ZEJULA Prostate Cancer Development Milestones by Janssen. $18M milestone payment. $JNJ.

$MLNT Announces Positive Top-Line Results in Phase 3 Trial of Baxdela (delafloxacin) for Treatment of CABP.

$PRQR Receives Exclusive Worldwide License for IONIS-RHO-2.5 for Autosomal Dominant Retinitis Pigmentosa. $IONS.

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Recent IPO’s:

Earnings:

#earnings for the week

$FB $AAPL $BABA $GE $IQ $MA $BIDU $EBAY $CHK $XOM $EA $TEVA $GM $UAA $TNDM $BP $SPOT $ON $FDC $ADP $CVX $KO $AMRN $SBUX $X $ABBV $PFE $FIT $PAYC $YNDX $OLED $ABMD $WTW $ANET $WLL $LL $FEYE $DDD $RIG $SNE $KEM $NWL $STX $BAH $FTNT

http://eps.sh/cal

#earningsseason calendar

$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:

Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.

Crude oil 4 hour chart. Trendlines. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #chart #OOTT https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1056884532408926208

crude, oil, trading, chart, premarket

Crude oil 4 hour chart. Trendlines. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #chart

$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

crude, oil, trade, alert

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

On the daily oil chart price ended the week right above the 200 MA and above the primary pivot marked on the chart.

crude, oil, daily, chart

On the daily chart price ended the week right above the 200 MA and above the primary pivot marked on the chart.

MCDONALDS (MCD) Daily Chart. Break-out test in play $MCD #premarket #swingtrading

$MCD, McDonalds, premarket, trading, plan

MCDONALDS (MCD) Daily Chart. Break-out test in play $MCD #premarket #swingtrading

Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.

crude, oil, trade, alerts, short

Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts

Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.

swing, trade, alert, silver

Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV

Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.

trading, alerts, SLV

Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver

Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Silver, weekly, chart

Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

daytrading, crude, oil ,signals

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude, oil, trading, alerts

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart.

crude, oil, chart, trend lines

Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart Reviewed at 950 mins on video.

TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading

TESLA, stock, chart

TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading

ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts

ARWR, stock, chart

ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts

Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts

Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading

Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm

This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.

$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

VIX, volatility, chart

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Bitcoin, BTC, chart, wedge

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

#5things
-Bolsonaro wins
-Trump campaigns
-Merkel to quit
-Markets mixed
-U.K. budget
https://bloom.bg/2Rnxgk2

HEDGE FUNDS have boosted short positions in NYMEX WTI by +42 million bbl to 65 million bbl between Aug 28 and Oct 23:

Get ready for greater instability as end of global QE will have significant implications for global markets. Central Banks no longer cushion markets, Mohamed El-Erian says. https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2018-10-29/ecb-confirms-it-will-end-unusual-measures-buttressing-markets …

Ray Dalio usually states that asset classes outperform cash over the long run, and it’s very rare to have cash do well unless it’s a depression.

@jpmorgan chart shows almost all asset classes with negative YTD returns, first time in 40 years.

COT update covering hedge funds positions and changes in the wk to Oct. 23: #Oil sold again with #gold, #coffee and #sugar in demand #OOTT https://www.home.saxo/insights/content-hub/articles/2018/10/29/cot-oil-sold-again-with-old-coffee-and-sugar-in-demand …

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $RHT $DRNA $DCIX $TOPS $PXS $GNW $CREG $MNGA $BRZU $SEED $SGYP $TXMD $PBR $GRFS $YNDX

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades:

Apple stock rises after Jefferies initiates at buy.

First Analysis Sec upgrades $HIIQ from Outperform to Strong Buy, target price to $65 http://99wallstreet.com/ratings/stock/HIIQ/ ….

Credit Suisse Starts United Utilities Group (UU:LN) $UUGRY at Outperform.

Tate & Lyle Plc (TATE:LN) $TATYY PT Raised to GBp725 at Jefferies.

(6) Recent Downgrades:

$CAT Lowered @ Stifel to $142.00.

Greenbrier Companies $GBX PT Lowered to $62 at Stifel.

Cargotec Oyj (CGCBV:FH) $CYJBF PT Lowered to EUR34 at Credit Suisse.

USA Truck $USAK PT Lowered to $30 at Stifel.

Gardner Denver Corp. $GDI PT Lowered to $32 at Stifel.

Varonis Systems $VRNS PT Lowered to $80 at RBC Capital.

Hartford Financial Services $HIG PT Lowered to $58 at RBC Capital.

$MRTX upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Guggenheim. PT $65.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Earnings, Earnings, Oil, $TSLA, $AAPL, $RHT, $IBM, $ESPR 


Platform Expansion This Week – Nominal Intermittent Down Time Expected: 1. We are integrating web mail servers with machine trading api’s for our clients, this may cause intermittent downtime for email info@compoundtrading.com – use compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com if you experience issues. 2. We are moving our main fiber line – expect full trading room platform downtime for up to 30 mins.


A Quick Article With Charting for my Oil Trading Strategies for the Week.

Continued sell-off last week seen oil trade below the multi – week uptrend and trade dropped below support on the weekly wedge chart that I have been sharing.

I wouldn’t be surprised at this point to see a bounce in price, however, the weekly wedge support now becomes resistance. If price breaches the previous support (now resistance) then trades should be ready for a retest of previous support before possible higher.

crude, oil, weekly, chart

Continued sell-off last week seen oil trade below the multi – week uptrend and trade dropped below support on the weekly wedge chart that I have been sharing.

On the monthly oil chart, price ended the week near the 200 MA support within range of recent monthly candles. Watch the support area.

crude, oil, monthly, chart

On the monthly oil chart, price ended the week near the 200 MA support within range of recent monthly candles. Watch the support area.

On the one minute crude oil chart in late trade Friday there were wild price swings (some reporting sweepers, specifically in $XOP). This could be an attempt to a floor in price by a hedge fund or other large money pool.

crude, oil, sweepers

On the one minute crude oil chart in late trade Friday there were wild price swings (some reporting sweepers, specifically in $XOP).

On the daily chart price ended the week right above the 200 MA and above the primary pivot marked on the chart. The MACD is nearing a bottom to FYI.

crude, oil, daily, chart

On the daily chart price ended the week right above the 200 MA and above the primary pivot marked on the chart.

On the 4 hour crude oil chart we are using as a test model for trimming and adding to positions trade ended near resistance. This is an untested non back tested chart.

crude, oil, chart, support, resistance

On the 4 hour crude oil chart we are using as a test model for trimming and adding to positions trade ended near resistance.

On the weekly pivot charting trade was working near support as with other charts.

crude, oil, pivot, charting

On the weekly pivot charting trade was working near support as with other charts.

Bottom line, the EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm continues to reward those that take long positions at support (channel support and quad support) and short at resistance areas of the algorithmic trading model. This will be my focus and I know the machine trading tech(s) will be focused primarily to those areas of trade also.

Until there is a bounce, retrace and confirmed reversal the bias is short at resistance. The opposite will be true when a reversal is confirmed. 

“Bottom line, the EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm continues to reward…”

crude, oil, algorithm

Bottom line, the EPIC Oil Algorithm continues to reward those that take long positions at support

The machine trade crude oil alert from last week was perfect to the penny at an intra-day top – I would expect the machine trading alerts to increase in intensity this week.

crude, oil, trade, alert

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

I’ll be in the oil trading room most of the week as I expect a big week in oil trade with the test areas in play.

Follow this link for a detailed description of my longer term crude oil trading strategy review at this post.

Increase Your Crude Oil Trading With These Tools.

  • There is a link below to our oil trading academy page that has a number of links to articles on our site,.
  • You can book private online trade coaching via Skype.
  • Join our live trading room.
  • Sign on to our oil trading alert feed subscription, (alerts are on a private member Twitter feed).
  • Sign on to our weekly algorithm reporting that provides the algorithm model, conventional charting, guidance for the week etc.
  • Attend a trading boot camp (in person or online).
  • Request via email the videos of our most recent trading boot camp or the master class series videos (both sets are approximately 20 hours each). They are available only by email request at this time by emailing info@compoundtrading.com. Soon they will be posted to our shop on website.

Thanks

Curt

Any questions let me know!

Further Reading to Help You Trade Oil:

Find more posts like this one on our Oil Trading Academy Page – links to numerous oil trade strategy reports.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Our Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Crude, Oil, Trading, Strategy, Technical, Analysis, Alerts, Trading Room, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO

Follow:

 

 


Friday Schedule – Machine kills first automated oil trade yesterday (top tick short oil), Next week:

 

– No premarket report. No mid day.

 

– I will be in live trading room, but only on mic / active if I trade. If I am trading I will advise in Discord that I am on mic in live trading room.

 

– I will be available and at trading desk all day working (on conference) with team (coding / reports), if you need anything DM me on Discord. If you’re trading (and a trade coaching student) send me a note before / as you trade if you can (time allows).

 

– Machine trading api’s are near all complete for oil algorithm so expect alerts to increase in regularity (the last api is expected to be connected Tues at latest). The machine killed its first real trade yesterday, WOW.

 

– Final reports will be out over next 24 hours.

 

– Next week will be regular schedule in trading room etc forward as machine trade coding for Oil algorithm will be complete.

 

– Remember we have a 20 minute platform outage between now and Tuesday at some point to move fiber line.

 

Thanks

 

Curt


Crude Oil Algorithm Trading Chart Report (EPIC) w/ Machine Trading Gen 2 Thursday October 25, 2018.

FX: $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are over one hundred in total in development at various stages in various markets).

NOTICES:

New members to our oil algorithm charting models, oil trade alerts and oil trading room are encouraged to on-board in a way that equips you as an oil trader for consistent profit.

Visit my public Twitter feed EPIC Oil Algorithm Twitter (@EPICtheAlgo) and review tweets over the last few months, visit our blog and review the recent crude oil trading algorithm blog posts, You Tube channel “how my oil algorithm works”, “how to use my charting”, weekly EIA oil report videos and our website explains how the oil algorithm was developed.

Invaluable are the crude oil trade alerts (available with or without the trading room / weekly report bundle) and the private member crude oil trading chat room on Discord (included in the bundle). The live alerts are important if you are not at your trading screens 24 hours a day and the chat room allows for interactive lead trader oil trade set-ups as each oil trade approaches. All bundle members can access the live oil trading room when active also.

Reviewing important points of reference and engaging the subscription resources will increase your probability of success considerably. This report also includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.

Oil Trade Coaching – We strongly suggest users of this algorithmic crude oil trading strategy opt for some level of private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader. Our lead trader is maintaining a crude oil trading alert win-rate of over 90% (as of Sept 2, 2018 (time-stamped, live alert, recorded).

On our website one-on-one online coaching packages are available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a custom package reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning. To request a custom package suited to your needs email info@compoundtrading.com or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars, trade coaching bootcamps and private on location (in person) coaching sessions. 

Oil Trading Room – How to Use the Oil Algorithm

Oil Trading Room – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Oil Charting

Oil Trading Alerts. Live Lead Trader Video Trading w EPIC Oil Algorithm

Recent articles / videos from our blog about how to trade crude oil with our oil trading algorithm:

Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video

Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Protected: Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

For the more articles / videos available visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil page here.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available on our shop page.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is now also in the coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on Twitter feed and/or this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithmic model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am presented on (and used on) conventional trade charting as one would normally use.

The goal is to provide oil traders with signals for an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil – first with the reporting format as below, then with machine trading functions and an integrated intelligent assisted traders platform that will provide the user with various settings of automation and personal trade execution.

In the weekly report below you will find simplified levels represented on conventional and algorithmic charting for intra-day (day-trading crude oil), swing trading and investing.

This work (and associated trading) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on with oil related financial instruments.

Forward questions to info@compoundtrading.com, private message our lead trader on Twitter or in the private Discord oil trading room.

For further information this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Oil Algorithm Observations:

Below is a link for the live algorithmic chart of EPIC the Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (Generation 1, Version 5 including black box modeling). The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX USOIL WTI published October 25, 2018.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/7IdiDp5X-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen1-V5-EPIC-Intra-day-crude-oil/

Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:

crude, oil, algorithm, trading, intraday

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Intra-day crude oil trade. Oct 25 817 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

October 25, 2018

Generation 1 Model Oil Trading Signals

The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below near bottom of this report – conventional charting trend-lines).

The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 68.93 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 65.32 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades – if that is exceeded then trading price is likely to use the line as a pivot until a directional trending trade is established).

Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.

More recently (as of September 2018) our back-testing has shown that the support and resistance areas noted are used in trade as a decision pivot – in other words, the price tends to pivot around these decision points on the chart and coil over a period of time and then spring out of the coil in an upward or downward trend.

The lower trading range is 61.72 – 65.32 and upper trading range 68.93 – 72.53.

Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).

Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.

Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.

Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.

Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.

Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week up-trends or down-trends. In recent time, trade could be described as being in a retrace / moderately range bound.

The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).

Intra-day Trading Bias

Intra day bias is down side trade as the MACD is turned down on the daily chart and this indicator is usually a leading indicator for oil trade on this time-frame.

Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Crude Oil:

Swing trading bias / forward guidance as of Oct 25, 2018 9:17 PM EST for the near term is bearish. 

Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 58.13 to 61.72, 61.72 to 65.32, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54, 72.55 to 76.14 and 76.15 to 79.74. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.

Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).

Significantly more advanced trading rules will be introduced over the coming weeks with the newer Machine Trading Generation 2 models per below in this report.

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Down trend channel scenario Oct 25 907 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

crude, oil, downtrend, channel

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Down trend channel scenario Oct 25 907 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Uptrend channel scenario Oct 25 906 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

crude, oil, uptrend, channel

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Uptrend channel scenario Oct 25 906 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Gen 1 and Gen 2 Algorithmic Oil Trading Machine Driven Model Development.

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Hidden pivot locations. Oct 25 831 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/D0Cr5zPo-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen1-V5-EPIC-Hidden-pivot-locati/

pivots, oil, chart, crude

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Hidden pivot locations. Oct 25 831 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Crude Oil. 240 Min trading spigot concept chart for trims and adds Oct 25 152 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/NSCXjzxM-Crude-Oil-240-Min-trading-spigot-concept-chart-for-trims-and-ad/

crude, oil, concept, chart,

Crude Oil. 240 Min trading spigot concept chart for trims and adds Oct 25 152 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

Per recent;

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V2 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 17 552 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

This is an alternate machine trading model currently in development.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/KZPGrSny-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen2-V2-EPIC-Machine-trading-int/

Crude, oil, machine, trading, algorithm

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V2 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 17 552 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

Per previous;

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V1 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 11 1246 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/zBBnd8C8-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen2-V1-EPIC-Machine-trading-int/

Crude, oil, algorithm, machine, trading

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V1 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 11 1246 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

Generation 1 Day-Trading Crude Oil 1 Minute Chart Signals

Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time frame. Sept 25 927 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #Chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/RjS5gats-Crude-Oil-Day-Trading-Chart-Signals-1-minute-time-frame-Sept-2/

crude, oil, 1 min, chart, daytrading

Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time frame. Sept 25 927 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #Chart

Per recent;

During a squeeze trade spikes upward through the highlighted area and then rests and works its way through the next area and spikes through the next highlighted area. This does not occur in regular trade. More on this chart in our special reporting for oil trading over the coming days

7:58 AM update Sept 17:

Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time frame. Sept 17 723 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/dn38QRqh-Crude-Oil-Day-Trading-Chart-Signals-1-minute-time-frame-Sept-1/

Crude, oil, chart, 1 min

Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time frame. Sept 17 723 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Chart

Crude Oil Swing Trade Charting.

Monthly Oil Chart:

Crude Oil Monthly Chart. Trade between 100 and 200 MA Stochastic RSI turned down. Oct 25 132 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/9wGwel6j-Crude-Oil-Monthly-Chart-Trade-between-100-and-200-MA-Stochastic/

crude, oil, monthly, chart

Crude Oil Monthly Chart. Trade between 100 and 200 MA Stochastic RSI turned down. Oct 25 132 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

Weekly Crude Oil Chart:

Crude Oil. Weekly chart wedge magnified chart with additional Fibs. Oct 25 145 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/aYEzwmwK-Crude-Oil-Weekly-chart-wedge-magnified-chart-with-additional-Fi/

crude, oil, weekly, chart, pivots, magnified

Crude Oil. Weekly chart wedge magnified chart with additional Fibs. Oct 25 145 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

Crude Oil. Weekly chart wedge perspective chart. Oct 25 135 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/IMu0XYNE-Crude-Oil-Weekly-chart-wedge-perspective-chart-Oct-25-135-PM-F/

crude, oil, chart, weekly, wedge

Daily Oil Charts:

Crude Oil Daily Chart 200 MA tested twice this week to upside. Oct 25 120 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/J7a3LZEK-Crude-Oil-Daily-Chart-200-MA-tested-twice-this-week-to-upside-O/

crude, oil, daily, chart

Crude Oil Daily Chart 200 MA tested twice this week to upside. Oct 25 120 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

Crude Oil Symmetry Chart in play. Oct 25 118 PM FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO Crude oil daily trading chart.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/TNZvnPPH-Crude-Oil-Symmetry-Chart-in-play-Oct-25-118-PM-FX-USOIL-WTI-CL/

crude, oil, symmetry, chart

Crude Oil Symmetry Chart in play. Oct 25 118 PM FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO Crude oil daily trading chart.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).

Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on chart below:

Crude Oil. Weekly trendline chart, trade at 50 MA and near support. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/SbXd2ONi-Crude-Oil-Weekly-trendline-chart-trade-at-50-MA-and-near-suppo/

crude, oil, trendline, chart

Crude Oil. Weekly trendline chart, trade at 50 MA and near support. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading

Crude Oil. Weekly chart magnified, trading between 20 MA and 50 MA this week.. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/KNF3VchK-Crude-Oil-Weekly-chart-magnified-trading-between-20-MA-and-50/

crude, oil, trendline, chart, magnified

Crude Oil. Weekly chart magnified, trading between 20 MA and 50 MA this week.. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Recent Live Crude Oil Trade Alerts (sample signals):

Oct 25 – Recent trade alerts will be updated soon.

Aug 12 2018 – Recent trades are found in this recent report:

Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)

Click on feature post for recent crude oil trading alerts blog post; Oil Trading Alerts Live Video w EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA Report #Oil #Trading #Algorithm #Alerts $USOIL $WTI $CL_F

Recent Oil Algorithm Price Target Hits:

Oct 25 – Price Target Reporting will be updated soon.

Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

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Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

 

Article topics: EPIC, Crude, Oil, Algorithm, Trade, Alerts, Trading Room, Chat, Charts, Signals, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, $CL_F