Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Tuesday October 16, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: Saudi, Time Cycles, Volatility, Oil, TGOD:OTC, $FLKS, $NDRA, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $BTC and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
Oct 16 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
What’s New / Work in Progress:
New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.
Notes per recent…. this remains.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
TESLA on watch in lower area of recent range, likely take a short term swing trade in TSLA today – long.
Gold, Silver and others I have now and I’m doing final edits. To be distributed over next day or two. Letting the set-ups firm up and start trading them again possibly as of Sunday night futures.
Likely start trading Bitcoin XBTUSD and VIX in to next week now also in to mid Dec time cycle.
SPY got a bump in premarket with jobs numbers, as with others above likely trading that aggressive in to time cycle peak mid Dec also come next week.
Oil in a small pull back but expect bullish trend to continue next week.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.04, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 71.39, Gold $GLD trading 1231.99, Silver $SLV trading 14.82, $SPY 275.88 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6433.00 and $VIX trading 19.6.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $FLKS $NDRA $AGRX $SEND
Green Organic Dutchman’s stock (TGOD OTC) surges after receipt of medical cannabis sales license $TGOD.CA #premarket https://www.marketwatch.com/story/green-organic-dutchmans-stock-surges-after-receipt-of-medical-cannabis-sales-license-2018-10-16?mod=BreakingNewsSecondary
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
Green Organic Dutchman’s stock (TGOD OTC) surges after receipt of medical cannabis sales license $TGOD.CA #premarkethttps://www.marketwatch.com/story/green-organic-dutchmans-stock-surges-after-receipt-of-medical-cannabis-sales-license-2018-10-16?mod=BreakingNewsSecondary
Green Organic Dutchman’s stock (TGOD OTC) surges after receipt of medical cannabis sales license $TGOD.CA #premarket
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart.
Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart Reviewed at 950 mins on video.
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL$WTI$CL_F$USO#oil#trading#algorithmpic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
A record 85% of Fund Managers surveyed by BofAML think the global economy is in late cycle, 11ppts above prior highs in Dec’07.
A record 85% of Fund Managers surveyed by BofAML think the global economy is in late cycle, 11ppts above prior highs in Dec'07. pic.twitter.com/u1XHxpstl1
Fund Managers most bearish on global growth since 2008, BofAML survey says. BUT no rotation from equities to bonds until US 10y yields at 3.7%. Cash levels unchanged at high 5.1%. (avg = 4.5% past 10 years).
Fund Managers most bearish on global growth since 2008, BofAML survey says. BUT no rotation from equities to bonds until US 10y yields at 3.7%. Cash levels unchanged at high 5.1%. (avg = 4.5% past 10 years). pic.twitter.com/OEw9TbIScq
U.S. business inventories rise sharply again in August
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channeland at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of the seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are over one hundred in total in development at various stages in various markets).
NOTICES:
New members to our oil algorithm charting models, oil trade alerts and oil trading room are encouraged to on-board in a way that equips you as an oil trader for consistent profit.
Invaluable are the crude oil trade alerts (available with or without the trading room / weekly report bundle) and the private member crude oil trading chat room on Discord (included in the bundle). The live alerts are important if you are not at your trading screens 24 hours a day and the chat room allows for interactive lead trader oil trade set-ups as each oil trade approaches.
Reviewing important points of reference and engaging the subscription resources will increase your probability of success considerably. This report also includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.
Oil Trade Coaching – We strongly suggest users of this algorithmic crude oil trading strategy opt for some level of private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader. Our lead trader is currently maintaining a crude oil trading alert win-rate of over 90% (as of Sept 2, 2018 – time-stamped, live alert, recorded).
On our website one-on-one online coaching packages are made available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a custom package reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning. To request a custom package suited to your needs email [email protected] or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars, trade coaching bootcamps and private on location (in person) coaching sessions.
Oil Trading Room – How to Use the Oil Algorithm
Oil Trading Room – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Oil Charting
Oil Trading Alerts. Live Lead Trader Video Trading w EPIC Oil Algorithm
Recent articles from our blog about how to trade crude oil with our oil trading algorithm:
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is now also in the coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and/or this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithm model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency robot type algorithm – I am presented on (and used on) a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator.
The goal is to provide oil traders with a signals edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil – first with the reporting format as below, then with machine trading functions and an integrated intelligent assisted traders platform that will provide the user with various settings of automation and personal trade execution.
In the weekly report below you will find simplified levels represented on conventional and algorithmic charting for intra-day (day-trading crude oil), swing trading and investing.
This work (and associated trading) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.oil related financial instruments.
Forward questions to [email protected], private message our lead trader on Twitter or in the private Discord oil trading room.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
Oil Algorithm Observations:
Below is a link for the live algorithmic chart of EPIC the Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (Generation 1, Version 5 including black box modeling). The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX $USOIL $WTI published October 15, 2018.
Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:
The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below near bottom of this report – conventional charting trend-lines).
The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 72.52 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 68.93 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades – if that is exceeded then trading price is likely to use the line as a pivot until a directional trending trade is established).
Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.
More recently (as of September 2018) our back-testing has shown that the support and resistance areas noted are used in trade as a decision pivot – in other words, the price tends to pivot around these decision points on the chart and coil over a period of time and then spring out of the coil in an upward or downward trend.
The lower trading range is 65.32 – 68.92 and upper trading range 68.93 – 72.54.
Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).
Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.
Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.
Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.
Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.
Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week uptrends or downtrends. In recent time, trade could be described as being in a retrace / moderately range bound.
The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).
Intra-day Trading Bias
Intra day bias is down side trade as the MACD is turned down on the daily chart and this indicator is usually a leading indicator for oil trade on this time-frame.
Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Crude Oil:
Swing trading bias / forward guidance as of Oct 15, 2018 12:16 AM EST for the near term (two week swing trade) is bearish.
Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 58.13 to 61.72, 61.72 to 65.32, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54, 72.55 to 76.14 and 76.15 to 79.74. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.
Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).
Significantly more advanced trading rules will be introduced over the coming weeks with the newer Generation 2 models per below in this report.
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Uptrend channel oil scenario. Oct 15 1219 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Uptrend channel oil scenario. Oct 15 1219 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Downtrend channel oil scenario. Oct 15 1218 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Downtrend channel oil scenario. Oct 15 1218 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT
Generation 2 Model Oil Trading Signals.
October 15 – Generation 2 model is currently in back-testing and will be released to members when available. Below are a few versions of late.
Oct 2 – Currently in update, will be released when available.
During a squeeze trade spikes upward through the highlighted area and then rests and works its way through the next area and spikes through the next highlighted area. This does not occur in regular trade. More on this chart in our special reporting for oil trading over the coming days.
Per recent;
7:58 AM update Sept 17:
Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time frame. Sept 17 723 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Chart
1 of … Crude Oil Weekly Chart Wedge. Very bullish oil trading signal here, lower trendline held w break to upside. Sept 24 1204 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #oiltradealerts
2 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Over 71.76 suggests 74.20 – 79.00 in to Oct 22. Sept 24 1209 AM
2 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Over 71.76 suggests 74.20 – 79.00 in to Oct 22. Sept 24 1209 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #oiltradealerts
3 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Resistance 71.76, 74.20, 78.17, 79.00, 79.34 ish. Sept 24 1211 AM
3 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Resistance 71.76, 74.20, 78.17, 79.00, 79.34 ish. Sept 24 1211 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #oiltradealerts
4 of 4 … Crude Oil Weekly. If it fails for some reason, it targets 68.58 – 69.21 Oct 22. Sept 24 1215 AM
4 of 4 … Crude Oil Weekly. If it fails for some reason, it targets 68.58 – 69.21 Oct 22. Sept 24 1215 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #oiltradealerts
Daily Oil Charts:
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Crude Oil Daily basic algorithmic chart model highlighting symmetry scenarios of trade. Oct 14 1249 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart #algorithm #symmetry
Crude Oil Daily basic algorithmic chart model highlighting symmetry scenarios of trade. Oct 14 1249 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart #algorithm #symmetry
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).
Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
The diagonal trend-lines are marked on chart below:
Crude Oil Weekly chart trend-lines suggest approx 75.71 peak price approx Nov 12 Oct 15 1254 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart #trendlines
Crude Oil Weekly chart trendlines suggest approx 75.71 peak price approx Nov 12 Oct 15 1254 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart #trendlines
Sept 17: Previous remains signal;
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. Aug 12 951 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Significant probability oil hits 79.50 ish Dec 3, 2018 ish. But over that area unlikely unless there is a geo political event. Over 79.50 the shorts would get wrecked. Low 50s most probable by 2022. Early Dec 2018 is likely the highs. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OOTT
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. Aug 7 605 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Previous posts for perspective;
Oil has now cleared every trendline resistance provided on conventional charting I’ve posted last year. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OOTT #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT 233 PM Jan 1
Oil has now cleared every trendline resistance provided on conventional charting I’ve posted last year. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OOTT #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT 233 PM Jan 1
Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Notice when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Recent Live Crude Oil Trade Alerts (sample signals):
Oct 15 – Recent trade alerts will be updated soon.
Aug 12 2018 – Recent trades are found in this recent report:
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday October 10, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: #EIA, $WTI, #OIL, #Iran, #Sanctions, #Venezuela, #PetroDollar, Hurrican Mochael, $AKRX, $VIX, $SPY, $BTC, Time Cycles, Volatility, $SNAP, SoftBank, Recent Trades and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
Oct 10 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, EIA Petroleum Inventory Report 10:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
What’s New / Work in Progress:
New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Last few days fighting off a fever so I’ve been sleeping at night and the crew fighting seasonal flu’s also, anyway, feeling a tad better and yes yes yes reports start flying tonight (starting with Gold Silver etc).
Top of monthly time cycle peak today so watching post EIA at 10:30 for sizeable entries legging in to trends between Oct 10 peak and Nov 11 peak in monthly time cycles. Between today and Tuesday should give us the trend indications to do so.
Don’t get caught in the chop at top of a time-cycle, it can be pivot driven and choppy.
VIX on super high watch here through Tuesday FYI.
Venezuela situation on SUPER HIGH WATCH also. #OOTT #OIL #Sanctions #PetroDollar.
Light report today being this is peak.
If you are a trade coaching client and you are tandem trading with me in private server communications I may be delayed at times over next few days pushing final edits out on these reports (we have to get them out).
Notes per Tuesday remain.
Last night Jen got me the new models, I was bagged and just couldn’t do final look, so the first thing I will do tonight is review and distribute them for GOLD, SILVER and SPY. DXY and VIX won’t be until tomorrow night (Wed) and new SWING Thursday. This weekend we will announce new Trade Coaching Boot Camp dates for in person 3 day session in Dominican Republic, and online 1 day sessions for Oil and other specific instruments (we are doing one day trade coaching for each of the models and swing, daytrading – 9 sessions in total).
Notes per Monday…. this remains.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
TESLA on watch in lower area of recent range, likely take a short term swing trade in TSLA today – long.
Gold, Silver and others I have now and I’m doing final edits. To be distributed over next day or two. Letting the set-ups firm up and start trading them again possibly as of Sunday night futures.
Likely start trading Bitcoin XBTUSD and VIX in to next week now also in to mid Dec time cycle.
SPY got a bump in premarket with jobs numbers, as with others above likely trading that aggressive in to time cycle peak mid Dec also come next week.
Oil in a small pull back but expect bullish trend to continue next week.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.68, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 74.76, Gold $GLD trading 1186.80, Silver $SLV trading 14.33, $SPY 286.75 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6514.00 and $VIX trading 16.7.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
Akorn’s stock soars after FDA approves ANDA for hypotrichosis of eyelashes treatment. https://on.mktw.net/2C76rfh
Time to watch Venezuela close *A 2ND COALITION ARMADA SPOTTED ADVANCING ON SOUTH AMERICA(!) 40+ VESSEL… https://youtu.be/Bpy27YR24r8 #petrodollar #cryptocurrency #Venezuela
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
Akorn (AKRX) stock premarket up 7.59% trading 6.95 on FDA approval ANDA for hypotrichosis eyelash treatment $AKRX #premarket #trading
Akorn (AKRX) stock premarket up 7.59% trading 6.95 on FDA approval ANDA for hypotrichosis eyelash treatment $AKRX #premarket #trading
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL$WTI$CL_F$USO#oil#trading#algorithmpic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Holding trend support area-ish for long bias set-up in premarket.
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Holding trend support area-ish for long bias set-up in premarket $ARWR #swingtrading
FIREEYE (FEYE) premarket holding up channel structure for long bias, may take first entries in to open.
FIREEYE (FEYE) premarket holding up channel structure for long bias, may take first entries in to open. #swingtrade $FEYE
ROKU (ROKU) in pull back could see 58.52, on bounce looking for 78.01 then 87.75 ON WATCH $ROKU #swingtrading #setups
ROKU (ROKU) in pull back could see 58.52, on bounce looking for 78.01 then 87.75 ON WATCH $ROKU #swingtrading #setups
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Hit price target from last trade alert, coming off to mid quad 200 MA support, follow trajectory after Oct 9 time cycle $SHOP #swingtrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Hit price target from last trade alert, coming off to mid quad 200 MA support, follow trajectory after Oct 9 time cycle $SHOP #swingtrading
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Your Wednesday morning Speed Read:
– Snap will bring scripted shows to Snapchat $SNAP – Sears reportedly hired advisors to prep for bankruptcy filing $SHLD – #HurricaneMichael has strengthened into a Category 3 storm
Your Wednesday morning Speed Read:
– Snap will bring scripted shows to Snapchat $SNAP – Sears reportedly hired advisors to prep for bankruptcy filing $SHLD – #HurricaneMichael has strengthened into a Category 3 storm
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channeland at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
McDonald’s stock gains after analyst upgrade on ‘unjustifiable’ valuation discount
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Alibaba price target lowered to $220 ahead of earnings at Morgan Stanley $BABA http://dlvr.it/QmtlD2
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Tuesday October 9, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: $PEIX, $PYX, $TSLA, $ARWR, $FEYE, $VIX, $WTI, OIL, $SPY, $BTC, Time Cycles, Volatility, Rates and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
Oct 9 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open, mid day review and futures trading this evening (as available and as market demands).
Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
What’s New / Work in Progress:
New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Last night Jen got me the new models, I was bagged and just couldn’t do final look, so the first thing I will do tonight is review and distribute them for GOLD, SILVER and SPY. DXY and VIX won’t be until tomorrow night (Wed) and new SWING Thursday. This weekend we will announce new Trade Coaching Boot Camp dates for in person 3 day session in Dominican Republic, and online 1 day sessions for Oil and other specific instruments (we are doing one day trade coaching for each of the models and swing, daytrading – 9 sessions in total).
Notes per yesterday…. this remains.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
TESLA on watch in lower area of recent range, likely take a short term swing trade in TSLA today – long.
Gold, Silver and others I have now and I’m doing final edits. To be distributed over next day or two. Letting the set-ups firm up and start trading them again possibly as of Sunday night futures.
Likely start trading Bitcoin XBTUSD and VIX in to next week now also in to mid Dec time cycle.
SPY got a bump in premarket with jobs numbers, as with others above likely trading that aggressive in to time cycle peak mid Dec also come next week.
Oil in a small pull back but expect bullish trend to continue next week.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.75, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 74.69, Gold $GLD trading 1186.66, Silver $SLV trading 14.31, $SPY 286.90 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6582.00 and $VIX trading 17.1.
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL$WTI$CL_F$USO#oil#trading#algorithmpic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Holding trend support area-ish for long bias set-up in premarket.
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Holding trend support area-ish for long bias set-up in premarket $ARWR #swingtrading
FIREEYE (FEYE) premarket holding up channel structure for long bias, may take first entries in to open.
FIREEYE (FEYE) premarket holding up channel structure for long bias, may take first entries in to open. #swingtrade $FEYE
ROKU (ROKU) in pull back could see 58.52, on bounce looking for 78.01 then 87.75 ON WATCH $ROKU #swingtrading #setups
ROKU (ROKU) in pull back could see 58.52, on bounce looking for 78.01 then 87.75 ON WATCH $ROKU #swingtrading #setups
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Hit price target from last trade alert, coming off to mid quad 200 MA support, follow trajectory after Oct 9 time cycle $SHOP #swingtrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Hit price target from last trade alert, coming off to mid quad 200 MA support, follow trajectory after Oct 9 time cycle $SHOP #swingtrading
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Stocks making the biggest move premarket: TSLA, PZZA, MSFT, WMT & more https://cnb.cx/2RAaYMB
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channeland at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Monday October 8, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: $CLDC, $FEYE, $ARWR, $VIX, $WTI, OIL, $SPY, $BTC, Time Cycles, Volatility, Forecasting and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
Oct 8 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open, mid day review and futures trading this evening (as available and as market demands).
Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
What’s New / Work in Progress:
New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
1 day Oil Trading Bootcamp (online only)
1 day Swing Trading Bootcamp (online only)
3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
TESLA on watch in lower area of recent range, likely take a short term swing trade in TSLA today – long.
Gold, Silver and others I have now and I’m doing final edits. To be distributed over next day or two. Letting the set-ups firm up and start trading them again possibly as of Sunday night futures.
Likely start trading Bitcoin XBTUSD and VIX in to next week now also in to mid Dec time cycle.
SPY got a bump in premarket with jobs numbers, as with others above likely trading that aggressive in to time cycle peak mid Dec also come next week.
Oil in a small pull back but expect bullish trend to continue next week.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.66, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 73.38, Gold $GLD trading 1194.06, Silver $SLV trading 14.46, $SPY 287.56 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6592.00 and $VIX trading 16.3.
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
China Lending (CLDC) premarket up 81% trading 1.54 taps the 200 MA on 240 Min Chart $CLDC #daytrading #premarket
China Lending (CLDC) premarket up 81% trading 1.54 taps the 200 MA on 240 Min Chart $CLDC #daytrading #premarket
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Holding trend support area-ish for long bias set-up in premarket.
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Holding trend support area-ish for long bias set-up in premarket $ARWR #swingtrading
FIREEYE (FEYE) premarket holding up channel structure for long bias, may take first entries in to open.
FIREEYE (FEYE) premarket holding up channel structure for long bias, may take first entries in to open. #swingtrade $FEYE
ROKU (ROKU) in pull back could see 58.52, on bounce looking for 78.01 then 87.75 ON WATCH $ROKU #swingtrading #setups
ROKU (ROKU) in pull back could see 58.52, on bounce looking for 78.01 then 87.75 ON WATCH $ROKU #swingtrading #setups
FIREEYE (FEYE) trading 17.35 current trajectory implies 19.31 or 22.32 price target Dec 1 2018 time cycle peak #swingtrade #tradealerts $FEYE
FIREEYE (FEYE) trading 17.35 current trajectory implies 19.31 or 22.32 price target Dec 1 2018 time cycle peak #swingtrade #tradealerts $FEYE
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Hit price target from last trade alert, coming off to mid quad 200 MA support, follow trajectory after Oct 9 time cycle $SHOP #swingtrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Hit price target from last trade alert, coming off to mid quad 200 MA support, follow trajectory after Oct 9 time cycle $SHOP #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Long positions starting at channel trajectory support mid 15s. Solid range support near 13.14 $ARWR #swingtrading #chart
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Long positions starting at channel trajectory support mid 15s. Solid range support near 13.14 $ARWR #swingtrading #chart
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
The most striking change in last weeks COT update was the net-selling seen in both #Brent and #WTI crude #oil. Despite all the talk about supply shortages and $100/b before year-end leveraged funds instead chose to reduce exposure. #OOTT
The most striking change in last weeks COT update was the net-selling seen in both #Brent and #WTI crude #oil. Despite all the talk about supply shortages and $100/b before year-end leveraged funds instead chose to reduce exposure. #OOTTpic.twitter.com/6xZ61sdHSG
The U.S. yield curve has steepened over recent days, assuaging some concerns about a near-term inversion. This will likely make the Fed feel even better about a December hike, market implied probability currently ~70%. {@TheTerminal Chart Link: https://bloom.bg/2BZPnrL }
The U.S. yield curve has steepened over recent days, assuaging some concerns about a near-term inversion. This will likely make the Fed feel even better about a December hike, market implied probability currently ~70%. {@TheTerminal Chart Link: https://t.co/5diPQvzC3M } pic.twitter.com/0uHBqOzc9b
Pretty amazing chart showing equity performance so far in October based on market cap. The smaller the stock, the bigger the drop. https://www.bespokepremium.com/think-big-blog/bigger-has-been-less-bad/ … $SPY
Companies buying back stock but executives at those comps are doing the exact opposite: dumping their shares at record clip. Corp insiders sold $10.3bn worth of stock in Aug. That’s the highest amount of selling in the month of August over the past 10yrs. https://www.barrons.com/articles/companies-are-buying-back-stock-as-executives-sell-at-record-clip-1538787736 …
Companies buying back stock but executives at those comps are doing the exact opposite: dumping their shares at record clip. Corp insiders sold $10.3bn worth of stock in Aug. That’s the highest amount of selling in the month of August over the past 10yrs. https://t.co/8dDnJPzVXYpic.twitter.com/vmGSEQlHMy
7. Sooner or later the $FED is going to blow up US High Yield credit… @TopdownCharts https://www.topdowncharts.com/single-post/2018/10/05/Chart-Of-The-Week-The-Fed-vs-Junk-Bonds … $JNK $HYG
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channeland at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday October 3, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: #EIA, Oil, WTI, USOIL, $BABA, $AAPL, $CGC, Gold and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
Oct 3 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open, mid day review and futures trading this evening (as available and as market demands).
Main live trading room is open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars or when Lead Trader is not available.
Scheduled this week:
New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
1 day Oil Trading Bootcamp (online only)
1 day Swing Trading Bootcamp (online only)
3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Today is #EIA petroleum report at 10:30 looking for a large trade.
Gold, Silver and other reports out tonight likely trading them in to next week for a possible turn.
Per recent;
The $ROKU daytrade yesterday at market open went well.
Looking for a large long side oil entry at support on algorithm model.
That Square alert from yesterday went well. Nice trim area. I have it on watch with upgrade.
Volatility in to end of week on watch.
Other trading plan notes below.
SQUARE (SQ) swing trade is performing well in continuation of trajectory on chart – premarket trading 101.20 near 102.00 resistance from our 89.00 entry. Trim in to resistance add to trade above (if you are trimming at each resistance). The updated chart is below.
The Square $SQ trade from yesterday is going well, trading 96.30 in premarket today with a swing trade entry at 89.00 and looking for more legs in this trade (see Square $SQ feature post and video).
Oil trading plan is similar to last week, I am looking for a trade at / near bottom channel support. Last week it did hit near lower channel support at 71.85 FX USOIL WTI at around 8:30 AM Sept 28 and then took off (no execution), currently trading near upper channel resistance. I will do more day trading again also with oil.
Today is EIA Petroleum Report day at 10:30 AM. Looking for a large swing trade in oil (see feature report sent to members last night).
DISNEY (DIS) swing trade doing well, in to resistance area pre-market 117.17, trim in to add above $DIS. Good timing on this trade.
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES (XBIO) held a key support area on Friday. On watch for a trade over 3.25 $XBIO. Will only consider a smaller size but will consider another trade. This could be a bottoming pattern setting up. Yet to be seen though.
Bitcoin, the bottoming pattern continues, convinced that 5800 area is most probable bottom (alerted numerous times prior to it trading anywhere near there). Bottom line is that we’re expecting to trade it actively soon going in to Dec 24 time cycle peak and in to 1st Q 2019 aggressive.
Below are some trade position notes from recent weeks if you didn’t catch them;
Still watching the week set-up, I expect a significant oil size trade (swing and intra-day) very near, in a new Disney $DIS trade, the $XBIO set-up was awesome and there’s a number of others we are working on.
BTW the Bitcoin $BTC trade will be big soon, the charting is setting up, we will be updating members on the inflection move prior. We expect up, but we will be alerting the BTC set-up for both scenarios.
Have a swing trade in $CRON that is going well, trimming and adding per chart model that has been a great help.
Have a swing trade in $BABA under water on 1 1/10 sizing entry, watching for adds.
Really like $FB snap-back set-up here, watching the 50 MA overhead on the chart model, it keeps paying every time we trade it.
Also really like $NFLX set-up here, it has been a regular and consistent pay day with the simple chart model dialed in.
Oil I’ve missed a few sweet spots this week but continue to watch, not every trader can be on top of every instrument 100% of the time (I keep telling myself haha). Anyway, I’ll start hitting it out of the park again with patience. Hopefully today a set-up on the EPIC model allows some size.
SHOPIFY $SHOP has been a great set-up for a possible break upside the quad time cycle peak, support has held well for traders that have taken longs on the set-up. It could blow through the top of that quad on the time cycle peak coming, if it does it will be a significant extension up.
$NBEV trade has been fantastic, paying the bills for sure. Chart resistance and support areas worked well. Trade alert was good on NBEV.
$GTHX is a tad wild but managed well it has been a good trade for us.
And $AGN of course continues to pay on large sizing with trims and adds from the charting and trade plans published over last number of weeks.
Watching $BKRS for a long, looks decent for a swing trade.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.48, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 75.25, Gold $GLD trading 1203.12, Silver $SLV trading 14.72, $SPY 292.59 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6453.00 and $VIX trading 11.5.
USA ADP Employment Change for Sep 230.0K vs 187.0K Est; Prior 163.0K.
$GM shares up 5.1 percent premarket after Honda joins with Cruise and GM to build new autonomous vehicle.
Paratek announces FDA approval of NUZYRA https://seekingalpha.com/news/3394702-paratek-announces-fda-approval-nuzyra?source=feed_f … #premarket $PRTK.
$NVCN Reports Positive 12-Wk Follow-up Data from First U.S. Patient Implanted with Neovasc Reducer.
$CVNA-Carvana Co(CVNA) said pre-market Wednesday that it has expanded into Myrtle Beach, South Carolina with the launch of its as-soon-as-next-day vehicle delivery service.The company said that the service will enable customers to shop more than 10,000 vehicles next day service
J.C. Penney spikes after naming former Joann Stores chief as new CEO $JCP $LOW $AMZN $JWN $M http://dlvr.it/Qm8yvm.
VistaGen shares surge 13% after FDA grants fast track status to non-opioid pain treatment.
IGC’s stock tumbles after near 6-fold run up in 5 day as share offering completed.
Canopy Growth unit in pilot to test medical marijuana in treating senior pain, cognitive function #swingtraading $CGC.
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
Crude Oil Monthly Chart testing 100 MA resistance. Oct 2 517 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Crude Oil Monthly Chart testing 100 MA resistance. Oct 2 517 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN) Looks like it may not be ready to retrace to bottom of channel in forecast, testing new highs.
ALLERGAN (AGN) Looks like it may not be ready to retrace to bottom of channel in forecast, testing new highs. $AGN #swingtrading #tradealerts
SQUARE (SQ) premarket trading 101.20 near 102.00 resistance. Trim in to resistance add to trade above. Updated chart. $SQ #tradealerts
SQUARE (SQ) premarket trading 101.20 near 102.00 resistance. Trim in to resistance add to trade above. Updated chart. $SQ #tradealerts
DISNEY (DIS) swing trade doing well, in to resistance premarket 117.17, trim in to add above $DIS #swingtrading #tradealerts
DISNEY (DIS) swing trade doing well, in to resistance premarket 117.17, trim in to add above $DIS #swingtrading #tradealerts
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES (XBIO) held a key support area on Friday. On watch for a trade over 3.25 $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealerts
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES (XBIO) held a key support area on Friday. On watch for a trade over 3.25 $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealerts
CRONOS (CRON) MACD cross up on 240 Min Chart with decision near on chart timing, on watch $CRON #tradealert #swingtrading
CRONOS (CRON) MACD cross up on 240 Min Chart with decision near on chart timing, on watch $CRON #tradealert #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) Upper and lower price targets in to next time cycle nearing $TSLA #tradealerts #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) Upper and lower price targets in to next time cycle nearing $TSLA #tradealerts #swingtrading
ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) hit key resistance at mid quad and came off now near a support, some members in this play toward price target #swingtrading #tradealerts
ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) hit key resistance at mid quad and came off now near a support, some members in this play toward price target #swingtrading #tradealerts
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
ALIBABA (BABA) bullish up 2% intra day, holding support of trading range well. Trim in to resistance add above. $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrade
ALIBABA (BABA) bullish up 2% intra day, holding support of trading range well. Trim in to resistance add above. $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrade
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Nice swing trade from trading bootcamp in to next leg at resistance intra day $CARA #swingtrade #tradealert
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Nice swing trade from trading bootcamp in to next leg at resistance intra day $CARA #swingtrade #tradealert
OSI SYSTEMS (OSIS) Trading 77.55 testing 50 MA and key Fib resistance, over targets 84.21 Dec 28, 18 $OSIS #tradealerts #swingtrading
OSI SYSTEMS (OSIS) Trading 77.55 testing 50 MA and key Fib resistance, over targets 84.21 Dec 28, 18 $OSIS #tradealerts #swingtrading
BALLARD POWER (BLDP) Five out of five of the last major time cycles price reversed, Oct 10 is next time cycle peak. $BLDP #swingtrading #tradealerts
BALLARD POWER (BLDP) Five out of five of the last major time cycles price reversed, Oct 10 is next time cycle peak. $BLDP #swingtrading #tradealerts
LEVEL BRANDS (LEVB) trading 6.54 premarket long in to 8.09 price target, 6.16 area support. $LEVB #daytrading #swingtrade
LEVEL BRANDS (LEVB) trading 6.54 premarket long in to 8.09 price target, 6.16 area support. $LEVB #daytrading #swingtrade
EDITAS MEDICINE (EDIT) Bounce at 50 MA over mid quad resistance 200 MA res next Sept 24 price target in sight. $EDIT #swingtrade #tradingalert
EDITAS MEDICINE (EDIT) Bounce at 50 MA over mid quad resistance 200 MA res next Sept 24 price target in sight. $EDIT #swingtrade #tradingalert
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
ROKU INC (ROKU) At resistance 73.55 area, above 73.70 targets 77.80 next. Trim in add above. $ROKU #swingtrde #daytrading
ROKU INC (ROKU) At resistance 73.55 area, above 73.70 targets 77.80 next. Trim in add above. $ROKU #swingtrde #daytrading
22nd Century Group (XXII) over 2.85 targets 3.09 then 3.53 Nov 19 time cycle. $XXII #tradealerts #swingtrading
22nd Century Group (XXII) over 2.85 targets 3.09 then 3.53 Nov 19 time cycle. $XXII #tradealerts #swingtrading
MOMO Inc. from Trading BootCamp over 48.50 targets 49.66 50.46 51.42 65.57 Feb 5 #swingtrading #tradealerts
MOMO Inc. from Trading BootCamp over 48.50 targets 49.66 50.46 51.42 65.57 Feb 5 #swingtrading #tradealerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PROQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channeland at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
DavidsTea -19% after issuing statement https://seekingalpha.com/news/3394695-davidstea-minus-19-percent-issuing-statement?source=feed_f … #premarket $DTEA.
Kala Pharmaceuticals down 12% on pricing 7.5M-share stock offering https://seekingalpha.com/news/3394737-kala-pharmaceuticals-12-percent-pricing-7_5m-share-stock-offering?source=feed_f … #premarket $KALA.
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
Applied Materials $AMAT PT Lowered to $60 at Susquehanna
Amneal Pharmaceuticals $AMRX PT Lowered to $24 at Morgan Stanley
MercadoLibre $MELI PT Lowered to $340 at Susquehanna
Delta Air Lines $DAL PT Lowered to $67 at BofA/Merrill Lynch
Analog Devices $ADI PT Lowered to $108 at Morgan Stanley
Amphenol $APH PT Lowered to $100 at Morgan Stanley
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of the seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are over one hundred in total in development at various stages in various markets).
NOTICES:
New members to our oil algorithm charting models, oil trade alerts and oil trading room are encouraged to on-board in a way that equips you as an oil trader for consistent profit.
Invaluable are the crude oil trade alerts (available with or without the trading room / weekly report bundle) and the private member crude oil trading chat room on Discord (included in the bundle). The live alerts are important if you are not at your trading screens 24 hours a day and the chat room allows for interactive lead trader oil trade set-ups as each oil trade approaches.
Reviewing important points of reference and engaging the subscription resources will increase your probability of success considerably. This report also includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.
Oil Trade Coaching – We strongly suggest users of this algorithmic crude oil trading strategy opt for some level of private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader. Our lead trader is currently maintaining a crude oil trading alert win-rate of over 90% (as of Sept 2, 2018 – time-stamped, live alert, recorded).
On our website one-on-one online coaching packages are made available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a custom package reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning. To request a custom package suited to your needs email [email protected] or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars, trade coaching bootcamps and private on location (in person) coaching sessions.
Oil Trading Room – How to Use the Oil Algorithm
Oil Trading Room – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Oil Charting
Oil Trading Alerts. Live Lead Trader Video Trading w EPIC Oil Algorithm
Recent articles from our blog about how to trade crude oil with our oil trading algorithm:
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is now also in the coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and/or this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithm model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency robot type algorithm – I am presented on (and used on) a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator.
The goal is to provide oil traders with a signals edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil – first with the reporting format as below, then with machine trading functions and an integrated intelligent assisted traders platform that will provide the user with various settings of automation and personal trade execution.
In the weekly report below you will find simplified levels represented on conventional and algorithmic charting for intra-day (day-trading crude oil), swing trading and investing. You will also find below introduction of our Generation 2 machine trading models.
This work (and associated trading) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.oil related financial instruments.
Forward questions to [email protected], private message our lead trader on Twitter or in the private Discord oil trading room.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
Oil Algorithm Observations:
Below is a link for the live algorithmic chart of EPIC the Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (Generation 1, Version 5 including black box modeling). The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX $USOIL $WTI published October 2, 2018.
Per member request we will continue to post both Gen 1 and Gen 2 models (we had previously planned to discontinue including Gen 1 in weekly reporting).
Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Intra-day crude oil trade. Oct 2 410 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Intra-day crude oil trade. Oct 2 410 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
October 2, 2018
Generation 1 Model Oil Trading Signals
The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below near bottom of this report – conventional charting trend-lines).
The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 76.14 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 72.55 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades – if that is exceeded then trading price is likely to use the line as a pivot until a directional trending trade is established).
Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.
More recently (as of September 2018) our back-testing has shown that the support and resistance areas noted are used in trade as a decision pivot – in other words, the price tends to pivot around these decision points on the chart and coil over a period of time and then spring out of the coil in an upward or downward trend.
The lower trading range is 68.92 – 72.54 and upper trading range 76.15 – 79.74.
Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).
Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.
Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.
Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.
Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.
Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week uptrends or downtrends. In recent time, trade could be described as range-bound.
The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).
Intra-day Trading Bias
Intra day bias is up as the MACD is turned up on the daily chart and this indicator is usually a leading indicator for oil trade on this time-frame.
Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Crude Oil:
Swing trading bias / forward guidance as of Sept 24, 2018 1:16 AM EST for the near term (two week swing trade) is bullish in uptrending channels as trade bounced off range support on up-trending wedge charting.
Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 58.13 to 61.72, 61.72 to 65.32, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54, 72.55 to 76.14 and 76.15 to 79.74. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.
Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).
Significantly more advanced trading rules will be introduced over the coming weeks with the newer Generation 2 models per below in this report.
Also, the recent trade coaching boot camp provided for excellent trading on the Friday in oil and also many other charting set-ups.
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Downtrend channel oil scenario. Oct 2 509 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Downtrend channel oil scenario. Oct 2 509 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Uptrend channel oil scenario. Oct 2 508 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Uptrend channel oil scenario. Oct 2 508 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT
Generation 2 Model Oil Trading Signals.
October 2 – Generation 2 model is currently in back-testing and will be released to members when available. Below are a few versions of late.
Oct 2 – Currently in updating by technician, will be added to Discord room when available.
During a squeeze trade spikes upward through the highlighted area and then rests and works its way through the next area and spikes through the next highlighted area. This does not occur in regular trade. More on this chart in our special reporting for oil trading over the coming days.
Per recent;
7:58 AM update Sept 17:
Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time frame. Sept 17 723 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Chart
1 of … Crude Oil Weekly Chart Wedge. Very bullish oil trading signal here, lower trendline held w break to upside. Sept 24 1204 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #oiltradealerts
2 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Over 71.76 suggests 74.20 – 79.00 in to Oct 22. Sept 24 1209 AM
2 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Over 71.76 suggests 74.20 – 79.00 in to Oct 22. Sept 24 1209 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #oiltradealerts
3 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Resistance 71.76, 74.20, 78.17, 79.00, 79.34 ish. Sept 24 1211 AM
3 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Resistance 71.76, 74.20, 78.17, 79.00, 79.34 ish. Sept 24 1211 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #oiltradealerts
4 of 4 … Crude Oil Weekly. If it fails for some reason, it targets 68.58 – 69.21 Oct 22. Sept 24 1215 AM
4 of 4 … Crude Oil Weekly. If it fails for some reason, it targets 68.58 – 69.21 Oct 22. Sept 24 1215 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #oiltradealerts
Daily Oil Chart:
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD trend up with price above all MA’s Oct 2 548 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Crude Oil Daily Chart. For symmetry to remain intact 67.18 Sept 28 would have to hit. Can’t imagine how. Sept 24 1229 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).
Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
The diagonal trend-lines are marked on chart below:
Sept 17: Previous remains signal;
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. Aug 12 951 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Significant probability oil hits 79.50 ish Dec 3, 2018 ish. But over that area unlikely unless there is a geo political event. Over 79.50 the shorts would get wrecked. Low 50s most probable by 2022. Early Dec 2018 is likely the highs. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OOTT
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. Aug 7 605 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Previous posts for perspective;
Oil has now cleared every trendline resistance provided on conventional charting I’ve posted last year. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OOTT #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT 233 PM Jan 1
Oil has now cleared every trendline resistance provided on conventional charting I’ve posted last year. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OOTT #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT 233 PM Jan 1
Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Notice when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Recent Live Crude Oil Trade Alerts (sample signals):
Oct 2 – Recent trade alerts will be updated soon.
Aug 12 2018 – Recent trades are found in this recent report:
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are over one hundred in total in development at various stages in various markets).
NOTICES:
New members to our oil algorithm charting models, oil trade alerts and oil trading room are encouraged to on-board in a way that equips you as an oil trader for consistent profit.
Invaluable are the crude oil trade alerts (available with or without the trading room / weekly report bundle) and the private member crude oil trading chat room on Discord (included in the bundle). The live alerts are important if you are not at your trading screens 24 hours a day and the chat room allows for interactive lead trader oil trade set-ups as each oil trade approaches.
Reviewing important points of reference and engaging the subscription resources will increase your probability of success considerably. This report also includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.
Oil Trade Coaching – We strongly suggest users of this algorithmic crude oil trading strategy opt for some level of private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader. Our lead trader is currently maintaining a crude oil trading alert win-rate of over 90% (as of Sept 2, 2018 – time-stamped, live alert, recorded).
On our website one-on-one online coaching packages are made available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a custom package reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning. To request a custom package suited to your needs email [email protected] or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars, trade coaching bootcamps and private on location (in person) coaching sessions.
Oil Trading Room – How to Use the Oil Algorithm
Oil Trading Room – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Oil Charting
Oil Trading Alerts. Live Lead Trader Video Trading w EPIC Oil Algorithm
Recent articles from our blog about how to trade crude oil with our oil trading algorithm:
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is now also in the coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and/or this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithm model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency robot type algorithm – I am presented on (and used on) a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator.
The goal is to provide oil traders with a signals edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil – first with the reporting format as below, then with machine trading functions and an integrated intelligent assisted traders platform that will provide the user with various settings of automation and personal trade execution.
In the weekly report below you will find simplified levels represented on conventional and algorithmic charting for intra-day (day-trading crude oil), swing trading and investing. You will also find below introduction of our Generation 2 machine trading models.
This work (and associated trading) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.oil related financial instruments.
Forward questions to [email protected], private message our lead trader on Twitter or in the private Discord oil trading room.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
Oil Algorithm Observations:
Below is a link for the live algorithmic chart of EPIC the Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (Generation 1, Version 5 including black box modeling). The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX $USOIL $WTI published Sept 23, 2018.
A Generation 1, Version 6 model (with and without machine trading chart overlays) is currently also available. Per member request we will continue to post both Gen 1 and Gen 2 models (we had previously planned to discontinue including Gen 1 in weekly reporting).
Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:
The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below near bottom of this report – conventional charting trend-lines).
The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 72.54 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 68.93 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades – if that is exceeded then trading price is likely to use the line as a pivot until a directional trending trade is established).
Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.
More recently (as of September 2018) our back-testing has shown that the support and resistance areas noted are used in trade as a decision pivot – in other words, the price tends to pivot around these decision points on the chart and coil over a period of time and then spring out of the coil in an upward or downward trend.
The lower trading range is 65.32 – 68.92 and upper trading range 72.55 to 76.15.
Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).
Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.
Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.
Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.
Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.
Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week uptrends or downtrends. In recent time, trade could be described as range-bound.
The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).
Intra-day Trading Bias
Intra day bias is up as the MACD is turned up on the daily chart and this indicator is usually a leading indicator for oil trade on this time-frame.
Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Crude Oil:
Swing trading bias / forward guidance as of Sept 24, 2018 1:16 AM EST for the near term (two week swing trade) is bullish in uptrending channels as trade bounced off range support on up-trending wedge charting.
Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 58.13 to 61.72, 61.72 to 65.32, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54 and 72.55 to 76.15. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.
Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).
Significantly more advanced trading rules will be introduced over the coming weeks with the newer Generation 2 models per below in this report.
Also, the recent trade coaching boot camp provided for excellent trading on the Friday in oil and also many other charting set-ups.
Sept 24 – Currently in updating by technician, will be added to Discord room when available.
During a squeeze trade spikes upward through the highlighted area and then rests and works its way through the next area and spikes through the next highlighted area. This does not occur in regular trade. More on this chart in our special reporting for oil trading over the coming days.
Per recent;
7:58 AM update Sept 17:
Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time frame. Sept 17 723 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Chart
1 of … Crude Oil Weekly Chart Wedge. Very bullish oil trading signal here, lower trendline held w break to upside. Sept 24 1204 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #oiltradealerts
2 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Over 71.76 suggests 74.20 – 79.00 in to Oct 22. Sept 24 1209 AM
2 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Over 71.76 suggests 74.20 – 79.00 in to Oct 22. Sept 24 1209 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #oiltradealerts
3 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Resistance 71.76, 74.20, 78.17, 79.00, 79.34 ish. Sept 24 1211 AM
3 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Resistance 71.76, 74.20, 78.17, 79.00, 79.34 ish. Sept 24 1211 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #oiltradealerts
4 of 4 … Crude Oil Weekly. If it fails for some reason, it targets 68.58 – 69.21 Oct 22. Sept 24 1215 AM
4 of 4 … Crude Oil Weekly. If it fails for some reason, it targets 68.58 – 69.21 Oct 22. Sept 24 1215 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #oiltradealerts
Daily Oil Chart:
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD re-confirms upward with price above all MA’s Sept 23 1155 PM
Crude Oil Daily Chart. For symmetry to remain intact 67.18 Sept 28 would have to hit. Can’t imagine how. Sept 24 1229 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).
Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
The diagonal trend-lines are marked on chart below:
Sept 17: Previous remains signal;
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. Aug 12 951 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Significant probability oil hits 79.50 ish Dec 3, 2018 ish. But over that area unlikely unless there is a geo political event. Over 79.50 the shorts would get wrecked. Low 50s most probable by 2022. Early Dec 2018 is likely the highs. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OOTT
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. Aug 7 605 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Previous posts for perspective;
Oil has now cleared every trendline resistance provided on conventional charting I’ve posted last year. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OOTT #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT 233 PM Jan 1
Oil has now cleared every trendline resistance provided on conventional charting I’ve posted last year. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OOTT #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT 233 PM Jan 1
Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Notice when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Recent Live Crude Oil Trade Alerts (sample signals):
Sept 23 – Recent trade alerts will be updated soon.
Aug 12 2018 – Recent trades are found in this recent report:
100% personal alerted oil trade win rate documented, recorded, alerted real time to feed continues for months (we did have one loss alert by a tech a few weeks back).
Live oil trade alert. Trim other 50 percent 69.26 50 percent.
Live oil trade alert. Trim other 50 percent 69.26 50 percent. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL #OOTT $UWT $DWT $USO #trading #alerts
Overnight oil trade: short 72.79 add 72.71 cover 72.27s-72.35s. Not cleanest trade but HUGE win. 100% win rate continues (for months). Guidance detail in oil trading room (to expect heat). Live alerts, time stamped, recorded.
Overnight oil trade alert short 72.79 add 72.71 cover 72.27s to 72.35s. Not cleanest trade but HUGE win. 100% win rate continues
Overnight oil trade short 72.79 add 72.71 cover 72.27s to 72.35s. Not cleanest trade but HUGE win. 100% win rate continues $USOIL $WTI $USO #OIL #Trading #Alerts
Member guidance in oil chat room this morning “i’ll be selling spikes in to resistance until it doesn’t work – the larger more obvious i’ll alert against downtrend upper channel orange dotted etc”
Member guidance this morning in crude oil trading room – i’ll be selling spikes in to resistance until it doesn’t work
Member guidance this morning i’ll be selling spikes in to resistance until it doesn’t work $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT EPIC Oil Algorithm #oil #trading #alerts
Scalp day. 100 percent win rate for months continues. Time stamped, live oil alerted, recorded.
100 percent win rate for months continues. Time stamped, live alerted, recorded. #oilalerts
100 percent win rate for months continues. Time stamped, live alerted, recorded. $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT EPIC Oil Algorithm #oil #trading #alerts
Oil trading chat room member guidance and intra day daytrading charting example ‘70.02 would be the swing retrace. So the thesis is sound but you may have pain before potential drop”.
70.02 would be the swing retrace. So the thesis is sound but you may have pain before potential drop.
Crude oil trading room member guidance and intra day daytrading charting example “Target is in 70.70 area so I will likely give this lots of room swing if I have to. We’ll see”.
Target is in 70.70 area so I will likely give this lots of room swing if I have to. We’ll see. FX $USOIL $WTI #OilTrading
Oil trade chat room member guidance and intra day daytrading charting example “Machines defending the retrace intra day”.
Machines defending the retrace intra day FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL #Algorithm
Trims / close longs 71.39 to 71.71 crude oil trade alert.
Long 71.21 oil trade alert with the one add.
Today’s #EIA oil trade with Oil Algorithm (EPIC) Live alert entries (green) exits (red).
Screen shot member oil chat room first oil trade alert of day – Long 71.21 hoping we squeeze in to EIA
Screen shot member oil chat room first oil trade alert of day – Long 71.21 hoping we squeeze in to EIA
One minute algorithmic on the fly chart trade came off after initial long side oil trade alert- see green arrow.
One minute algorithmic on the fly chart trade came off after initial long side oil trade alert- see green arrow. #oiltradealert #oil
Screen shot of crude oil signals alert to trim half at 71.39 place stop 71.26 on remaining half and resistance guidance.
Screen shot of alert to trim half at 71.39 place stop 71.26 on remaining half and resistance guidance. #oil #trading #chat
Oil chat room screen shot of next trade signal alert to trim long at 71.52 25 percent and hold 25 percent.
Oil chat room screen shot of next trade alert to trim long at 71.52 25 percent and hold 25 percent.
Final crude oil trade alert signal to close final 12.5 percent at 71.74 and hold 0 percent at chart resistance.
Final crude oil trade alert to close final 12.5 percent at 71.74 and hold 0 percent at chart resistance.
And then the post EIA 1030 Wed trade alert with trading signals plan price targets were posted – usually wait 2nd 5 min candle
And then the post EIA 1030 Wed trade alert with trading plan price targets were posted – usually wait 2nd 5 min candle
And then this happened, oil shot up right through the price targets from the alert.
And then this happened, oil shot up right through the price targets from the alert.
Winning streak continues. 100% live oil trade alert win rate for many weeks now. Time stamped real time.
EPIC Oil Algorithm trade alert wins continue for many weeks now. Time stamped real time.
EPIC Oil Algorithm trade alert wins continue for many weeks now. Time stamped real time. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #OOTT #Oiltradealerts #algorithm
Boom “3rd target hit. Trade thesis complete for #EIA. Next levels to follow.
First 3 targets intra if long side trade alert holds. Trim in add above or on pull back and turns up.
First 3 targets intra if long side trade alert holds. Trim in add above or on pull back and turns up. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1046 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Trade is using our 50% retrace on daytrade coding level intra as pivot.
Trade is using our 50% retrace on daytrade coding level intra as pivot Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1058 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Close up of intra day trading battle.
Close up of intra day trading battle #daytrading Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1105 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
1st of 3 targets hit. Curt didn’t get it but coding team did.
1st of 3 targets hit. Curt didn’t get it but coding team did. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1121 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Up over 1st target longs want to trim in to 2nd target level.
Up over 1st target longs want to trim in to 2nd target level. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1141 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
3rd target hit. Trade thesis complete for #EIA. Next levels to follow.
3rd target hit. Trade thesis complete for #EIA. Next levels to follow. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1148 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Daytrading support and resistance fractals (white arrows key).
Daytrading support and resistance fractals (white arrows key) Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1209 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Recent Oil Algorithm Price Target Hits:
Sept 23 – Price Target Reporting will be updated soon.
Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report.
Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Tues 430 lower price target a perfect hit, as published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Tues 430 lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Tues 430 lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
The main live trading room going forward is open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with our Lead Trader.The exceptions are; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, special Trading Webinars or if the lead trader is not available.
Week of Sept 17 – New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
Week of Sept 17 – Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
Week of Sept 17 – Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
Week of Sept 17 – Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on our website.
Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
Week of Sept 17 – The previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available on our website.
Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
Machine Trade Coding Team Mandate: In current development and roll-out (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
As I wrote yesterday, many of the set ups that we charted and alerted during coaching boot camp are likely to alarm early week, so I’m expecting trades for those, we are also updating the complete platform equity list charting in the same way (re-charting them all and alarming them etc) – so this week and going forward should become very active in the trading room and on alert feeds.
Stocks – Oracle, FedEx Slide in Pre-market, Netflix, Apple Gain, Avon Surges –
Stocks – Oracle, FedEx Slide in Pre-market, Netflix, Apple Gain, Avon Surges – https://t.co/ssMbjoDBnP
Markets as of 7:04 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 94.50, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 69.72, Gold $GLD trading 1200.48, Silver $SLV trading 14.22, $SPY 290.05 (premarket), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6239.00 and $VIX trading 13.2.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
News:
Tilray receives approval from U.S. to import a medical cannabis study drug for a clinical trial … https://seekingalpha.com/news/3390989-tilray-receives-approval-u-s-import-medical-cannabis-study-drug-clinical-trial-uc-san-diego?source=feed_f … #premarket $TLRY
$VKTX Viking Therapeutics announces positive results in trial of non-alcoholic fatty liver treatment
Sempra Energy announces agreement with Elliott Management, Bluescape Energy $SRE http://dlvr.it/QkZ8b9
EMA accepts Bristol-Myers’ marketing application for expanded use of Empliciti https://seekingalpha.com/news/3390991-ema-accepts-bristol-myers-marketing-application-expanded-use-empliciti?source=feed_f … #premarket $BMY $CELG $ABBV
$FB Facebook Sought Access to Financial Firms’ Customer Data
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for sometime).
VIKING THERAPEUTICS (VKTX) premarket up 140% on liver trial news. $VKTX #premarket #daytrading
VIKING THERAPEUTICS (VKTX) premarket up 140% on liver trial news. $VKTX #premarket #daytrading
$MYND needs that 50 MA on the weekly to get going above where it is IMO
$MYND needs that 50 MA on the weekly to get going above where it is IMO
Seaspan (SSW) over 9.50 intra should see lower 10s fast, trading 9.34 intraday. $SSW #daytrade #swingtrade #tradealerts
Seaspan (SSW) over 9.50 intra should see lower 10s fast, trading 9.34 intraday. $SSW #daytrade #swingtrade #tradealerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
SHOPIFY (SHOP) is working the area between main pivot (red line) and upper price target $SHOP #tradealerts #swingtrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) is working the area between main pivot (red line) and upper price target $SHOP #tradealerts #swingtrading
SP500 (SPY) Chart – Came off at test area around pivot on 60 min chart, above box long below short $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SP500 (SPY) Chart – Came off at test area around pivot on 60 min chart, above box long below short $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
ALIBABA (BABA) got a bounce at 100 MA under rane support, watching close here now $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrading
ALIBABA (BABA) got a bounce at 100 MA under rane support, watching close here now $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrading
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Testing break-out area intra-day. On watch. $CARA #tradingsetups #tradealert
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Testing break-out area intra-day. On watch. $CARA #tradingsetups #tradealert
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD turning back up with price above 50 MA Sept 17 623 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD turning back up with price above 50 MA Sept 17 623 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Per Sean alert in live daytrading room yesterday $SHOP got over resistance today targeting 166s next #tradealerts #daytrade
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Per Sean alert in live daytrading room yesterday $SHOP got over resistance today targeting 166s next #tradealerts #daytrade
BOX INC (BOX) Swing trading plan well in play with nice bounce off 50 MA on way to symmetrical price target. $BOX #Swingtrading #TradeAlerts
BOX INC (BOX) Swing trading plan well in play with nice bounce off 50 MA on way to symmetrical price target. $BOX #Swingtrading #TradeAlerts
$BABA long side premarket 165s swing trade targets 178.67 then 207.50 Dec 17, 2018. #swingtrading #trade #alerts
Confidence in the global economy over the next 12 months has declined to the weakest in near 7 years, shows #MerrilLynch Global Fund Manager Survey.
Confidence in the global economy over the next 12 months has declined to the weakest in near 7 years, shows #MerrilLynch Global Fund Manager Survey. pic.twitter.com/EUALLJ2638
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channeland at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Trade Alerts Report and Video from Live Day Trading Room for: $VIX Volatility $WTI $CL_F Oil $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS #daytrading #swingtrading
#TradeAlerts
Trading alerts and trading set-ups raw video from Live Trading Room mid-day review Sept 17, 2018. Some of the trade set-ups in this video are from the Trading Boot-Camp.
Tickers reviewed: $VIX $WTI $CL_F $USO $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $DXY $SPY $GTHX $FB $FF $SENS and more.
I apologize for the sound interference – at times it was just awful, we’ll re hard wire the set-up again soon here and get that fixed. In tomorrow’s mid day I will hard wire that one computer to modem and you can let me know if it is any better please.
Voice broadcast does not start until 3:18 on video.
Market discovery theme on day.
Volatility $VIX – time-cycles reviewed in to Dec 24 beyond and inflections in markets, market open, futures and account return expectations over next two trading quarters or so.
Crude oil trading $WTI $CL_F $USO – review of crude oil algorithm, machine trading model, charting, price targets for time cycles this week reviewed.
PROQR Therapeutics $PROQR – Excellent chart set-up, one of my favorite trades of late. Buy sell trading signals reviewed. Bounced at support at previous trade alert now at key resistance, trim in to resistance and over 22.70 targets 24.85 then 27.50. Watch the diagonal trend line (quad wall). Careful shorting this stock, 18.05 possible.
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
US Dollar $DXY – Review of US Dollar Algorithm charting. Lower support trend line and upper trend line, support and resistance areas to watch. Review of structure.
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
$CARA Therapeutics – testing previous highs, testing other side of bowl and a full extension is possible here, structured chart trading signals reviewed, Target Dec 10 30s or 38.00s if it breaks out. Pull back to 16.36 support, look for a bounce there if it sells-off. 19.70 is near term support for a test long also.
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Testing break-out area intra-day. On watch. $CARA #tradingsetups #tradealert
BOX $BOX – previously provided upside targets, down side scenario on video 22.32 good support, 50 MA support is good, intra day in down trajectory lines, 10.36 is a downside sell-off target that is possible in a panic. Channel symmetry also reviewed.
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
SEASPAN $SSW – keeps hitting resistance, simple short at each, looking for a long over resistance in trajectory on video. Upside 10.18 first target, best scenario Nov 11.93 and 18.30 best best not probable.
Seaspan (SSW) over 9.50 intra shoud see lower 10s fast, trading 9.34 intraday. $SSW #daytrade #swingtrade #tradealerts
G1 Therapeutics $GTHX – pullback in price here doesn’t surprise me, candle body is in current bullish trajectory lines on chart, review of downside supports and upside price targets. 76.00 – 80.00 (up over 69.62 is a trigger). All areas reviewed on video.
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
SHOPIFY $SHOP – chart pivot acting as support (red line) Oct 10 166.72 price target, holding key support, working up against a quad wall (diagonal Fib resistance), 154.35 buy side comes in at that area. Pull back support is 50 MA primary for a long side test trade.
SHOPIFY (SHOP) is working the area between main pivot (red line) and upper price target $SHOP #tradealerts #swingtrading
SP500 $SPY – the box test area reviewed, above box is a long and under is a short. 283.93 278.47 Sept 1 are downside targets in a sell-off. Other trade signals and price targets reviewed on video.
SP500 (SPY) Chart – Came off at test area around pivot on 60 min chart, above box long below short $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
ALIBABA $BABA – underwater a bit on this swing trade in BABA, I’m in 1/10 sizing now. Bounced off 100 MA, trading right at box support, Dec 17 trade price targets discussed to low side. Adds at each support is the trading plan for ALIBABA should sell-off continue.
FACEBOOK (FB) On watch for wash-out snap-back trade now, main support and resistance marked on chart $FB #swingtrade #daytrade
Top momentum stocks for the day reviewed;
$OTM 20 MA resistance on weekly, above will target the 50 MA. It respects the 50 MA and 200 MA on weekly chart. Trading plan reviewed on video.
$LEU – stay away from
$FF – Currently at support and resistance area, price extensions for a possible run are reviewed on video. Targets 23.67 in a bullish scenario, trading 17.63.
$TAHO – junk
$GHG – junk, no structure
$CEL – not a good chart
$CWH – terrible
$SPA – at previous lows, bounced there before…. but…. no structure
$SUPV – junk
$TGS – bounced off 200 MA support, good example of a bullish run out of the bowl for multiple extensions up on the chart.
$WAB – not interested
$AG – on 200 MA support, not interested.
$SENS – support 3.97 trading 4.16, looking for a bounce. The trade set-up will be on the upcoming swing trading report.