Tag: time cycles
Premarket Trading Note: #OPEC, #OOTT, $CL_F, $USO, Gold, Silver, $VIX, $SPY, $NG_F, $BTC, Themes, Swing Trading, $STUDY, Webinar, P&L
Good morning Traders!
Crude oil topped out yesterday in its run up from lows April 28 – now (at time of writing I see price is spiking in premarket and bulls may take another run at highs). The OPEC pump is on.
OPEC PRESIDENT CALLS ON GROUP TO EXCEED 100% CUTS COMPLIANCE
— RedboxGlobal (@RedboxWire) May 1, 2020
We wrote a two part article on the time cycle work we are doing in crude oil trade specifically to the one hour time frame, we called the intra-week top tick almost to the penny and time, days in advance. You can read the article that includes the oil trading room minute by minute with trade alerts here.
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1255927696447737858
It is important for all instruments of trade if you’re going to trade the future markets to understand what the machines are doing, they do drive price along with other reasons of course.
Our machine coding to equities, commodities, currencies and crypto are all rooted in the discipline of the analysis you will find in that article I reference (it is a two part article that is thick and difficult to read but if you put aside an hour you will understand the concept and it will help you in any trading of any instrument for daytrading and swingtrading).
Our timing with the recent profit trims in Gold $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD was excellent in the 1720s. Gold is now trading 1678.00 in premarket and we are looking at adds long at bottom of chart structure in your reports.
Natural Gas is up nicely this morning, we’re looking for adds to the long starter we have, however, I’m not sure where we are going to add, watch the alert feed.
Our profit trims in SP500 $SPY long positioning was executed quite well, we knew there was a high probability of time cycle inflections in to end of week (considering the Thursday afternoon oil time cycle peak) as alerted, so this worked out really well. Here also we’re looking for adds to the positioning, watch the alerts.
The Volatility long trade in to peak last cycle was near perfect with $VIX and $OVX (20s to 330s) and the alert last few days surrounding supports near was also spot on, we haven’t added to our long positioning yet, but it shouldn’t be far out.
The Bitcoin $BTC long positioning and recent trims on resistance are good but it’s still in bull mode this morning at time of writing 8938.00, so it’s an excellent swing trade no doubt, we’re watching for top of structure on model charting you have to see more profit trims.
Silver $SLV as expected is still under pressure and we’re just looking for adds to long positioning at chart model supports (see your reports).
Equities this recent cycle, timing was almost perfect, it was a great start to the cycle. I had called the cycle to start April 10, 2020 and the our models had it about 10 days prior (the models were closer than my call) but it couldn’t have been better. Timing cycles have been fantastic. Market highs we got, the down turn we nailed really hard and now this recent run up has been a good start. And even this week calling an interim rest in the cycle was spot on. Now we’re in $STUDY mode as we took our profits in to last few days.
I’ve received a number of personal notes from our Swing Trading Alerts platform users recently (on email mostly) and I think I’ll be asking you folks if I can post them anonymously to our website as swing trade reviews for other traders looking in to swing trading services. I appreciate hearing from you, it does make the work we do worthwhile when you hear about traders becoming disciplined consistently profitable traders. It will be good to meet as many of our new trading members as can make it out in the near future. Eventually most end up visiting the island.
Don’t miss the Sunday Swing Trade $STUDY Webinar series restarting this Sunday at 7 pm. If you’re not a registrant there are still 4 spots for this Sunday. If you can’t attend live the videos are sent out thereafter.
I will be in a location this weekend again where high speed stable internet is 100% as we know the area well.
Next week will be very active in the live trading room and we start daytrading the swing trade set-ups on lower time frames also soon (this requires us updating the swing trade charting to lower time-frames for daytrading, coming soon).
EPIC V3.1.1 crude oil trading alerts have been firing very well post Black Swan code updates. Last night taking a short side trade that was almost to the minute perfect. Huge range in that short so it worked out well for our oil traders.
Beauty of a short sequence EPIC V3.1.1 started at 1:00 AM, see article(s) pinned on my account.#OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL pic.twitter.com/fkT4U49HGY
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 1, 2020
Themes will be the power of returns in the next time cycles in to the election and beyond, we’re working at these every day and you can expect a lot more swing trade set-ups over the weekend and in to next week.
this is the big risk management, sizing bias Q 💯🎯
imo add some critical thought toward who / which narratives are taking hold in the information war and you can size your themed trades within the cycles for best ROI https://t.co/kYO4pwr0or
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 1, 2020
Today my advice is to go very easy, put your time in to $STUDY, every hour invested in preparation for markets pays massive dividends.
I wouldn’t expect super active trade in the live room today, but you never know. I would however expect such next week to be extremely active as I’ll have my high speed line to work with and there are a number of videos I need to do, like a $STUDY on how to scan for swing trade set-ups, how to trade the one hour crude oil model we’ve recently locked in for our oil traders and various others.
back to surfer class living this weekend
a month behind the wall all i could muster… security of armed guards, tranquility, conveniences, pool were all nice but…
i love the ocean 🐳🌊🍉🧉⛱️💙🤿🍍🌴🐙
internet already installed and ready, and stable (we know the area)
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 1, 2020
Oh, and I have the most recent time cycle swing trade profit and loss in my hands, I’ll review and add study notes and send out this weekend. This will also help those looking for a current trade position listing. Blow out performance, it’s getting better as we go, which is good of course!
If you want direct access to me on Whatsapp send your request on email and I’ll connect on there with you. It works well as sometimes I am away from my trading desk and if you need a hand with a trade I’m right there right now.
As always if you need anything be sure to email [email protected] and have a great weekend!
Thanks
Curt
Article Topics; Premarket, Trading Room, #OPEC, #OOTT, $CL_F, $USO, Gold, Silver, $VIX, $SPY, $NG_F, $BTC, Themes, Swing Trading, $STUDY, Webinar, machine trading, time cycles, positioning, P&L
Morning Note Updated #premarket #swingtradealerts #oiltradealerts
Premarket Morning Note
Good morning traders
Bear with us with reporting, there’s a lot of moving parts and we’re exhausted to be honest, it will be nice to get a break for a near day from Friday close to Saturday afternoon haha.
We’re still working with new internet line but have solutions so we’re close, unfortunately only way we can do our development in our work is to be in places where infrastructure requires us to be involved, so it is so.
And the server capacity at Click Meeting and with internet wide is still challenged but areas of the world are opening so this will improve.
COVID has tasked our body limits to say the least, work load is heavy.
Nevertheless, we’re getting there one step at a time.
Now, today is Friday, go easy, we see this inflection and bull most likely running next week, but you have to be in the right themes. I promise you we will have continued reporting out this weekend and it will be substantial (after some rest). We’re going to clean up reporting all current positions and profit loss status and be ready for the new.
Thanks very much again for your support and stay safe out there today.
Curt
Oil Trade Alerts
This time cycle was spot on, too bad I miss executed my swing trade trying to chip in to the turn on the intra-week trade I chickened out, that was an error. However, the EPIC V3.1.1 upgrade is firing with precision in the oil trading room and alerts so this is very encouraging, the code updates we a challenge in this Black Swan event to say the least.
This time cycle alerted in crude oil in this article was in fact the low for the week. Understanding time cycles can help traders position bias on various time-frames #OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL #premarket #oiltrading #timecycles
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1253663018111688705
This is what it looks like when the machines abuse humans. Nice upgrades EPIC V3.1.1 Machine SoftwareDirect hitFireBow and arrowDown pointing backhand index
This is what it looks like when the machines abuse humans. Nice upgrades EPIC V3.1.1 Machine Software🎯🔥🏹👇#OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL #machinetrading #oiltradealerts pic.twitter.com/1RWzKSpXaf
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) April 23, 2020
Swing Trade Alerts
And on the swing trading alerts side of the biz things are going well, it’s just a matter of working through positioning (dot plotting) your trade thesis within themes, this takes a lot of work.
The last two cycles were super strong and we expect the new to be also, it does take some time however in the inflection (or the turn of the cycle). This weekend we’ll have a lot more of the set-ups out to our swing trading members and the inflection should start to take hold and clarity in to end of August 2020 time cycle should be in full play (themes of trades).
The alerts this morning to the swing trading alert feed are examples of themes that should be strong.
The ZOOM swing trade alert was a double, that is a great example of a theme type play.
There are others developing now for this time cycle, so we expect each time cycle to be bigger as we go.
gave ya a double for free🎯🔥🏹 https://t.co/jHhG7dXvOd
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) April 24, 2020
Article Topics; Premarket, swing trade alerts, machine trading, oil trading, swing trading, live trading room, time cycles, alerts, crude oil.
Premarket Note: Iran, Trump, Oil, #OOTT, $CLF, Swing Trade Positions, Machine Trade Update, EIA, US Dollar and more.
Premarket Commentary: It’s Going to be a Busy Day in the Markets.
Iran, Trump, Oil, #OOTT, $CLF, Swing Trade Positions, Machine Trade Update, EIA
Morning traders!
As noted a number of times, we expect an intra-week time cycle inflection here (between last evening and end of Thursday). It seems the bulls in various markets agree in premarket.
Reporting tonight will be focused on swing trades in play and alerts reviews, how to structure the trades going forward and Profit and Loss Statement Reviews for Swing Trading Service.
Saber rattling with Iran has begun, oil is on high watch here, also EIA at 10:30 AM today.
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
I have instructed the United States Navy to shoot down and destroy any and all Iranian gunboats if they harass our ships at sea.
8:08 AM · Apr 22, 2020
I have instructed the United States Navy to shoot down and destroy any and all Iranian gunboats if they harass our ships at sea.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) April 22, 2020
EPIC V3.1.1 crude oil machine trade software was launched last night, it was an upgrade to execute short term swing trades short in crash scenarios (basically piling on during a crash).
Notes below from the oil trading room:
Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 2:15 PM
@Jeremy i guess we should consider a blow-up protocol update sooner than later take advantage of the party
JeremyYesterday at 2:15 PM
:thumbsup:
Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 2:17 PM
if they hold this it may not blow up considering possible time cycle intra-week
JeremyYesterday at 2:19 PM
i will retrieve exchane data set on negative price protocols
exchange
Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 2:19 PM
k
mind trip the possibilities in negative
JeremyYesterday at 2:20 PM
pending protocols
EPIC V3.1.1 oil machine trading software started firing trades this morning alerting them to the oil trading room, which means order flow is turning positive for bulls fyi
EPIC V3.1.1 carvin' profits machine style on that article put out earlier (unlocked) for intra-day crude oil trade set-up #OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL $UCO $SCO #premarket https://t.co/HcDmpGFUt1 pic.twitter.com/kdtOx8Ot39
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) April 22, 2020
Google is updating to first page on search results the EPIC Oil Algorithm Twitter feed, this is big news and more on this in a separate article.
Google instantly updates page 1 now when EPIC tweets. Nice relationship EPIC and Google got goin'🙏Google knows. #OOTT $CL_F $USO #oiltradealerts pic.twitter.com/gN5rzcb3cW
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) April 22, 2020
Article I wrote last night on US Dollar strength, very important for swing trading and investing bias, more on this in swing trading articles around theme plays in this time cycle.
How to Swing Trade Time-Cycles (Unlocked PT #3): Theme Trading Strategies – How the US Dollar Should Bias Trade Positioning. $USD/CAD $DXY #swingtrading #FX
How to Swing Trade Time-Cycles (Unlocked PT #3): Theme Trading Strategies – How the US Dollar Should Bias Trade Positioning. $USD/CAD $DXY #swingtrading #FXhttps://t.co/VGulM6XNK0
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) April 22, 2020
This Thread Shows the Important of Time Cycles in Trading, A Real Time Example of Oil Trade, also article expands on it a bit.
This thread shows live oil trade alerts from the oil trading room this morning (Discord) and how the algorithmic charting and time cycles provide an edge for oil traders.
A real-time example of how time-cycles work in crude oil trade
#OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL #timecycles Down pointing backhand index
A real-time example of how time-cycles work in crude oil trade 🎯🔥🏹#OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL #timecycles 👇
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) April 22, 2020
I will be on mic in trading room for any trading today in live trading room and EIA.
Good luck out there!
Curt
Other social posts and news articles of interest:
Most Volatile Years in Stock Market History:
Just 76 days into 2020 (x-axis), Stocks have already moved >1% for a massive 42 days (y-axis).
Only 15 years ever reached such intense Volatility – ALL of them remained extremely violent to the very end. Stay nimble.$ES_F $SPX $SPY pic.twitter.com/L77xdVfBrH
— Macro Charts (@MacroCharts) April 22, 2020
A big question facing policymakers in #EmergingMarkets, as well as #investors, is how far can countries go in using the advanced world's playbook to mitigate economic damage from #Covid19 (particularly middle income economies).#Turkey and its #fx are important to watch here.@FT pic.twitter.com/FBHor4hHjz
— Mohamed A. El-Erian (@elerianm) April 22, 2020
Article Topics; Premarket, crude oil, Iran, EPIC V3, machine trading, oil trading, swing trading, live trading room, time cycles.
A Real-Time Example of How Time-Cycles Work in Crude Oil Trade 🎯🔥🏹 #OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL $UCO $SCO #oiltrading #tradealerts 👇
Real Time Crude Oil Trade Alerts, How Time-Cycles Work – Crude Oil Day-Trading Strategies April 22, 2020.
Daytrading crude oil is not easy, having an edge helps. Time cycles are an edge and algorithmic models also help considerably.
Below is a documented real-time oil trade I took earlier this morning – alerting the trade, charting and guidance to our oil trading room members with a series of trade alerts.
The actual oil trade alerts, oil trading room discussion, guidance and charting is below.
The charting includes our EPIC v3 Machine Trading 30 minute algorithmic model and the 1 minute daytrading chart model that our software uses.
In this instance this was a day trade intended to develop in to an intra-week swing trade.
This trading set-up and the strategy itself is in play live right now.
Oil traders may find this interesting for Wednesday April 22,2020 trade.
See below.
A real-time example of how time-cycles work in crude oil trade Direct hitFireBow and arrow
#OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL #timecycles
A real-time example of how time-cycles work in crude oil trade 🎯🔥🏹#OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL #timecycles 👇
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) April 22, 2020
Curt MelonopolyToday at 3:14 AM
Starting a swing long 1/10 size 11.00 with stop 10.39 (on FX USOIL WTI) traded on CL, entering other side of quad on EPIC 30 Min – Curt Personal intraday swing trade.
Will advise.
obviously a high risk trade
Curt MelonopolyToday at 3:14 AM
Starting a swing long 1/10 size 11.00 with stop 10.39 (on FX USOIL WTI) traded on CL, entering other side of quad on EPIC 30 Min – Curt Personal intrad day swing trade.
Will advise.
obviously a high risk trade pic.twitter.com/ccjdMukzym— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) April 22, 2020
30 min quad, hoping to get turn up here
30 min quad, hoping to get turn up here pic.twitter.com/jyOUwmAOMi
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) April 22, 2020
If I actually get my way here I will trim 25% at 11.39, 11.62, 11.87 and have stop just above entry hoping the 25% remaining gets the turn up for more.
There, got my profit trims and holding 25% of position with stops above entry #oiltradealerts That worked well.
If I actually get my way here I will trim 25% at 11.39, 11.62, 11.87 and have stop just above entry hoping the 25% remaining gets the turn up for more.
There, got my profit trims and holding 25% of position with stops above entry #oiltradealerts That worked well. pic.twitter.com/DfucPyh9Kl— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) April 22, 2020
Full move through the EPIC 30 min quad fast there and the swing trade in crude oil is well positioned in time cycle #oiltradealerts
Full move through the EPIC 30 min quad fast there and the swing trade in crude oil is well positioned in time cycle #oiltradealerts pic.twitter.com/LQIUQ1Ifjc
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) April 22, 2020
The power of time cycles and algorithmic trading. #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $USO #machinetrading #oiltradealerts
The power of time cycles and algorithmic trading. #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $USO #machinetrading #oiltradealerts
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) April 22, 2020
Any questions please send me a note via email [email protected].
Thank you.
Curt
Further Learning:
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Article Topics; Crude, Oil, Trading, Strategies, time-cycles, crude oil trade, oil trading room, #OOTT, $CL_F, $USO, $USOIL, $UCO, $SCO, tradealerts, Swing Trading, daytrading, FX, USOIL, WTI
How to Swing Trade Time-Cycles (Unlocked PT #3): Theme Trading Strategies – How the US Dollar Should Bias Trade Positioning. $USDCAD $DXY #FX
How to Swing Trade Time-Cycles (Unlocked PT #3)
Theme Swing Trading Strategies – How US Dollar Should Bias Trades in Indices, Commodities, Currencies, Crypto and Stocks.
Below is a copy of a $USDCAD Trading View chart idea I just posted open to the public (unlocked) that shows the time cycle peak for USDCAD in to Jan/Feb of 2021 warning shorts of the potential for significant volatility in to that time period, it is advantage bulls in USDCAD.
Any other investing or swing trading a trader does should take this time cycle and strength of the US Dollar in to consideration.
Time cycle peaks can go either way so it is important to be flexible in your trading bias, however, this particular set-up is unusually strong and it is a LARGE TIME-CYCLE, this is charted on a Weekly Time-Frame which should be given great consideration by a trader in strategic theme trade planning.
The second part to this public facing unlocked post will be part 3B at which time I will unlock the theme swing plays our members will want to consider for swing trading various financial instruments (as listed above in sub title) in to this time cycle peak.
I will also expand on the US Dollar charting and various algorithmic models to consider in the US Dollar (DXY) for trading it and themes surrounding the US Dollar.
For now, a copy of my Trading View Post on USDCAD chart structure is below with some comment.
Very Dangerous for Shorts – USDCAD Time Cycle Peak Jan-Feb 2021 – #USDCAD chart
Time Cycle Peaks and Inflections
Time cycle inflections can go either way, they are an area of great volatility , but for now this is significantly weighted to advantage bulls as it relates to the time cycle in currency trade for USDCAD #USDCAD $USDCAD.
What makes this potentially even more volatile is the work we do in volatility $VIX timecycles and Oil volatility ( OVX ) etc. They are all signalling this time period as extreme.
………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
How to Swing Trade Volatility $VIX Time-Cycles (UNLOCKED PT 1): Achieve Higher Gains in Stocks, Commodities , Indices, Crypto, Currencies and Theme Trades.
Protected: How to Swing Trade Volatility Time-Cycles (PREMIUM PT 2): Entering Eye of The Storm – Indices, Commodities , Currencies, Crypto and Stock Theme Trades.
And coming in this series of Swing Trading $STUDY GUIDES (after we review current trade alerts and profit loss statement updates) you will see a series of articles from me to prepare our swing trades that will slowly focus us down deeper and deeper in the rabbit hole of the cycle.
You’ll see review of current trade positions, swing trade alert reviews and on to indices, sectors, commodities, currencies and then themes will start to show themselves in stocks etc.
So now it is all about $STUDY of trade set-ups and watching for inflections, themes, sentiment, trajectory of trade and much more.
This is why the Sunday $STUDY sessions are so important. THEY ARE CRITICAL.
Just following along with our swing trade alerts is fine – we have many traders that do very well with simply just that, but it doesn’t help teach you to learn to fish on your own.
If you are in the Swing Trade $STUDY sessions you can bring set-ups forward, you can then plan your sizing and ebb and flow of trade in advance. This is key to trading success. A plan in advance.
We charge 100.00 for non-members and 50.00 for members for 10 session blocks at 4 hours each held once a week and if you can’t be in session online we email a video copy to you.
You can register online here to the Swing Trade Sunday $STUDY Sessions.
Stay awake, we’re entering the cycle now, it reminds me of being in the two hurricanes on the north shore of the Dominican Republic a few years back, it is an amazing experience.
If you need help with a trade set-up email me at [email protected].
Thanks,
Curt
Look for “Swing Trading Time Cycles Part 4: Swing Trade Alert Reviews – Current Trades” in your member email inbox shortly.
Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):
- Swing Trading Performance Summary (Q4 2019, Q1 2020 Interim): Return %, Gain/Loss, Win/Loss Rate, Number of Trades.
- Swing Trading Alert Profit Loss – Annualized ROI 1543.93% Feb 1-Feb 21, 2020. $200,000.00 – $230,051.00 #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading Profit Loss – Annualized ROI 64.45% Jan 1 – Jan 31, 2020. $200,000.00 – $208119.00. #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading Profit Loss – Annualized ROI 246.31% Dec 1 – Dec 31, 2019. $200,000.00 – $220,898.50. #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading Profit Loss – Annualized ROI 315.32% Nov 1 – Nov 30, 2019. $200,000.00 – $224,130.16. #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading Profit Loss – Annualized ROI 62.69% October 2019. $100,000.00 – $103,970.20. #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading Profit Loss Annualized 355.22%. March 26 – June 28, 2017. $204,616.60 – $303,443.60. #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading (Short Term Trades) Profit Loss Annualized 2,437.96%. April 3 – June 28, 2017. $17,354.69 – $37,713.16 . #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing and Day Trading Profit Loss – Annualized 957.90% Dec 26, 2016 – March 26, 2017. $100,000.00 – $180,347.88 . #swingtrading #tradealerts
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Article Topics; US Dollar, USD/CAD, DXY, swing trading, time cycles, trading, currencies, study, charting, setups, FX
How to Swing Trade Volatility $VIX Time-Cycles (UNLOCKED PT 1): Achieve Higher Gains in Stocks, Commodities, Indices, Crypto, Currencies and Theme Trades.
PART 1: How to Swing Trade Volatility $VIX Time-Cycles and Achieve Much Higher Gains (ROI) in Equities, Commodities, Indices, Crypto and Theme Trades.
In my opinion, this is the single most important skill a trader can possess, charting and trading time-cycle inflections within the markets.
Below is Part 1 of my new $STUDY guide series for swing traders and daytraders alike.
I am asked all the time why my Swing Trading win percentage is high, most assume I am a mystic of some sort because I always write about or share on social media charting or comments relating to market time-cycles. Seriously, people message me all the time with these sorts of assertions or questions.
In the technical analysis work I do in time-cycles there is nothing mystic about it at all. I don’t sit on a tripod, I don’t meditate (at least in the way you might imagine), I don’t look to the stars or special numbers. I use structural mathematical chart modeling and more often than not geometric charting structures built on Fibonacci levels.
Every financial instrument has a natural trading structure, patterns or as some refer to it as chart memory.
In nature all entities have a natural order or structure, this is the premise of Fibonacci. Financial instruments are natural in that they are traded on public markets by humans – this makes the instruments natural in structure.
However, there are times where specific events such as world calamities occur like COVID-19 Black Swan Event, the Iraq war, the 911 terrorist attack etc.
During these times the trading structure of financial instruments is more often than not divergent – or trading outside of its natural structure.
Central bank intervention (QE) can also cause divergent trade within a stock, commodity, indices etc as can company news (referring to publicly traded stocks). The smaller the company the more opportunity for divergent trade outside of the natural structure. Here the trade instrument or market liquidity becomes important.
If then random events cause the natural trade action of a stock (or whatever) to not be normal this is usually accompanied by increased volatility. A great example of this is the recent COVID-19 Black Swan Event and how it affected various markets around the world.
A specific example can be seen in the trade action of crude oil futures, and more specifically the trade volatility of crude oil, which is called or traded as symbol $OVX . Oil volatility (OVX) was trading in the 20’s (where we were accumulating based on time cycle work) and when the Black Swan event hit the price of $OVX Oil Volatility hit 334.00s, an incredible win. This was all based on time cycle work.
Below is a chart showing the trade action of OVX (Oil Volatility) during the COVID-19 Black Swan Event.
So if we know that specifically time cycle events (that normally come with increased volatility) occur within public markets then is it possible that knowing the structure of volatility (VIX) itself and related financial instruments such as oil volatility (OVX) can assist with a trader’s bias for trading various stocks, metals, currencies, crypto, indices and more?
The answer is yes. But it gets better.
Each instrument itself has its own natural order, or structure. The instrument structure say for example with Apple (AAPL) stock can then be charted on various time-frames from weekly, daily, hourly etc (we chart on thirteen time-frames). This provides a trader with the structure of timing for volatility and price trajectory on various time-frames, for investing, swing trading and daytrading.
And it even gets better (like the TV commercials haha) because when a trader understands how the volatility (VIX) and market time-cycles can line up and also with various themes (for example stock or sector themes) then things get really interesting for your ROI because now you have all structures of trade firing together in a symbiotic fashion. It becomes pure trading ecstasy.
This my friends is why our swing trading platform is so successful and why we structure our trade bias the way we do.
When the iron is hot we strike (time cycles) and when it cools we are taking profit and in deep $STUDY of the financial instrument structures and time cycles.
Another recent example is when the market bull seemed as though it would never stop, and four days before it stopped in a very volatile fashion we publicly announced that we were taking our profits and leaving our long positions behind, we cashed out. This, was done with time cycle work.
The tweet below explains (and shows the actual swing trade alerts) of some of our time cycle work,
I am explaining that I knew about the Black Swan event coming (called it Dec 19, 2019) and then on February 13, 2020 4 days before the market started to collapse we publicly announced we were taking our profits in the bull run home and closing longs.
And then even better yet, we sized in to shorting NIKE, WYNN and MASTERCARD for epic wins. This is where your profits are, in the time cycle inflections, everything else is $STUDY and positioning (managing size and getting your position and trajectory of trade right for the boom).
“Dec 19 call for pins to be pulled, last time cycle published, Feb 13 out of long positions 90% (publicly) then we hammered down short $NKE $WYNN $MA etc..
Why is this important?
For a victory lap? How bout truth.
#Timecycles, market instrument structure.
Natural law.”
Dec 19 call for pins to be pulled, last time cycle published, Feb 13 out of long positions 90% (publicly) then we hammered down short $NKE $WYNN $MA etc..
Why is this important?
For a victory lap? How bout truth.#Timecycles, market instrument structure.
Natural law.
🎯🏹🔥 pic.twitter.com/sV4NgPrcqs
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) April 5, 2020
So in part two of this article (it will be Premium member only) we will look specifically at Volatility (VIX) and how the time cycles within volatility work and then we’ll move to various stock theme swing trades we are looking at in this current time cycle along with also doing some articles over the coming days on the trade set-ups within this cycle for crypto, metals, indices, currencies and more.
This time period now is all about getting ready, understanding how time cycles work, starting to get our positioning in the various themes of trade and watching for the trajectories to line up between now and the peak of the next time cycle and the one after.
Also, before I forget, I am also going to be covering in articles for our members soon the need for a proper trading plan before entering your trade including how to size your trade, how to ebb and flow the support and resistance within the structure, sizing and trading the time cycle inflections of the instrument and more.
If you need help with a trade set-up email me at [email protected].
Thanks,
Curt
Part Two in this $STUDY Series can be found here:
Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):
- Swing Trading Performance Summary (Q4 2019, Q1 2020 Interim): Return %, Gain/Loss, Win/Loss Rate, Number of Trades.
- Swing Trading Alert Profit Loss – Annualized ROI 1543.93% Feb 1-Feb 21, 2020. $200,000.00 – $230,051.00 #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading Profit Loss – Annualized ROI 64.45% Jan 1 – Jan 31, 2020. $200,000.00 – $208119.00. #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading Profit Loss – Annualized ROI 246.31% Dec 1 – Dec 31, 2019. $200,000.00 – $220,898.50. #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading Profit Loss – Annualized ROI 315.32% Nov 1 – Nov 30, 2019. $200,000.00 – $224,130.16. #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading Profit Loss – Annualized ROI 62.69% October 2019. $100,000.00 – $103,970.20. #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading Profit Loss Annualized 355.22%. March 26 – June 28, 2017. $204,616.60 – $303,443.60. #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading (Short Term Trades) Profit Loss Annualized 2,437.96%. April 3 – June 28, 2017. $17,354.69 – $37,713.16 . #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing and Day Trading Profit Loss – Annualized 957.90% Dec 26, 2016 – March 26, 2017. $100,000.00 – $180,347.88 . #swingtrading #tradealerts
Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:
Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter, Live Swing Trading Alerts, Study Guides).
Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).
Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).
Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).
One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).
Free Mailing List(s):
Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.
Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)
Public Chat:
Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.
Free Mailing List(s):
Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.
Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)
Public Chat:
Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.
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Article Topics; swing trading, time cycles, volatility, VIX, stocks, commodities, crypto, metals, indices, trading, currencies, Fibonacci, charting, markets, black swan events
More Active Intra-Day Trading is Near (Time Cycle Inflection) RE: Live Trading Room, Oil & Swing Trade Alerts. Stocks, $SPY, OIL, $CL_F, $USO, GOLD, $GLD, SILVER, $SLV, $BTC, $VIX, $DXY)
IMPORTANT: Trading Team Note
This is likely one of the more important notes you will ever receive from me, the upcoming time-cycles are going to be historically important, the biggest in history past, present and future.
RE: More Intra-Day Trading Near (Time Cycle Inflections)
Applies to: Live Trading Room, Oil Trade Alerts, Swing Trade Alerts. Stocks, SP500, $SPY, OIL, $CL_F, $USO, GOLD, $GLD, $GC_F, SILVER, $SLV, BITCOIN, $BTC, Volatility, $VIX, US Dollar, $DXY
Good evening team,
The recent time cycle that peaked last week was spot on, we nailed the run up (many plays in equities were 2-6x hits) and then the down (OVX 20s to 340s, VIX we nailed, shorting MasterCard, Nike and WYNN with size and many more) and then the recent bounce has been good to us and we sold the day before and early morning of the pull back in Wednesday trade.
The time cycles we follow were spot on and have been now for near 5 years – this is a considerable advantage in our overall bias with trade positioning and themes (more on this in another note).
For those that are not aware, our swing trading platform easily returns triple digits per year and this year we expect 4 digit returns+ and the win rate is high – easily 80%+ sometimes better. You are welcome to inspect our alert feed anytime to confirm for yourself.
Why do I point this out?
Because we are now entering another turn (we’re in the turn now). Time cycle inflections are important.
This particular time cycle inflection from the first week of April 2020 (peak) to the last week of August 2020 peak is going to be aggressive and we expect the next after that in to the US election to be even more so.
In fact, we expect the volatility or better described as range of markets to increase for at least the next 4 time cycles and even likely in to mid 2022 and possibly in to 2025.
We have been spot on so far with our forecasts and don’t expect different anytime soon, it is simply math and natural order.
So why am I sending this notice to our trading team?
In this inflection (turn) in to and running to the last week of August it is important we are really on top of the inflections in stocks (equities), oil trading and commodities, volatility, indices and the Dollar.
We make the majority of our profit in inflections. There are periods we are quiet and then boom it’s time to go, it is in the “GO” where the money is made.
The next “GO” should be at latest this time next week, by then we should start to see inflections in the markets to really size in to themes of trade. If you study our swing trading alert feed you will see the quiet times and then BOOM it’s GO TIME and then quiet and so on.
In this particular turn and in the other time cycle inflections over the next few years I will be doing a lot more intra day and intra week swing trading (really it is better described as inflection theme trading).
More specifically, I will be more active, higher frequency, working the edges of the ranges to get sizing in to the inflection trades. This means a very active trading room and the alert feeds too of course. Click here for oil trade alerts and here for swing trade alerts.
We have a new internet line being run sometime between now and then that will allow for considerably better stability for the machine trading and the simple live voice broadcasting in the room, until then, if you cannot hear something because of internet or click meeting server issues (COVID life internet issues with everyone working from home) let me know, email me and I’ll send you a note on the set-up.
Between now and then (early to mid next week) I will be in deep $STUDY preparing all of our set-ups. We have 200 stocks (equities) modeled on our trading platform that in large part need to be updated and then also the models for SPY, OIL, GOLD, SILVER, DXY, VIX and Bitcoin. The chart models take a lot of work to update, so if you don’t hear from me that is why haha.
If there are any trade set-ups you want me to review be sure to send them on email.
If you are not a member of the trading room because of the cost send me a note (I get it, it’s not cheap, the alerts are much more affordable I know) but I will find a way to get you a long term subscription and that brings the monthly cost way way down and reasonable for anyone to access (if you are wanting to attend the trading room, it works out to 3,000.00 year or about 9.00 a day with the 50% discount and there are ways to finance that).
If nothing else, get in to those Sunday Swing Trading $STUDY sessions, they’re cheap, literally the cost of coffee, 10 session blocks at 100.00 at 4 hours a session = 40 hours of intense trade set-up study for 100.00 and 50% less for current members of Compound Trading Group. Cheap. Non member price 100.00. Current member price 50.00 (use code “webinar50”). If you can’t attend we send a video report out to everyone anyway.
Yes, I am pushing you, for good reason.
I intentionally brought the swing $STUDY session pricing down to next to zero so everyone has an opportunity in these time cycles. There are no excuses. I cannot stress enough how much your future self will thank you for being in it to win it between now and the global financial reset coming.
Oh and we’re running another trader’s conference (10 in person, 20 online) as soon as the borders open again and everyone can fly – current clients get first pick on the 10 seats in person (see tweet thread and video).
Hola🌴✌️💙 Pull back soon?🔥Man what a rally🎯🍿 https://t.co/kcSbr1b1zX
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) April 15, 2020
And if there’s anything else I can assist with please do not hesitate to reach out because the next few time cycles will be life changing for traders that are ready for them. I mean that in a very literal way. Our returns could easily spike to 5 digit returns, I’m not exaggerating – these are HUGE time cycle coming.
Other items of note are that 1. our crude oil machine trading is introducing CFD’s in the next few weeks, so this is huge because then smaller accounts will be able to increase the win rate considerably (more on this in a near term article) and 2. yes I am going to give in and do some mainstream articles, they’ve been asking for years and more recently more (our time cycle work has them wondering haha) and I think some people need to know about the opportunity right in front of them – I do have a sense of obligation to that (see tweet thread).
So… I'm going official and will write the articles for these "news" sources.
May even put on suit for my profile pic🤣uh no…
But do actually have some article thoughts of inspiration.
This time next week wisdom from the peak of the pyramid shall flow.
Hide you kids.
✌️
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) April 15, 2020
Peace and best,
Curt
Reminder to existing clients! If you are on Whatsapp and want to have the fastest direct access to my trading desk send your whatsapp number to [email protected] and I’ll connect to you there also.
Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):
- Swing Trading Performance Summary (Q4 2019, Q1 2020 Interim): Return %, Gain/Loss, Win/Loss Rate, Number of Trades.
- Swing Trading Alert Profit Loss – Annualized ROI 1543.93% Feb 1-Feb 21, 2020. $200,000.00 – $230,051.00 #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading Profit Loss – Annualized ROI 64.45% Jan 1 – Jan 31, 2020. $200,000.00 – $208119.00. #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading Profit Loss – Annualized ROI 246.31% Dec 1 – Dec 31, 2019. $200,000.00 – $220,898.50. #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading Profit Loss – Annualized ROI 315.32% Nov 1 – Nov 30, 2019. $200,000.00 – $224,130.16. #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading Profit Loss – Annualized ROI 62.69% October 2019. $100,000.00 – $103,970.20. #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading Profit Loss Annualized 355.22%. March 26 – June 28, 2017. $204,616.60 – $303,443.60. #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing Trading (Short Term Trades) Profit Loss Annualized 2,437.96%. April 3 – June 28, 2017. $17,354.69 – $37,713.16 . #swingtrading #tradealerts
- Swing and Day Trading Profit Loss – Annualized 957.90% Dec 26, 2016 – March 26, 2017. $100,000.00 – $180,347.88 . #swingtrading #tradealerts
Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:
Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter, Live Swing Trading Alerts, Study Guides).
Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).
Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).
Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).
One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).
Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:
Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (Member Charting Reports sent out weekly at times in report form or updated on email regularly).
Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed and Discord Private Server Chat Room).
Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes Weekly Newsletter, Trading Room, Charting and real-time Trading Alerts on Twitter and private Discord Chat Room Server).
Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).
Free Mailing List(s):
Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.
Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)
Public Chat:
Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.
Free Mailing List(s):
Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.
Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)
Public Chat:
Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.