Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Thursday September 13, 2018.
In this edition: Financials, Hurricane, $WTI, Oil, $GLD, Gold, $SLV, Silver, $BTC, $XBT, Bitcoin Swaps, $AAPL, $FB, $GOOGL, $SNAP, $TLRY, $AMD, $VZ and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- September Live Trading Room Challenge, Coaching, News, Events, Q & A and More: information for existing members, those asking about our services and new on-boarding members.
- Thursday Sept 13 –
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- I’ll be live on mic live broadcast trading in main trading room #premarket 9:25 #daytrade momos and mid-day #swingtrading chart set-up reviews at 12:00 noon (pending market / scheduling conditions). If room is full message me so I can make room. GL today! Trading room link.
- September 6 premarket through September 31 the main live trading room will be open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) for a month of live recorded trading with our Lead Trader Curtis.The exception will be during the Cabarete Boot Camp Sept 14 – 16 (live trading room will be reserved for coaching event).The month of trading will then be posted to YouTube accompanied with highlight posts.
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- Before Sept 14 – New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Before Sept 14 – Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Before Sept 14 – Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Sept 14-16, Cabarete – Trade Coaching Event – Learn How to Trade or Take Your Trading to the Next Level (public, retail).
Machine Trade Coding Team Mandate: In current development and roll-out (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Subscribers to read disclaimer.
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Sept 5 – Day Trading and Swing Trading CRONOS GROUP Inc. (CRON)
Aug 16 – Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.
Aug 12 – Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Earnings Season Charting July 24 $RIOT, $CELG, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA …
Swing Trading Special Report $CELG, $RIOT, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $MBRX, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA.
Swing Trading Special Report $SPY, OIL, $VIX, $DXY, $GOOGL, $HCLP, $ARRY, $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SSW
Swing Trading Set-ups Special Report; $VIX, $DXY, $SPY, $DIS, $RCL, $RKDA, $SQ, $HEAR, $TGTX, $SMIT
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Currently have oil on watch for a quad decision up or down in premarket. Favor 69.83 for end of Friday at this point on FX $USOIL $WTI.
Long side trade alert in premarket for ALIBABA per below. Live chart link included for the trade alert. $BABA
Watching Gold and Silver for possible inflection point to bullish side. They still have some hurdles but it seems near. $GLD $SLV
Bitcoin recovering, so also watch that at this point. Trying to position for a run in to December. $BTC $XBT. Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin swaps launch has me intrigued.
Watching financials for inflection $XLF, $BAC, $GS, $JPM, $C, $MS
If you missed yesterday’s premarket, there were a number of swing trade set ups in there that could inflect and become decent trades.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:27 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 94.81, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 69.41, Gold $GLD trading 1205.75, Silver $SLV trading 14.19, $SPY 289.88 (premarket), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6437.00 and $VIX trading 12.8.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $PI $XBIT $BLIN $ATOS
Impinj’s stock rockets after internal audit completed, upbeat results and outlook
$AAPL is taking a hit ahead of Apple’s big product launch, and one trader is betting on more pain ahead. We’ll explain why https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/12/ahead-of-apples-product-launch-trader-is-playing-for-a-pullback.html …
$AAPL is taking a hit ahead of Apple’s big product launch, and one trader is betting on more pain ahead. We’ll explain why https://t.co/MFdtDe3gNM Program sponsor: @Schwab4Traders pic.twitter.com/mV7bY0NchZ
— Trading Nation (@TradingNation) September 12, 2018
News:
$TLRY: Tilray receives necessary regulatory permits in Canada and Germany to export medical cannabis flower for… http://bit.ly/2OcguTr
Verizon in focus as former AOL chief Armstrong confirms exit $VZ $BABA $GOOG $GOOGL $FB http://dlvr.it/Qk3bFG
$FATE: Fate Therapeutics Enters into Exclusive License Agreement with Gladstone Institutes for CRISPR-based Cellular Reprogramming
$ATOS: Atossa Genetics Announces Preliminary Results from Male Phase 1 Study of Topical Endoxifen .. All Objectives Successfully Met
Stocks making the biggest move premarket: KR, TSLA, ADBE, HSY, WMT & more https://cnb.cx/2N9C0vO
Your Thursday morning Speed Read:
– Kroger reports mixed Q2, raises EPS guidance for the year $KR
– Pivotal ends its bear call on $SNAP, ups rating to Hold, seeing shares fairly valued
– The FCC 2 day begins a series of hearings related to Big Tech antitrust concerns $FB $GOOGL
Your Thursday morning Speed Read:
– Kroger reports mixed Q2, raises EPS guidance for the year $KR
– Pivotal ends its bear call on $SNAP, ups rating to Hold, seeing shares fairly valued
– The FCC 2day begins a series of hearings related to Big Tech antitrust concerns $FB $GOOGL— Benzinga (@Benzinga) September 13, 2018
Bitcoin Gains Traction as Morgan Stanley Prepares Bitcoin Swap Trading –
Bitcoin Gains Traction as Morgan Stanley Prepares Bitcoin Swap Trading – https://t.co/hj0E7o8Sa3
— Investing.com News (@newsinvesting) September 13, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Tesla rival Nio to go public after pricing IPO at low end of expectations
Zekelman Industries to offer 41.8 million shares in IPO, priced at $17 to $19 each
Eventbrite to offer 10 million shares in IPO priced at $19 to $21 each
Cancer blood-testing company Guardant Health files for IPO.
Eli Lilly’s Elanco sets IPO terms to raise up to $1.45 billion before options
Earnings:
Kroger’s stock drops after earnings beat, but sales come up short
#earnings for the week
$ADBE $KR $PLAY $PVTL $SONO $FRAN $TLRD $SKIS $CASY $LMNR $BRC $MTRX $SAIC $EYPT $LAKE $CDMO $COOL $FARM $AGTC $IRET $OXM $PTN $ACET $RLGT $CSBR $PCYG $STRM $ERYP $LOVE (& $MAMS)
http://eps.sh/cal
#earnings for the week$ADBE $KR $PLAY $PVTL $SONO $FRAN $TLRD $SKIS $CASY $LMNR $BRC $MTRX $SAIC $EYPT $LAKE $CDMO $COOL $FARM $AGTC $IRET $OXM $PTN $ACET $RLGT $CSBR $PCYG $STRM $ERYP $LOVE (& $MAMS)https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/wHU5AlivAx
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 8, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for sometime).
$BABA long side premarket 165s swing trade targets 178.67 then 207.50 Dec 17, 2018. #swingtrading #trade #alerts
$BABA long side premarket 165s swing trade targets 178.67 then 207.50 Dec 17, 2018. #swingtrading #trade #alerts
ALIBABA (BABA) from recent trade alert for weekly 100 MA bounce watch, up premarket trading 164.76. $BABA #tradealerts #premarket
ALIBABA (BABA) from recent trade alert for weekly 100 MA bounce watch, up premarket trading 164.76. $BABA #tradealerts #premarket
NEMAURA (NMRD) Premarket trading 2.98 up 4.2%, up 32.7% yesterday hit daily 200 MA area and backed off in previous trade.$NMRD #daytrading.
NEMAURA (NMRD) Premarket trading 2.98 up 4.2%, up 32.7% yesterday hit daily 200 MA area and backed off in previous trade.$NMRD #daytrading.
FOMIX PHARMA (FOMX) premarket up 31.4% trading 7.78 on positive results, resistance 8.00 range $FOMX #daytrading #stocks
FOMIX PHARMA (FOMX) premarket up 31.4% trading 7.78 on positive results, resistance 8.00 range $FOMX #daytrading #stocks
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC Premarket near 200 MA support test after sel;-off, near time cycle peak Sept 14, possible turn $XBIO #swingtrade #daytrade #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC Premarket near 200 MA support test after sel;-off, near time cycle peak Sept 14, possible turn $XBIO #swingtrade #daytrade #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up scenario Number 2. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up scenario Number 2. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
FREDS INC (FRED) On day two of gap and go continued to struggle with 200 MA wall. $FRED #daytrading #swingtrade #premarket
FREDS INC (FRED) On day two of gap and go continued to struggle with 200 MA wall. $FRED #daytrading #swingtrade #premarket
PROQ THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) ran another 15% yesterday near a buy sell trigger resistance, trim in to it add above. $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade
PROQ THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) ran another 15% yesterday near a buy sell trigger resistance, trim in to it add above. $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
FACEBOOK (FB) On watch for wash-out snap-back trade now, main support and resistance marked on chart $FB #swingtrade #daytrade
FACEBOOK (FB) On watch for wash-out snap-back trade now, main support and resistance marked on chart $FB #swingtrade #daytrade
DISNEY (DIS) From this target above 110.50 targets 118.00 area and below targets 103.00 area. $DIS #swingtrading #daytrading
DISNEY (DIS) From this target above 110.50 targets 118.00 area and below targets 103.00 area. $DIS #swingtrading #daytrading
APPLE (AAPL) If it doesn’t get a bounce here at 20 MA then 212.65 is the retracement point to try for a bounce. $AAPL #swingtrading #daytrading
APPLE (AAPL) If it doesn’t get a bounce here at 20 MA then 212.65 is the retracement point to try for a bounce. $AAPL #swingtrading #daytrading
ALIBABA (BABA) If no bounce at 100 MA that is near it is most probable to bounce in 147 range. $BABA #swingtrading
ALIBABA (BABA) If no bounce at 100 MA that is near it is most probable to bounce in 147 range. $BABA #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
TESLA (TSLA) Wash out playing out as expected-alerted, watch Fri time cycle peak for trade of 280. $TSLA #daytrading #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) Wash out playing out as expected-alerted, watch Fri time cycle peak for trade of 280. $TSLA #daytrading #swingtrading
PROQ THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) premarket resistance watch at diagonal Fib line overhead and 22.75, above sees 27.55 implied $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade
PROQ THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) premarket resistance watch at diagonal Fib line overhead and 22.75, above sees 27.55 implied $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade
FREDS INC (FRED) Cleared 200 MA on daily, premarket next major resistance 50 MA on weekly. $FRED #daytrading #swingtrade #premarket
FREDS INC (FRED) Cleared 200 MA on daily, premarket next major resistance 50 MA on weekly. $FRED #daytrading #swingtrade #premarket
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
CLOUDERA INC (CLDR) Premarket up 6.5% trading 18.75 with 22.00 target. $CLDR #daytrading #swingtrading
CLOUDERA INC (CLDR) Premarket up 6.5% trading 18.75 with 22.00 target. $CLDR #daytrading #swingtrading
$BOX weekly leap frog perfectly through targets. #earnings #premarket
$BOX weekly leap frog perfectly through targets. #earnings #premarket pic.twitter.com/1xTDdq2BdY
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 28, 2018
Tapped the top of the resistance per below, retraced as predicted below. Move done. Thanks Tony. $DXY $UUP #USD @dxyusd_index
Tapped the top of the resistance per below, retraced as predicted below. Move done. Thanks Tony. $DXY $UUP #USD @dxyusd_index https://t.co/JMFbDchqtS
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 22, 2018
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things
-Turkey, BOE and ECB decisions
-Trade talks
-Florence weakens
-Markets rise
-Data due
https://bloom.bg/2NHCngz
#5things
-Turkey, BOE and ECB decisions
-Trade talks
-Florence weakens
-Markets rise
-Data duehttps://t.co/TQr2TERlqM pic.twitter.com/b8yh9zmAgl— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) September 13, 2018
Oil prices fall, reversing some of the strong gains from the previous session, as economic concerns raises doubts about ongoing fuel demand growth https://reut.rs/2N83Mc1 by @hgloystein More from #ReutersEnergy: https://reut.rs/2CPVxfT
Oil prices fall, reversing some of the strong gains from the previous session, as economic concerns raises doubts about ongoing fuel demand growth https://t.co/rnWXstQpJl by @hgloystein More from #ReutersEnergy: https://t.co/lql35QNze4 pic.twitter.com/aJiUuFCI7a
— Reuters (@Reuters) September 13, 2018
Excess liquidity matters more than CB, but this is not a backdrop you want to be adding to risk from a macro level. Pick your spots.
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $PI $XBIT $BPMX $ATOS $TLRD $IGC $TLRY $NLST $SNGX $VTL $BLPH $PDD $YINN $CARA
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
Pivotal Software stock plunges 27% after billings miss
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $MGA $SNAP $DVA $BHC $TRI $MEOH $INTC $AVY
Intel stock gains after Northland Capital ends bearish call.
Analyst initiates AMD at 24% upside https://seekingalpha.com/news/3389955-analyst-initiates-amd-24-percent-upside?source=feed_f … #premarket $AMD
Apple target lifted to $260 at Needham after iPhone event
$AAPL Apple Inc: Maxim Raises Target Price To $221 From $200
(6) Recent Downgrades: $WAGE $VNTR $STI $FEDU $TAL $CIEN $FNSR $HOLX $W $TXRH
Morgan Stanley goes to Equal Weight on optical, downgrades Finisar and Ciena $FNSR $CIEN $LITE $IIVI $ACIA http://dlvr.it/Qk3bF9
Morgan Stanley Downgrades Finisar $FNSR to Equalweight
ServiceMaster $SERV PT Lowered to $61 at Morgan Stanley
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, Alerts, Financials, Hurricane, $WTI, Oil, $GLD, Gold, $SLV, Silver, $BTC, $XBT, Bitcoin Swaps, $AAPL, $FB, $GOOGL, $SNAP, $TLRY, $AMD, $VZ
