server test
Friday Schedule – Machine kills first automated oil trade yesterday (top tick short oil), Next week:
– No premarket report. No mid day.
– I will be in live trading room, but only on mic / active if I trade. If I am trading I will advise in Discord that I am on mic in live trading room.
– I will be available and at trading desk all day working (on conference) with team (coding / reports), if you need anything DM me on Discord. If you’re trading (and a trade coaching student) send me a note before / as you trade if you can (time allows).
– Machine trading api’s are near all complete for oil algorithm so expect alerts to increase in regularity (the last api is expected to be connected Tues at latest). The machine killed its first real trade yesterday, WOW.
– Final reports will be out over next 24 hours.
– Next week will be regular schedule in trading room etc forward as machine trade coding for Oil algorithm will be complete.
– Remember we have a 20 minute platform outage between now and Tuesday at some point to move fiber line.
Thanks
Curt
Crude Oil Algorithm Trading Chart Report (EPIC) w/ Machine Trading Gen 2 Thursday October 25, 2018.
FX: $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP
Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are over one hundred in total in development at various stages in various markets).
NOTICES:
New members to our oil algorithm charting models, oil trade alerts and oil trading room are encouraged to on-board in a way that equips you as an oil trader for consistent profit.
Visit my public Twitter feed EPIC Oil Algorithm Twitter (@EPICtheAlgo) and review tweets over the last few months, visit our blog and review the recent crude oil trading algorithm blog posts, You Tube channel “how my oil algorithm works”, “how to use my charting”, weekly EIA oil report videos and our website explains how the oil algorithm was developed.
Invaluable are the crude oil trade alerts (available with or without the trading room / weekly report bundle) and the private member crude oil trading chat room on Discord (included in the bundle). The live alerts are important if you are not at your trading screens 24 hours a day and the chat room allows for interactive lead trader oil trade set-ups as each oil trade approaches. All bundle members can access the live oil trading room when active also.
Reviewing important points of reference and engaging the subscription resources will increase your probability of success considerably. This report also includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.
Oil Trade Coaching – We strongly suggest users of this algorithmic crude oil trading strategy opt for some level of private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader. Our lead trader is maintaining a crude oil trading alert win-rate of over 90% (as of Sept 2, 2018 (time-stamped, live alert, recorded).
On our website one-on-one online coaching packages are available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a custom package reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning. To request a custom package suited to your needs email [email protected] or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars, trade coaching bootcamps and private on location (in person) coaching sessions.
Oil Trading Room – How to Use the Oil Algorithm
Oil Trading Room – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Oil Charting
Oil Trading Alerts. Live Lead Trader Video Trading w EPIC Oil Algorithm
Recent articles / videos from our blog about how to trade crude oil with our oil trading algorithm:
Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video
Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Protected: Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
For the more articles / videos available visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil page here.
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available on our shop page.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is now also in the coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on Twitter feed and/or this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithmic model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am presented on (and used on) conventional trade charting as one would normally use.
The goal is to provide oil traders with signals for an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil – first with the reporting format as below, then with machine trading functions and an integrated intelligent assisted traders platform that will provide the user with various settings of automation and personal trade execution.
In the weekly report below you will find simplified levels represented on conventional and algorithmic charting for intra-day (day-trading crude oil), swing trading and investing.
This work (and associated trading) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on with oil related financial instruments.
Forward questions to [email protected], private message our lead trader on Twitter or in the private Discord oil trading room.
For further information this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
Oil Algorithm Observations:
Below is a link for the live algorithmic chart of EPIC the Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (Generation 1, Version 5 including black box modeling). The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX USOIL WTI published October 25, 2018.
Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Intra-day crude oil trade. Oct 25 817 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
October 25, 2018
Generation 1 Model Oil Trading Signals
The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below near bottom of this report – conventional charting trend-lines).
The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 68.93 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 65.32 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades – if that is exceeded then trading price is likely to use the line as a pivot until a directional trending trade is established).
Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.
More recently (as of September 2018) our back-testing has shown that the support and resistance areas noted are used in trade as a decision pivot – in other words, the price tends to pivot around these decision points on the chart and coil over a period of time and then spring out of the coil in an upward or downward trend.
The lower trading range is 61.72 – 65.32 and upper trading range 68.93 – 72.53.
Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).
Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.
Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.
Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.
Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.
Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week up-trends or down-trends. In recent time, trade could be described as being in a retrace / moderately range bound.
The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).
Intra-day Trading Bias
Intra day bias is down side trade as the MACD is turned down on the daily chart and this indicator is usually a leading indicator for oil trade on this time-frame.
Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Crude Oil:
Swing trading bias / forward guidance as of Oct 25, 2018 9:17 PM EST for the near term is bearish.
Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 58.13 to 61.72, 61.72 to 65.32, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54, 72.55 to 76.14 and 76.15 to 79.74. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.
Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).
Significantly more advanced trading rules will be introduced over the coming weeks with the newer Machine Trading Generation 2 models per below in this report.
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Down trend channel scenario Oct 25 907 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Down trend channel scenario Oct 25 907 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Uptrend channel scenario Oct 25 906 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Uptrend channel scenario Oct 25 906 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Gen 1 and Gen 2 Algorithmic Oil Trading Machine Driven Model Development.
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Hidden pivot locations. Oct 25 831 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Hidden pivot locations. Oct 25 831 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil. 240 Min trading spigot concept chart for trims and adds Oct 25 152 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading
Crude Oil. 240 Min trading spigot concept chart for trims and adds Oct 25 152 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading
Per recent;
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V2 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 17 552 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT
This is an alternate machine trading model currently in development.
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V2 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 17 552 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT
Per previous;
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V1 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 11 1246 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V1 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 11 1246 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT
Generation 1 Day-Trading Crude Oil 1 Minute Chart Signals
Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time frame. Sept 25 927 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #Chart
Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time frame. Sept 25 927 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #Chart
Per recent;
During a squeeze trade spikes upward through the highlighted area and then rests and works its way through the next area and spikes through the next highlighted area. This does not occur in regular trade. More on this chart in our special reporting for oil trading over the coming days
7:58 AM update Sept 17:
Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time frame. Sept 17 723 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Chart
Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time frame. Sept 17 723 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Chart
Crude Oil Swing Trade Charting.
Monthly Oil Chart:
Crude Oil Monthly Chart. Trade between 100 and 200 MA Stochastic RSI turned down. Oct 25 132 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading
Crude Oil Monthly Chart. Trade between 100 and 200 MA Stochastic RSI turned down. Oct 25 132 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading
Weekly Crude Oil Chart:
Crude Oil. Weekly chart wedge magnified chart with additional Fibs. Oct 25 145 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading
Crude Oil. Weekly chart wedge magnified chart with additional Fibs. Oct 25 145 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading
Crude Oil. Weekly chart wedge perspective chart. Oct 25 135 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading
Daily Oil Charts:
Crude Oil Daily Chart 200 MA tested twice this week to upside. Oct 25 120 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Crude Oil Daily Chart 200 MA tested twice this week to upside. Oct 25 120 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Crude Oil Symmetry Chart in play. Oct 25 118 PM FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO Crude oil daily trading chart.
Crude Oil Symmetry Chart in play. Oct 25 118 PM FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO Crude oil daily trading chart.
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).
Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
The diagonal trend-lines are marked on chart below:
Crude Oil. Weekly trendline chart, trade at 50 MA and near support. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading
Crude Oil. Weekly trendline chart, trade at 50 MA and near support. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading
Crude Oil. Weekly chart magnified, trading between 20 MA and 50 MA this week.. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading
Crude Oil. Weekly chart magnified, trading between 20 MA and 50 MA this week.. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Recent Live Crude Oil Trade Alerts (sample signals):
Oct 25 – Recent trade alerts will be updated soon.
Aug 12 2018 – Recent trades are found in this recent report:
Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Click on feature post for recent crude oil trading alerts blog post; Oil Trading Alerts Live Video w EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA Report #Oil #Trading #Algorithm #Alerts $USOIL $WTI $CL_F
Recent Oil Algorithm Price Target Hits:
Oct 25 – Price Target Reporting will be updated soon.
Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
EPIC the Oil Algo
Subscribe to Service Here:
Standalone Crude Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).
Real-Time Crude Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).
Crude Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes weekly newsletter charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).
Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).
One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).
Connect:
Register to free email list for trade set-ups, webinars, special events: https://compoundtrading.com/contact/
Website: https://compoundtrading.com
Blog: https://compoundtrading.com/blog/
Free chat room: https://discord.gg/2HRTk6n
Subscribe: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-…
Twitter: https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading
Lead Trader: https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly
Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/curtmel…
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/compoundtrad…
StockTwits: https://stocktwits.com/compoundtrading
Email: https://[email protected]
Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States
Article topics: EPIC, Crude, Oil, Algorithm, Trade, Alerts, Trading Room, Chat, Charts, Signals, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, $CL_F
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday October 24, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: Earnings, #EIA, Oil, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Volatility, $VIX, $TSLA, $MCD and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Oct 24 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
- Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us! https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
- https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1054318666878238720
- Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
- What’s New / Work in Progress:
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
October 24 Trading Plan: It’s all about oil $WTI $CL_F today, then it will be about GOLD $GLD, SILVER $SLV, VIX $VIX and SP500 $SPY for me thereafter. Watching the TESLA $TSLA play and MCDONALDS $MCD very close. Everything else will be reviewed on swing trading report due out today.
October 23: Notes per below remain in play. New position long in Silver is working from 14.63’s as a swing trade, oil short in to open yesterday worked, watching for an intra-day bounce possible in to open in oil and then down likely. Gold has a bounce as does VIX as I expected in to this time cycle. Momentum daytrading is very dangerous right now. Watching some swing trades in equities (forming a report right now and I’ll release it today).
Considering a long term (6 months or more) swing trade in $MCD soon. Long.
$VIX up more than double since we were alerting time cycle run #premarket.
October 22: I have a new position in Silver in 14.63’s long that may get some pressure but there is a plan to add at support below. Earnings season may help equities some here near term – but it is dubious.
I will continue chewing around the edges of this crude oil sell-off at support areas for a reversal to the retracement and try and get a decent short position also when I can at upside resistance. Serious, serious pressure here in oil trade BUT support areas for possible reversal are starting to hit now on various charting time-frames and structures – BUT that doesn’t mean it will reverse. It reverses when it reverses, trade the indicators not bias.
Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.
PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.
I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.
This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.
I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.
It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.
Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:55 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.95, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 66.90, Gold $GLD trading 1229.05, Silver $SLV trading 14.69, $SPY 273.40 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6435.00 and $VIX trading 20.7.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $ESEA $PLAG $VBIV $TRVG
20 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12556095 $PLAG $TRVG $NEO $ALXN $TRPX $STM $IRBT $TXN $SIX $OC $T
News:
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Your Wednesday morning Wake Up Call:
IPO lockup expirations today for:
– Goosehead Insurance $GSHD
– Smartsheet $SMAR
– DocuSign $DOCU
What will insiders do? How will the market respond? 🤔
Your Wednesday morning Wake Up Call:
IPO lockup expirations today for:
– Goosehead Insurance $GSHD
– Smartsheet $SMAR
– DocuSign $DOCUWhat will insiders do? How will the market respond? 🤔
— Benzinga (@Benzinga) October 24, 2018
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$AMD $AMZN $MSFT $GE $SNAP $TWTR $GOOGL $T $INTC $BA $CAT $V $HAL $SHOP $F $MCD $LMT $HAS $CELG $VZ $AAL $UPS $MMM $NOK $KMB $LAGN $CMG $PETS $FCX $CY $GRUB $GILD $WDC $BIIB $PII $STM $RTN $NOW $IRBT $AMTD $SALT $TXN $UTX $SIRI
#earnings for the week$AMD $AMZN $MSFT $GE $SNAP $TWTR $GOOGL $T $INTC $BA $CAT $V $HAL $SHOP $F $MCD $LMT $HAS $CELG $VZ $AAL $UPS $MMM $NOK $KMB $LAGN $CMG $PETS $FCX $CY $GRUB $GILD $WDC $BIIB $PII $STM $RTN $NOW $IRBT $AMTD $SALT $TXN $UTX $SIRI https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/4ZnvQ7L3g5
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 20, 2018
#earningsseason calendar
$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY
#earningsseason calendar$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAYhttps://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/exPTAW20yW
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 17, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
MCDONALDS (MCD) Daily Chart. Break-out test in play $MCD #premarket #swingtrading
MCDONALDS (MCD) Daily Chart. Break-out test in play $MCD #premarket #swingtrading
Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.
Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts
Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.
Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV
Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.
Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver
Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV
Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV
Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD pic.twitter.com/JNfF5U9u7L
— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) October 21, 2018
Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart $CL_F $USO $UWTI $DWTI $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT#Oil #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1052900369003622401
Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #OOTT
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading pic.twitter.com/6Kjglgconf
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT pic.twitter.com/vlOAl0ze6A
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart.
Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart Reviewed at 950 mins on video.
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/tcbGIESXQF
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading pic.twitter.com/1on7qS3aYJ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don't. It is that simple. https://t.co/k4HO2izAT7
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Check my feed history when I scream from rooftops since I came on Twitter. That’s all I’ll say. They stealin’ from ur mind. You gotta know how that part works to make a living at it. Take the lumps but conquer your mind and get back up. #nevergiveup #freedomtraders Back to work.
Check my feed history when I scream from rooftops since I came on Twitter. That's all I'll say. They stealin' from ur mind. You gotta know how that part works to make a living at it. Take the lumps but conquer your mind and get back up. #nevergiveup #freedomtraders Back to work.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 24, 2018
Stock/Bond Indicator Testing 36-Year Support!
Stock/Bond Indicator Testing 36-Year Support! https://t.co/qlDiDR22PR pic.twitter.com/ArkDLgyegA
— Chris Kimble (@KimbleCharting) October 24, 2018
Gold Prices Edge Up Amidst Weakening Asian Shares https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-prices-edge-amidst-weakening-082100216.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw …
Gold Prices Edge Up Amidst Weakening Asian Shares https://t.co/ZZeOGHrP1q via @YahooFinance
— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) October 23, 2018
Volatility time cycle coming in to peak July 23, 2018. May be time to have a look on the regular $TVIX $UVXY $VIX #volatility
Volatility time cycle coming in to peak July 23, 2018. May be time to have a look on the regular $TVIX $UVXY $VIX #volatility pic.twitter.com/lKOJwGSALd
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 23, 2018
Long term investors should be re-balancing risk soon imo #economy #investing #eyesontheroad
Long term investors should be re-balancing risk soon imo #economy #investing #eyesontheroad
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 23, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $ESEA $PLAG $TRVG $TTNP $GLBS $TRPX $SLS $DCIX $TROV $TOPS $BA $DDD $FCX $SIRI $TSLA $P
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Earnings, #EIA, Oil, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Volatility, $VIX, $TSLA, $MCD
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Tuesday October 23, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: Bears, Saudi, Earnings Misses, Oil, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Volatility, VIX, $MCD Cat, Harley, Lockheed, 3M and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Oct 23 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
- Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us! https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
- https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1054318666878238720
- Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
- What’s New / Work in Progress:
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
October 23 Trading Plan: Notes per below remain in play. New position long in Silver is working from 14.63’s as a swing trade, oil short in to open yesterday worked, watching for an intra-day bounce possible in to open in oil and then down likely. Gold has a bounce as does VIX as I expected in to this time cycle. Momentum daytrading is very dangerous right now. Watching some swing trades in equities (forming a report right now and I’ll release it today).
Considering a long term (6 months or more) swing trade in $MCD soon. Long.
$VIX up more than double since we were alerting time cycle run #premarket.
October 22: I have a new position in Silver in 14.63’s long that may get some pressure but there is a plan to add at support below. Earnings season may help equities some here near term – but it is dubious.
I will continue chewing around the edges of this crude oil sell-off at support areas for a reversal to the retracement and try and get a decent short position also when I can at upside resistance. Serious, serious pressure here in oil trade BUT support areas for possible reversal are starting to hit now on various charting time-frames and structures – BUT that doesn’t mean it will reverse. It reverses when it reverses, trade the indicators not bias.
Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.
PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.
I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.
This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.
I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.
It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.
Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:06 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.02, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 68.06, Gold $GLD trading 1238.14, Silver $SLV trading 14.77, $SPY 271.40 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6379.00 and $VIX trading 23.7.
Crude oil futures overnight session look like… $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #Trading #OOTT.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
21 Stocks Moving In Tuesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12548153 $TRPX $RGLS $NVCN $SENS $CDNS $CZR $VTVT $NBEV $TLRY $LOGI
News:
Biting bears sink world shares to 1-year low https://reut.rs/2z0Xjpk
$PFE and Bain Capital Create New CNS Company, Cerevel Therapeutics
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20181023005648/en/Bain-Capital-Pfizer-Create-Cerevel-Therapeutics-New …
https://www.cerevel.com/.
Bombshell: Khashoggi Remains Discovered In Garden Of Saudi Consul General’s Home: Sky News.
Sky Sources: body parts of journalist Jamal Khashoggi who was killed in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul have been found.
Sky Sources: body parts of journalist Jamal Khashoggi who was killed in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul have been found
— Sky News Breaking (@SkyNewsBreak) October 23, 2018
#UPDATE Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan calls for the trial in Istanbul of the Saudi suspects in the murder of journalist Jamal #Khashoggi, a crime that he said was intricately planned days in advance
#UPDATE Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan calls for the trial in Istanbul of the Saudi suspects in the murder of journalist Jamal #Khashoggi, a crime that he said was intricately planned days in advance https://t.co/X3y2kVBIUX
— AFP News Agency (@AFP) October 23, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
$AXNX Axonics to offer 6.7 million shares in IPO, priced at $14 to $16 each. #premarket https://www.marketwatch.com/story/axonics-to-offer-67-million-shares-in-ipo-priced-at-14-to-16-each-2018-10-22?mod=BreakingNewsSecondary
Analyst IPO quiet periods expiring this week for:
– Survey Money $SVMK
– Capital Bancorp $CBNK
– Arco Platform $ARCE
Earnings:
McDonald’s shares rise after earnings and same-store sales beat. #swingtrading $MCD #McDonalds
McDonald's shares rise after earnings and same-store sales beat. #swingtrading $MCD #McDonalds https://t.co/N4JeAQD4qs
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 23, 2018
Caterpillar tops profit estimates, flags rising materials costs.
Harley’s U.S. sales plunge 13%, steepest quarterly drop in eight years https://bloom.bg/2EHDWYB
Lockheed Martin profit rises 17 percent in third quarter.
3M stock drops 7.5% after Q3 misses, downbeat guidance.
#earnings for the week
$AMD $AMZN $MSFT $GE $SNAP $TWTR $GOOGL $T $INTC $BA $CAT $V $HAL $SHOP $F $MCD $LMT $HAS $CELG $VZ $AAL $UPS $MMM $NOK $KMB $LAGN $CMG $PETS $FCX $CY $GRUB $GILD $WDC $BIIB $PII $STM $RTN $NOW $IRBT $AMTD $SALT $TXN $UTX $SIRI
#earnings for the week$AMD $AMZN $MSFT $GE $SNAP $TWTR $GOOGL $T $INTC $BA $CAT $V $HAL $SHOP $F $MCD $LMT $HAS $CELG $VZ $AAL $UPS $MMM $NOK $KMB $LAGN $CMG $PETS $FCX $CY $GRUB $GILD $WDC $BIIB $PII $STM $RTN $NOW $IRBT $AMTD $SALT $TXN $UTX $SIRI https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/4ZnvQ7L3g5
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 20, 2018
#earningsseason calendar
$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY
#earningsseason calendar$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAYhttps://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/exPTAW20yW
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 17, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.
Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts
Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.
Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV
Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.
Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver
Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV
Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV
Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD pic.twitter.com/JNfF5U9u7L
— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) October 21, 2018
Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart $CL_F $USO $UWTI $DWTI $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT#Oil #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1052900369003622401
Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #OOTT
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading pic.twitter.com/6Kjglgconf
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT pic.twitter.com/vlOAl0ze6A
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart.
Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart Reviewed at 950 mins on video.
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/tcbGIESXQF
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading pic.twitter.com/1on7qS3aYJ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don't. It is that simple. https://t.co/k4HO2izAT7
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Gold Prices Edge Up Amidst Weakening Asian Shares https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-prices-edge-amidst-weakening-082100216.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw …
Gold Prices Edge Up Amidst Weakening Asian Shares https://t.co/ZZeOGHrP1q via @YahooFinance
— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) October 23, 2018
Volatility time cycle coming in to peak July 23, 2018. May be time to have a look on the regular $TVIX $UVXY $VIX #volatility
Volatility time cycle coming in to peak July 23, 2018. May be time to have a look on the regular $TVIX $UVXY $VIX #volatility pic.twitter.com/lKOJwGSALd
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 23, 2018
Long term investors should be re-balancing risk soon imo #economy #investing #eyesontheroad
Long term investors should be re-balancing risk soon imo #economy #investing #eyesontheroad
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 23, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $TRPX $RGLS $NVCN $PLAG $TVIX $CREG $UVXY $TTNP $CRMD $YANG $JNUG $NUGT $VXX
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $NXPI $AMD $PBR $TEAM $TCBI $FVCB $ZION $MTB $SNPS $CDNS $VIAB $BWA $DLPH $KALU $VFC $NEWR $CMG $BSRR
(6) Recent Downgrades: $EBAY $ENLK $ANDX $DISH $LBRT $STX $NTAP $MU $STAY $INN $AMAT $LRCX $ASML
Trevali Mining (TV:CN) $TREVF PT Lowered to Cdn$1.10 at TD Securities
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bears, Saudi, Earnings Misses, Oil, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Volatility, $VIX, $MCD
A Career Trade In Crude Oil Is Setting Up. My Personal Oil Trading Strategy Near Term.
This article reviews the oil trade technical set-ups reviewed Monday in the Oil Trading Room for the near term, intra-day (daytrading), swing trading and my thesis (strategy) for a career trade setting up.
With mid-term elections near, President Trump wanting the price of oil lower (economy related), the recent Saudi geopolitical problems and other geopolitical pressure it seems a perfect storm for oil shorts is brewing.
It is my thesis that there is a very real possibility that shorts will get caught (as mid term elections near or shortly thereafter) and the price of crude oil could rebound out of the pressure and run in to early 2019 in a bullish fashion.
If that doesn’t happen I’ll follow the trend down and provide our members with the technical analysis for the scenario, but I think shorts are going to get caught on wrong side of the trade in to 2019.
#Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategy FX: $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO
Oil Trading Room Video – Technical Analysis of Oil Trade Strategies Near Term and in to Next Six Months.
Voice broadcast starts at 2:30 on video.
Summary of Video Transcript – Lead Trader Technical Analysis for Strategy:
The video is very detailed, the summary below doesn’t cover a lot of what was discussed on the video so if you are trading oil be sure to watch the video as it is a very in depth look at the charting and more.
Oil trading 69.05 at noon Monday during review.
Review of our crude oil trade and trade alerts in to the regular market open:
We were short crude oil 68.85 in to open. We covered 68.58 75% of the position and then the final 25% we covered the trade at 68.50.
Below are the screen shots of the Oil Trade Alerts from private member Oil Twitter Alert Feed.
Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts
Below is a screen shot of EPIC Oil Algorithm charting that shows the short oil trade entry (green arrow) and the areas of the chart where we covered the trade.
Crude oil trade alerts on EPIC Algorithm chart for Oil Trading Room #Oil #Trade #Alerts
Below the chart from the oil trading room shows the obvious short and long positions that could be traded on the algorithm model (also what the machine trading is programmed to execute oil trades with).
White arrows on chart from Oil Trading Room show obvious trades on the algorithm. USOIL WTI CL_F USO #Oiltradingroom
At 4:00 on video I discuss the machine coding progress and the obvious trades on the oil algorithm charting and how clean that trading has been in the trading range on the model.
At 4:45 in the the Oil Trading Room there was a member comment pointed out that is very true for trading the model with success.
“Trade the model until it breaks, take you lumps when it does.”
I have been looking for an area to re-short in to the week and I just haven’t executed but there was an excellent area of the charting to do that.
At 6:00 on the video a question in the private oil trading room on Discord is answered with reference to the wide swing trading ranges on the model.
ifitworksYesterday at 10:29 AM
@Curt Melonopoly do you are you able to back test any data for how the market reacts(probability) stays around the grey line before it makes a decision to change trend. if that makes any sense?
At that point in the video I explain how we are coding the oil algorithm for machine trading and more specifically the swing trading range at the grey horizontal main pivots on the charting.
At 8:00 areas to short oil and the down channel in oil trade is reviewed on the algorithmic model and charting.
A member call for intra-day oil trade from the oil trading room is also discussed;
RichYesterday at 12:12 PM
If it holds here at 68.95 should be a good opportunity to go long to 69.30
At 10:44 hidden pivots on the charting are discussed and trend lines for trade.
At 11:00 the Trend Line charting is discussed. A very good chart to watch. Support and resistance is strong.
At 11:20 the Symmetry charting is reviewed. It looks like oil trade is going to return to its natural order. What to expect going forward in trade is reviewed and historical advantages.
At 12:30 the trading box on the daily oil charting is reviewed. Down trend waves are reviewed. 70.85 is very likely intra-day on the chart. The 200 MA test is likely.
At 13:00 on the video is the weekly wedge charting reviewed and how trade in oil is playing out almost perfect to the time cycle and price. 68.38 (approximate) is the area near the bottom of the quad to watch. The upside thesis is reviewed here for trade between now and early 2019. AND YES I know they aren’t the “primaries” haha – lots going on in the brain while in a trading day.
At 15:00 200 MA 67.05 on monthly chart is reviewed. This is in large part why I don’t think we will sell off heavy.
Either way I want a big move in crude oil trade in to Christmas, I want a career trade and that is what I will be watching for.
In to the end of the video the 4 hour chart for crude oil is reviewed showing the trend line support areas of the charting and I review some possible “tells” on the oil chart.
It’s important to watch the video to get the support areas in a sell-off – if 68.50 is lost in trade it’s 67.00’s and so on.
Trading Strategy in Summary
This is how I think the shorts are going to get caught. The decision area (support in trade) is similar on all the charts. The technical set-up and thesis that shorts will get caught off-side is reviewed here. I think there is going to be a sell-ff that will freak out the long positions and the shorts will be caught in a compressed situation after mid terms.
Increase Your Crude Oil Trading With These Tools.
- There is a link below to our oil trading academy page that has a number of links to articles on our site,.
- You can book private online trade coaching via Skype.
- Join our live trading room.
- Sign on to our oil trading alert feed subscription, (alerts are on a private member Twitter feed).
- Sign on to our weekly algorithm reporting that provides the algorithm model, conventional charting, guidance for the week etc.
- Attend a trading boot camp (in person or online).
- Request via email the videos of our most recent trading boot camp or the master class series videos (both sets are approximately 20 hours each). They are available only by email request at this time by emailing [email protected]. Soon they will be posted to our shop on website.
Thanks
Curt
Any questions let me know!
Further Reading to Help You Trade Oil:
Find more posts like this one on our Oil Trading Academy Page – links to numerous oil trade strategy reports.
Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.
Subscribe to Our Oil Trading Platform:
Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).
Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).
Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).
Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).
One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).
Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.
Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States
Article Topics: Crude, Oil, Trading, Trading Room, Strategy, Technical, Analysis, Alerts, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO
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Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Monday October 22, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: Market Chop, Oil Pressure, Silver, China, $BABA, $SLS, $JTPY, $TOPS, $NETE, $SLS, $NDRA and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Oct 22 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
- Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us! https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
- https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1054318666878238720
- Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
- What’s New / Work in Progress:
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)
Sept 17 – Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS
Sept 12 – XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to Trade XBIO Snap-back Swing Trade. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
October 22: I have a new position in Silver in 14.63’s long that may get some pressure but there is a plan to add at support below. Earnings season may help equities some here near term – but it is dubious.
General outlook remains unchanged from running comments from previous posts below.
Notes per recent remain:
I will continue chewing around the edges of this crude oil sell-off at support areas for a reversal to the retracement and try and get a decent short position also when I can at upside resistance. Serious, serious pressure here in oil trade BUT support areas for possible reversal are starting to hit now on various charting time-frames and structures – BUT that doesn’t mean it will reverse. It reverses when it reverses, trade the indicators not bias.
Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.
PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.
I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.
This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.
I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.
It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.
Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.
Notes per recent…. this remains.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:23 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.64, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 69.34, Gold $GLD trading 1223.90, Silver $SLV trading 14.62, $SPY 277.17 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6397.00 and $VIX trading 19.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $TOPS $NETE $SLS $NDRA
30 Stocks Moving In Monday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12540486 $TOPS $GLBS $ARII $LCGN $DVAX $SEED $MRTX $AVEO $YECO $PHG $CZR
News:
Bristol-Myers Squibb stock drops 3% premarket after FDA delays approval deadline for cancer drug
$JTPY JetPay to be Acquired by NCR for $5.05/Share Cash #Benzinga
$BABA Alibaba’s stock surges as part of broad rally in China-based companies
Mirati Therapeutics stock drops 30% premarket after cancer trial results
American Railcar to be bought in a $1.75 billion deal by ITE, giving Icahn a $757 million profit
$SLS Announces Positive Final Data in Triple Negative Breast Cancer Patients from Phase 2b Clinical Trial of Nelipepimut-S in Combination with Trastuzumab Presented at #ESMO18.
Intec Pharma completes enrollment in Phase 3 trial of AP-CD/LD for the treatment of advanced PD https://seekingalpha.com/news/3399216-intec-pharma-completes-enrollment-phase-3-trial-ap-cd-ld-treatment-advanced-pd?source=feed_f … #premarket $NTEC.
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
$AXNX Axonics to offer 6.7 million shares in IPO, priced at $14 to $16 each. #premarket https://www.marketwatch.com/story/axonics-to-offer-67-million-shares-in-ipo-priced-at-14-to-16-each-2018-10-22?mod=BreakingNewsSecondary
Analyst IPO quiet periods expiring this week for:
– Survey Money $SVMK
– Capital Bancorp $CBNK
– Arco Platform $ARCE
Earnings:
Kimberly-Clark rise after earnings and revenue beat expectations.
Halliburton tops profit and revenue estimates for third quarter.
Hasbro’s stock set for selloff after profit and revenue fall, miss expectations.
#earnings for the week
$AMD $AMZN $MSFT $GE $SNAP $TWTR $GOOGL $T $INTC $BA $CAT $V $HAL $SHOP $F $MCD $LMT $HAS $CELG $VZ $AAL $UPS $MMM $NOK $KMB $LAGN $CMG $PETS $FCX $CY $GRUB $GILD $WDC $BIIB $PII $STM $RTN $NOW $IRBT $AMTD $SALT $TXN $UTX $SIRI
#earnings for the week$AMD $AMZN $MSFT $GE $SNAP $TWTR $GOOGL $T $INTC $BA $CAT $V $HAL $SHOP $F $MCD $LMT $HAS $CELG $VZ $AAL $UPS $MMM $NOK $KMB $LAGN $CMG $PETS $FCX $CY $GRUB $GILD $WDC $BIIB $PII $STM $RTN $NOW $IRBT $AMTD $SALT $TXN $UTX $SIRI https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/4ZnvQ7L3g5
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 20, 2018
#earningsseason calendar
$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY
#earningsseason calendar$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAYhttps://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/exPTAW20yW
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 17, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV
Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV
Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD pic.twitter.com/JNfF5U9u7L
— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) October 21, 2018
Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart $CL_F $USO $UWTI $DWTI $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT#Oil #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1052900369003622401
Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #OOTT
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
Our swing trade that started in premarket yesterday couldn’t have been better timing with SEC mins after then this… $TSLA Tesla’s stock jumps after Elon Musk discloses plan to buy $20 million worth of shares
Our swing trade that started in premarket yesterday couldn't have been better timing with SEC mins after then this… $TSLA Tesla's stock jumps after Elon Musk discloses plan to buy $20 million worth of shares https://t.co/lvBf2QhYTm
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 17, 2018
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading pic.twitter.com/6Kjglgconf
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
NETFLIX (NFLX) up premarket on earnings, key resistance points to watch if trading this move $NFLX #swingtrading #earnings #upgrades
NETFLIX (NFLX) up premarket on earnings, key resistance points to watch if trading this move $NFLX #swingtrading #earnings #upgrades
SQUARE (SQ) blowing through resistance points in move, over 81.40 targets 83.40 85.40. $SQ #swingtrade #tradealerts
SQUARE (SQ) blowing through resistance points in move, over 81.40 targets 83.40 85.40. $SQ #swingtrade #tradealerts
FIREEYE (FEYE) long bounce working toward upper price targets in to earnings, watch resistance points for trims #swingtrade $FEYE
FIREEYE (FEYE) long bounce working toward upper price targets in to earnings, watch resistance points for trims #swingtrade $FEYE
SHOPIFY (SHOP) bounced at top of trading box, resistance 154.00 earnings 8 days, over 156 long targets 166 then 177 $SHOP #swingtrading #earnings
SHOPIFY (SHOP) bounced at top of trading box, resistance 154.00 earnings 8 days, over 156 long targets 166 then 177 $SHOP #swingtrading #earnings
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT pic.twitter.com/vlOAl0ze6A
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart.
Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart Reviewed at 950 mins on video.
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/tcbGIESXQF
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading pic.twitter.com/1on7qS3aYJ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don't. It is that simple. https://t.co/k4HO2izAT7
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things
-China shares surge
-Italian asset rise
-Trump’s tax-cut promise
-May faces lawmakers
-Coming up…
https://bloom.bg/2PcQXxo
Here is that same chart, with the SP500 overlaid, to reveal how this low reading is a bottoming condition, and not a sign of impending doom.
Here is that same chart, with the SP500 overlaid, to reveal how this low reading is a bottoming condition, and not a sign of impending doom. pic.twitter.com/5brnpsRV2A
— Tom McClellan (@McClellanOsc) October 19, 2018
Net speculative futures positioning behind the $VIX has swung by over 100,000 contracts in the favor of bulls the past two weeks:
Net speculative futures positioning behind the $VIX has swung by over 100,000 contracts in the favor of bulls the past two weeks: pic.twitter.com/DbkEYTbing
— John Kicklighter (@JohnKicklighter) October 20, 2018
Net speculative gold futures positioning posted its biggest swing away from a net short position since March 1999
Net speculative gold futures positioning posted its biggest swing away from a net short position since March 1999 pic.twitter.com/jeF5pzLIpi
— John Kicklighter (@JohnKicklighter) October 20, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $TOPS $CLGN $ARII $DCIX $SINO $AYTU $SEED $NDRA $PXS $GLBS $SLS $FTFT $ESEA $DVAX $YINN $IGC $CHAU $NVIV $YNDX $MOMO $PDD
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
Chipotle upgraded on same-store sales growth potential though earnings expected to be ‘lackluster’.
$AYTU – initiated with a Outperform and $10 price tgt at Northland.
Aetna $AET PT Raised to $207 at Credit Suisse.
Jefferies Upgrades Ophir Energy Plc. (OPHR:LN) $OPHRY to Buy.
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Accor SA (AC:FP) $ACCYY PT Lowered to EUR49 at UBS.
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Market Chop, Oil Pressure, Silver, China, $BABA, $SLS, $JTPY, $TOPS, $NETE, $SLS, $NDRA
Welcome to the Next Trading Boot Camp Cabarete Beach, Dominican Republic!
- 10 Student Maximum for in person attendance. 25 Student Maximum for online attendance.
- Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us!
- New Student 30% Discount (2999.00 – 899.70 = 2099.30) for this session, use code “coach30” at check-out.
- Returning Student Alumni 50% Discount (2999.00 – 1499.50 = 1499.50), use code “alumni” at check-out.
- Event price 2999.00 (less discount), includes the training (online or in-person) plus;
- Attendees receive All Access Membership (1499.00 value) incl for 30 days – click here for detail.
- Attendees receive Video Recordings of Previous Trade Coaching Boot Camp (1499.00 value).
- Attendees receive previously recorded 20 Hour Master Class Series video set (1499.00 value).
Take your trading to the next level with our lead trader at our next trade coaching boot camp at Cabarete Beach, Dominican Republic November 30 – December 2, 2018.
Register to Trade Coaching Boot Camp Here.
If you can’t attend in person you can attend the class online virtually and take part in question and answer as if you were in the boot camp live.
Location Video for the Trade Coaching Boot-Camp: