January 2017 - Page 2 of 10 - Compound Trading

Jan 2017

Member Weekly Swing Trade Update Jan 30, 17 – Swing Trading $OAK, $GOOGL, $AMZN and more.

Good morning swing traders and welcome to our weekly swing trading memo for the week of Jan 30,

Good morning swing traders and welcome to our weekly swing trading memo for the week of Jan 30, 2017!

Don’t hesitate to email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

One new chart added for today and there will be more through the week this week. The rest are from the previous report. The new add is Oak Tree Capital $OAK.

It is important to note the other charts below have not been updated since being first inserted here, so be sure to look up most recent trading ranges before considering trades.

This Swing Report is in Development (as with $VIX, $SPY algos) – But We’re Getting There.

Below you will find my top ten picks for swing trading in the first quarter of 2017 (plus a few bonus picks I will be swing trading). I am currently in the middle of compiling the due diligence and charting set-ups for publication for over fifty charts so this list may grow considerably – I am excited about 2017.

As mentioned previous, I will also include our regular algorithmic modeling equities relating to Oil, Gold, Miners, Silver, US Dollar, Volatility and SPY in my 2017 reports (in addition to the ten others listed below) FYI.

In my reports I will focus on both long term holds and swing trading these equities with an intent to try and time the highs and lows (pull-backs) as best as possible. I know many propose that picking the highs and lows isn’t the best method – but to be frank it has served me well over the years.

Also, I should mention, that any of the stocks below that do not trade well (or as planned) I will switch out with another choice as the weeks progress. But the intent is to hold ten investment / swing stocks (per below) and also swing trade in and out of the regular algorithmic modeling equities I mentioned also.

Oh, and the updates will be coming out more often than weekly also (thought I should mention that).

First step is to get charts out with levels I will be trading. Then I’ll put out more DD on each also.

I am going to start below with ones that are most timely and build this out from there (in order of priority for my personal trades and what I see going on in the market).

The Ten Swing Trades I am going to focus on in the First Quarter of 2017 are as follows:

1 – Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL, $GOOG

We like this chart. Watch for an upside break out of the triangle. The principles apply the same to $GOOG and $GOOGL charts fyi. Also, watch the MACD close, it looks primed for a move. Earnings are Thursday. If price breaks to downside I will update with levels to watch. Also, the is a chart below that shows upside target.

Fibonacci to watch, triangle, MACD, Break to upside possible in Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

Link to live $GOOGL chart in TradingView.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOOGL/isvDnbTQ-Swing-Trading-Member-Chart-GOOGL/

1003.17 Price Target in 2017 with upside break-out. Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

Technically, the price target (should price break to upside) is 1003.17 before Jan 29 2018.

1003.17 Price Target in 2017 with upside break-out. Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

2 – Amazon $AMZN

My fourth priority is Amazon. I don’t want to over simplify this trade – but the bottom line is I’m looking for a pull-back and an entry as close to that 200 day (pink line with green arrow) as possible. I don’t think this stock will stop anytime soon. DD to follow soon.

$AMZN Swing

3 – Juno $JUNO

4 – CombiMatrix Corp $CBMX

My second priority is $CBMX. I am already in this swing and plan to enter in dips at the diagonal trend line (blue). Initial target area is around 5.57 with much greater potential upside. The Trump factor may cause this to come off a bit so my bias is toward late spring for first price target.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CBMX/qtdyUyY0-CBMX-Swing-Trade/

$CBMX Swing Trade

5 – OakTree Capital $OAK

Oaktree Capital Group, LLC (OAK) today announced that it will report fourth quarter and full year 2016 financial results prior to the opening of the New York Stock Exchange on Tuesday, February 7, 2017.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oaktree-schedules-fourth-quarter-full-133000267.html

Was trading at 37.57 – 38.00 when we originally started to look at it, currently trades at 41.65.

42.71 – 43.50 is our short term swing target (less than 3 months).

49.58 is our 2017 target. No target date.

Our traders will be watching earnings (much like we did with Google last week and we will be doing with Amazon this week). Pending earnings and price action this will be when we enter a trade. Some of our swing traders have obviously seen decent gains since we first put this on our swing trading list a number of weeks back (good timing actually), but our traders have not taken a position yet.

$OAK – OakTree Capital Group

Oaktree Capital Trading View Live Charting:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/OAK/w2CBerv2-Swing-Trading-Newsletter-Oaktree-Capital-OAK/

6 – VanEck Vectors Russia ETF $RSX

7 – BOFI Holdings $BOFI

8 – Sunoco Logistics Partners $SXL

9 – US Silica Holdings $SLCA

My fifth priority is $SLCA. Again, another simple chart and it will require some patience. I see a pull-back coming and huge upside under the Trump inertia in to summer. I am looking for a pull-back to the 50 day (yellow arrow) or the 100 day preferably (blue arrow). If it gets away on me I’ll likely chase it and scale in 1/5th at a time.

$SCLA Swing Trade

10 – EOG Resources $EOG

The Bonus Picks for 2017 I will be Swing Trading also:

1 – $GREK Global Greece ETF

2 – $TRCH Torchlight Energy

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TRCH/xxpZ4uPM-TRCH-Swing-Trade/

$TRCH Swing Trade

3 – $NG Nova Gold

The first swing of 2017 I will be entering (likely today) is NovaGold. First target is 6.46 area and second target is 7.30 area. It is currently trading at 5.10. It’s full extension is over 8.50.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NG/1Sz7RDKg-NG-Novagold-Swing-Trade/

$NG Novagold Swing Trade

Our Standard Algorithmic Modeling Securities I will be providing Swing Trade levels for are:

1 – $SPY

2 – $VIX

My seventh priority is the VIX. I see a pull-back in the market coming and a lift in VIX. The primary trade I am looking for is actually a short in the VIX when it gets upside it’s bolllinger band (it’s a little more complicated than that – specifically with timing and I will be putting an alert out when I do it anyway) – I’ll also play some short term longs in $TVIX or $UVXY.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/t6YF7SQY-VIX-Short-Swing-Trade-Above-Bollinger-Band/

$VIX Short Swing Trade Above Bollinger Band

3 – $DXY

4 – $SLV

5 – $GLD – Gold (and miner’s $GDX)

My third priority on this list are the miner’s – $GDX and leveraged friends. This one is risky but comes with large gains if miner’s get moving and price breaks in to next quadrant above the yellow one outlined on the chart below. And for the risk taker it can be traded with leveraged ETN’s. There are inherent risks however; one is that price is not at bottom of the trading quadrant so an entry here is not ideal and the obvious issue is the Trump factor.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/8QOM4r5s/

$GDX Swing Trade

6 – $USOIL / $WTI

In overnight lab work our developers established a diagonal trendline (blue line in chart that has a blue arrow pointing at it) that has established itself as strong support. If you take a swing trade against that support (as as close to it as possible) then look to the upside of that white dotted arrow line as your target long. Ratchet up stops there.

Crude algo intra work sheet 208 AM Jan 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

I will be updating regularly now – I need to get as much done here before inauguration for my own trading too so that’s a major motivator – I will send out updates as I update!

Cheers!

Curtis.

Article Topics; Swing Trading, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $JUNO, $CBMX, $OAK, $RSX, $BOFI, $SXL, $SLCS, $EOG, $NG, $TRCH, $GREK, $USOIL, $GOLD, $GLD, $SILVER, $SLV, $SPY, S&P 500, $DXY, $VIX

Jan 2017

Member Oil Trade Mon Jan 30 Chart Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Monday Jan 30, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F

Member Oil Trade Mon Jan 30 Chart Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC) $CL_F, $DRIP, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $UCO, $USO, $UWT, Algo, Algorithm, Chart, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, DWT, EPIC the Oil Algo, Fibonacci, Indicators Epic the Algo

Monday Jan 30, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES:

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/promo code.

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

MUST READ: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Monday Jan 30, 2017.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/bvBcxri5-EPIC-the-Oil-Algo-Member-Chart-USOIL-WTI/

Crude algo intra work sheet 337 AM Jan 30 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Crude algo intra work sheet 337 AM Jan 30 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at at ET Jan 30, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

At time of post oil is trading at 53.01. There is a diagonal trendline resistance (blue) intraday at 54.00 and a diagonal trendline support below (blue) at 51.64. Trade these widths with some confidence. There is a significant resistance (yellow) 54.33 and support (yellow) 51.93. Trade these widths with some confidence. Between those primary support and resistance lines are horizontal support and resistance lines (purple) and Fibonacci levels (various other colors not listed – thin) that act as support and resistance. Also, the Fibonacci algo line (white dotted) acts as support and resistance. And also remember the alpha algo lines (red dotted) may act as support and resistance (intra day tight traders use these also).

The most important item on this chart is a diagonal trendline (blue) not shown that intra-day is at 56.15 on a downward trend (that I have mentioned in reports the past two weeks) and the fact that the upcoming resistance at 51.93 area (yellow) has been a challenge for oil trade.

Because trade is getting so close to those two major resistance areas (the diagonal trendline – blue at 56.15 being the most important) be very careful until trade is above the resistance 51.83 area and the diagonal trendline (blue) at 56.15 on a downtrend.

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Per above;

There is a diagonal trendline resistance (blue) intraday at 54.00 and a diagonal trendline support below (blue) at 51.64. Trade these widths with some confidence. There is a significant resistance (yellow) 54.33 and support (yellow) 51.93. Trade these widths with some confidence.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

Per above:

The most important item on this chart is a diagonal trendline (blue) that intra-day is at 56.15 on a downward trend (that I have mentioned in reports the past two weeks).

It is the uppermost blue line on this chart and the thickest. The other two diagonal trendlines in blue are important – but not nearly as important as the uppermost line.

Diagonal Trendline Resistance (blue lines). Crude algo intra work sheet 344 AM Jan 30 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Diagonal Trendline Resistance (blue lines). Crude algo intra work sheet 344 AM Jan 30 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Tradingview Live Chart of Diagonal Trendlines / Resistance Areas:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/PNyIEGQk-Diagonal-Trendlines-USOIL-WTI/

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

It is wise to study how the 20, 50, 100, 200 MA trade on each time-frame before trading oil related instruments (see previous posts).

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trendlines are marked on charts above.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

You will see a lot of noise on the charts over the next few weeks (algorithmic calculations of various types). Try and ignore for now.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

The time price cycles still stand from the last report, however, it is important to not that price can stay sideways indefinitely. We will be watching close this week as various time price cycles terminate and we will report as to status.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Current Algo Targets:

Upon review of the main chart above, you will notice the Friday targets are above a significant resistance area (thick yellow). Because price action is nearing significant resistance our confidence in the targets below is lower than it would be most weeks. However, should price ascend above and hold resistance / support (yellow line) then targets become highly probable going in to next week until price action nears the downward trending diagonal trendline (blue) noted above as major resistance. Also note, if price trades above the yellow line resistance (on the other chart provided above) there is a new set of algo targets (red circles) that are not noted below. Also of note, if price action fails at the resistance areas there is a high probability that new alpha algo targets / lines will develop and as usual we will advise members immediately if this occurs.

Tuesday Jan 31 16:30 53.83 (39%) 54.21 (31%)

Wednesday Feb 1 10:30 AM 53.98 (32%) 54.31 (17%)

Friday Feb 3 13:00 54.41 (9%) 54.64 (7%)

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Processing now for release soon (you are seeing the beginning of them above in charts now) – I don’t think there are any real tight crude related snipers beyond our lead trader right now anyway – but nonetheless, we are getting these out – they take a lot of data processing to say the least. We’re almost there.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” soon, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our blog and website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

Tweets by EPICtheAlgo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci, Algo

Jan 2017

Post-Market Fri Jan 27 $GOOGL, $DUST, $JUNO, $CBMX, $ROKA, $TRCH, $LGCY

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Friday Jan 27, 2017

Post-Market Fri Jan 27 $GOOGL, $DUST, $JUNO, $CBMX, $ROKA, $TRCH, $LGCY

Post Market Report (Trade Results) Curt Melonopoly

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Friday Jan 27, 2017 $GOOGL, $DUST, $JUNO, $CBMX, $ROKA, $TRCH, $LGCY – $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $VIX, $NG_F…

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Notices:

Per Recent;

Promo Code Discounts are Ending: The 38.2% inaugural opening discounts end Jan 31, 2017 and we won’t be a promo driven type room – so if you’re thinking of jumping do it now. Also, the promo codes are technically all used up (we were only going to offer discount for first 200) so if you get an error message when typing in your promo code that’s on the website then let us know and a tech will sort it for you.

New Service Option: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00 /mth and w/ promo code is 1.22 per day (until end of Jan, 2017).

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

I am holding $GOOGL, $DUST, $JUNO, $CBMX, $ROKA, $TRCH, $LGCY after coming off those aftermarket earning scalps. All except $GOOGL are 1/5 – 1/10 size and $GOOGL is 1/4 size.

I didn’t trade today because market was off some and there were a number of inflections with Gold, Silver, SPY, VIX was trampled, USD/JPY etc…. and no setups in momentum stocks. The momo stocks have been more like wack a moe the past week or so and really risky to catch moves – or they had major part of move in premarket or after close with earnings (which is how I ended up trading earnings this week). Many traders getting chopped up in morning gap and go plays.

Momentum / Noteable Stocks Today:

Ticker	Last	Change	Volume	Signal
PULM	3.37	51.80%	25994369	Top Gainers
LTRX	2.15	32.72%	2010138	Top Gainers
FAC	1.54	23.20%	386424	Top Gainers
LTRE	2.79	22.28%	12518	Top Gainers
TENX	2.16	19.34%	1814487	Top Gainers
GSAT	1.66	16.90%	18301463	Top Gainers
CLS	14.18	11.04%	2667134	New High
LRN	19.59	16.40%	1002142	New High
TWI	13.17	11.52%	1225419	New High
GHL	29.45	3.15%	783055	New High
RGSE	3.57	-4.06%	654772	Overbought
WOOF	90.77	-0.03%	2470070	Overbought
SGM	7.66	28.74%	7083802	Unusual Volume
ESES	1.35	66.67%	7148728	Unusual Volume
NOVN	4.86	-74.01%	7987722	Unusual Volume
XWEB	61.01	-0.46%	44000	Unusual Volume
AZPN	53.25	-5.06%	1631335	Upgrades
AAL	46.95	-5.32%	19319434	Earnings Before
PPBI	39.70	-0.87%	306752	Insider Buying

Ticker	Last	Change	Volume	Signal
NOVN	4.86	-74.01%	7987722	Top Losers
DRYS	1.99	-33.22%	28427214	Top Losers
ATHX	1.12	-26.32%	11246029	Top Losers
EEQ	20.37	-21.56%	1552722	Top Losers
EEP	21.33	-17.64%	8996335	Top Losers
KEYW	10.09	-16.54%	5411458	Top Losers
DRYS	1.99	-33.22%	28427214	New Low
ATHX	1.12	-26.32%	11246029	New Low
SHLD	7.42	-6.78%	2964602	New Low
MCZ	0.14	-9.48%	1628013	New Low
FFWM	14.41	0.00%	72410	Oversold
NOVN	4.86	-74.01%	7987722	Oversold
NOVN	4.86	-74.01%	7987722	Most Volatile
PULM	3.37	51.80%	25994369	Most Volatile
RAD	6.93	2.21%	85914371	Most Active
VPCO	0.00	42.86%	60243699	Most Active
CAFD	13.66	-7.39%	1217426	Downgrades
AMCC	8.45	0.00%	0	Earnings After
PPBI	39.70	-0.87%	306752	Insider Selling

Holding:

$GOOGL, $DUST, $JUNO, $CBMX, $ROKA, $TRCH, $LGCY

$TRCH Strong Close, Post Market Stock Trading Report

Looking Forward:

Our algorithmic charting has been really on, so as with previous, that helps. $VIX and $SPY we’re locking down more and more.

The market itself has a number of potential $VIX catalysts (as does big oil) this week so I will be watching closely.

#Oil #Earnings https://t.co/F6rAH0HPVF

— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 30, 2017

$VIX Volatility finally… maybe this week? Trump, Fed, BOJ, BOE, ISM Global Manufacturing, Jan Jobs Report, Amazon, Apple Earnings…

— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 29, 2017

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Trading Room:

09:54 am Curtis M : $SPY on descending algo path watching for reversal. $USOIL atching rigs at 1, GOLD watching resistance. No momos today yet.

11:52 am Curtis M : Algos turned off in Oil … watching main support around 51.65, $USOIL, SILVER over 17.35 small long and over 17.86 I will hammer down, Gold main resistance at 1201.82, $GDX see post on Rosie Twitter feed re top of algo quad, $SPY 3 Decisions yet to play out

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

09:23 am Mathew Waterfall : Woke up expecting weakness in the miners as I had an alert for 1180 gold on my phone. Looks like they may actually open up for a chance. Would be looking to go $JNUG or $NUGT around 22.9 $GDX level. Everything else Im holding
09:26 am Curtis M : Not excited about any momos
09:26 am Mathew Waterfall : Nope me neither. The whole week it seems like if you miss the gaps you miss the moves with a few exceptions
09:31 am Carol B : $MYOS
09:32 am Mathew Waterfall : $TLT Mar 17 126c’s for .4 this AM. Up and over my levels in a gap. Would be out if it slips past 119 on the downside on a closing basis
09:34 am Mathew Waterfall : $PULM rockings
09:37 am Sandra Q : In some $USO
09:39 am Lepki N : $PULM over 3 maybe or pullback
09:40 am Curtis M : yup
09:41 am Curtis M : Careful with $USO Sandra – getting tight
09:43 am Carol B : $HTBX action
09:44 am andrew l : Selling $BMY swing here
09:47 am Steve U : $HTBX start
09:48 am Flash G : $CAT decent actually here and $GOOGL likely off for a whle now but holding
09:49 am Curtis M : .
09:49 am Curtis M : Watching Gold resistance area today
09:49 am Curtis M : Watching crude for rigs at 1
09:50 am Mathew Waterfall : looks like the market wants a sell off here. Bradth, TICks trending down a bit
09:52 am OILK K : Out $INTC thanks Curt! from last night pow
09:53 am OILK K : Glad I’m not in $IDVN
09:56 am Mathew Waterfall : Covering some $GPS short here. Trade is taking time and effort away from others. Small win cover at 23.5 from 23.85 but nothing at all to beexcited about. If it pops I will reshort around yesterdays highs
10:00 am Mathew Waterfall : $IWM not looking so hot. Leading to the downside
10:00 am Cara R : Long $IBB
10:14 am Curtis M : $SPY holds 229.03 it could get lift
10:15 am Curtis M : Crude getting very close to a decision. Up or down next few days. It could continue sideways but ulikely
10:16 am Curtis M : Last algo line terminates Feb 2 so thats a huge sign of pop or drop
10:23 am Curtis M : Starting to lock in $SPY math finally lol
10:23 am Curtis M : Will take some time yet
10:24 am Scott K : Watching tyat close Curt
10:25 am Steve S : $NOVN back on hahahaha
10:30 am Curtis M : no fear at all yet – wierd thought there would be some at least
10:31 am Mathew Waterfall : Euphoric market. I cant spell it but I can call it
10:31 am Curtis M : lol
10:32 am Curtis M : Waiting for that big straight up spike and then bear raid – but who knows but would be nice for bank acount
10:33 am Mathew Waterfall : On the mic
10:33 am Curtis M : k
10:33 am Scott K : hey mat
10:38 am Curtis M : good point mat
10:38 am Lui S : yip
10:39 am gurpreet s : silver moving good timing
10:41 am Curtis M : Thanks Mathew – wisdom in there
10:41 am Mathew Waterfall : Hopefully a couple nuggets in my ramblings
10:41 am Mathew Waterfall : I’m watching $HTBX. should get some momo over highs
10:42 am Curtis M : oh ya
10:42 am Curtis M : your nuggets i am refering to
10:42 am Curtis M : $HTBX I’ve trade lots in past – its not the easiest but up overall on it
10:43 am Mathew Waterfall : thanks. What’s great about a room like this is we all have insight and wisdom to offer. Great learning environment for me I’ll say that much
10:43 am Curtis M : Me too
10:44 am Scott K : yes sirs!!!
10:44 am gurpreet s : some dumbness on twitter and stocktwits
10:44 am gary y : agreed
10:44 am Curtis M : thanks guys
10:44 am Curtis M : gals lol
10:45 am Curtis M : some day i will remember to turn on that video
10:47 am Curtis M : interesting $TRCH
10:47 am Roger S : I have to say that Mathew and Curtis I like the no bullcrap straight out
10:48 am Roger S : And the algos are getting really spooky hahahaha precise!!! Right Wei?
10:48 am Roger S : spooky thats funny
10:48 am Curtis M : $TRCH may go today a bit… may
10:49 am Curtis M : here comes gold
10:52 am Curtis M : $GDX never did get to top of that Quadrant – wierd it may yet
10:52 am Mathew Waterfall : I would give me 2 cents on $GDX but you already know what I think lol
10:53 am Curtis M : It may hit it on Feb 1…. off chance… thats Wed I think
10:54 am Mathew Waterfall : That would be nice. FOMC next week I believe right?
10:54 am Curtis M : Feb 1 around 4 pm
10:55 am Mathew Waterfall : That would be hilarious, FOMC is 1/31-2/1 and they release at 2pmtypically
10:55 am Mathew Waterfall : Right before would be awesome
10:55 am Mathew Waterfall : Quick break for me. Back in a few. I would say IM gonna scan which I will but not expecting to find much
11:01 am Curtis M : $GDX FEb 1 4 PM 24.97, Feb 7 12:00 24.63, Feb 13 24.26 1:00 PM are the 3 upside probabilities most likely
11:01 am Curtis M : That is if it is ascending
11:02 am Curtis M : Price hits top of quad 9 out of 10 times tho fyi
11:22 am Mathew Waterfall : Whatever silver had for breakfast, I want so of that!
11:23 am Curtis M : ha ya
11:23 am Curtis M : it gets up over 17.35 and holds it could be interesting
11:24 am Mathew Waterfall : I’ve had 17.3 on my charts for a while as well. For me next stop would likely be 18
11:24 am Mathew Waterfall : I called $SLW a mid 20’s stock by next week so for my own sake I hope Im right
11:24 am Mathew Waterfall : $HTBX also making highs FYI. I took a small order at 1.05 for a tester
11:25 am Curtis M : up over that area held is an anomoly so it could go if it does just saying…. I’d likely go in heavy myself – but it would have to hold 17.35 ish
11:25 am Mathew Waterfall : Agreed
11:26 am Curtis M : algos are still in oil
11:27 am Curtis M : thought they may back off with action in gold silver and spy
11:31 am Mathew Waterfall : $VIX. Single digit close before the correction?
11:31 am Curtis M : lol
11:31 am Mathew Waterfall : Seems to be no fear in this market which makes me nervous. Lowest close back to 2014 was 10.28
11:31 am Mathew Waterfall : Could take that out today
11:33 am Curtis M : Actually 17.86 held is my hammer down long Silver point… 17.35 I’d likely only take a 1/10 size or 1/5 at most then hammer at 17..86
11:33 am Mathew Waterfall : Looks like thats actually the lowest close in the last 10 years basically with a couple 9 handles in 07
11:33 am Curtis M : y alol
11:34 am Curtis M : Trump factor
11:34 am Mathew Waterfall : I would expect some selling in the miners here but silver IMO is on its way
11:34 am Curtis M : Trump factor should work both ways through his time tho
11:35 am Curtis M : theres your tell on algos n oil
11:37 am Curtis M : Oil support at 51.62 $USOIL
11:37 am Curtis M : Main support that is
11:37 am Mathew Waterfall : I’ve been stearing clear of oil as of late. Tough to get a read there for me
11:38 am Curtis M : That ol support puts Silver at right near 17.83 FYI
11:39 am Curtis M : And it puts Gold near that main resistance red arrow at 1201.64
11:39 am Mathew Waterfall : And there’s our miners selling right on the back of a USD ramp
11:39 am Mathew Waterfall : I’m getting my timing down with those calls lol
11:41 am Curtis M : $SPY stalled at resistance
11:48 am Mathew Waterfall : $GV for a swing along with gold. I was wrong about this earlier in the week about buying the breakout so I have been looking for a pullback. Stop under todays LOD
11:49 am Mathew Waterfall : This is a small starter. Will be looking to add either direction most likely
11:52 am Mathew Waterfall : I expect the dollar to cool a bit here. Running into down trend and neckline. close under 100.49 preferable
11:54 am Curtis M : Distance between 1190.20 and 1201.64 in Gold tough area to trade
12:09 pm Curtis M : taking a break before 1pm rigs and afternoon session back at 12:40 EST at latest
12:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : 10-4. $HTBX still running nHOD
12:16 pm Curtis M : were crashing may have to reboot
12:29 pm Curtis M : Gonna make a pot of coffee back in 15
12:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : $VIX products tempting me here. Historically VIX doesn’t stay this low for long though the leveraged VIX stuff can wear you down in roll fees.
12:50 pm Roger S : me too
12:52 pm Curtis M : Rigs on deck
12:57 pm Curtis M : Breadth not the best on $SPY but be careful
12:58 pm Curtis M : Theres a bear on Twitter calling for lower oil to 38 through this whole uptrend and well ya its 53 ish
12:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : Very similar to yesterday so far. Not much moving the market here
12:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : lol I love those people. At least they stick to their guns albeit the wrong guns lol
12:59 pm Curtis M : lol
12:59 pm Curtis M : rather be right than make money
12:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : I like be right but my mortgage company doesn’t accept that every month which is weird…
01:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : *to be
01:00 pm Curtis M : haha
01:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : +15 rihs. not much movement
01:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : *rigs. Jesus I can’t type
01:01 pm Curtis M : ya Fris quiet with rigs wanted to watch just in case
01:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sitting right on the 10 day on the 5′ chart
01:02 pm Curtis M : we get past pit close and market could get lift fyi and Trump on TV soon I think?
01:02 pm Scott K : he was supposed to be yes
01:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : Probably to talk more about Mexico
01:02 pm Scott K : with Theresa May
01:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : Breaking down the $VIX chart. Looks like ref low of 10.28 and I have a downtrend right under 20. 3/4 recent pops have made it to the trendline
01:07 pm Curtis M : Bear going off on Twitter 1200 Gold – the number is 1202.42 don’t listen
01:08 pm Curtis M : Red arrow is the mark on Gold
01:10 pm Curtis M : Gold is in a downtrend. That can’t be argued. Simple price action charting. Until that red arrow breached and tested Gold is not in reverse trend.
01:11 pm Curtis M : And even then it has to prove out other resistance areas. Gold could hit that red arrow and vsit 900 easy.
01:11 pm Curtis M : Not saying it will o wont but you dont bank guesing.
01:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : I think we are reading this a bit different. I agree with you, but we did get a successful break and backtest of the 23.6 at 11.84 which tells me we go 1221 unless we break under 1184.1 again
01:12 pm Curtis M : Between the blue arrow and the red arow it is anybody’s guess.
01:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : That’s how I’m reading it and why I don’t mind playing this mid level because my stop is fairly close
01:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : That’s the thing about charts though, you can often twist them to say what you want which makes trading without a bias very hard. My Macro view of lower dollar is also leading me here. We’ll see if I’m right
01:15 pm Curtis M : Gold got a bounce but it hasn;t reversed trend – depends on timeframe I suppose – but I’m talking about wide frame trend. Sure, it bounced from lows but not a trend reversal. And yes all on timeframe bbut the young traders don’t get the frames they get chopped. And big money in trend reversal hammer time lol
01:16 pm Curtis M : I’ve had sooooo many conversations with newer traders in latest Gold trade that have been killed cause they listened to wrong stuff – Mat you can trade it – many peeps can’t they haven’t got the skillset yet
01:17 pm Curtis M : here comes its test lol
01:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : To me it goes back to trading your play and having discipline. If this thing folds on me I’m out and not going to be blinded by my hopes and dreams of 1300 gold right around the corner. You also have to be quick to take profits
01:18 pm Curtis M : ya many new traders just haven’t got the toolkit yet to do what you can do or see what you can see
01:19 pm Curtis M : you should see the questions I get
01:19 pm Mathew Waterfall : Which IMO is compounded when you’re using levered ETFs too frequently. I like them, but to load up on them like some newer traders do is very risky
01:19 pm Curtis M : yup
01:20 pm Curtis M : So here lol heres my timeframe for downtrend
01:21 pm Curtis M : lol
01:22 pm Curtis M : For a trend reversal I need 1220 plus
01:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : 1221 and 1223 bit levels for me. Obvious when we look back at this week and we couldn’t even crack 1219
01:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : Also FYI I chart using /GC so my levels are often a point or 2 higher than your GOLD chart
01:23 pm Curtis M : Ya
01:23 pm Curtis M : Other thing is at levels it got to it should have continued and didn’t whch was wierd
01:24 pm Curtis M : Above 1210 ish it should have held and didn’t
01:24 pm Curtis M : odd
01:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : Had more to do with the dollar there I think
01:25 pm Curtis M : ya that part the roaring bear has right
01:25 pm Curtis M : lol
01:25 pm Curtis M : talking about twitter
01:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : Seriously. Just like me he has some nuggets in there but also some crazy talk
01:25 pm Curtis M : haha
01:26 pm Curtis M : normally, over that blue lne on that chart the price would have held
01:26 pm Curtis M : just talking probabilities
01:26 pm Curtis M : based on backtesting 5 years
01:27 pm Mathew Waterfall : Huge up day for dollar yesterday. I still have the dollar in a H&S pattern though Im following that until it breaks
01:27 pm Curtis M : Its almost like Trump and Japan are n on it together to keep Gold down
01:28 pm Curtis M : its very odd
01:32 pm Steve S : way i see it guys is the bear haha is going off about gold and silver up this year but not up since summer last year way way lower and can always go lower too so ya my opinion
01:32 pm Steve S : so I trade price and trend
01:34 pm Caide X : Curtis – last fall you were saying lower and stayed with that and we’re lower and now if I understand you are saying let it decide – or prove a reversal or continuation correct?
01:35 pm Curtis M : good way to put it yes correct
01:35 pm Caide X : 🙂
01:36 pm Curtis M : This move today in Silver is an anomoly FYI but it needs 17.86 and higher held to be a reversal n our modeling
01:36 pm Caide X : Yes, I got that too thanks.
01:37 pm Curtis M : But Caide that means I will miss some of the start of every move too.
01:37 pm Caide X : Right.
01:38 pm Caide X : For example then, with Gold, when is the downtrend re-confirmed?
01:41 pm Mathew Waterfall : wow just saw a chart on bloomberg of SPX/VIX at the widest split ever. Crazy
01:41 pm Curtis M : yup
01:41 pm Mathew Waterfall : People say bull markets end on euphoria and people aren’t euphoric yet. I would say that might be changing if no one is worried about the downside
01:42 pm Curtis M : theres gong to be a lot of first 🙂
01:43 pm Curtis M : Caide you watchin?
01:44 pm Caide X : were all watching – ready
01:44 pm Curtis M : In our modeling heres a trend
01:45 pm Curtis M : And here is a reversal that failed
01:45 pm Curtis M : July 4 or so last year
01:46 pm Curtis M : So when we published targets at 1163 and possibility for lower we knew there was a revrsal coming because of anomolies in trade
01:47 pm Curtis M : In that red cricle there were things hapening in trading that didn’t happen before so we knew reversal was going to fail
01:48 pm Curtis M : Then wwhen it hit 1163 we said there was a 90% chance it would continue to bottom of quadrant and it did
01:49 pm Caide X : So where does it completely prove itself as an uptrend?
01:49 pm Curtis M : Its stages of decisions as it goes
01:51 pm Curtis M : wide view it needs approx 1215 then 1250 then and so on1374 and gone but chances are very slim until things change (but I’ve given more precise targets too you can look at in our notes etc but I think you get idea
01:51 pm Curtis M : So downtrend is…
01:52 pm Curtis M : Show me 1124 or lower first then…
01:52 pm Curtis M : then evry step down needs to be lower to kep a trend
01:52 pm Curtis M : basic lol I know
01:53 pm Caide X : I get it
01:53 pm Caide X : So make the decisions based on lower frames like in your newsletters and stay with trend while it confirms along the way, correct?
01:53 pm Curtis M : YES!
01:54 pm Curtis M : amen lol
01:54 pm Caide X : Thats what Fibonacci Queen always says. Decision to decision and confirm.
01:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Winner winner on that caide
01:55 pm Curtis M : ya she’s awesome
01:55 pm Curtis M : Price Trigger Trade
01:55 pm Caide X : Thanks Mathew
01:56 pm Curtis M : The triggers are what I’ publishing and I’ll walk you along decision by decision in newsletters as trend moves
01:56 pm Curtis M : Like with oil, you know the very specific decisions.
01:56 pm Curtis M : Yellow line at top resistance and that blue trendline at bottom support per newsletter
01:56 pm Caide X : Right
01:57 pm Curtis M : So thats why Silver needs 17.86
01:57 pm Curtis M : Gold needs 1202.48
01:58 pm Curtis M : For longs… and when you enter if it fails you have stops
01:58 pm Caide X : Got it thanks
01:58 pm Curtis M : No Prob webinars coming
02:01 pm Curtis M : If you got a long on Gold at 1202 ish you could likely run it to 1300 without a worry just rathceting stops as you go
02:01 pm Curtis M : ish
02:01 pm Curtis M : decision to decision
02:01 pm Curtis M : here coms test again
02:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SSRI hit the volume scanner so silver miners seeing some nice flows here
02:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : They frontran the move a bit last week into this weeks pop and drop
02:10 pm Curtis M : getting jiggy
02:12 pm Jon R : $JUNO jiggy Curt
02:12 pm Curtis M : thx
02:14 pm Wie W : Bear on Twitter losing his mind in case you care.
02:15 pm Curtis M : haha I would be frustrated to
02:15 pm Curtis M : Gold looking bullish intra tho
02:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : I wonder how some of these guys make money. It sounds like some of them run funds and I believe they have something to do with managed money as they discuss in depth issues at times, but seeing P?L sheets would be funny
02:16 pm Curtis M : ya…. you and I will talk soon, we have insight
02:16 pm Curtis M : later date soon
02:17 pm Curtis M : could pop here tho lol
02:18 pm Deni T : $URRE guys pop
02:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : Seeing some nice QQQ call buying today. Only real big orders on the indexes overall
02:18 pm Curtis M : Qs have the big boys in now
02:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : yepp and rolling into more earnings next week
02:20 pm Mathew Waterfall : Bonds grinding nicely here to. Would love for $TLT to get going for me
02:25 pm Curtis M : $TRCH strong price considering indicators aren’t revving
02:25 pm Curtis M : Very bullish
02:28 pm Curtis M : OIl!
02:28 pm Curtis M : oily!
02:28 pm Curtis M : pit close
02:31 pm Curtis M : That was actually a positve pit close considering
02:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp kind of a surprise. Still seems stuck in that chop though. OIL that is
02:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : Well same could be said for most of the market
02:32 pm Curtis M : oh ya it is but time cycles coming to end soon so thought we may see panic…. interesting cause oil has a mjor major resistance overhead
02:33 pm Curtis M : interetsing times
02:33 pm Curtis M : but its in sideways till it isn’t lol
02:33 pm Curtis M : $TRCH may pop
02:33 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp let that one show its hand before I jump in
02:33 pm Curtis M : yup
02:34 pm Curtis M : good way to put it – I think I’ll steal that if I may lol
02:34 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sure thing
02:37 pm Curtis M : $TRCH jiggy
02:37 pm Curtis M : Gary you’ll have to look at chat logs when publishd lots of info – just notced you’ve been in and out today is all. Just a heads up. Lots of data n chat.
02:38 pm Curtis M : If you’re holding $TCH anyone you may want to consider selling
02:38 pm Curtis M : I’m not tho not right this minute
02:38 pm gary y : will do
02:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : Over that high looks decent to me, indicators are turning favorable
02:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : Thought Friday afternoon on a boring day might not lead to much volume here
02:39 pm Curtis M : It;s a permian play
02:39 pm Curtis M : I have a 2.80 target but u never know
02:39 pm Curtis M : 2.80 – 4.20
02:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : The Trump factor will have to cooperate
02:40 pm Curtis M : yup
02:49 pm Curtis M : Well this is interesting…. Silver at decision, Gold at decision, SPY well you know, Crude coming up on decison and market momos bla…. I have seen this before – I’m old – and my guess because end of month end of Tuesday we have a barn burner Mon and Tues up or down likely up bullish – just my guess.
02:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : Or as I would say: Them dice is hot!
02:51 pm Curtis M : lol gambler Mathew – like my wife the poker player
02:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : I actually hate gambling and casinos
02:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not for me
02:52 pm Curtis M : I quit I was a bacarrat guy… done
02:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Seems like I hear that story often. I just don’t enjoy it and can understand both the entertainment and skill sides to the games just not my cup of tea
02:55 pm Curtis M : No skill in bacarrat just balls of steel and stupidity and drinking stuff like that at least poker has skill involved lol
02:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : haha I’ve never even played that game I know the basics and that’s about it
02:57 pm Curtis M : here it comes
02:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : Just like last friday except we were looking for 1210+. I’ll take 1200 lol
02:58 pm Curtis M : It may pop decet here
03:03 pm Steve S : Curt I don’t know what t o do $TRCH is my play this week!!! Sell?
03:04 pm Curtis M : Can’t tell you what to do
03:04 pm Curtis M : I’m holding but its a small play for my portfolio
03:05 pm Cara R : I’ll tell you what to do Steve!
03:05 pm Cara R : Curt always wins bahahaha
03:05 pm Curtis M : omg
03:07 pm Steve S : I have seen him loose but small. Always small. I think its a good story $TRCH and Mathew is right its all about Trump.
03:07 pm Curtis M : Of course I lose:)
03:08 pm Curtis M : Would like 1 play here
03:08 pm Curtis M : Buy momma a new dress
03:13 pm Curtis M : $LGCY strong too fyi
03:19 pm Mathew Waterfall : Daily volume on /ES is pitiful. I’m not playing anything this afternoon don’t want to get trapped
03:24 pm Curtis M : ya its beer timme but i’ll be here in office and close down at 4
03:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : interesting flows taken from twitter
03:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : This wk: -$5.7b outflow from domestic equity MF and ETFs. Last 7 wks = -$7.0b out+$2.8b inflow to taxable bond funds. Last 6 wks = +$0.9b
03:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : Seems to me smart money is moving into bonds a bit out out of equities
03:33 pm Curtis M : Well Mat – Gold up or down Sunday night?
03:34 pm Mathew Waterfall : Let me warm up the crystal ball one sec
03:34 pm Mathew Waterfall : Up on USD weakness
03:34 pm Curtis M : I need a good week next week or I will snap fyi – need some action and I know I’m not the only one lol so it’s gonna get jiggy.
03:34 pm Curtis M : I see horns on that $TRCH chart
03:34 pm Mathew Waterfall : Monday sees similar action today before more weakness overall thanks to a VIX spike that finally happens
03:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Many things are looking week and or double toppy
03:35 pm Curtis M : interesting well give me up or down plz thanks Mat
03:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Market needs a small correction to draw in new money. I say downside liquidation break into mid week with FOMC on deck
03:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : Gold up but not much. Holding anything now hoping for huge gap on Monday unlikely
03:37 pm Mathew Waterfall : Watching USD close into the close. Under 100.49 and I will get more bullish metals over the weekend. I do like VIX products here though
03:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : That’s my crystal ball. $TLT 121 by next friday, gold sees 1220 test, and silver gets to 17.5 before floating around. All of this is assuming no rate hike next week. Those are my calls
03:40 pm Curtis M : 🙂
03:40 pm Curtis M : Sound reasonable.
03:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : I echo your statement in needing a good week. This week was boring and hard to make much $$$
03:41 pm Curtis M : very tough
03:41 pm Curtis M : last 8 market days
03:41 pm Curtis M : maybe 7 lost track
03:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp chop city with no volume. That is what is making me very suspicious of what’s going on under the hood here. Kind of feels like some players are unloading quietly. I have seen some big dark pool prints and not a lot of conviction in the call buying as well. Clues possibly
03:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not that large money is always right, but they have the good info more often than not
03:43 pm Curtis M : ya
03:44 pm Curtis M : I’m being overly optomistic – my thesis is generally that guys like us are like wtf can we just get on wth some action lol
03:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : Exactly. I don’t care what direction we go, I just want to go somewhere. I have no interest in calling turns or tops/bottoms. I just want a trend to play
03:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : top calling is futile and will leave you broke more often than not
03:46 pm Curtis M : I see Silver bulls on Twitter
03:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : MOC useless today as well
03:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a good weekend all. I’m out of here shortly. Basically a sideways week for me. Small gains but nothing to write home about. Hopefully we get some volatility sooner or later or I’m going to have to take up wood carving to have something to do
03:55 pm Curtis M : You too Mathew thanks enjoy!
03:55 pm Lui S : Ya thanks guys!
03:55 pm Deni T : Peace Mat!
03:56 pm Caide X : $RGSE guaranteed dead dog
03:59 pm Curtis M : $TRCH nice close
04:00 pm Curtis M : Cya guys and gals enjoy your time down!
04:01 pm Steve S : bye
04:01 pm Steve S : thanks curt

Be safe out there!

Follow our lead trader on Twitter:

https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: $GOOGL, $DUST, $JUNO, $CBMX, $ROKA, $TRCH, $LGCY, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500

Jan 2017

PreMarket Trading Plan Fri Jan 27 $PLX $DGAZ, $WYNN, $NEOT, $GOOGL – $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV

My Stock Trading Plan for Friday Jan 27, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $PLX $DGAZ, $WYNN, $NEOT, $GOOGL,

PreMarket Trading Plan Fri Jan 27 $PLX $DGAZ, $WYNN, $NEOT, $GOOGL – $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV

Trading Plan $NEOT, $PLX $DGAZ, $TRCH, $WYNN, Chatroom, Day-trading, Pre-Market, Stockmarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Watchlist Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Friday Jan 27, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $PLX $DGAZ, $WYNN, $NEOT, $GOOGL, $TRCH, $LGCY, $CBMX, $JUNO, $ROKA – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Per previous;

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/823791504602710016

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

New $GOOGL large entry, $LGCY small, and $TRCH add. All very small positions – $ROKA, $TRCH, $ESEA, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

Very bullish. I’ll turn bearish when it’s bearish. Things are rocking in the right way. The swing trading portfolio is hot with our swing trade members (raging hot), our algos are hitting like mad, the market is doing exactly what we thought it would and onward and upward!

$USD/JPY has been on a face ripper as expected (obviously as I’ve been sitting in $DUST without a hesitation).

Big updates coming this weekend as Gold and Silver back near original price targets and Oil getting closer to serious resistance and $SPY on all time highs with $VIX crushed and the $USDJPY factor. Lots happening.

I know from talking to some of you it has been difficult lately (and really good for others) – my best advice – STOP LISTENING TO PEOPLE ON TWITTER – ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE NOT TRANSPARENT WITH CALLS AND YOU DON’T EVEN KNOW WHO THEY ARE. Sorry, but there’s been some raging bears lately that have taken sheep RIGHT OFF THE CLIFF!!! We have stops for a reason. If market is going up go up and set stops. Go bear when its bear. You can go bear any second. And I guess my second advice is listen to the algos – I had to learn to do that – its good for you. I’ve come to realize that. Tune out the noise.

I’m winning for a reason and those bears that have people losing tens or hundreds of thousands lately have done you no favors. A bearish peace of advice is easy – set a stop and tune out the rest. I wanna be a bear more than anyone – I BANK WHEN ITS BEAR TIME – but it isn’t a bear till its a bear.

$USDJPY 🔥 pic.twitter.com/Ad1bi3BnkB

— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 27, 2017

$OIL Crude oil pushing up against @EPICtheAlgo price target resistance area over night. Big decision. $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT #OOTT pic.twitter.com/NGmEvGTkxu

— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 27, 2017

$GOLD Again nearing @ROSIEtheAlgo price target from months back. $GLD $NUGT $DUST $GDX $JDST $JNUG #Commodities pic.twitter.com/NlyEzLXhSz

— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 27, 2017

$SILVER Almost back to @SuperNovaAlgo price target called months ago. $SLV $USLV $DSLV #Commodities pic.twitter.com/9zNiAID07F

— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 27, 2017

Per yesterday;

Gold is in trouble and at a very important decision area – review Rosie the Gold Algo report for details. $DXY and $USDJPY still wildcard. $VIX is getting crushed to lows as I expected. $SPY got lift as expected. $GDX – as per previous…. careful, if market gets idea that Trump not going to help miner’s like market thinks whoompf.

Rosie the Gold Algo, Epic the Oil Algo, SuperNova Silver and the others continue to hit calls so I’m pumped.

Per previous;

My general bias (as a trader – not algo math) is for the market to be somewhat flat or deflate prior to Jan 20 inauguration, Gold and Silver to get further lift but back off between Wednesday afternoon and Monday. After the inauguration my bias is toward Gold and Silver getting punished when the Trump train gets moving again (no telling if this will be days or weeks or even a few short months). But I do think Trump will crush Gold, Silver etc and the $VIX at some point. The $VIX I will be watching close. Oil I think has headwinds. Natural Gas I am continuing to watch. Smaller Gold / Silver / Oil companies and Shippers / Greece I am watching very close also. But of course with Brexit in the news, the OPEC situation and inauguration I am going to stay very nimble and likely trade volatility and Gold related most of the week.

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo Watch: $PLX $DGAZ $WYNN $NEOT

$TRCH in Premarket + 17.67% Thursday + 5.75% #Premarket

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $PLX 17%, $DGAZ 8%, $WYNN 7%, $NEOT 5%, $MTL $VMW $WHLR $PULM $JDST $IBN $SBGL $DWT $MSFT $DUST $ARLP $FCAU $INTC

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $NG, $URRE, $AUMN, $GLDD, $EGI, $UEC, $GSS, $GPL, $MNGA, $LTBR, $XRA, $AUY, $NAK are on my watchlist.

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Tweets by curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: $PLX $DGAZ, $WYNN, $NEOT, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

Jan 2017

Post-Market Thurs Jan 26 $GOOGL, $MSFT, $DUST, $INTC, $JUNO, $CBMX, $ROKA, $TRCH, $LGCY and more.

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Thursday Jan 26, 2017

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Thursday Jan 26, 2017 $GOOGL, $MSFT, $DUST, $INTC, $JUNO, $CBMX, $ROKA, $TRCH, $LGCY – $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $VIX, $NG_F…

Intro:

Notices:

Per Yesterday;

New Member Processing: Because our promo expires at the end of the month we are processing more new members than normal and Sartaj is traveling in Europe so he is processing at each stop on his travels as he gets time – bear with us, we’re getting new members up and running with reports within 72 hours of check-out at this point! Thanks!

Two Week Account Double Challenge: It ended today (Monday) because there was a holiday last week (so ten trading days). I didn’t double, I think I was closer to 41% and our techs will do review vids and publish P&L soon for review. It started out really strong and as inauguration got closer market got less aggressive and has been since. The momo plays lacked follow through the last five or six trading days. Oh well! 41% ish isn’t bad. I’ll be looking to get my double up before the end of the month now and I’ll be targeting a double up per month going forward. Remember – all live in the room, recorded, transcript etc… no calling things after the fact – totally transparent room.

Daily Trading Results: I apologize, I haven’t had time to do last Wed, Thur and Fri yet – I will post them. To be honest they were so uneventful for me that I prioritized other work – but I’ll get them out soon.

SMS / Email Alerts: Our system was upgraded so all members will now start receiving them for each trade (morning momo trades may not have time to process alerts outside room fyi).

New Service Option: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00 /mth and w/ promo code is 1.22 per day.

New Service Option: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00 and w/promo code works out to just over 4.00 day.

New Service Option: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

$GOOGL, $MSFT, $DUST, $INTC, $JUNO, $CBMX, $ROKA, $TRCH, $LGCY

Google I entered with some of our swing service members after market trading (large entry), $MSFT and $INTC I scalped after market. $TRCH I entered doing regular trade as an add and $LGCY – holding both. Still hold $DUST, $JUNO, $ROKA, $CBMX and I’m bullish on all (have a plan and reasons for all that I won’t get in to here). Had a small papercut moomo trade for a 5 cent loss first thing in morning.

$TRCH Bull

Momentum / Noteable Stocks Today:

Ticker	Last	Change	Volume	Signal
FFHL	3.42	48.05%	3732398	Top Gainers
GLF	2.10	44.83%	2029400	Top Gainers
MSDI	2.16	35.85%	2722800	Top Gainers
PULM	2.22	35.37%	20261451	Top Gainers
AVGR	3.10	34.78%	9900900	Top Gainers
BDMS	12.75	34.21%	14600	Top Gainers
GMO	0.56	23.33%	1387439	New High
LUNA	2.27	14.07%	1515973	New High
MGCD	8.70	13.55%	85867	New High
CFBK	2.04	8.05%	70259	New High
WOOF	90.80	0.01%	2005000	Overbought
UPLD	11.62	1.93%	15833	Overbought
FFHL	3.42	48.05%	3732398	Unusual Volume
MGI	12.92	8.75%	12625500	Unusual Volume
ENTL	16.69	-13.92%	1891400	Unusual Volume
MGCD	8.70	13.55%	85867	Unusual Volume
ABB	23.80	1.28%	5779600	Upgrades
ABMD	106.09	-7.60%	1243213	Earnings Before
COGT	3.85	-2.53%	78400	Insider Buying

Holding:

New Swing Account Entry $GOOGL Scalped – $MSFT, $INTC Small size – $DUST, $JUNO, $CBMX, $ROKA, $TRCH, $LGCY, $ESEA

Looking Forward:

I’m still bullish. We were right about Brexit, Trump winning, all time highs in markets, our algos have obviously been nailing it and I have no reason to stop. We are publishing my and the algo and swing trading P&L’s over next few days with obvious massive percentage gains over many hundreds of calls now dating back to last July. We’re also doing some webinars soon to help the market about our algos and to show members how to use them. And finally we have a series of documents and videos coming out that take a scientific approach to all our calls and the verdict on our success – fortunately we tracked the whole launch process. It has been upward and onward since we started developing the algos and I am very very pumped forward.

Judge me on my results not what I think.

— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 27, 2017

Price action since my alert. Algo modeling worksheet Jan 27 438 AM $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST pic.twitter.com/93dRgH3NBM

— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) January 27, 2017

Per last report on Tuesday;

I’m excited for trade now. Yesterday I pointed out that I was looking at a trade in inverse Gold and that worked out and that it looked like commodities were going to cool some. Also noted yesterday that the market would likely pop and $SPY got some lift. So no surprises at all – going per plan. Epic the Oil algo, Rosie the Gold Algo, SuperNova Silver Algo and the rest of them are all dialed in and hitting well.

I can’t complain – I’ve had a good run, Mathew is hitting it regularly and the members are having a great year so far so it’s all systems a go!

In overnight trade it looks like commodities are cooling a bit so I may look at inverse Gold or Miner’s ETN’s ETF’s Tuesday, also market has been calm since inauguration so I would expect a bit of a pop or drop here soon and I’m thinking a pop. So I’m looking forward to the last six days of trading in January.

Also looking at the Trump “wall” trade 🙂

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Trading Room:

09:00 am Curtis M : Premarket Momo: $AVGR, $MGI, $FFHL, $FNCX, $RLMD – also Gold and Natural Gas lots of range.

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

08:57 am Curtis M : .
09:01 am OILK K : Gold looks awful
09:21 am OILQ K : $FNCX looks good for open
09:22 am Mathew Waterfall : looks like usd/jpy wante to test the top of the channel which is right about 114.4 and also lined up with previous support/res. I expect it to back off from there but watching closely
09:31 am Elyse N : Watchin $RADA here
09:31 am Elyse N : $FFHL long
09:35 am Roger S : $FFHL rocket power wow
09:35 am Mathew Waterfall : $AAPL call spread almost a double. Im out at 3 bags
09:36 am OILQ K : Crude is really close to break out territory
09:36 am Curtis M : Ya watching close
09:40 am Kari S : Short $FFHL
09:40 am Jon E : $PCLN momo
09:42 am Steve S : Good short Kari
09:53 am Mathew Waterfall : Seeing some messy options flow. Puts buying in a few names and on $SPY. Some large $TVIX darkpool prints as well
09:56 am Clive B : $GLBS on steriods
10:02 am Gurpreet S : $RGSE lol
10:06 am Steve S : $PULM popping a bit
10:18 am Kari S : Taking some $SEAX here for a start
10:18 am Kari S : $SAEX
10:19 am Kari S : Rails looking awesome too guys
10:19 am Elyse N : Yes to rails
10:26 am Curtis M : I was on top of $LGCY 2 days ago ugh and forgot
10:35 am Curtis M : Thanks Mat
10:36 am Curtis M : Starter in $PULM
10:39 am Kari S : $TRCH up 5% Curt
10:46 am Curtis M : Stopped out $PULM .5 cent loss
10:46 am Mathew Waterfall : $egle POPPIN
10:54 am Curtis M : Long $LGCY small for break out
10:54 am Curtis M : Still hunting break outs lol
10:55 am Mathew Waterfall : Scanners are empty. Im gonna take a break and do some deeper scanning to see if I can find anything positive out there. Be back in a bit
10:55 am Curtis M : kk
11:08 am Roger S : Covered $NAK short from open
11:09 am Clive B : What r u thinking with crude curt?
11:09 am Curtis M : Thinking theres a possible squeez coming above that yellow line if it gets there
11:10 am Clive B : ya thats what I figured
11:10 am Curtis M : It may get there if so I’ll hammer down on small small cap oil and UWT
11:10 am Curtis M : But it has to get there
11:12 am Curtis M : Long another 100 shares $LGCY 2.61 avg
11:18 am Kari S : $TRCH looks like its going to go soon Curt
11:19 am Kari S : $LGCY and $TRCH could be good so I am going to start small entries
11:29 am Jon E : $TRCH popping nice volume
11:31 am Mathew Waterfall : Interesting to me that $IWM is remaining weak against the other indexes. Watching this to see if it leads to the downside. It lead higher after the election so it should provide some direction
11:33 am Curtis M : If oil gets up over that white dotted algo line t will test the upside resistance break out area
11:35 am Mathew Waterfall : Small $JNUG tester against LODish
11:35 am Mathew Waterfall : USD/JPY chart looks like it wants to roll over a bit otherwise I wouldn’t take this trade
11:35 am Mathew Waterfall : $GDX chart looks UGLY so tight leash
11:35 am Mathew Waterfall : 7.93 entry
11:39 am Mathew Waterfall : Huge buy $GDX 22.83
11:40 am Roger S : Nice bottom $SCON bouncer
11:40 am Mathew Waterfall : Gonna set my stop to flat and move on for a bit. Will let it play out here
11:49 am Mathew Waterfall : No mojo for me today. Stopped flat on that $JNUG attempt. Not looking to take losses so I may just sit on my hands and see where this market goes
11:57 am Mathew Waterfall : Bought a bit of $SLW to add to the amount I bought yesterday averaging down. About half position here. and $JNUG is now moving north lol
11:57 am Mathew Waterfall : $SLW is a swing and I will hold for a while
12:03 pm Elyse N : Curt – when is that webinar?
12:04 pm Curtis M : We have one for Rosie the Gold algo coming – haven’t set on for Oil yet – soon
12:04 pm Elyse N : ok would like that
12:05 pm Curtis M : This weekend we’re announcing times for webinars for all algos
12:06 pm Curtis M : Machines pushing the edge of that algo line hard in crude
12:06 pm Curtis M : real aggressive
12:06 pm Curtis M : here it is
12:07 pm Curtis M : wouldnt want to be short but it could fail still but short is not good here
12:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : Rollover continuing in USD. $TLT also flashing green
12:15 pm Roger S : Long $UWT small and will add if we see a break out – short leash as Mathew says
12:16 pm Caide X : Good risk reward Roger – break out oil gets to 54.30 before res makes sense
12:17 pm Caide X : Looking at miners and not sure what to do
12:19 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a coin to flip Caide? lol j/k
12:19 pm Mathew Waterfall : give me a second I’ll hop oin the mic and give my view
12:26 pm Curtis M : $BCEI halt
12:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : Hope between the mini tangets some of that made sense lol
12:42 pm Dean S : In $CLVS some
12:47 pm Steve S : $SSH jiggy
12:49 pm Elyse N : $AWH alive now
12:57 pm Steve S : $BCEI short cover pop and drop action?
01:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Halt was for news but I can’t find out what the news was so not trading it
01:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : the 5′ bar it put in is crazy thought
01:01 pm Steve S : No news out there on $BCEI at all
01:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : The only news I could find was that it was halted for news lol so that’s great
01:02 pm Steve S : lol
01:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : Likely a bunch of people guessing at this point
01:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : Dollar getting smoked finally. $GDX running into a trendline over 22.96 will have legs if dollar keeps falling
01:04 pm Gurpreet S : $MYOS high of day
01:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : Problem with $MYOS is that it already had a large ramp to squeeze the shorts
01:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : Now inventory may be looking to exit if they bought up near those highs
01:08 pm Jon E : Low floats aren’t easy playz imho
01:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : You got that right Jon.
01:13 pm Jon E : pumpers there too
01:14 pm Curtis M : crude support test
01:15 pm Curtis M : blue line
01:16 pm Curtis M : Gold coming up to res at blue line
01:21 pm Steve S : $EGY dump
01:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : $gld call buying coming across here
02:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : still sitting on my hands over here. Gold so far with the 23.6 on the downside and bounced holding above it so far. Close over that at 1184.1 is constructive for a test to upsie at 1221 which is the 38.2 and basically the last swing high
02:26 pm Steve S : Watching your Twitter feed Curt 🙂 Just poking the nerves of bears over there
02:26 pm Steve S : $TRCH does look good though
02:27 pm Curtis M : ya
02:28 pm Curtis M : just havin fun
02:37 pm Curtis M : Here comes the test on $SPY
02:41 pm Steve S : Adding to $NVDA swing
02:43 pm Gurpreet S : Decent spot Steve
02:44 pm Gurpreet S : I was looking at it on its pullback but didn’t enter
02:46 pm Caide X : Wow $DELT action here
02:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : $DELT is flying. Sliced right through VWAP. Might take some on a pullback to that area
03:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : Vicious green bar the dollar just put in and basically got swatted as resistance.
03:26 pm Dean S : Adding to $LGCY swing in to close
03:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : What a do nothing day. I will spare you guys the useless ramblings into the close here sense we havne’t really moved all all sense my last check in. Looking for dollar back in the 99’s over the next day or two and gold abck north or 1200. Other than that nothing changed on my radar
03:30 pm Jon E : ya boring
03:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : Even as daytraders we don’t have to trade heavily every day. Over trading can be a good way to donate money, something I hate doing
03:32 pm Gurpreet S : 10 4
03:44 pm Steve S : $KerX lozer
03:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TLT wants HOD into the close. 119.29 and I will think of taking some calls
03:57 pm Kari S : $GOOGL , $MSFT, $SBUX , $INTC , $WYNN , $PYPL here we come
03:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : Big night for earnings. I don’t play earnings so I’ll be watching from the sidelines. Have a good night all, slight down day for me with my miners and metals plays, but looking for upside after some consolidation. See ya in the am
04:00 pm Curtis M : cya Mat
04:00 pm Curtis M : cya crew

Be safe out there!

Follow our lead trader on Twitter:

https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: $GOOGL, $MSFT, $DUST, $INTC, $JUNO, $CBMX, $ROKA, $TRCH, $LGCY, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500

Jan 2017

Targets Hit Tues, Wed on to Fri! Member Oil Trade Fri Jan 27 Chart Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC) $CL_F, $DRIP, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $UCO, $USO, $UWT, Algo, Algorithm, Chart, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, DWT, EPIC the Oil Algo, Fibonacci, Indicators Epic the Algo

Friday Jan 27, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

A quick update as all levels remain intact from previous. We are booking a webinar series soon and will advise!

Careful with that overhead resistance (yellow line)! Also, very careful with that trendline resistance way up at 56.16 on intraday (blue trendline not on chart below but I showed you in many recent reports).

Targets hit Tuesday and Wednesday and Friday targets look great BUT be cautious because Friday targets DO NOT hit as regular as Tuesday and Wednesday algo targets.

Full report to follow on weekend for all our algos and stay tuned for webinar notices for all algos on deck!

Crude algo intra work sheet 656 AM Jan 27 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Live Epic the Oil Algo TradingView Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/ydb29khD-EPIC-the-Oil-Algo-Member-Chart-USOIL-WTI/

Crude algo intra work sheet 656 AM Jan 27 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Per yesterday;

A quick update again today as all signals and decisions remain the same as reports over last week.

Thank you for all the thank-you’s and comments lately on email etc. However, I do have to point out once again please, please read reports going back a week or so if you’re new. It is important to understand this work if you are considering it in any way for your trading plan. It is critical.

If you would like us to do a webinar soon to explain any questions you may about the charting and how to trade it intra-day and for swings please email us and we will host one.

Trade the Range, Careful with Friday Targets, Intra-day Scalping

Those white up and down arrows (dotted lines) are the simplest way to trade this charting. Of course there are better ways – but the white arrows show your range. Be cautious however as our algorithmic modeling sees a range change soon.

Careful with the Friday targets on this chart. Friday targets have not been near as reliable as Tuesday and Wednesday targets each week, especially the last six or so weeks. You are best waiting our weekend report and using the the Tuesday and Wednesday targets each week.

If you are scalping intra-day, you have to know what every line means on my charting – read all the reports going back at least a week.

Below is a Chart Update for Current Trade. I will update algorithmic charting with targets, algo lines, time and price cycles etc in more detail when trade breaks out to upside or down from current range.

Trade the range. Blue arrow long bias and yellow arrow short bias until break out or break down in price.

Crude algo intra work sheet 636 AM Jan 26 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Crude algo intra work sheet 636 AM Jan 26 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Here is the latest EPIC the Oil Algo Live Oil Chart;

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/feCakzlA-EPIC-the-Oil-Algo-Member-Charting-USOIL-WTI/

The Algo Targets Keep Hitting!

EPIC the Oil Algo

Tweets by EPICtheAlgo

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci, Algo

Jan 2017

Member S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Friday Jan 27 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Friday Jan 27, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting / Algorithm Observations Good morning!

Member S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Friday Jan 27 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

SP500 (SPY) Algorithm $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS, Algorithms, Chatroom, Fibonacci, Freedom $SPY Algo, Gold, SPY, Stocks, Trading, Wallstreet FREEDOM SPY

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Friday Jan 27, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report.

We had to laugh at ourselves overnight in the lab. First, we have other algos that are hitting targets one after another near 100% and of course it frustrates the science driven minds in our lab that $SPY didn’t continue in trade Thursday so we could do some real calculating! And… we neglected to publish a fourth scenario that was obvious… what if trade goes sideways 🙂

SO…. here we sit with sideways trade. Below is an update, but as with Thursday’s update, there is a very low probability of our modeling hitting yet… yes, we will never give up! Ha, anyway, we’re close (and we’ll be telling techs not to charge renewals until we start nailing it). Here it is for now until we get price action again.

First, our dismal results from Thursday…

The trading quadrants are intact (very close anyway), but our target results were awful. Had we included sideways trade perhaps we would have hit them… haha. Anyway, onward.

Thursday was flat – sideways. S&P 500 $SPY Algorithmic Model Trade Charting Fri Jan 27 554 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Friday Charting.

If trade is ascending:

Lime green arrow on chart. We have a short term high target now of 230.15 (as of this evening, but yesterday model was 230.70 ish – keep that in the back of your mind) and it is projected to hit at 12:05 Friday (if trade is ascending). Our confidence in 230.15 is around 33% (33 times out of 100 if trade for day is ascending). Our confidence in 12:05 Friday is near 0%. If price does reach 230.15 (whenever it may) we would expect a backtest to 229.69 (pink arrow).

Aqua blue arrow on chart. We have an intraday target of 229.90 (35%) projected to hit at 10:35 AM Friday (0.12%).

Yellow arrow on chart. 229.66 target (36.2%) at 9:30 AM (0.19%).

If trade is descending:

The blue arrows give you the levels – at each level our traders will likely try a long with stops because we are long bias with upside targets as listed above.

If trade is sideways:

You range is 229.00 – 229.69. Tight intra day scalping trade quadrants we won’t start publishing until our algorithmic modeling targets / indicators are hitting properly for wider time-frames such as in chart below. But we will eventually do that also.

Try and ignore the messy chart.

Friday trading targets. S&P 500 $SPY Algorithmic Model Trade Charting Fri Jan 27 631 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/QpSBH502-SPY/

Other notes from a trader’s perspective:

Trade held above Wednesday’s pivot around $228.49 and achieved higher low of $229.01.

Current resistance is $229.70 – 229.76. If breached our trader’s are long with a sizeable entry.

Per Thursday Jan 26, 2017 report….

$SPY trading has now ascended and is forming a new trading range. We are running calculations that will over the coming days become more refined for lower and higher ranges, targets, time / cycles and more.

As with the earlier developed algorithmic modeling (such as with EPIC and Rosie) we will share much of our early work as this trend forms. This process does however require that you take the work very lightly until the math proves itself out. In other words, the work below DO NOT ASSUME by any stretch that it will be correct – there is a high probability until in this new trend forms for a number of days that our calculations will not deliver results with a high probability of accuracy. We are however confident that over the coming days the math will become more and more precise because we understand the math of $SPY trade but need to confirm trajectory of time cycles and more.

So we will begin sharing the raw charting below and our comments. If you have any questions email us anytime. Also, you will find much of the charting messy and difficult to sort – but the bottom line thesis will be summarized as we move along in the process and will be reflected in the reports.

Calculating Probabilities – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Thursday Jan 26 5:29 AM EST $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Below is the first attempt at probabilities in this new trend.

Here is the live chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/SJe5eC7X-Calculating-Probability-Scenarios-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-W/

Scenario 1, 2 and 3 for Friday trade of over thirty scenarios we are examining. The likelihood of any of the three scenarios occurring as charted is near 0% at this point (that will get more predictable as we go). We are just sharing the early “guesses” of which “scenarios” will play out.

1 – High of Day 230.15 Target Time 9:05 AM. Low of Day 229.65 Target Time 10:45 AM.

2 – High of Day 230.65 Target Time 11:45 AM. Low of Day 230.46 Target Time 3:20 PM.

3 – High of Day 229.08 Target Time 11:50 AM. Low of Day 228.83 10:55 AM.

Calculating Probability Scenarios. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Wed Jan 26 529 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Our traders’ chart with targets, trading quadrants, Fibonacci levels. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Wed Jan 26 608 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

The chart below is a different scenario, it represents the trading rough trading quadrants our traders will be using in Thursday trade and the extension trade to the predicted high of 230.71 in this current move and a pull back to 230.46. The trajectory ignore (the red dotted line) as this isn’t a predicted trajectory. What is important are the fibonacci levels, the trading quadrants and the projected high for this move and the pullback. The high could take a day, hours or weeks and it can change (at which time we would republish for you). This also assumes trade trends up and not down. But all in all, this is the chart our traders will be using all the while having an eye on the first chart in this report to see what math is playing out.

Live Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/2fwv6rye-Our-traders-chart-with-targets-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-Wed/

Our traders chart with targets. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Wed Jan 26 608 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

So that’s it for today – we’ll watch this new trend and be running thousands of calculations over the coming days. We estimate that by early next week we’ll have a good handle on the levels we need for predictable targeting etc.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

Article Topics: Freedom $SPY Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS

Jan 2017

PreMarket Trading Plan Thur Jan 26 $AVGR, $MGI, $FFHL, $FNCX, $RLMD – $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV

My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Jan 26, 2017 in Trading Chat room. – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners

My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Jan 26, 2017 in Trading Chat room. – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Per previous;

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/823791504602710016

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

All very small positions – $ROKA, $TRCH, $ESEA, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

Rosie the Gold Algo, Epic the Oil Algo, SuperNova Silver and the others continue to hit calls so I’m pumped.

What price of Gold did after my alert of algo quadrant test. 324 AM Sept 25, 17 $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST pic.twitter.com/vP7PrUENj2

— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) January 25, 2017

Per previous;

My general bias (as a trader – not algo math) is for the market to be somewhat flat or deflate prior to Jan 20 inauguration, Gold and Silver to get further lift but back off between Wednesday afternoon and Monday. After the inauguration my bias is toward Gold and Silver getting punished when the Trump train gets moving again (no telling if this will be days or weeks or even a few short months). But I do think Trump will crush Gold, Silver etc and the $VIX at some point. The $VIX I will be watching close. Oil I think has headwinds. Natural Gas I am continuing to watch. Smaller Gold / Silver / Oil companies and Shippers / Greece I am watching very close also. But of course with Brexit in the news, the OPEC situation and inauguration I am going to stay very nimble and likely trade volatility and Gold related most of the week.

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo Watch: $AVGR, $MGI, $FFHL, $FNCX, $RLMD

8:30
Jobless #

8:30
Int trade
Chicago Index

9:45
Index Flash

10a
Home Sale

10:30
NG #’s

11a
KC Mfg

1p
7Yr Note

4:30
Fed Bal Sheet

Wholesale Inventories Dec. 1.0%, Exp. 0.1%

Low floaters up in premarket $FNCX $NURO $RXII $FFHL $PULM $CAPN $RADA

EARNINGS: Ford beats estimates on revenue, but affirms 2017 outlook as ‘generally lower’ than last year http://cnb.cx/2j7Rphd

Radian +1.9% after topping estimates http://seekingalpha.com/news/3237807-radian-plus-1_9-percent-topping-estimates?source=feed_f … #premarket $RDN

Raytheon falls after Q4 miss http://seekingalpha.com/news/3237808-raytheon-falls-q4-miss?source=feed_f … #premarket

JetBlue gains after earnings http://seekingalpha.com/news/3237809-jetblue-gains-earnings?source=feed_f … #premarket $JBLU

Pfizer’s C. diff vaccine candidate successful in mid-stage study http://seekingalpha.com/news/3237810-pfizers-c-diff-vaccine-candidate-successful-mid-stage-study?source=feed_f … #premarket $PFE

$POT -5.2% premarket after posting weaker than expected Q4 earnings

#Mattel maintained at buy at Moness Crespi. Price target cut $3 to $34.
$MAT -12.23% at 27.70 premarket #stocks

Royal Caribbean’s stock surges 2.7% premarket after Q4 results http://ift.tt/1sXtiiU

Celgene Q4 top line up 16%; non-GAAP earnings up 34%; shares ahead 1% premarket

$NURO Full year 2016 revenue of $12.0 million was up 65% from $7.3 million in 2015. #Premarket

BLACKSTONE GROUP LP SHARES UP 2.8 PCT AT $31.49 IN PREMARKET TRADE AFTER RESULTS

Endo restructures; 90 jobs cut; shares up 1% premarket $ENDP

Caterpillar dips on softer guidance http://seekingalpha.com/news/3237791-caterpillar-dips-softer-guidance?source=feed_f … #premarket $CAT

L-3 Communications beats by $0.27, beats on revenue http://seekingalpha.com/news/3237818-lminus-3-communications-beats-0_27-beats-revenue?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $LLL

Weight Watchers pushed higher by Oprah news again http://seekingalpha.com/news/3237816-weight-watchers-pushed-higher-oprah-news?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $WTW

Moneygram +30% on WSJ report of Alibaba interest http://seekingalpha.com/news/3237813-moneygram-plus-30-percent-wsj-report-alibaba-interest?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $MGI $BABA

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $AVGR 37%, $MGI 30%, $FFHL 23%, $FNCX 22%, $RLMD 18%, $CAPN $NURO $VNR $LGCY $URI $UGAZ $PKX $NOW $EBAY $JDST $DUST

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $NG, $URRE, $AUMN, $GLDD, $EGI, $UEC, $GSS, $GPL, $MNGA, $LTBR, $XRA, $AUY, $NAK are on my watchlist.

(5) Upgrades: $MTOR $WNC $WGL $CLVS $GWW $MSM $IP $PAC $SGMS $RES $PKX $URI $EL $BANC $CPF $RES $WASH as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $JNJ $ACAT $NAP $CDXS $IGT $MAT $HOPE $MDP $WOOF $HSKA $VAR as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

$AVGR PREMARKET – Stock Daytrading Trading Plan

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Tweets by curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: $AVGR, $MGI, $FFHL, $FNCX, $RLMD, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

Jan 2017

Failing Test 2 Also? Member GOLD Update Thur Jan 26 $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Gold Trading Algorithmic Charting Update Wednsday Jan 26 GOLD $XAUUSD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST,

Gold Trading Algorithmic Charting Update Wednsday Jan 26 GOLD $XAUUSD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations

Rosie the Gold Algo Trading Report (member edition).

Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report.

You can follow my intra day tweets here https://twitter.com/ROSIEtheAlgo.

Gold! Make it a double for good measure? Part IV Gold Failed test #1…. and is at the trap door of Test #2!!!

If you haven’t read part one of “There’s Gold in them thar hills boy!” please do now before reading below. Also, the member edition Gold trade follow up here and the Jan 9, 2017 Gold Trade Update Here and Part I of my most recent Gold Report “Make it a Double…” here and yes two more Gold “The Test” and Gold Failed The Test – What Now?. It is really important to know the history of calls and how my calls and recent trade apply to the information below. And I know most of you aren’t doing your homework and congrats to those who do!

Live Gold Chart on Trading View

Here’s an intraday Gold chart update zoomed in with important levels:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/MXVjPdrb-Rosie-the-Gold-Algo-Member-Report-XAUUSD-GOLD-GLD/

Here’e the previous zoomed out Gold chart with various important levels;

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/SL1V91Ud-Rosie-the-Gold-Algorithm-Observations-445-AM-Sept-24-17-GC-F/

Live Gold Miner $GDX Chart on Trading View

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/2VZ2qqbo-GDX-trade-chart-ROSIE-the-GOLD-Algo-GLD-UGLD-DGLD-GDX/

Gold Chart Intraday

Gold trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

Gold trade is in trouble! We are right at the algorithm quadrant support!!!

Will Gold Fail This Test Too. $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

How low can it go?

Refer to previous posts and live charts etc for all your levels! It can go a long, long ways! The blue lines representing the algorithm quadrants are primary support!

Per previous;

Lower quadrant perimeters 1129.50 and 1126.78 intraday. 350 AM Sept 25, 17 $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

Watch my Twitter Feed close intraday – it will pay dividends for your account!

Click on this tweet – I explained in detail with follow up tweets to this one exactly what to look for!

Battle for Gold continuation.. Rosie the Algo Algorithmic Modeling Chart 128 AM Jan 26 $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST pic.twitter.com/ExAn4dDqPq

— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) January 26, 2017

Per previous;

Do you see what I see? Trading has got up over the top of an algo quadrant and is about to back test the top of that quadrant! This is a big deal, why? Because Gold (broadly) is still in a downtrend and has not (as my algorithm is concerned) confirmed that it is in an uptrend. I know, I know, the rest of the world has confirmed a trend change – but not me. I’m waiting for confirmation (read previous reports).

If it fails and trades to downside of that quadrant top then watch for a test of that yellow Fibonacci line and the 100 day MA (blue) on 2 hour chart. Those three indicators all fail and there is a 90% or better chance Gold is going down next!

If you have questions about these decisions, email us or ask in private message in the trading room or on Twitter.

Below are some of our regular info…. notices etc…

NOTICES:

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

DEVELOPMENT PROCESS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical or geometric factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a traditional chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold. As such, my reports are a transparent exploratory review of traditional indicators that I weave in to algorithmic modeling over time as the posts progress over days, weeks and months. Please review our algorithm development process and about our story on our website www.compoundtrading.com, my charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog. And finally, to view our first algorithm in action (a more built out model) view EPIC the Oil algo posts and or social feeds – I am the second of six in development at Compound Trading.

FEATURE POST: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 I will have a rate increase as my model rolls over from early stage – but as with all our offerings, existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates. You can subscribe to the Gold algo member edition here. Plans from $2.04 per day with promo code. 200 limit.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is scheduled to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

Tweets by ROSIEtheAlgo

Article Topics: Rosie Gold Algo, Chart, Stocks, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $XAUUSD, $GOLD, $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG

Jan 2017

Targets Hit Again! Member Oil Trade Thur Jan 26 Chart Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Thursday Jan 26, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F

Targets Hit Again! Member Oil Trade Thur Jan 26 Chart Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC) $CL_F, $DRIP, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $UCO, $USO, $UWT, Algo, Algorithm, Chart, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, DWT, EPIC the Oil Algo, Fibonacci, Indicators Epic the Algo

Thursday Jan 26, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

A quick update again today as all signals and decisions remain the same as reports over last week.

If you would like us to do a webinar soon to explain any questions you may about the charting and how to trade it intra-day and for swings please email us and we will host one.

Trade the Range, Careful with Friday Targets, Intra-day Scalping

If you are scalping intra-day, you have to know what every line means on my charting – read all the reports going back at least a week.

Trade the range. Blue arrow long bias and yellow arrow short bias until break out or break down in price.

Crude algo intra work sheet 636 AM Jan 26 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Here is the latest EPIC the Oil Algo Live Oil Chart;

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/feCakzlA-EPIC-the-Oil-Algo-Member-Charting-USOIL-WTI/

The Algo Targets Keep Hitting!

EPIC the Oil Algo

Tweets by EPICtheAlgo

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci, Algo

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Monthly Archives: January 2017