Tag Archives: SPY

Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday October 10, 2018. 

In this premarket trading edition: #EIA, $WTI, #OIL, #Iran, #Sanctions, #Venezuela, #PetroDollar, Hurrican Mochael, $AKRX, $VIX, $SPY, $BTC, Time Cycles, Volatility, $SNAP, SoftBank, Recent Trades and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events:

• Oct 10 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, EIA Petroleum Inventory Report 10:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
• Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
• What’s New / Work in Progress:
  • New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
  • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
  • Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
  • Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
  • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
  • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
    • 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
    • 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
• Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
• Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
• Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
• Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning. 

Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Oct 8 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – Protected: How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Protected: Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Protected: Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Protected: Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Sept 28 – Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. Our SQUARE $SQ Trade As Example #swingtrading

Sept 26 – Protected: Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades (w / video) Trading Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.

Sept 25 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)

Sept 19 – Protected: Best Trading Week in Months! Trade Alert Set-Ups: $NBEV, $CRON, Oil, $AAPL, $NFLX, $FB, $AMD, $BABA, $BLDP, $CARA, $EDIT, $BZUN and more.

Sept 18 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $NBEV, $TLRY, $CGC, $CRON, $VKTX, $MOMO, $ROKU, $NVTA, $CRC, $THO, $DGLY, $YELP, $XXII, $CVM, $SHOP

Sept 17 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS

Sept 12 – Protected: XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to Trade XBIO Snap-back Swing Trade. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert

Sept 10 – Protected: Analyzing Bitcoin Chart Patterns: Bitcoin Trade Alert – What to Expect Near Term #Bitcoin #Trading $BTC $XBT $VIX

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

Yes reports will fly today!

Last few days fighting off a fever so I’ve been sleeping at night and the crew fighting seasonal flu’s also, anyway, feeling a tad better and yes yes yes reports start flying tonight (starting with Gold Silver etc).

Top of monthly time cycle peak today so watching post EIA at 10:30 for sizeable entries legging in to trends between Oct 10 peak and Nov 11 peak in monthly time cycles. Between today and Tuesday should give us the trend indications to do so.

Don’t get caught in the chop at top of a time-cycle, it can be pivot driven and choppy.

VIX on super high watch here through Tuesday FYI.

Venezuela situation on SUPER HIGH WATCH also. #OOTT #OIL #Sanctions #PetroDollar.

Light report today being this is peak.

If you are a trade coaching client and you are tandem trading with me in private server communications I may be delayed at times over next few days pushing final edits out on these reports (we have to get them out).

Notes per Tuesday remain.

Last night Jen got me the new models, I was bagged and just couldn’t do final look, so the first thing I will do tonight is review and distribute them for GOLD, SILVER and SPY. DXY and VIX won’t be until tomorrow night (Wed) and new SWING Thursday. This weekend we will announce new Trade Coaching Boot Camp dates for in person 3 day session in Dominican Republic, and online 1 day sessions for Oil and other specific instruments (we are doing one day trade coaching for each of the models and swing, daytrading – 9 sessions in total).

Notes per Monday…. this remains.

Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.

Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.

Notes from last trading day (Friday) premarket:

TESLA on watch in lower area of recent range, likely take a short term swing trade in TSLA today – long.

Gold, Silver and others I have now and I’m doing final edits. To be distributed over next day or two. Letting the set-ups firm up and start trading them again possibly as of Sunday night futures.

Likely start trading Bitcoin XBTUSD and VIX in to next week now also in to mid Dec time cycle.

SPY got a bump in premarket with jobs numbers, as with others above likely trading that aggressive in to time cycle peak mid Dec also come next week.

Oil in a small pull back but expect bullish trend to continue next week.

Market Observation:

Markets as of 7:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.68, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 74.76, Gold $GLD trading 1186.80, Silver $SLV trading 14.33, $SPY 286.75 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6514.00 and $VIX trading 16.7.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: 

Akorn’s stock soars after FDA approves ANDA for hypotrichosis of eyelashes treatment. https://on.mktw.net/2C76rfh

30 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12483498 $NVCN $IDT $TRVN $VLRX $IGC $NIO $MYGN $NVLN $SHLD $OHGI $STNG $TSE $FAST $PYX

News: 

Top oil traders say Iran sanctions hitting harder than expected https://bloom.bg/2A24QWH

Time to watch Venezuela close *A 2ND COALITION ARMADA SPOTTED ADVANCING ON SOUTH AMERICA(!) 40+ VESSEL… https://youtu.be/Bpy27YR24r8 #petrodollar #cryptocurrency #Venezuela

Snap launches first formal slate of scripted shows and docuseries.

SoftBank in talks to buy majority stake in loss-making WeWork: source https://reut.rs/2CAjNBI.

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Recent IPO’s:

OFS credit prices IPO at $20 a share to raise $50 million $OCCI #IPO https://on.mktw.net/2E0yJLa

Blank check company Collier Creek prices IPO.

Earnings:

#earnings for the week

$JPM $C $WFC $WBA $DAL $FAST $AZZ $PNC $HELE $CBSH $FRC $SAR $EXFO $VOXX $DAVA

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:

Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.

Akorn (AKRX) stock premarket up 7.59% trading 6.95 on FDA approval ANDA for hypotrichosis eyelash treatment $AKRX #premarket #trading

Akorn (AKRX) stock premarket up 7.59% trading 6.95 on FDA approval ANDA for hypotrichosis eyelash treatment $AKRX #premarket #trading

Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts

Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading

Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm

This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.

Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.

Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.

ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Holding trend support area-ish for long bias set-up in premarket.

ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Holding trend support area-ish for long bias set-up in premarket $ARWR #swingtrading

FIREEYE (FEYE) premarket holding up channel structure for long bias, may take first entries in to open. 

FIREEYE (FEYE) premarket holding up channel structure for long bias, may take first entries in to open. #swingtrade $FEYE

ROKU (ROKU) in pull back could see 58.52, on bounce looking for 78.01 then 87.75 ON WATCH $ROKU #swingtrading #setups

ROKU (ROKU) in pull back could see 58.52, on bounce looking for 78.01 then 87.75 ON WATCH $ROKU #swingtrading #setups

SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade

SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade

SHOPIFY (SHOP) Hit price target from last trade alert, coming off to mid quad 200 MA support, follow trajectory after Oct 9 time cycle $SHOP #swingtrading

SHOPIFY (SHOP) Hit price target from last trade alert, coming off to mid quad 200 MA support, follow trajectory after Oct 9 time cycle $SHOP #swingtrading

APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading

APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading

$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts

ALLERGAN (AGN) Looks like it may not be ready to retrace to bottom of channel in forecast, testing new highs.

ALLERGAN (AGN) Looks like it may not be ready to retrace to bottom of channel in forecast, testing new highs. $AGN #swingtrading #tradealerts

TESLA (TSLA) Upper and lower price targets in to next time cycle nearing $TSLA #tradealerts #swingtrading

TESLA (TSLA) Upper and lower price targets in to next time cycle nearing $TSLA #tradealerts #swingtrading

FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts

FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts

NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts

NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts

NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts

NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts

NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert

NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

Your Wednesday morning Speed Read:

– Snap will bring scripted shows to Snapchat $SNAP
– Sears reportedly hired advisors to prep for bankruptcy filing $SHLD
– #HurricaneMichael has strengthened into a Category 3 storm

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $NVLN $VLRX $IGC $TRVN $ACRX $FPAY $NIO $NBEV $AKRX $VTVT $QTT $BT $IBN $YGYI

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades:

McDonald’s stock gains after analyst upgrade on ‘unjustifiable’ valuation discount

(6) Recent Downgrades:

Alibaba price target lowered to $220 ahead of earnings at Morgan Stanley $BABA http://dlvr.it/QmtlD2

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, #EIA, $WTI, #OIL, #Iran, #Sanctions, #Venezuela, #PetroDollar, $AKRX, $VIX, $SPY, $BTC, Time Cycles, Volatility