Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday December 19, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: EIA, FOMC, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading. - Lead Trader Premarket Note:
- Dec 19 – The Trading View data issue overnight slowed us down, however, reports will be approved and emailed out as soon as intermittent issues resolve (most are resolved it seems now, but some are not at time of writing). Also, all work in progress from 2018 is scheduled to be complete before Jan 1 so we will be quieter than usual with a final push to complete. Caution in to the time cycle peak and step on accelerator on the way out the other side.
- Dec 18 – We are updating all algorithm models and swing trade reporting. All will be distributed before start of new time cycle Friday. On other side of time cycle peak the reporting will be intense as the trends develop post time cycle peak. The associated private discord server and alert feeds will be more active as a result also. We nailed the time cycles before the election, post election and in to this peak we backed off considerably, out the other side of this peak we will be extremely active for 6 months.
- Dec 17 – This Friday is the time cycle peak in global markets. That makes this week and next the inflection. Member / client reporting over next two weeks will be intense. I will be in trading room most days over next 6 months. Public sharing of calls in this massive cycle next will be minimal. We’re locking down for the cycle. Explained on my Twitter account tonight. My goal is to back off front lines to back office when time cycle complete. Massive time cycle next and we intend to hit it. Hope y’all bank.
- Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps December/ January for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Cabarete trading boot camp to be announced for early Feb 2019.
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Reporting: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Wednesday Dec 19 –
Still holding DGAZ (Natgas short) and will add to it if oil gets a leg up post EIA and FOMC.
Still holding the others per recent reports.
Time cycle completing and with FOMC and EIA today it makes sense.
Some of our favorite daytrading and swing trading equities are bullish premarket so that is a good sign and many market leaders have a jump in their step this morning, FB is an exception – it isn’t looking great at time of writing.
Machine trade in oil yesterday worked, small but it worked fine. Per dms, the reason it didn’t trade in to 230 EST when it was an obvious trade after giving guidance of price pressure in to the close is that the software is programmed not to trade between 210 – 230 EST in to close with oil. Same with post close until futures open, right before regular market open and around EIA or other special events. We will shorten this duration next updates and have a goal to completely eliminate the black out period for events and low volume periods – will advise.
Patience, we’re almost done this cycle.
Per Recent:
Tuesday Dec 18 –
DO NOT MISS the lead trader premarket note at start of this report.
I am watching GS, MCD, SBUX and SPY today, as well as Oil and obviously VIX with the two day Fed meetings. The other watches are in recent lists in premarket (equities etc). Also, Trump after Googl, FB, and TWTR again – watch your long bias.
If oil doesn’t regain yesterday’s price drop I will close my DGAZ long position soon.
Everything in recent reports remains in to time cycle peak. Use extreme caution.
We’re close to the other side of this cycle now. Lots of reporting on deck.
In to and out of this massive time cycle peak $STUDY and you’ll never regret it. Forget trading for a week.
Monday Dec 17 –
Global markets are calmer. Out of the VIX short trade last week but still in the others.
Equities on watch listed below all remain on my list.
Dec 13 – Markets are mixed (not surprising considering time cycle completion on 20 th ish). Extreme caution between here and 20th ish.
Current Trades:
Looking for a pull back on DGAZ to size next leg above starter.
Holding VIX starter short in TVIX – HIGH RISK TRADE, extreme caution. Likely reverse bias after Dec 20 ish.
Holding SPY long starter. Likely reverse to short after Dec 20 ish.
Holding DWT short starter (however, it looks like oil may take another leg down here, it will either hold here or down another floor). Will size in next leg after a pull back in oil.
Holding ARWR swing starter long (missed my next leg size).
Looking for a possible BTC long swing other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible Silver and Gold long other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible DXY short other side of Dec 20 ish.
Expect next 6 months to be trading career huge. Massive range. Equity swings will increase as we come out of this time cycle peak – it will be a stock pickers year in 2019 with technical analysis rooting the trade action. My goal is to retire off front lines in 6 months (still here, but off the front lines), to do that my personal trading and machine trading has to be massive to win side.
Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…
We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)
Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …
Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. W
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas.
Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:03 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.98, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 46.53, Gold $GLD trading 1247.43, Silver $SLV trading 14.64, $SPY 255.98 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3826.00 and $VIX trading 25.2.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
$WGO $DPW $AVGR $JBL $RIOT $AXON $ZIOP $RCII $TLRY $GSK $DGAZ $GOL $NGG $HMY $HIIQ $GUSH $RACE $APHA $GE
22 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12873168 $WGO $JBL $ZIOP $RCII $GSK $TLRY $ACB $MU $SRNE $FDX $EVFM
News:
$FDX $UPS – FedEx’s ‘jarring’ guidance cut
Rent-A-Center’s stock surges after B. Riley says termination of Vintage merger is ‘invalid’
$KRYS Completes Dosing in the GEM-Phase 2 Study in Pediatric Patients for the Treatment of Dystrophic Epidermolysis Bullosa. Topline Data 1H’19
$SVRA Announces Interim Results for OPTIMA Clinical Study of Molgradex for the Treatment of NTM
$EIGR Announces Breakthrough Therapy Designation For Lonafarnib In Progeria And Progeroid Laminopathies
Criminal justice bill puts prison stocks on watch
https://seekingalpha.com/news/3418068-criminal-justice-bill-puts-prison-stocks-watch
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:
Cannabis company Aleafia to buy Emblem for 27% premium, in a C$173.2 million deal
Rent-A-Center’s stock surges after B. Riley says termination of Vintage merger is ‘invalid’
GE’s stock surges after report of IPO plans for health-care business #swingtrading #premarket #IPO
GE's stock surges after report of IPO plans for health-care business #swingtrading #premarket #IPO https://t.co/fD4Ab95gGP
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) December 19, 2018
DPW to pursue IPO of its technology and defense businesses
Olive Garden parent Darden Restaurants tops profit and same-store sales expectations
$AME – AMETEK completes private placement offering
$CGIX terminates merger
Earnings:
Micron downgraded to hold at Needham after earnings
Winnebago’s stock soars after profit and revenue rise above expectations
#earnings for the week
$MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST
#earnings for the week $MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/VUgTdva6Tj
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 17, 2018
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
Short Natural Gas trade in DGAZ – looking for add today post EIA if oil jumps. #NaturalGas #trading #alerts
Short Natural Gas trade in DGAZ – looking for add today post EIA if oil jumps. #NaturalGas #trading #alerts
Lost a personal oil trade yesterday and late last week. Machine trading in oil doing well (t will outperform my returns now) so I will let our software handle the oil trading for now on. I’ll still trade oil but only based on machine trading alert signals.
This simple structure our coders are using to code support resistance sizing remains in play #Oil #trading
This simple structure our coders are using to code support resistance sizing remains in play #Oil #trading
The $DGAZ trade. Short Natural Gas. #natgas $UGAZ $UNG
The $DGAZ trade. Short Natural Gas. #natgas $UGAZ $UNG
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/tbbunu8VGB
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT pic.twitter.com/s84TakajSQ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT pic.twitter.com/FCj73Q40wQ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 11, 2018
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/tE6JDg8hZS
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 4, 2018
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Futures Rise Ahead Of Fed; Europe Jumps On Italy Budget Deal
Futures Rise Ahead Of Fed; Europe Jumps On Italy Budget Deal https://t.co/8LFdHzKBDn
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 19, 2018
A ‘dirty’ rally is taking shape as the stock market is heavily oversold https://on.mktw.net/2Locu1C
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $WGO $DPW $AVGR $JBL $RIOT $AXON $ZIOP $RCII $TLRY $GSK $DGAZ $GOL $NGG $HMY $HIIQ $GUSH $RACE $APHA $GE
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
$ULTA – Citi says Buy to Ulta
JPMorgan Upgrades Medtronic, Inc. $MDT to Overweight
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Antero Resources $AR PT Lowered to $20 at TD Securities
Schlumberger: Credit Suisse Cuts To Neutral From Outperform $SLB
-Cuts PT To $44 From $65
NCS Multistage Holdings $NCSM PT Lowered to $8 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse Downgrades Kinross Gold $KGC to Underperform
Bristow Group $BRS PT Lowered to $3.50 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse Downgrades Superior Energy Services $SPN to Neutral
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading,Time Cycles,
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Tuesday December 18, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: GS, SBUX, FB, GOOGL, TWTR, Analysts, Fed, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading. - Lead Trader Premarket Note:
- Dec 18 – We are updating all algorithm models and swing trade reporting. All will be distributed before start of new time cycle Friday. On other side of time cycle peak the reporting will be intense as the trends develop post time cycle peak. The associated private discord server and alert feeds will be more active as a result also. We nailed the time cycles before the election, post election and in to this peak we backed off considerably, out the other side of this peak we will be extremely active for 6 months.
- Dec 17 – This Friday is the time cycle peak in global markets. That makes this week and next the inflection. Member / client reporting over next two weeks will be intense. I will be in trading room most days over next 6 months. Public sharing of calls in this massive cycle next will be minimal. We’re locking down for the cycle. Explained on my Twitter account tonight. My goal is to back off front lines to back office when time cycle complete. Massive time cycle next and we intend to hit it. Hope y’all bank.
- Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps December/ January for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Cabarete trading boot camp to be announced for early Feb 2019.
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Reporting: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Tuesday Dec 18 –
DO NOT MISS the lead trader premarket note at start of this report.
I am watching GS, MCD, SBUX and SPY today, as well as Oil and obviously VIX with the two day Fed meetings. The other watches are in recent lists in premarket (equities etc). Also, Trump after Googl, FB, and TWTR again – watch your long bias.
If oil doesn’t regain yesterday’s price drop I will close my DGAZ long position soon.
Everything in recent reports remains in to time cycle peak. Use extreme caution.
We’re close to the other side of this cycle now. Lots of reporting on deck.
In to and out of this massive time cycle peak $STUDY and you’ll never regret it. Forget trading for a week.
In to and out of this massive time cycle peak $STUDY and you'll never regret it. Forget trading for a week.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 18, 2018
Per Recent:
Monday Dec 17 –
Global markets are calmer. Out of the VIX short trade last week but still in the others.
Equities on watch listed below all remain on my list.
Dec 13 – Markets are mixed (not surprising considering time cycle completion on 20 th ish). Extreme caution between here and 20th ish.
Current Trades:
Looking for a pull back on DGAZ to size next leg above starter.
Holding VIX starter short in TVIX – HIGH RISK TRADE, extreme caution. Likely reverse bias after Dec 20 ish.
Holding SPY long starter. Likely reverse to short after Dec 20 ish.
Holding DWT short starter (however, it looks like oil may take another leg down here, it will either hold here or down another floor). Will size in next leg after a pull back in oil.
Holding ARWR swing starter long (missed my next leg size).
Looking for a possible BTC long swing other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible Silver and Gold long other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible DXY short other side of Dec 20 ish.
Expect next 6 months to be trading career huge. Massive range. Equity swings will increase as we come out of this time cycle peak – it will be a stock pickers year in 2019 with technical analysis rooting the trade action. My goal is to retire off front lines in 6 months (still here, but off the front lines), to do that my personal trading and machine trading has to be massive to win side.
Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…
We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)
Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …
Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. W
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas.
Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
Market Observation:
Markets as of 6:51 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 97.12, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 48.41, Gold $GLD trading 1249.43, Silver $SLV trading 14.67, $SPY 256.71 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3472.00 and $VIX trading 24.2.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $MRIN
$MRIN (+54.7% pre) Marin Software’s stock rockets 60% on Google revenue pact – MW
News:
$EIGR Announces PRIME Designation Granted by EMA for Lonafarnib for Treatment of Hepatitis Delta Virus Infection
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:
DPW to pursue IPO of its technology and defense businesses
Olive Garden parent Darden Restaurants tops profit and same-store sales expectations
$AME – AMETEK completes private placement offering
$CGIX terminates merger
Earnings:
Navistar beats profit and revenue expectations, provides upbeat outlook
#earnings for the week
$MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST
#earnings for the week $MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/VUgTdva6Tj
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 17, 2018
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
Lost a personal oil trade yesterday and late last week. Machine trading in oil doing well (t will outperform my returns now) so I will let our software handle the oil trading for now on. I’ll still trade oil but only based on machine trading alert signals.
This simple structure our coders are using to code support resistance sizing remains in play #Oil #trading
This simple structure our coders are using to code support resistance sizing remains in play #Oil #trading
The $DGAZ trade. Short Natural Gas. #natgas $UGAZ $UNG
The $DGAZ trade. Short Natural Gas. #natgas $UGAZ $UNG
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/tbbunu8VGB
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT pic.twitter.com/s84TakajSQ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT pic.twitter.com/FCj73Q40wQ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 11, 2018
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/tE6JDg8hZS
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 4, 2018
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things
-Stock slump continues
-Oil plunges
-Xi stands his ground
-Fed meeting begins
-EU plays hardball on Brexit
https://bloom.bg/2S8FvBh
Facebook, Twitter and Google are so biased toward the Dems it is ridiculous! Twitter, in fact, has made it much more difficult for people to join @realDonaldTrump. They have removed many names & greatly slowed the level and speed of increase. They have acknowledged-done NOTHING!
Facebook, Twitter and Google are so biased toward the Dems it is ridiculous! Twitter, in fact, has made it much more difficult for people to join @realDonaldTrump. They have removed many names & greatly slowed the level and speed of increase. They have acknowledged-done NOTHING!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 18, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $MRIN $AETI $BIOC $UGAZ $ACHV $NAV $ACHN $SPRX $ACRX $ORCL $CRH $STM $SBGL $UNG $TLRY
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $DGAZ $RCII $TVIX $UVXY $UWT $SQQQ $VXX $SPXU $SPXS $UCO $QID $SHPG $PM
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
Desjardins Upgrades Shaw Communications (SJR/B:CN) $SJRWF to Buy
$TTWO – Buckingham starts Take-Two at Buy
$GILD initiated at Buy at Guggenheim. PT $86
$ORCL Raised @ RBC to $55.00 PT after Earnings
$AMD Reiterated Outperform @ RBC PT $34.00 Joins Nasdaq 100 on Dec 24th
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Inter Piperline Ltd. (IPL:CN) PT Lowered to Cdn$25 at Desjardins
H.C. Wainwright Downgrades Advaxis $ADXS to Neutral
$OSTK DA davidson lowers PT to $58 from $11
$DOVA Lowered @ Landenberg to $32.00 from $65.00 PT
$TSLA Maintained Sell @ GS $225.00 PT
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Fed, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Monday December 17, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading. - Lead Trader Premarket Note: This Friday is the time cycle peak in global markets. That makes this week and next the inflection. Member / client reporting over next two weeks will be intense. I will be in trading room most days over next 6 months. Public sharing of calls in this massive cycle next will be minimal. We’re locking down for the cycle. Explained on my Twitter account tonight. My goal is to back off front lines to back office when time cycle complete. Massive time cycle next and we intend to hit it. Hope y’all bank.
- Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps December 2019 for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Report: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Monday Dec 17 –
Global markets are calmer. Out of the VIX short trade last week but still in the others.
Equities on watch listed below all remain on my list.
Per Recent:
Dec 13 – Markets are mixed (not surprising considering time cycle completion on 20 th ish). Extreme caution between here and 20th ish.
Current Trades:
Looking for a pull back on DGAZ to size next leg above starter.
Holding VIX starter short in TVIX – HIGH RISK TRADE, extreme caution. Likely reverse bias after Dec 20 ish.
Holding SPY long starter. Likely reverse to short after Dec 20 ish.
Holding DWT short starter (however, it looks like oil may take another leg down here, it will either hold here or down another floor). Will size in next leg after a pull back in oil.
Holding ARWR swing starter long (missed my next leg size).
Looking for a possible BTC long swing other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible Silver and Gold long other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible DXY short other side of Dec 20 ish.
Expect next 6 months to be trading career huge. Massive range. Equity swings will increase as we come out of this time cycle peak – it will be a stock pickers year in 2019 with technical analysis rooting the trade action. My goal is to retire off front lines in 6 months (still here, but off the front lines), to do that my personal trading and machine trading has to be massive to win side.
Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…
We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)
Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …
Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. W
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas.
Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:30 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 97.09, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 51.73, Gold $GLD trading 1239.83, Silver $SLV trading 14.61, $SPY 260.34 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3361.00 and $VIX trading 22.6.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
Jack in the Box exploring potential sale of the company
Proteostasis’s stock jumps after license deal with Genentech
20 Stocks Moving In Monday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12858013 $EVFM $PTI $PER $AXON $FRSX $ERJ $BBY $ALQA $QFIN $BZH
News:
Embraer: Deal With Boeing Expected To Be Concluded At End 2019 $BA
$INNT Plans to Commence the First Ever Phase 3 Registration Trial in Celiac Disease in 1H 2019 and Announce Top-line NASH Data with Drug Combinations by EASL 2019
EVIO Labs Receives Provisional License from Massachusetts Cannabis Control Commission
$RHHBY $PTCT $BIIB – EMA grants Prime status for Roche’s risdiplam for SMA
$TLC $ARGX $AXON – Jefferies sees three-bagger in Axovant Sciences in premarket analyst action
#5things
-Goldman 1MDB charges
-Shutdown standoff
-May to reject referendum calls
-Markets quiet
-Coming up…
https://bloom.bg/2S5Cz8r
Top 5 Things to Know in The Market on Monday –
Top 5 Things to Know in The Market on Monday – https://t.co/5cU75qXf70
— Investing.com News (@newsinvesting) December 17, 2018
The Charts Bulls And Bears Are Obsessing Over For 2019
The Charts Bulls And Bears Are Obsessing Over For 2019 https://t.co/BXkjapHzkg
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 16, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:
$AME – AMETEK completes private placement offering
$CGIX terminates merger
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST
#earnings for the week $MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/VUgTdva6Tj
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 17, 2018
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
The $DGAZ trade. Short Natural Gas. #natgas $UGAZ $UNG
The $DGAZ trade. Short Natural Gas. #natgas $UGAZ $UNG
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/tbbunu8VGB
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT pic.twitter.com/s84TakajSQ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT pic.twitter.com/FCj73Q40wQ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 11, 2018
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/tE6JDg8hZS
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 4, 2018
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
The speculative COMEX #gold position flipped to a net-long for the first time in five months. This after funds cut longs by 8k lots and shorts by 20k lots. In the two weeks to December 11 funds bought 62k lots, mostly above $1230/oz. S/t challenged on a break below.
The speculative COMEX #gold position flipped to a net-long for the first time in five months. This after funds cut longs by 8k lots and shorts by 20k lots. In the two weeks to December 11 funds bought 62k lots, mostly above $1230/oz. S/t challenged on a break below. pic.twitter.com/M41pZFNBDO
— Ole S Hansen (@Ole_S_Hansen) December 16, 2018
The combined net-long (+256k lots) in Brent and WTI crude #oil is now more than 20% below the previous two lows in Aug-16 and June-17 from where it rallied strongly on both occasions. #OOTT
The combined net-long (+256k lots) in Brent and WTI crude #oil is now more than 20% below the previous two lows in Aug-16 and June-17 from where it rallied strongly on both occasions. #OOTT pic.twitter.com/N2QOoMIcdh
— Ole S Hansen (@Ole_S_Hansen) December 16, 2018
“Bearish bets against the S&P 500 are at their second-highest levels all year”
"Bearish bets against the S&P 500 are at their second-highest levels all year" https://t.co/vllRACDNIt pic.twitter.com/tIFNlw68Vz
— Trevor Noren (@trevornoren) December 16, 2018
Low-Volatility Stocks Are Shining as Investors Search for More Certainty #swingtrading https://www.barrons.com/articles/low-volatility-stocks-shine-in-this-stock-market-51544702401 … via @BarronsOnline
Low-Volatility Stocks Are Shining as Investors Search for More Certainty #swingtrading https://t.co/NDo0uUAoeR via @BarronsOnline
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 17, 2018
JPM says that investors’ concerns about credit markets are justified. The net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio for the IG and HY universe has been rising steeply over past decade to levels that are much higher than those seen at the peaks of the previous two cycles.
JPM says that investors’ concerns about credit markets are justified. The net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio for the IG and HY universe has been rising steeply over past decade to levels that are much higher than those seen at the peaks of the previous two cycles. pic.twitter.com/xNuMlK6glK
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) December 16, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $LULU $AXON $MFA $CSL $SMG $TGI $LYB $ORTX $SHW $GIII $CLXT $CSL $BKS $G
Lululemon’s stock rallies after Stifel analyst says it’s time to buy
MCDONALD’S: JP MORGAN RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $182 FROM $180
$MCD
STARBUCKS CORP: JP MORGAN RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $70 FROM $69
$SBUX
(6) Recent Downgrades: $SCG $THC $EMR $ITW $BBY $EMR $MSEX $CPK $THC $BXMT
BEST BUY CO INC: BOFA MERRILL CUTS TO UNDERPERFORM FROM NEUTRAL
$BBY
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday December 12, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: Firsts Far From Over, EIA, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY, NatGas and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading. - Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps December / January 2019 for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Report: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 12, 2018
We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…
We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)
Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …
Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. We have majority of weekly reporting due out Mon – Wed evening.
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Reminder: The live trading room is partitioned in to 25 attendees per room each viewing the same charting. If you are moved room to room you will be down for at most 20 secs at a time.
Reminder: The live trading room is attended by mostly full time traders and funds. We appreciate interaction to be as actionable as possible for attendees. Chatter can be directed to Discord server specific to instrument. If you need a link to private discord server for chat let us know [email protected].
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas. Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
I may be off on Friday for a vet hospital operation (bulldog) YTBD.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:00 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 97.45, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 52.61, Gold $GLD trading 1244.75, Silver $SLV trading 14.63, $SPY 266.77 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3394.00 and $VIX trading 21.1.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:$ABIL $LX $WPP $DBVT
Stocks – Nvidia, Apple, Amazon, Aphria Gain in Premarket; American Eagle Plunges – https://twitter.com/newsinvesting/status/1072847307484348416
News:
Dow set to jump 250 points as Wall Street’s wild swings in reaction to the trade battle continue https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/12/stock-markets-dow-cheered-by-trumps-upbeat-trade-war-comments.html?__source=iosappshare%7Ccom.apple.UIKit.activity.PostToTwitter
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Ride-hailing startup Lyft files confidentially for U.S. IPO.
Read: https://goo.gl/jxpnxi
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$ADBE $AEO $SFIX $COST $DSW $PLAY $CIEN $PVTL $ASNA $INSE $FRAN $GTIM $CDMO $ASPU $ARWR $DLHC $CASY $PLAB $VRA $NCS $NX $TLRD $SEAC $ROAD $CHKE $IRET $OXM $NDSN $FTI $VERU $PHX $CIVI $SKIS $SMMT $PURE $STRM $MMMB $AXNX
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
USOIL MACD turned up on daily testing 20 MA resistance area. Holding after recent sell-off. #oil #Chart #crude
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility lower but we’re watching in to Dec 5 and lower supports near bollinger for possible bounce $VIX #volatility
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
TVIX premarket trading down. We are short Volatility from last Wednesday in 49s #premarket #volatility $VIX
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
if crude lets go here watch out…. yet again
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade
Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.
Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.
Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.
Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
A Peek Into The Markets: US Stock Futures Higher Ahead Of Consumer Price Index https://benzinga.com/z/12836854 $AEO$BAC$PLAY$MRNS$SPY$DJIA$USO
Yields on 3-month Treasury bills match those on global bonds for the first time since the financial crisis. https://www.ft.com/content/2a6a0ccc-fd2d-11e8-aebf-99e208d3e521 …
Trump admin seeks to severely limit all biotech interactions with China involving joint ventures, investments into US companies, and manufacturing. Public comments are due by Dec 18 2018! Universities are already planning to curtail graduate programs/students. This is HUGE 🤯
Nice one: A flatter yield curve tends to boost volatility as we move into the later phase of the economic cycle.
Kremlin tells Russian banks to prepare for disconnection from international payment systems #Russia
The market’s biggest problem: Everyone Is Bearish But No-One Is Short
Don’t get too scared by flattening yield curve: S&P 500 didn’t peak for >19mths, on avg, after yield curve inverted. On avg, it gained >22% before reaching its high point. Time between inversion & recession arriving can be as long as 765 days.
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, EIA, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY, NatGas
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Thursday November 1, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: Recent Trades, Time Cycles, DXY, VIX, OIL, Earnings, Apple, AAPL, BABA, SAP, ATHN … more. Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group. Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
- Nov 12 – Trade Service Updates: Machine Trade, Trade Alerts, Live Trading, Reporting, Coaching etc.
- Ask for a tour of our member swing trading alert feed – we’ve done well through this and expect it to get better through Q1 2019. Been through many downturns over 30 years. Check the feed and tell me I’m wrong. #swingtrading #premarket https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1057255452621324289
- Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us! https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
- https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1054318666878238720
- Miscellaneous Work in Progress List:
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room.
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps before end of year for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day). Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us. https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569 Real-time Trade Alerts: Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds. Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts. Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use: Subscribers: read disclaimer. Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: #BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ … https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336 How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088 How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952 Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password. Oct 30 – The Best Crude Oil Day Trading Signal Available | It Happened Again Today for 153 Tick Gain Intra-Day. Oct 29 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part B) Mon Oct 29 SQ, AGN, BOX, PRQR, NBEV, PYX, NFLX, BLDP, LEVB, DIS. Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance. Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video. Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example. Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal. Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move. Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles. Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters. Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU. Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more. Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video). Sept 28 – Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. Our SQUARE $SQ Trade As Example #swingtrading Sept 26 – Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades (w / video) Trading Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more. Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video) Recent Educational Articles / Videos: I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds. Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: Nov 12 Trading Plan – Watching today close (huge caution) with time cycle peak in play. More as day unfolds in to tomorrow. Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch. https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1049103848420335616 Market Observation: Markets as of 8:30 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.90, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 60.88, Gold $GLD trading 1205.00, Silver $SLV trading 14.09, $SPY 276.81 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6368.00 and $VIX trading 18.1. Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: 25 Stocks Moving In Monday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12677825 $APTI $CCRC $LCI $OPK $SVMK $IQ $NBEV $GNC $BZUN $ABMD $SAP https://twitter.com/Benzinga/status/1061973619151126529 News: Pain Therapeutics stock rises on plans to appeal opioid approval decision Stocks making the biggest move premarket: BABA, SAP, ATHN & more – https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1061970824159215616 Apple’s stock dives further in premarket, after Lumentum cuts outlook #swingtrading #premarket $AAPL https://on.mktw.net/2DxCF4U https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct/status/1061976549866520576 Recent SEC Filings / Insiders: Recent IPO’s: 7 things you need to know about SoftBank’s $21 billion IPO https://bloom.bg/2T61p95 Saudi Aramco CEO says IPO will ‘certainly’ happen https://reut.rs/2QxOICd Earnings: #earnings for the week $NVDA $CGC $HD $TLRY $CRON $WMT $AMAT $CSCO $GOOS $JCP $YY $M $MNGA $APRN $ATHM $ACM $TTNP $DFRG $AAP $WIX $NAT $NTAP $TSN $VIAB $NTES $JWN $ARMK $PETQ $HP $NVCM $SWCH $SONO $GLNG $KMDA $VERI $URGN $VIPS $FOCS $BZH $IZEA $GWGH http://eps.sh/cal #earningsseason calendar $AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY http://eps.sh/cal https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1052581658828910593 Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades: Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process. US Dollar Index (DXY) testing key areas for bullish break here $DXY $UUP #USD #premarket https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/RevZRVIU-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-testing-key-pivot-weekly-chart-UUP-USD/
US Dollar Index (DXY) testing key areas for bullish break here $DXY $UUP #USD #premarket
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1057464025750138881 $TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1056867806183129088 Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.
Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.
Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.
Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts
Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.
Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV
Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.
Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1052195389460295680 That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1052051231080947712
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1049673113590484992 Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1049674045879332864 Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1049636594699984896 This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple. https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1049635827322707968 $ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1046760118296154113 Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet: #OIL #OOTT $CL_F $USO $WTI $USOIL https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1061955918034886656 If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts). Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day): I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time). Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups: (1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups. The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade. Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups: (1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $APTI $MTNB $CCRC $BBOX $PTIE $UGAZ $TOPS $OPK $ATHN $LCI $BOIL $NBEV $SBGL $UNG $SWN $CHK (2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : (3) Other Watch-List: (4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin. (5) Recent Upgrades: $IMO $JBL $SCVL $OIS $AWI $LB $CMA $CCK $SNV $I $KORS $EPAY $MRT $PEB $CROX $SBUX $I Pivotal Research Group upgrades $SCVL from Hold to Buy, target price from $45 to $46 http://99wallstreet.com/ratings/stock/SCVL/ … First Analysis Sec upgrades $EPAY from Outperform to Strong Buy, target price to $88 Stifel upgrades $PEB from Hold to Buy (6) Recent Downgrades: $INFI $EAF $ADMP $CAKE $PHM $CFR $ARD $KERX $PLNT $SCCO $AKAO $TREE $YELP Apple’s stock slips after J.P. Morgan trims price target again H.C. Wainwright downgrades $AKAO from Buy to Neutral, target price from $19 to $3 Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch. Study: For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter. Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan). http://finviz.com/ https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6 http://www.highshortinterest.com/ http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php http://www.3xetf.com/all/ http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs GL! Curtis Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Recent Trades, Time Cycles, DXY, VIX, OIL, Earnings, Apple, AAPL, BABA, SAP, ATHN
Trade Alerts Report and Video from Live Day Trading Room: $NBEV, $TLRY, $CGC, $CRON, $VKTX, $MOMO, $ROKU, $NVTA, $CRC, $THO, $DGLY, $YELP, $XXII, $CVM, $SHOP, OIL, $DXY, $SPY #daytrading #swingtrading
#TradeAlerts
Trading alerts and trading set-ups raw video from Live Trading Room mid-day review Sept 18, 2018. Some of the trade set-ups in this video are from the Trading Boot-Camp.
Stocks Reviewed: $NBEV, $TLRY, $CGC, $CRON, $VKTX, $MOMO, $ROKU, $NVTA, $CRC, $THO, $DGLY, $YELP, $XXII, $CVM, $SHOP, OIL, $DXY, $SPY and more.
Sept 18, 2018 Mid Day Trading Room Review.
Again, the sound upload quality struggled, today we’ll test the hardwired set-up and see if it’s better.
Reviewed the PL for 2017 and 2018 along with goals for Q4 2018 and Q1 2019 – gearing up for a big Q4 this year and Q1 2019 (getting back to basics of trading vs software development because development funds come from trading of course).
BE SURE TO LOOK AT THE CHART DATE AND TIME IN TOP LEFT HAND CORNER OF EACH CHART.
Crude Oil $WTI $CL_F $USO – review of crude oil algorithm and crude oil trading alert at channel support that I should have held, anyway I cut and missed it. Also the top channel resistance crude oil trade set-up was good (missed it, but some of the members reporting they nailed it). Opportunities this week with trading range and EIA reviewed. Crude oil machine trading price targets reviewed also (for last week’s trade). Only 1 minute chart below showing intra day resistance on second trade attempt on day (algorithm models not below).
Oil, 1 Min, trading, chart
VIKING THERAPEUTICS $VKTX – we had this lined up in premarket, retraced intra-day.
VIKING THERAPEUTICS (VKTX) premarket up 140% on liver trial news. $VKTX #premarket #daytrading
TILRAY $TLRY – trading at only 420 x earnings or something like that. Weekly chart gap on gap on weekly body of candles. Only way I would long this is on short time frames, and I likely will when the pot stocks settle a bit – working on the charting for all the pot stocks right now (hopefully released this weekend in prep for a sector pull back when it happens).
SP500 $SPY $SPXS $SPXL – 60 minute chart reviewed, over 291.70 is the upside break resistance, above the box price targets for Sept 27 reviewed on video, various support and resistance areas reviewed.
SP500 (SPY) near break upside test, above signals targets 293, 294.20, 295.50, 297 resistance Sept 21 ish $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #Swingtrade #tradingalerts
MOMO $MOMO – signalling a long or add long over 48.50 (if it holds, you always trim in to resistance areas and then add above or wait for a pull back and add to your long trade), expected trading trajectory reviewed on video, price targets for between now and Feb 5, 2019 large time cycle peak conclusion reviewed on video. This is a very structured chart.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/MOMO/zkLs91ot-MOMO/
MOMO Inc. from Trading BootCamp over 48.50 targets 49.66 50.46 51.42 65.57 Feb 5 #swingtrading #tradealerts
22nd Century Group $XXII – price targets reviewed on video. Very structured equity that has excellent ROI ROE. Not a chart or trade set-up to ignore IMO.
22nd Century Group (XXII) over 2.85 targets 3.09 then 3.53 Nov 19 time cycle. $XXII #tradealerts #swingtrading
SHOPIFY $SHOP – bulls pressing the upside diagonal Fibonacci resistance, price targets reviewed. Great alert from Sean for an excellent swing trade. Could see previous highs in 177.00s really fast.
SHOPIFY (SHOP) continues bullish pressing upper FIB trendline, trading 159.25 targeting 166 Oct 10 $SHOP #tradealerts #swingtrading
CEL SCI Corp $CVM – targets at 5.00 and 6.00 reviewed on chart on video and more is possible, liquidity is my issue. A double upside extension move is possible with this bullish scenario, bottom bounce structure coming out of bowl.
CVM Looking to break recent highs out of bullish bowl targets 5.00 then 6.00. $CVM #swingtrading
ROKU $ROKU – was at resistance 73.55 and price targets reviewed on video. As price nears the peak of the time cycle on the chart prepare for possible double extension blow-through on this one.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ROKU/7dzcNyBE-ROKU/
ROKU INC (ROKU) At resistance 73.55 area, above 73.70 targets 77.80 next. Trim in add above. $ROKU #swingtrde #daytrading
Note: CARA, BOX, BABA, POQR, SSW, VIX, OIL, SPY and others reviewed on yesterday’s video BTW.
CARA THERAPEUTICS $CARA – price targets etc reviewed on yesterday’s video.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CARA/DtYzRa8p-CARA/
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Testing break-out area intra-day. On watch. $CARA #tradingsetups #tradealert
US Dollar $DXY – decision October 3, 2018 that is important on the US Dollar DXY charting (parallel to many other peak time cycles in broad markets). Probability is up at or prior to time cycle completion.
$RLM – no.
$OASM – if you’re a risk taking trader this is a real aggressive chart structure, top of bowl is where it is trading now but it has a nature of coming off hard and it is thinly traded.
$NBEV NEW AGE BEVERAGES – weekly chart over 50 MA targeting 100 MA not a great ROI there in that set-up, chart is hard read. On daily up over 200 MA, does respect the 200 MA on daily, Showing bullish initial signals of a return. This one should go. Volume is good, Initial view I was not too interested but as I looked closer at the NBEV chart I realized this on should be on high watch. I went in to great detail of the pivots on the chart, buy sell triggers and price targets for NBEV.
NEW AGE BEVERAGES (NBEV) Above 2.80, targets 3.27, 4.17, 4.89.
NEW AGE BEVERAGES (NBEV) Above 2.80, targets 3.27, 4.17, 4.89 $NBEV #tradealerts #swingtrading #daytrade
$BHTG – no.
$RDCM – sitting on previous trading range support. 16.00 is reasonable, decent chart.
CRONOS GROUP (CRON) $CRON – reviewed on video, on the fly chart structure model reviewed. On high watch, expect a possible upside trading scenario with CRONOS. A trendline resistance was reviewed and important support and resistance and price targets reviewed on video (while we are processing this report the morning of Sept 19 it is moving in premarket trading up 8.39% at 12.53 in premarket this morning nearing its upside trading test area, the trendline resistance was broke to upside and the 13.00 area resistance in next). Over trendline sees the next test fast and the other price targets reviewed on video.
CRONOS (CRON) trading 11.93 testing diag TL over targets 13.04 14.62 14.80 15.88 16.75 Sept 27 $CRON #tradealert #swingtrading
Updated set-up and trade alert for $CRON in premarket today while we process this video report.
CRONOS – per yesterday’s trade alert and review video over trendline on way to resistance test in premarket $CRONO #tradealert #premarket https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CRON/klRhec02-CRONOS-per-yesterday-s-trade-alert-and-review-video-over-trend/
CRONOS – per yesterday’s trade alert and review video over trendline on way to resistance test in premarket $CRONO #tradealert #premarket
AVON – Daily chart for AVON reviewed, likes the 200 MA with some room, testing resistance right now, I can’t touch it until it’s up for 3.00, needs to see recent highs first and then still some challenges.
$PYX – weekly chart reviewed, no structure I can work with.
$NVTA – aggressive structure, 18.90 alarmed on chart, has potential for a rip upside.
$EPM – not enough there. Doesn’t have margin, widths.
$CL – bad structure on chart.
YELP $YELP – technical bounce off 200 MA on the weekly chart in to resistance area on chart, if you’re long go to previous steps shown on chart in video, not taking the trade but it may work, not my thing – not enough range for ROI ROE for me.
$SRT – no.
$JONE – no.
$DEQ – no.
CANOPY GROWTH $CGC – had the opportunity to be in ground floor of this industry in Canada and turned it down jeez, getting close to previous candle high on weekly chart, could see a large a move there. Chart for Canopy Growth reviewed on the video. Can’t chase it here where it is on the chart and I’ll watch. Working on the structure of all the charts on our equities covered in our swing trading platform and when we’re done I’ll get more day trade aggressive.
CALIFORNIA RESOURCES $CRC – Aggressive chart and trade set-ups, coming out of bowl, 39.32 an 39.86 pivots on chart reviewed on video. Start watching it at 40.00 and see how it does.
THOR INDUSTRIES $THO – resting on the 200 MA trading about half way between it and 100 MA, it will likely turn here, price above moving averages on chart with 20MA breaching the 50 MA is a good entry long on this chart. The sidewinder set-up will be key on this one (reviewed on video) – that’s where the good returns are.
$MRSN – no chart structure, junk.
DIGITAL ALLEY $DGLY – trading 4.05, daily chart, getting in to diagonal trendline resistance at 12.20 right now, over 12.31 is a nice confirmation to the long side of this trade. Nice chart.
$CCXI – swing traders service type of trending stock that has way to many steps and not enough ROI, the step type that chop up a trader I’m not interested in.
$MHLD – no.
$BRID – no.
$NXIO – chart structure can get aggressive, gapping through chart structure makes me nervous.
There were many more of the momentum stocks for the day reviewed and the stocks selling-off on the day were also reviewed.
TRADING ROOM VIDEO Trade Alerts: #daytrading #swingtrading
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#tradealerts #swingtrading #daytrading
Article Topics; Trade Alerts, Trading, SwingTrading, DayTrading, Chart, Trade, Set-Ups, Signals, Price Targets, $NBEV, $TLRY, $CGC, $CRON, $VKTX, $MOMO, $ROKU, $NVTA, $CRC, $THO, $DGLY, $YELP, $XXII, $CVM, $SHOP, OIL, $DXY, $SPY
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Tuesday September 18, 2018.
In this edition: Saudi Oil, Tariffs, $TLRY, $VKTX, $CARA, $PROQR, $SSW, $BABA, $SHOP, $BOX, $FB, $AGN, $AAPL, $DIS, $XBIO, $ARWR, $TSLA, $VIX, $WTI, $SPY, $DXY, $BTC and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Sept 18 – Lead trader is in the main trading room for market open, mid day review and futures trading today.
- September Live Trading Room Challenge, Coaching, News, Events, Q & A and More: information for existing members, those asking about our services and new on-boarding members
- The main live trading room going forward is open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with our Lead Trader.The exceptions are; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, special Trading Webinars or if the lead trader is not available.
- Week of Sept 17 – New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Week of Sept 17 – Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Week of Sept 17 – Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Week of Sept 17 – Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on our website.
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Week of Sept 17 – The previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available on our website.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
Machine Trade Coding Team Mandate: In current development and roll-out (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Subscribers to read disclaimer.
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Sept 17 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS
Sept 5 – Day Trading and Swing Trading CRONOS GROUP Inc. (CRON)
Aug 16 – Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.
Aug 12 – Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
As I wrote yesterday, many of the set ups that we charted and alerted during coaching boot camp are likely to alarm early week, so I’m expecting trades for those, we are also updating the complete platform equity list charting in the same way (re-charting them all and alarming them etc) – so this week and going forward should become very active in the trading room and on alert feeds.
Stocks – Oracle, FedEx Slide in Pre-market, Netflix, Apple Gain, Avon Surges –
Stocks – Oracle, FedEx Slide in Pre-market, Netflix, Apple Gain, Avon Surges – https://t.co/ssMbjoDBnP
— Investing.com Stocks (@InvestingStockz) September 18, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:04 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 94.50, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 69.72, Gold $GLD trading 1200.48, Silver $SLV trading 14.22, $SPY 290.05 (premarket), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6239.00 and $VIX trading 13.2.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
News:
Tilray receives approval from U.S. to import a medical cannabis study drug for a clinical trial … https://seekingalpha.com/news/3390989-tilray-receives-approval-u-s-import-medical-cannabis-study-drug-clinical-trial-uc-san-diego?source=feed_f … #premarket $TLRY
$VKTX Viking Therapeutics announces positive results in trial of non-alcoholic fatty liver treatment
Sempra Energy announces agreement with Elliott Management, Bluescape Energy $SRE http://dlvr.it/QkZ8b9
EMA accepts Bristol-Myers’ marketing application for expanded use of Empliciti https://seekingalpha.com/news/3390991-ema-accepts-bristol-myers-marketing-application-expanded-use-empliciti?source=feed_f … #premarket $BMY $CELG $ABBV
$FB Facebook Sought Access to Financial Firms’ Customer Data
https://www.wsj.com/articles/facebook-sought-access-to-financial-firms-customer-data-1537263000
Oil market safe despite trade tensions, Iran sanctions: Al-Falih http://bit.ly/2xoyaUI #OOTT $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Gritstone Oncology sets terms for IPO to raise up to $91.1 million
Qutoutiao prices IPO at $7 per ADS, raising $84 million
Navios ceases plan for IPO on Nasdaq
Tesla rival Nio to go public after pricing IPO at low end of expectations
Zekelman Industries to offer 41.8 million shares in IPO, priced at $17 to $19 each
Eventbrite to offer 10 million shares in IPO priced at $19 to $21 each
Cancer blood-testing company Guardant Health files for IPO.
Eli Lilly’s Elanco sets IPO terms to raise up to $1.45 billion before options
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$MU $ORCL $FDX $AZO $RHT $GIS $CBRL $DRI $APOG $THO $UNFI $CPRT $MLHR $SCS $SMMT $AMRK
#earnings for the week$MU $ORCL $FDX $AZO $RHT $GIS $CBRL $DRI $APOG $THO $UNFI $CPRT $MLHR $SCS $SMMT $AMRK https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/cAnHRobuy5
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 17, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for sometime).
VIKING THERAPEUTICS (VKTX) premarket up 140% on liver trial news. $VKTX #premarket #daytrading
VIKING THERAPEUTICS (VKTX) premarket up 140% on liver trial news. $VKTX #premarket #daytrading
$MYND needs that 50 MA on the weekly to get going above where it is IMO
$MYND needs that 50 MA on the weekly to get going above where it is IMO
Seaspan (SSW) over 9.50 intra should see lower 10s fast, trading 9.34 intraday. $SSW #daytrade #swingtrade #tradealerts
Seaspan (SSW) over 9.50 intra should see lower 10s fast, trading 9.34 intraday. $SSW #daytrade #swingtrade #tradealerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
SHOPIFY (SHOP) is working the area between main pivot (red line) and upper price target $SHOP #tradealerts #swingtrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) is working the area between main pivot (red line) and upper price target $SHOP #tradealerts #swingtrading
SP500 (SPY) Chart – Came off at test area around pivot on 60 min chart, above box long below short $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SP500 (SPY) Chart – Came off at test area around pivot on 60 min chart, above box long below short $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
ALIBABA (BABA) got a bounce at 100 MA under rane support, watching close here now $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrading
ALIBABA (BABA) got a bounce at 100 MA under rane support, watching close here now $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrading
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Testing break-out area intra-day. On watch. $CARA #tradingsetups #tradealert
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Testing break-out area intra-day. On watch. $CARA #tradingsetups #tradealert
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD turning back up with price above 50 MA Sept 17 623 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD turning back up with price above 50 MA Sept 17 623 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Per Sean alert in live daytrading room yesterday $SHOP got over resistance today targeting 166s next #tradealerts #daytrade
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Per Sean alert in live daytrading room yesterday $SHOP got over resistance today targeting 166s next #tradealerts #daytrade
BOX INC (BOX) Swing trading plan well in play with nice bounce off 50 MA on way to symmetrical price target. $BOX #Swingtrading #TradeAlerts
BOX INC (BOX) Swing trading plan well in play with nice bounce off 50 MA on way to symmetrical price target. $BOX #Swingtrading #TradeAlerts
$BABA long side premarket 165s swing trade targets 178.67 then 207.50 Dec 17, 2018. #swingtrading #trade #alerts
$BABA long side premarket 165s swing trade targets 178.67 then 207.50 Dec 17, 2018. #swingtrading #trade #alerts
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
FACEBOOK (FB) On watch for wash-out snap-back trade now, main support and resistance marked on chart $FB #swingtrade #daytrade
FACEBOOK (FB) On watch for wash-out snap-back trade now, main support and resistance marked on chart $FB #swingtrade #daytrade
DISNEY (DIS) From this target above 110.50 targets 118.00 area and below targets 103.00 area. $DIS #swingtrading #daytrading
DISNEY (DIS) From this target above 110.50 targets 118.00 area and below targets 103.00 area. $DIS #swingtrading #daytrading
APPLE (AAPL) If it doesn’t get a bounce here at 20 MA then 212.65 is the retracement point to try for a bounce. $AAPL #swingtrading #daytrading
APPLE (AAPL) If it doesn’t get a bounce here at 20 MA then 212.65 is the retracement point to try for a bounce. $AAPL #swingtrading #daytrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
TESLA (TSLA) Wash out playing out as expected-alerted, watch Fri time cycle peak for trade of 280. $TSLA #daytrading #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) Wash out playing out as expected-alerted, watch Fri time cycle peak for trade of 280. $TSLA #daytrading #swingtrading
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things
-Trump tariffs
-China vows retaliation
-Markets rally
-Saudi happy with $80 Brent
-Confirmation delay
https://bloom.bg/2D8kjbh
Investors are going all in on the global divergence trade https://bloom.bg/2D7uKvU
Investors are going all in on the global divergence trade https://t.co/0n9qenMdbn
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 18, 2018
OPEC is warning of threats to #oil supply from large producers like Iran
https://bloom.bg/2NkagVj via @business #OOTT
OPEC is warning of threats to #oil supply from large producers like Iranhttps://t.co/9LQR0Dvh5I via @business #OOTT
— Bloomberg Energy (@BloombergNRG) September 18, 2018
Confidence in the global economy over the next 12 months has declined to the weakest in near 7 years, shows #MerrilLynch Global Fund Manager Survey.
Confidence in the global economy over the next 12 months has declined to the weakest in near 7 years, shows #MerrilLynch Global Fund Manager Survey. pic.twitter.com/EUALLJ2638
— YUAN TALKS (@YuanTalks) September 18, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $VKTX $APHB $TLRY $AVP $RDCM $EYES $NTNX $NBEV $QTT $OILU $UWT $UNP $ACBFF $ATRS $FTI $PDD
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
Providence Service $PRSC PT Raised to $107 at CJS Securities
Buy Nutanix $NTNX on ‘Unfounded Media Rumors’ – Needham & Company
$TRGP $VALE $UHS $SGRY $MD $LB $GFI $UNP
AMD, Nvidia stocks gain after Mizuho hikes target
(6) Recent Downgrades: $UAL $WK $BKU $FTNT $PLYA $DISCA $PRI $RHT $AU
Citi Downgrades Primerica $PRI to Sell
$FB-Facebook stock price target cut to $195 from $205 at J.P. Morgan
UBS downgrades Fortinet on “priced in” momentum https://seekingalpha.com/news/3391006-ubs-downgrades-fortinet-priced-momentum?source=feed_f … #premarket $FTNT
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Saudi Oil, Tariffs, $TLRY, $VKTX, $CARA, $PROQR, $SSW, $BABA, $SHOP, $BOX, $FB, $AGN, $AAPL, $DIS, $XBIO, $ARWR, $TSLA, $VIX, $WTI, $SPY, $DXY, $BTC
Trade Alerts Report and Video from Live Day Trading Room for: $VIX Volatility $WTI $CL_F Oil $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS #daytrading #swingtrading
#TradeAlerts
Trading alerts and trading set-ups raw video from Live Trading Room mid-day review Sept 17, 2018. Some of the trade set-ups in this video are from the Trading Boot-Camp.
Tickers reviewed: $VIX $WTI $CL_F $USO $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $DXY $SPY $GTHX $FB $FF $SENS and more.
I apologize for the sound interference – at times it was just awful, we’ll re hard wire the set-up again soon here and get that fixed. In tomorrow’s mid day I will hard wire that one computer to modem and you can let me know if it is any better please.
Voice broadcast does not start until 3:18 on video.
Market discovery theme on day.
Volatility $VIX – time-cycles reviewed in to Dec 24 beyond and inflections in markets, market open, futures and account return expectations over next two trading quarters or so.
Crude oil trading $WTI $CL_F $USO – review of crude oil algorithm, machine trading model, charting, price targets for time cycles this week reviewed.
PROQR Therapeutics $PROQR – Excellent chart set-up, one of my favorite trades of late. Buy sell trading signals reviewed. Bounced at support at previous trade alert now at key resistance, trim in to resistance and over 22.70 targets 24.85 then 27.50. Watch the diagonal trend line (quad wall). Careful shorting this stock, 18.05 possible.
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
US Dollar $DXY – Review of US Dollar Algorithm charting. Lower support trend line and upper trend line, support and resistance areas to watch. Review of structure.
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
$CARA Therapeutics – testing previous highs, testing other side of bowl and a full extension is possible here, structured chart trading signals reviewed, Target Dec 10 30s or 38.00s if it breaks out. Pull back to 16.36 support, look for a bounce there if it sells-off. 19.70 is near term support for a test long also.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CARA/DtYzRa8p-CARA/
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Testing break-out area intra-day. On watch. $CARA #tradingsetups #tradealert
BOX $BOX – previously provided upside targets, down side scenario on video 22.32 good support, 50 MA support is good, intra day in down trajectory lines, 10.36 is a downside sell-off target that is possible in a panic. Channel symmetry also reviewed.
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
SEASPAN $SSW – keeps hitting resistance, simple short at each, looking for a long over resistance in trajectory on video. Upside 10.18 first target, best scenario Nov 11.93 and 18.30 best best not probable.
Seaspan (SSW) over 9.50 intra shoud see lower 10s fast, trading 9.34 intraday. $SSW #daytrade #swingtrade #tradealerts
G1 Therapeutics $GTHX – pullback in price here doesn’t surprise me, candle body is in current bullish trajectory lines on chart, review of downside supports and upside price targets. 76.00 – 80.00 (up over 69.62 is a trigger). All areas reviewed on video.
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
SHOPIFY $SHOP – chart pivot acting as support (red line) Oct 10 166.72 price target, holding key support, working up against a quad wall (diagonal Fib resistance), 154.35 buy side comes in at that area. Pull back support is 50 MA primary for a long side test trade.
SHOPIFY (SHOP) is working the area between main pivot (red line) and upper price target $SHOP #tradealerts #swingtrading
SP500 $SPY – the box test area reviewed, above box is a long and under is a short. 283.93 278.47 Sept 1 are downside targets in a sell-off. Other trade signals and price targets reviewed on video.
SP500 (SPY) Chart – Came off at test area around pivot on 60 min chart, above box long below short $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
ALIBABA $BABA – underwater a bit on this swing trade in BABA, I’m in 1/10 sizing now. Bounced off 100 MA, trading right at box support, Dec 17 trade price targets discussed to low side. Adds at each support is the trading plan for ALIBABA should sell-off continue.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BABA/gKTnmCkK-BABA/
ALIBABA (BABA) got a bounce at 100 MA under rane support, watching close here now $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrading
FACEBOOK $FB – 20 MA upside resistance trade alarm set for possible turn on the snap-back trade I’m looking for. 240 min chart.
FACEBOOK (FB) On watch for wash-out snap-back trade now, main support and resistance marked on chart $FB #swingtrade #daytrade
Top momentum stocks for the day reviewed;
$OTM 20 MA resistance on weekly, above will target the 50 MA. It respects the 50 MA and 200 MA on weekly chart. Trading plan reviewed on video.
$LEU – stay away from
$FF – Currently at support and resistance area, price extensions for a possible run are reviewed on video. Targets 23.67 in a bullish scenario, trading 17.63.
$TAHO – junk
$GHG – junk, no structure
$CEL – not a good chart
$CWH – terrible
$SPA – at previous lows, bounced there before…. but…. no structure
$SUPV – junk
$TGS – bounced off 200 MA support, good example of a bullish run out of the bowl for multiple extensions up on the chart.
$WAB – not interested
$AG – on 200 MA support, not interested.
$SENS – support 3.97 trading 4.16, looking for a bounce. The trade set-up will be on the upcoming swing trading report.
Others were also reviewed.
VIDEO Trade Alerts: $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS #daytrading #swingtrading
Voice broadcast does not start until 3:18 on video.
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#tradealerts #swingtrading #daytrading
Article Topics; Trade Alerts, Trading, $VIX, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $PROQR, $CARA, $BOX, $BABA, $SSW, $DXY, $SPY, $GTHX, $FB, $FF, $SENS, swingtrading, daytrading