Trade Set Ups for Swing Trading Earnings Thursday Feb 7, 2019.
Swing Trading Signals in this Report: Time Cycle, $TWTR, $FB, $AMD, $ARWR, $FEYE, $XOM, $BP, OIL and more…
Email us at [email protected] anytime with questions about any of the swing trade set ups covered in this video. Market hours can be difficult to respond but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.
Earnings Season Calendars.
Bloomberg Earnings Season Reporting Calendar List: https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/earnings-calendar/us
Investing.com Earnings Calendar https://www.investing.com/earnings-calendar/
Earnings Whispers #earnings for the Week
$GOOGL $TWTR $SNAP $CLF $TTWO $ALXN $DIS $BP $CLX $SYY $GM $GILD $CMG $GRUB $EA $STX $SPOT $AMG $SAIA $RL $CNC $EL $UFI $GLUU $MTSC $JOUT $PM $GPRO $LITE $FEYE $SWKS $LLY $MPC $BDX $REGN $VIAB $ONVO $HUM $ARRY $PBI $ADM $BSAC
#earnings for the week $GOOGL $TWTR $SNAP $CLF $TTWO $ALXN $DIS $BP $CLX $SYY $GM $GILD $CMG $GRUB $EA $STX $SPOT $AMG $SAIA $RL $CNC $EL $UFI $GLUU $MTSC $JOUT $PM $GPRO $LITE $FEYE $SWKS $LLY $MPC $BDX $REGN $VIAB $ONVO $HUM $ARRY $PBI $ADM $BSAC https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/Bm7PEKXynT
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) February 3, 2019
Earnings Season Special Reports Thus Far:
Jan 29 – Protected: Swing Trading. Earnings. Video. $AMZN, $AMD, $TSLA, $FB, $NFLX, $MSFT, $AAPL, $DAL, $BAC, $C…
Jan 28 – Protected: Swing Trading: Earnings Special Report | $AMZN, $MSFT, $FB, $BABA, $TSLA
Jan 24 – Protected: Swing Trading: Earnings Special Report | $AAPL, $AKS, $AMD, $AGN, $EXP
Jan 17 – Protected: Swing Trading Earnings | Video: Trade Set-Ups | $MS, $AXP, $C, $SJR, $BAC, $DAL, $NFLX, $SPY, $VIX
Jan 16 – Protected: Swing Trading Earnings | Feature Report | $MS, $AXP, $C, $SJR, $BAC, $DAL, $NFLX
Jan 14 – Protected: Swing Trading Earnings | Feature Report | $C, $SJR, $BAC, $DAL, NFLX
Swing Trading Set-Ups:
Feb 6 – Inflection? Mid day review tells you what to watch and when. #timecycles #swingtrading #daytrading https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UCyiwmTDYno
Feb 7 – TWITTER (TWTR) over 34 targets 38.72 then 51, under targets 26.26. $TWTR #swingtrading #earnings
TWITTER (TWTR) over 34 targets 38.72 then 51, under targets 26.26. $TWTR #swingtrading #earnings
Feb 7 – FACEBOOK (FB) hitting first target from previous report, over 174.00 targets 181.50 then 195.00 $FB.
FACEBOOK (FB) hitting first target from previous report, over 174.00 targets 181.50 then 195.00 $FB #swingtrade #earnings
Feb 7 – ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) hit the upside price target early from last report, over 24.16 then 25.30 targets 29.
ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) hit the upside price target early from last report, over 24.16 then 25.30 targets 29 #swingtrading #tradealerts
Feb 7 – BP Try and ignore chart noise and focus on price targets, over 44.30 targets 48, 57.50, 67 #swingtrading $BP
This is a really strong structure for a run in to Oct 2019 at minimum. 57.50 is my personal bias and I’ll be taking a long over 44.30. Price needs to hold 44.30 to make it work. Closed Wednesday 43.04.
BP Try and ignore chart noise and focus on price targets, over 44.30 targets 48, 57.50, 67 #swingtrading $BP
Feb 7 – Crude Oil Swing Trade Set-Up. Try and ignore noise on chart, focus on upside downside price targets when oil price trades out of structure.
I really like this crude oil swing trade set-up. Will be watching very closely. Where price leaves the structure is still unknown and I will update the set-up at that point in time. If it runs up I’ll short $DWT again and if not I’ll long $DWT for the swing.
Try and ignore noise on chart, focus on upside downside price targets when oil price trades out of structure. #swingtrading #oil
Feb 7 – EXXON (XOM) holding initial position, will trim in to target add above for continuation $XOM.
EXXON (XOM) holding initial position, will trim in to target add above for continuations #swingtrading #earnings
Feb 6 – ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Holding this long term starter swing position in to earnings – on watch for adds $ARWR.
https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1093191421048299521
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Holding this long term starter swing position in to earnings – on watch for adds $ARWR #earnings #swingtrading
Feb 6 – FIREEYE (FEYE) FireEye over 19.30 is a long to 22.50 test and under is a short to 17.59 then 16.20. $FEYE
https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1093203230073503745
FIREEYE (FEYE) Fireeye over 19.30 is a long to 22.50 test and under is a short to 17.59 then 16.20 #swingtrade #earnings $FEYE
Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!
Cheers!
Curtis
Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:
Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter and Live Swing Trading Alerts).
Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).
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One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).
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Article Topics; Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stocks, Signals, Earnings, Video, Time Cycle, $TWTR, $FB, $AMD, $ARWR, $FEYE, $XOM, $BP, OIL
Trading Strategy Webinar Hosted Nov 28, 2018 with Trade Alerts and Charting
Audio starts at 3:58 on video.
Quick trade strategy review for crude oil, Bitcoin, SP500, Volatility and ARWR trades.
Short $DWT starter position 13.59 trading intra day 13.05 with price target 8.62. We will see how it goes. Trading 13.03 intra-day. Looking for a snap back trade to upside in crude to 50% of recent sell-off.
Daily chart resistance 52.15 area.
In overnight trade now oil is off trading 49.77 on USOIL WTI at 4:50 AM Eastern. The small bounce so far in overnight after the sell off was at trend-line support on the spigot chart our coders are using for legging in to trade sizing.
As for this starter position short $DWT, holding for now, it is a small position so far. Putin is supportive of Saudi Arabia and if there is a cut in production oil will turn up fast. I’m not marrying the trade either way.
Intra day you could short at top of quad area with 52.40 – .50 resistance.
8:25 Bitcoin BTC – we are looking for a turn in to Christmas being aware of the road bump in market time cycles that has a volatility time cycle (monthly) coming due Dec 5. On Bitcoin we are watching the trend-line chart resistance.
9:23 SP500 $SPY – looking for a possible long SPY in to Dec 20 time cycle peak, however, there is a smaller time cycle peak in VIX on Dec 5 we have to avoid, if that wasn’t there we’d already be long SPY. At this point we are watching.
10:43 Volatility $VIX $UVXY $TVIX We covered our volatility short. Went short TVIX 49.35 covered 50% 45.22 and the remaining at 43.28. Watching support near on VIX at 50 MA (20, 100, 200 also under price) and lower Bollinger bands. Will likely be long in to Dec 5 time VIX specific cycle and short thereafter in to Dec 20 SPY time cycle peak.
11:10 ARROWHEAD $ARWR Last number of days has seen a bounce off the 200 MA, we are monitoring our initial position long.
There is a swing trading report due out today.
Thursday Mid day I will review many swing trades (pending market conditions). We expect to enter most swing trades between now and Tuesday next week. End of day Friday and pre-market is typical for me.
Thanks.
Compound Trading Swing Trade Report Sunday October 14, 2018 (Part A).
Swing Trading Signals and Stock Picks In this Issue: FEYE, ROKU, SHOP, ARWR, TSLA, AGN, CRON, SQ.
Email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.
Notices:
Below is Part A of this special swing trading report covering stocks that we have recently been trading or have been active stocks traded by our members and/or stocks that were recently covered at the Trade Coaching Boot Camp. Basically we are consolidating all the most recent swing trade strategies in to a few reports prior to earnings season kicking in. After this short series of reports we will return to the regular rotational reports and also introduce some themed swing trading reports (we have one for swing trading pot stocks, we are working on a financials report and an energy special report currently).
Swing trading set-ups in this short series of reports over the few weeks will provide charting and trade signals for the following equities; FEYE, ROU, SHOP, ARWR, TSLA, AGN, CRON, SQ, XBIO, FB, DIS, LEVB, NBEV, NIHD, BZUN, BLDP, AMD, OSI, CARA, BABA, EDIT, AAPL, NFLX, MTEM, PYX, XXII, PRQR, BOX, GTHX, SSW, HIIQ, ATHM, ESPR, CALA, APVO, MOMO, GSUM, CLDR, FIT among others. If you have any swing trading charting requests send them to us on email. The first of the trading set-ups in this series are included below.
Until mid July 2018 we distributed one swing trading report (1 of 5 in rotation) with a mandate being one report per week on average cycling the five reports that include over one hundred equities every five weeks (approximately).
Commencing July 2018 we switched up our swing trading service to also include special reports for earnings season, special trade set-ups, and swing trade alerts direct to your email inbox. Per above, soon we will also be producing themed reports.
When managing your trades with the weekly reports keep in mind that you will have to invest an hour or two a week to check the indicators mentioned for buy and sell triggers. I was asked recently why we do not usually (although we do sometimes) include precise entry and exit points. The reason is simple, they don’t work – those services have terrible results.
Swing trading success, even with a service, does require “some” maintenance on the part of the user, although the new live alert service will take much of that burden off the user as we know many of our users have busy lives. It is the indicators lining up that signal a trade long entry or an exit. In our case we rely heavily on the natural trading structure of the financial instrument; including the MACD on daily or weekly, Stochastic RSI, Moving Averages, trading boxes, quadrants, Fibonacci support and resistance, trend lines, trajectory / trend of trade, time-cycles and more.
Indicators we base trade entry and exits on are at times listed with each trade posted so any user that does even moderate trade management will know when the indicator(s) have turn with or against the trade (here again it is wise to have at least a basic understanding of trading structures because you need to be able to respond to your own trading rules based process).
It is critical that you attend to the maintenance of your signals at least once a week if not twice and set stops and preferably alarms so that intra-week you can enter / exit or add / trim as required.
If you need help with rules based swing trading technical analysis, a specific trading plan (entries, exits, adds or trims) or with a simple understanding of proper structured charting and/or trading structured set-ups you can book some trade coaching time and we will assist you with your trade planning as needed. You may find after a few hours of trade coaching that this is all you need to become a proficient profit side trader.
We can schedule private coaching online, you can attend a trading boot-camp (online or in person) or order the downloadable recordings of a recent trading boot-camp or master class series (each about 20 hours of training per event). For any of those options email us for details.
Below is a primer if you know none or very little about proper chart structures:
“I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 – 6:00 min”. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Intra-week you can DM myself on Twitter (@curtmelonopoly), visit me on Discord (http://discord.gg/2HRTk6n) and private message me or email me ([email protected]) with specific questions regarding trades you are considering. You can also visit the main trading during the mid-day review and ask questions by text in the chat area of the room.
IF WE DON’T GET BACK TO YOU RIGHT AWAY it is usually because we are pressured with reporting deadlines or are in a trading session.
Also, as live charts are made available below, click on link and open viewer. Then to use chart yourself click on share button at bottom right (near thumbs up) and then click “make it mine”.
Newer updates are in red type for ease of review.
Recent Compound Trading Videos and/ or Blog Posts for Swing Traders / Charting Set-Ups:
See You Tube for other recent video posts. Listed from most recent. For newer members, if you need a password for a locked historical post please email us your request.
Password “tradingrules” Oct 8 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Password “HEREWEGO” Oct 7 – Protected: How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Password “TRIM” Oct 4 – Protected: Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Password “VIX” Oct 2 – Protected: Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Password “oiltrade” Oct 3 – Protected: Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Password “89” Sept 26 – Protected: Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades (w / video) Trading Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.
Sept 17 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS
Current Swing Trading Signals and Stock Charts.
FIREEYE (FEYE) Trading 16.68, on 200 MA support, mid quad key support 16.22, with MACD turned down – key bearish signal. #swingtrade $FEYE
Key resistance trade signal is at 19.24 on this chart with key support trade signal for FEYE at 13.05. The MACD turned down on the daily chart is a bearish signal but price is above 200 MA and above primary support for the range (mid quad horizontal Fibonacci line) at 16.18.
Under 16.18 is a short to a possible price target of 13.05 Dec 3, 2018.
Above 16.18 is a long to a possible price target of 19.32 Dec 3, 2018.
Indecisive trade will see 16.18 range Dec 3, 2018.
No current trader bias for the FEYE trade set-up – indecisive, but recent trajectory does suggest 19.32 Dec 3, 2018 as long as price holds 16.18 and 200 MA.
Fireeye Inc.: “Fireeye’s right. We just spoke to Fireeye. Unfortunately, Fireeye’s business is connected with North Korea, Russia and China, and those three guys are still coming at us with everything they have. That’s why I like Fireeye.” Cramer’s lightning round Published 7:07 PM ET Wed, 10 Oct 2018 Updated 7:25 PM ET Wed, 10 Oct 2018 https://www.cnbc.com/2018/10/10/cramers-lightning-round-buy-becton-dickinson-literally-tomorrow.html?__source=yahoo%7Cfinance%7Cheadline%7Cstory%7C&par=yahoo&yptr=yahoo
https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct/status/1051529749590360065
FIREEYE (FEYE) Trading 16.68, on 200 MA support, mid quad key support 16.22, with MACD turned down – key bearish signal. #swingtrade $FEYE
ROKU (ROKU) trading 60.41, MACD turned down bearish signal, above 200 MA with support 58.20, price targets in report $ROKU #swingtrading
The MACD turned down is a considerably bearish signal, the 200 MA on ROKU chart is at 45.69 so it could easily see some considerable downside. However, the algorithmic channel support (first possible, at yellow uptrending line) is at 53.82 and trade recently bounced well off that area. I will be watching the channel support area for a possible trade long pending the general market sentiment near-term.
Near term support is also at 58.20 (mid quad Fibonacci support) and range support (trading box) is at 53.50. Range resistance on ROKU chart is at 63.16.
If downward pressure ensues then 48.49 Oct 30, 2018 time cycle is probable and even 38.40 is possible.
If market sentiment turns up and trade in ROKU turns up then 68.11 is most likely Oct 30 and 78.00 possible but far from probable.
Indecisive trade scenario sees 58.00 range Oct 30, 2018.
No current trade bias, however, as with others (considering the market sell-off last week) I will be watching general market sentiment going forward for a trade either way in ROKU.
It Will Be Awhile Longer Before Roku Stock Stops Falling $ROKU #swingtrading https://finance.yahoo.com/news/awhile-longer-roku-stock-stops-164144120.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw
It Will Be Awhile Longer Before Roku Stock Stops Falling $ROKU #swingtrading https://t.co/eXH2rfci5p
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 14, 2018
ROKU (ROKU) trading 60.41, MACD turned down bearish signal, above 200 MA with support 58.20, price targets in report $ROKU #swingtrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Trading under 200 MA under main range pivot support is bearish with channel support test near $SHOP #swingtrading
With earnings in 11 days I am watching SHOPIFY very close here to see how trade handles the prospective algorithmic charting channel support area on chart (yellow up-trending line on chart below). If that line fails 116.22 is probable price target for Jan 10, 2019 swing trade with 92.01 possible and 67.59 price target not likely but there.
In a bullish scenario (a turn above the 200 MA with MACD turned back up on daily chart) targets 166.27 probable and 190.89 in a break-out scenario (not likely but definitely possible if the market sentiment turns risk off again).
The trade signal short is the channel support and the trade signal long is MACD down with 200 MA upside breached.
What Should Investors Expect When Shopify Reports Earnings? $SHOP https://finance.yahoo.com/news/investors-expect-shopify-reports-earnings-190000338.html?.tsrc=rss
The future looks bright for Shopify. As e-commerce continues to capture an even greater percentage of retail, the company is positioned to reap even further gains over the years and decades to come. Investors should take a long-term view, however, as the stock price will continue to be volatile. Brace yourself for the wild ride to continue when the company reports on Oct. 25.
What Should Investors Expect When Shopify Reports Earnings? #swingtrading #earnings $SHOP https://t.co/dJJrVM1dRI
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 14, 2018
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Trading under 200 MA under main range pivt support is bearish with channel support test near $SHOP #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts
I am currently in a swing trade position (starter size) and will look to add to the swing long at the 200 MA support if trade hits that mark this week (I was hoping it was going to hit end of week last week on late Friday afternoon trade but it didn’t quite get there).
If trade breaks the 200 MA to the downside then 8.90 price target is in play for November 28, 2018 time cycle completion (which is also at the algorithm chart model prospective channel support – yellow line on chart).
The most important support trade signal in near term trade (this week) is that trade closed Friday right near the trading box support range in the 12.65 range. If ARWR sees a bounce then 16.25 is in play for Nov 28th.
Here’s Why Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) Skyrocketed Almost 30% in September #swingtrading $ARWR https://finance.yahoo.com/news/apos-why-arrowhead-pharmaceuticals-skyrocketed-195800224.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw
Here's Why Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) Skyrocketed Almost 30% in September #swingtrading $ARWR https://t.co/oZJf02WuO7
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 14, 2018
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts
TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading
MACD on daily chart is turned down, but TESLA stock trades somewhat eradic in normal course of trade. The range is the most important consideration and I have TESLA on high watch for a significant bounce here. The trading range is fairly consistent and as long as maret sentiment doesn’t completely plummet near-term I’ll likely take a trade for a bounce to upper price target at 279.56 Nov 20, 2018, trading at close Friday 258.78.
As Tesla continues to ramp up production in the fourth quarter, “we can expect the brand to continue to gain ground on the luxury leaders”
Tesla (TSLA) sales in the U.S. are gaining on BMW and other luxury car makers $TSLA https://on.mktw.net/2EhlMge.
Tesla (TSLA) sales in the U.S. are gaining on BMW and other luxury car makers #swingtrading $TSLA https://t.co/rypKnG8zL8
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 14, 2018
TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading
ALLERGAN (AGN) swing trade couldn’t be going any better, add to long at 200 MA or channel support, trim at resistance points $AGN #swingtrading #chart
With earnings in sixteen days and AGN presenting soon (see news article below), trade near 200 MA support – I will consider adding to my position there if it looks to be holding and pending market sentiment, if not I will surely add at algorithmic charting model channel support on the chart as noted below.
Allergan (AGN) To Present Data From 13 Abstracts At The 2018 American Society For Dermatologic Surgery $AGN … https://finance.yahoo.com/news/allergan-present-data-13-abstracts-201500714.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw
Allergan (AGN) To Present Data From 13 Abstracts At The 2018 American Society For Dermatologic Surgery #SwingTrading $AGN … https://t.co/dMM6aw6sVq
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 14, 2018
ALLERGAN (AGN) swing trade couldn’t be going any better, add to long at 200 MA or channel support, trim at resistance points $AGN #swingtrading #chart
CRONOS (CRON) above 10.25 buy signal for upside price target, below 8.40 short to price target. $CRON
If trade stays in trading box short at resistance in 10.25 range long at 8.40 range for a bounce in trading box. However, it looks like it could turn here. This is a 240 minute chart and not a daily chart for lower time frame trading.
Also of note, the MACD on 240 min chart just turned back up and the Squeeze Momentum indicator flashed green in last 4 hours of trade on Friday.
3 Cannabis Companies Making Headlines in October #swingtrading $CRON #PotStocks https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3-cannabis-companies-making-headlines-144500687.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw
3 Cannabis Companies Making Headlines in October #swingtrading $CRON #PotStocks https://t.co/uaqaKk1ip5 v
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 14, 2018
CRONOS (CRON) above 10.25 buy signal for upside price target, below 8.40 short to price target. $CRON #swingtrading
SQUARE (SQ) above 74.00 targets 78.64 next. Resistance at 76.27 and 82.27 if in upside trade. $SQ #swingtrade #tradealerts
I really like this trade set-up long again. If markets get momentum this could see a decent upside return. Careful with the resistance areas noted and also note that the chart model is “rough” and needs some work, but good enough to provide signals for an upside swing trade here.
2 Great Stocks That Just Went on Sale SQUARE (SQ) #swingtrading $SQ https://finance.yahoo.com/news/2-great-stocks-just-went-112200807.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw
2 Great Stocks That Just Went on Sale SQUARE (SQ) #swingtrading $SQ https://t.co/X8bmMcr6nr
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 14, 2018
SQUARE (SQ) above 74.00 targets 78.64 next. Resistance at 76.27 and 82.27 if in upside trade. $SQ #swingtrade #tradealerts
Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!
Cheers!
Curtis
Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:
Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter and Live Swing Trading Alerts).
Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).
Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).
One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).
Free Mailing List(s):
Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.
Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)
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Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.
Article Topics; Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stock, Picks, Signals, Alerts, FEYE, ROKU, SHOP, ARWR, TSLA, AGN, CRON, SQ
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Tuesday October 9, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: $PEIX, $PYX, $TSLA, $ARWR, $FEYE, $VIX, $WTI, OIL, $SPY, $BTC, Time Cycles, Volatility, Rates and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Oct 9 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open, mid day review and futures trading this evening (as available and as market demands).
- Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
- What’s New / Work in Progress:
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 8 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – Protected: How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 3 – Protected: Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 17 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Last night Jen got me the new models, I was bagged and just couldn’t do final look, so the first thing I will do tonight is review and distribute them for GOLD, SILVER and SPY. DXY and VIX won’t be until tomorrow night (Wed) and new SWING Thursday. This weekend we will announce new Trade Coaching Boot Camp dates for in person 3 day session in Dominican Republic, and online 1 day sessions for Oil and other specific instruments (we are doing one day trade coaching for each of the models and swing, daytrading – 9 sessions in total).
Notes per yesterday…. this remains.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Notes from last trading day (Friday) premarket:
TESLA on watch in lower area of recent range, likely take a short term swing trade in TSLA today – long.
Gold, Silver and others I have now and I’m doing final edits. To be distributed over next day or two. Letting the set-ups firm up and start trading them again possibly as of Sunday night futures.
Likely start trading Bitcoin XBTUSD and VIX in to next week now also in to mid Dec time cycle.
SPY got a bump in premarket with jobs numbers, as with others above likely trading that aggressive in to time cycle peak mid Dec also come next week.
Oil in a small pull back but expect bullish trend to continue next week.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.75, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 74.69, Gold $GLD trading 1186.66, Silver $SLV trading 14.31, $SPY 286.90 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6582.00 and $VIX trading 17.1.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
26 Stocks Moving In Tuesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12475908 $PEIX $PYX $PZZA $ZIOP $HELE $TSEM $GEVO $AFMD $BLKB $PPG $NBEV
News:
Selloff sucks Europe back under after Asia sinks to 17-month low.
Selloff sucks Europe back under after Asia sinks to 17-month low https://t.co/K45Lnj42Yo
— Reuters (@Reuters) October 9, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
OFS credit prices IPO at $20 a share to raise $50 million $OCCI #IPO https://on.mktw.net/2E0yJLa
Blank check company Collier Creek prices IPO.
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$JPM $C $WFC $WBA $DAL $FAST $AZZ $PNC $HELE $CBSH $FRC $SAR $EXFO $VOXX $DAVA
#earnings for the week $JPM $C $WFC $WBA $DAL $FAST $AZZ $PNC $HELE $CBSH $FRC $SAR $EXFO $VOXX $DAVA https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/rCvvoZ5oRX
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don't. It is that simple. https://t.co/k4HO2izAT7
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Tesla is poised to break a five-day losing streak that shaved $10 billion from its valuation #swingtrading $TSLA https://bloom.bg/2QCxsLA
Tesla is poised to break a five-day losing streak that shaved $10 billion from its valuation #swingtrading $TSLA https://t.co/HP7BVtzbY0
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 9, 2018
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Holding trend support area-ish for long bias set-up in premarket.
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Holding trend support area-ish for long bias set-up in premarket $ARWR #swingtrading
FIREEYE (FEYE) premarket holding up channel structure for long bias, may take first entries in to open.
FIREEYE (FEYE) premarket holding up channel structure for long bias, may take first entries in to open. #swingtrade $FEYE
ROKU (ROKU) in pull back could see 58.52, on bounce looking for 78.01 then 87.75 ON WATCH $ROKU #swingtrading #setups
ROKU (ROKU) in pull back could see 58.52, on bounce looking for 78.01 then 87.75 ON WATCH $ROKU #swingtrading #setups
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Hit price target from last trade alert, coming off to mid quad 200 MA support, follow trajectory after Oct 9 time cycle $SHOP #swingtrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Hit price target from last trade alert, coming off to mid quad 200 MA support, follow trajectory after Oct 9 time cycle $SHOP #swingtrading
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
ALLERGAN (AGN) Looks like it may not be ready to retrace to bottom of channel in forecast, testing new highs.
ALLERGAN (AGN) Looks like it may not be ready to retrace to bottom of channel in forecast, testing new highs. $AGN #swingtrading #tradealerts
TESLA (TSLA) Upper and lower price targets in to next time cycle nearing $TSLA #tradealerts #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) Upper and lower price targets in to next time cycle nearing $TSLA #tradealerts #swingtrading
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Stocks making the biggest move premarket: TSLA, PZZA, MSFT, WMT & more https://cnb.cx/2RAaYMB
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, $PEIX, $PYX, $TSLA, $ARWR, $FEYE, $VIX, $WTI, OIL, $SPY, $BTC, Time Cycles, Volatility, Rates
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Monday October 8, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: $CLDC, $FEYE, $ARWR, $VIX, $WTI, OIL, $SPY, $BTC, Time Cycles, Volatility, Forecasting and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Oct 8 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open, mid day review and futures trading this evening (as available and as market demands).
- Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
- What’s New / Work in Progress:
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Oil Trading Bootcamp (online only)
- 1 day Swing Trading Bootcamp (online only)
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 3 – Protected: Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 17 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS
Sept 5 – Day Trading and Swing Trading CRONOS GROUP Inc. (CRON)
Aug 16 – Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Notes from last trading day (Friday) premarket:
TESLA on watch in lower area of recent range, likely take a short term swing trade in TSLA today – long.
Gold, Silver and others I have now and I’m doing final edits. To be distributed over next day or two. Letting the set-ups firm up and start trading them again possibly as of Sunday night futures.
Likely start trading Bitcoin XBTUSD and VIX in to next week now also in to mid Dec time cycle.
SPY got a bump in premarket with jobs numbers, as with others above likely trading that aggressive in to time cycle peak mid Dec also come next week.
Oil in a small pull back but expect bullish trend to continue next week.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.66, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 73.38, Gold $GLD trading 1194.06, Silver $SLV trading 14.46, $SPY 287.56 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6592.00 and $VIX trading 16.3.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $INTC
32 Stocks Moving In Monday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12470853 $ALT $TTPH $ONDK $RDC $ESV $GE $PBR $ACH $TLRY $UPWK $NVO $VID $IRBT $FCAU $GPRO
News:
Ensco and Rowan Cos. to combine in deal with enterprise value of $12 billion.
#5things
-China easing
-Brazil election
-Italian assets slump
-Markets drop
-Nobel prize
https://bloom.bg/2pI3jiQ
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
OFS credit prices IPO at $20 a share to raise $50 million $OCCI #IPO https://on.mktw.net/2E0yJLa
Blank check company Collier Creek prices IPO.
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$JPM $C $WFC $WBA $DAL $FAST $AZZ $PNC $HELE $CBSH $FRC $SAR $EXFO $VOXX $DAVA
#earnings for the week $JPM $C $WFC $WBA $DAL $FAST $AZZ $PNC $HELE $CBSH $FRC $SAR $EXFO $VOXX $DAVA https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/rCvvoZ5oRX
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
China Lending (CLDC) premarket up 81% trading 1.54 taps the 200 MA on 240 Min Chart $CLDC #daytrading #premarket
China Lending (CLDC) premarket up 81% trading 1.54 taps the 200 MA on 240 Min Chart $CLDC #daytrading #premarket
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Holding trend support area-ish for long bias set-up in premarket.
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Holding trend support area-ish for long bias set-up in premarket $ARWR #swingtrading
FIREEYE (FEYE) premarket holding up channel structure for long bias, may take first entries in to open.
FIREEYE (FEYE) premarket holding up channel structure for long bias, may take first entries in to open. #swingtrade $FEYE
ROKU (ROKU) in pull back could see 58.52, on bounce looking for 78.01 then 87.75 ON WATCH $ROKU #swingtrading #setups
ROKU (ROKU) in pull back could see 58.52, on bounce looking for 78.01 then 87.75 ON WATCH $ROKU #swingtrading #setups
FIREEYE (FEYE) trading 17.35 current trajectory implies 19.31 or 22.32 price target Dec 1 2018 time cycle peak #swingtrade #tradealerts $FEYE
FIREEYE (FEYE) trading 17.35 current trajectory implies 19.31 or 22.32 price target Dec 1 2018 time cycle peak #swingtrade #tradealerts $FEYE
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Hit price target from last trade alert, coming off to mid quad 200 MA support, follow trajectory after Oct 9 time cycle $SHOP #swingtrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Hit price target from last trade alert, coming off to mid quad 200 MA support, follow trajectory after Oct 9 time cycle $SHOP #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Long positions starting at channel trajectory support mid 15s. Solid range support near 13.14 $ARWR #swingtrading #chart
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Long positions starting at channel trajectory support mid 15s. Solid range support near 13.14 $ARWR #swingtrading #chart
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
ALLERGAN (AGN) Looks like it may not be ready to retrace to bottom of channel in forecast, testing new highs.
ALLERGAN (AGN) Looks like it may not be ready to retrace to bottom of channel in forecast, testing new highs. $AGN #swingtrading #tradealerts
TESLA (TSLA) Upper and lower price targets in to next time cycle nearing $TSLA #tradealerts #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) Upper and lower price targets in to next time cycle nearing $TSLA #tradealerts #swingtrading
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
The most striking change in last weeks COT update was the net-selling seen in both #Brent and #WTI crude #oil. Despite all the talk about supply shortages and $100/b before year-end leveraged funds instead chose to reduce exposure. #OOTT
The most striking change in last weeks COT update was the net-selling seen in both #Brent and #WTI crude #oil. Despite all the talk about supply shortages and $100/b before year-end leveraged funds instead chose to reduce exposure. #OOTT pic.twitter.com/6xZ61sdHSG
— Ole S Hansen (@Ole_S_Hansen) October 7, 2018
Saudi Crown Prince’s 2021 Aramco IPO Deadline Is a Daunting Test – It’s not yet clear if they can pull it off https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-10-08/saudi-crown-prince-s-2021-aramco-ipo-deadline-is-a-daunting-tes
The U.S. yield curve has steepened over recent days, assuaging some concerns about a near-term inversion. This will likely make the Fed feel even better about a December hike, market implied probability currently ~70%. {@TheTerminal Chart Link: https://bloom.bg/2BZPnrL }
The U.S. yield curve has steepened over recent days, assuaging some concerns about a near-term inversion. This will likely make the Fed feel even better about a December hike, market implied probability currently ~70%. {@TheTerminal Chart Link: https://t.co/5diPQvzC3M } pic.twitter.com/0uHBqOzc9b
— Michael McDonough (@M_McDonough) October 8, 2018
Pretty amazing chart showing equity performance so far in October based on market cap. The smaller the stock, the bigger the drop. https://www.bespokepremium.com/think-big-blog/bigger-has-been-less-bad/ … $SPY
Pretty amazing chart showing equity performance so far in October based on market cap. The smaller the stock, the bigger the drop. https://t.co/4bXK1x5UXk $SPY $$ pic.twitter.com/H1rybtOmg4
— Bespoke (@bespokeinvest) October 8, 2018
Companies buying back stock but executives at those comps are doing the exact opposite: dumping their shares at record clip. Corp insiders sold $10.3bn worth of stock in Aug. That’s the highest amount of selling in the month of August over the past 10yrs. https://www.barrons.com/articles/companies-are-buying-back-stock-as-executives-sell-at-record-clip-1538787736 …
Companies buying back stock but executives at those comps are doing the exact opposite: dumping their shares at record clip. Corp insiders sold $10.3bn worth of stock in Aug. That’s the highest amount of selling in the month of August over the past 10yrs. https://t.co/8dDnJPzVXY pic.twitter.com/vmGSEQlHMy
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) October 6, 2018
7. Sooner or later the $FED is going to blow up US High Yield credit… @TopdownCharts https://www.topdowncharts.com/single-post/2018/10/05/Chart-Of-The-Week-The-Fed-vs-Junk-Bonds … $JNK $HYG
7. Sooner or later the $FED is going to blow up US High Yield credit… @TopdownCharts https://t.co/2ZbaJnfTKr $JNK $HYG pic.twitter.com/uQCcH2kNPr
— Callum Thomas (@Callum_Thomas) October 6, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $CLDC $ALT $BRZU $ACRX $CIG $IGC $PBR $GOL $KALA $ITUB $BBD $PYX $CRMD $EARS $FPAY $EWZ
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $PBR $ASMB $ANCX $GE $CAG $WLTW $LMAT
(6) Recent Downgrades: $BECN $PKX $KMB $IRBT $VOD $NVO $OMB $TMHC $WAT $CCOI
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, $CLDC, $FEYE, $ARWR, $VIX, $WTI, OIL, $SPY, $BTC, Time Cycles, Volatility, Forecasting
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Friday October 5, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: $ARWR, $GPRO, $TSLA, $FEYE, $SPY, $SHOP, $ROKU, OIL, $VIX, $BTC and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Oct 5 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open, mid day review and futures trading this evening (as available and as market demands).
- Main live trading room is open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars or when Lead Trader is not available.
- Scheduled this week:
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Oil Trading Bootcamp (online only)
- 1 day Swing Trading Bootcamp (online only)
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 3 – Protected: Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 17 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS
Sept 5 – Day Trading and Swing Trading CRONOS GROUP Inc. (CRON)
Aug 16 – Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
TESLA on watch in lower area of recent range, likely take a short term swing trade in TSLA today – long.
Gold, Silver and others I have now and I’m doing final edits. To be distributed over next day or two. Letting the set-ups firm up and start trading them again possibly as of Sunday night futures.
Likely start trading Bitcoin XBTUSD and VIX in to next week now also in to mid Dec time cycle.
SPY got a bump in premarket with jobs numbers, as with others above likely trading that aggressive in to time cycle peak mid Dec also come next week.
Oil in a small pull back but expect bullish trend to continue next week.
GoPro (GPRO) Reports ‘Strongest Week-One Unit Sell-Thru in Company History’ for HERO7 Black #swingtrading $GPRO http://www.streetinsider.com/Management+Comments/GoPro+%28GPRO%29+Reports+Strongest+Week-One+Unit+Sell-Thru+in+Company+History+for+HERO7+Black/14677954.html … via @Street_Insider
GoPro (GPRO) Reports 'Strongest Week-One Unit Sell-Thru in Company History' for HERO7 Black #swingtrading $GPRO https://t.co/AartczY17f via @Street_Insider
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 5, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.76, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 74.63, Gold $GLD trading 1203.62, Silver $SLV trading 14.65, $SPY 289.66 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6544.00 and $VIX trading 14.3.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $INTC
23 Stocks Moving In Friday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12463981 $SGH $GPRO $EMKR $VSTM $TLRY $SNAP $GTXI $HSGX $KMPH $CUTR $TSLA $COST $IGC
News:
Delphi Technologies CEO steps down, cuts revenue and margin outlook
Snap rises on report of CEO’s profitability goal for 2019
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
OFS credit prices IPO at $20 a share to raise $50 million $OCCI #IPO https://on.mktw.net/2E0yJLa
Blank check company Collier Creek prices IPO.
Blank check company Collier Creek prices IPO https://t.co/JUJYAiROWf
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 5, 2018
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$COST $SFIX $PEP $STZ $SGH $PAYX $LEN $CALM $AYI $LW $SNX $RPM $PIR $ISCA $NG $LNDC $RECN
#earnings for the week $COST $SFIX $PEP $STZ $SGH $PAYX $LEN $CALM $AYI $LW $SNX $RPM $PIR $ISCA $NG $LNDC $RECN https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/PJ2ABTMR7h
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
ROKU (ROKU) in pull back could see 58.52, on bounce looking for 78.01 then 87.75 ON WATCH $ROKU #swingtrading #setups
ROKU (ROKU) in pull back could see 58.52, on bounce looking for 78.01 then 87.75 ON WATCH $ROKU #swingtrading #setups
FIREEYE (FEYE) trading 17.35 current trajectory implies 19.31 or 22.32 price target Dec 1 2018 time cycle peak #swingtrade #tradealerts $FEYE
FIREEYE (FEYE) trading 17.35 current trajectory implies 19.31 or 22.32 price target Dec 1 2018 time cycle peak #swingtrade #tradealerts $FEYE
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Hit price target from last trade alert, coming off to mid quad 200 MA support, follow trajectory after Oct 9 time cycle $SHOP #swingtrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Hit price target from last trade alert, coming off to mid quad 200 MA support, follow trajectory after Oct 9 time cycle $SHOP #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Long positions starting at channel trajectory support mid 15s. Solid range support near 13.14 $ARWR #swingtrading #chart
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Long positions starting at channel trajectory support mid 15s. Solid range support near 13.14 $ARWR #swingtrading #chart
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
Crude Oil Monthly Chart testing 100 MA resistance. Oct 2 517 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Crude Oil Monthly Chart testing 100 MA resistance. Oct 2 517 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN) Looks like it may not be ready to retrace to bottom of channel in forecast, testing new highs.
ALLERGAN (AGN) Looks like it may not be ready to retrace to bottom of channel in forecast, testing new highs. $AGN #swingtrading #tradealerts
TESLA (TSLA) Upper and lower price targets in to next time cycle nearing $TSLA #tradealerts #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) Upper and lower price targets in to next time cycle nearing $TSLA #tradealerts #swingtrading
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
ALIBABA (BABA) bullish up 2% intra day, holding support of trading range well. Trim in to resistance add above. $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrade
ALIBABA (BABA) bullish up 2% intra day, holding support of trading range well. Trim in to resistance add above. $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrade
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things
-It’s jobs day
-Senate to vote on Kavanaugh
-Mixed fortunes for commodities
-Markets drop
-Brazil election
https://bloom.bg/2zUd2s7
J&J, Arrowhead in gene-silencing drug deal worth up to $3.7 billion $ARWR #swingtrading https://finance.yahoo.com/news/j-j-arrowhead-gene-silencing-115253968.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw … via @YahooFinance
J&J, Arrowhead in gene-silencing drug deal worth up to $3.7 billion $ARWR #swingtrading https://t.co/DzGQNJTxnT via @YahooFinance
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 4, 2018
Analysts out positive on FireEye after summit, product launch https://seekingalpha.com/news/3395097-analysts-positive-fireeye-summit-product-launch?source=tweet … $FEYE #swingtrading
Analysts out positive on FireEye after summit, product launch https://t.co/jGKjbGbIwG $FEYE #swingtrading
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 4, 2018
The most influential endowment manager just jumped into crypto with bets on two Silicon Valley funds https://cnb.cx/2yk5zjQ
The most influential endowment manager just jumped into crypto with bets on two Silicon Valley funds https://t.co/pC7Rd3Ley1
— Crypto the BTC Algo (@CryptotheAlgo) October 5, 2018
Yale University has invested in everything from Puerto Rican bonds to New Hampshire timber. Now it’s getting into the market for cryptos https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-10-05/yale-is-said-to-invest-in-crypto-fund-that-raised-400-million … via @markets
Yale University has invested in everything from Puerto Rican bonds to New Hampshire timber. Now it's getting into the market for cryptos https://t.co/ahcawVK8Nx via @markets
— Crypto the BTC Algo (@CryptotheAlgo) October 5, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $GTXI $VTVT $DELT $SGH $EMKR $PTIE $PGNX $BRZU $HIMX $PLX $LCI $OGEN $PBR $GPRO $ATRC $NBEV $SNAP
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Wolfe Research Downgrades ArcBest Corp $ARCB to Underperform
Wolfe Research Downgrades Trucking Subsector to Market Underweight
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, $ARWR, $GPRO, $TSLA, $FEYE, $SPY, $SHOP, $ROKU, OIL, $VIX, $BTC
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Tuesday September 18, 2018.
In this edition: Saudi Oil, Tariffs, $TLRY, $VKTX, $CARA, $PROQR, $SSW, $BABA, $SHOP, $BOX, $FB, $AGN, $AAPL, $DIS, $XBIO, $ARWR, $TSLA, $VIX, $WTI, $SPY, $DXY, $BTC and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Sept 18 – Lead trader is in the main trading room for market open, mid day review and futures trading today.
- September Live Trading Room Challenge, Coaching, News, Events, Q & A and More: information for existing members, those asking about our services and new on-boarding members
- The main live trading room going forward is open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with our Lead Trader.The exceptions are; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, special Trading Webinars or if the lead trader is not available.
- Week of Sept 17 – New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Week of Sept 17 – Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Week of Sept 17 – Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Week of Sept 17 – Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on our website.
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Week of Sept 17 – The previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available on our website.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
Machine Trade Coding Team Mandate: In current development and roll-out (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Subscribers to read disclaimer.
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Sept 17 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS
Sept 5 – Day Trading and Swing Trading CRONOS GROUP Inc. (CRON)
Aug 16 – Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.
Aug 12 – Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
As I wrote yesterday, many of the set ups that we charted and alerted during coaching boot camp are likely to alarm early week, so I’m expecting trades for those, we are also updating the complete platform equity list charting in the same way (re-charting them all and alarming them etc) – so this week and going forward should become very active in the trading room and on alert feeds.
Stocks – Oracle, FedEx Slide in Pre-market, Netflix, Apple Gain, Avon Surges –
Stocks – Oracle, FedEx Slide in Pre-market, Netflix, Apple Gain, Avon Surges – https://t.co/ssMbjoDBnP
— Investing.com Stocks (@InvestingStockz) September 18, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:04 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 94.50, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 69.72, Gold $GLD trading 1200.48, Silver $SLV trading 14.22, $SPY 290.05 (premarket), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6239.00 and $VIX trading 13.2.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
News:
Tilray receives approval from U.S. to import a medical cannabis study drug for a clinical trial … https://seekingalpha.com/news/3390989-tilray-receives-approval-u-s-import-medical-cannabis-study-drug-clinical-trial-uc-san-diego?source=feed_f … #premarket $TLRY
$VKTX Viking Therapeutics announces positive results in trial of non-alcoholic fatty liver treatment
Sempra Energy announces agreement with Elliott Management, Bluescape Energy $SRE http://dlvr.it/QkZ8b9
EMA accepts Bristol-Myers’ marketing application for expanded use of Empliciti https://seekingalpha.com/news/3390991-ema-accepts-bristol-myers-marketing-application-expanded-use-empliciti?source=feed_f … #premarket $BMY $CELG $ABBV
$FB Facebook Sought Access to Financial Firms’ Customer Data
https://www.wsj.com/articles/facebook-sought-access-to-financial-firms-customer-data-1537263000
Oil market safe despite trade tensions, Iran sanctions: Al-Falih http://bit.ly/2xoyaUI #OOTT $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Gritstone Oncology sets terms for IPO to raise up to $91.1 million
Qutoutiao prices IPO at $7 per ADS, raising $84 million
Navios ceases plan for IPO on Nasdaq
Tesla rival Nio to go public after pricing IPO at low end of expectations
Zekelman Industries to offer 41.8 million shares in IPO, priced at $17 to $19 each
Eventbrite to offer 10 million shares in IPO priced at $19 to $21 each
Cancer blood-testing company Guardant Health files for IPO.
Eli Lilly’s Elanco sets IPO terms to raise up to $1.45 billion before options
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$MU $ORCL $FDX $AZO $RHT $GIS $CBRL $DRI $APOG $THO $UNFI $CPRT $MLHR $SCS $SMMT $AMRK
#earnings for the week$MU $ORCL $FDX $AZO $RHT $GIS $CBRL $DRI $APOG $THO $UNFI $CPRT $MLHR $SCS $SMMT $AMRK https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/cAnHRobuy5
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 17, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for sometime).
VIKING THERAPEUTICS (VKTX) premarket up 140% on liver trial news. $VKTX #premarket #daytrading
VIKING THERAPEUTICS (VKTX) premarket up 140% on liver trial news. $VKTX #premarket #daytrading
$MYND needs that 50 MA on the weekly to get going above where it is IMO
$MYND needs that 50 MA on the weekly to get going above where it is IMO
Seaspan (SSW) over 9.50 intra should see lower 10s fast, trading 9.34 intraday. $SSW #daytrade #swingtrade #tradealerts
Seaspan (SSW) over 9.50 intra should see lower 10s fast, trading 9.34 intraday. $SSW #daytrade #swingtrade #tradealerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
SHOPIFY (SHOP) is working the area between main pivot (red line) and upper price target $SHOP #tradealerts #swingtrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) is working the area between main pivot (red line) and upper price target $SHOP #tradealerts #swingtrading
SP500 (SPY) Chart – Came off at test area around pivot on 60 min chart, above box long below short $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SP500 (SPY) Chart – Came off at test area around pivot on 60 min chart, above box long below short $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
ALIBABA (BABA) got a bounce at 100 MA under rane support, watching close here now $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrading
ALIBABA (BABA) got a bounce at 100 MA under rane support, watching close here now $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrading
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Testing break-out area intra-day. On watch. $CARA #tradingsetups #tradealert
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Testing break-out area intra-day. On watch. $CARA #tradingsetups #tradealert
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD turning back up with price above 50 MA Sept 17 623 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD turning back up with price above 50 MA Sept 17 623 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Per Sean alert in live daytrading room yesterday $SHOP got over resistance today targeting 166s next #tradealerts #daytrade
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Per Sean alert in live daytrading room yesterday $SHOP got over resistance today targeting 166s next #tradealerts #daytrade
BOX INC (BOX) Swing trading plan well in play with nice bounce off 50 MA on way to symmetrical price target. $BOX #Swingtrading #TradeAlerts
BOX INC (BOX) Swing trading plan well in play with nice bounce off 50 MA on way to symmetrical price target. $BOX #Swingtrading #TradeAlerts
$BABA long side premarket 165s swing trade targets 178.67 then 207.50 Dec 17, 2018. #swingtrading #trade #alerts
$BABA long side premarket 165s swing trade targets 178.67 then 207.50 Dec 17, 2018. #swingtrading #trade #alerts
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
FACEBOOK (FB) On watch for wash-out snap-back trade now, main support and resistance marked on chart $FB #swingtrade #daytrade
FACEBOOK (FB) On watch for wash-out snap-back trade now, main support and resistance marked on chart $FB #swingtrade #daytrade
DISNEY (DIS) From this target above 110.50 targets 118.00 area and below targets 103.00 area. $DIS #swingtrading #daytrading
DISNEY (DIS) From this target above 110.50 targets 118.00 area and below targets 103.00 area. $DIS #swingtrading #daytrading
APPLE (AAPL) If it doesn’t get a bounce here at 20 MA then 212.65 is the retracement point to try for a bounce. $AAPL #swingtrading #daytrading
APPLE (AAPL) If it doesn’t get a bounce here at 20 MA then 212.65 is the retracement point to try for a bounce. $AAPL #swingtrading #daytrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
TESLA (TSLA) Wash out playing out as expected-alerted, watch Fri time cycle peak for trade of 280. $TSLA #daytrading #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) Wash out playing out as expected-alerted, watch Fri time cycle peak for trade of 280. $TSLA #daytrading #swingtrading
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things
-Trump tariffs
-China vows retaliation
-Markets rally
-Saudi happy with $80 Brent
-Confirmation delay
https://bloom.bg/2D8kjbh
Investors are going all in on the global divergence trade https://bloom.bg/2D7uKvU
Investors are going all in on the global divergence trade https://t.co/0n9qenMdbn
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 18, 2018
OPEC is warning of threats to #oil supply from large producers like Iran
https://bloom.bg/2NkagVj via @business #OOTT
OPEC is warning of threats to #oil supply from large producers like Iranhttps://t.co/9LQR0Dvh5I via @business #OOTT
— Bloomberg Energy (@BloombergNRG) September 18, 2018
Confidence in the global economy over the next 12 months has declined to the weakest in near 7 years, shows #MerrilLynch Global Fund Manager Survey.
Confidence in the global economy over the next 12 months has declined to the weakest in near 7 years, shows #MerrilLynch Global Fund Manager Survey. pic.twitter.com/EUALLJ2638
— YUAN TALKS (@YuanTalks) September 18, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $VKTX $APHB $TLRY $AVP $RDCM $EYES $NTNX $NBEV $QTT $OILU $UWT $UNP $ACBFF $ATRS $FTI $PDD
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
Providence Service $PRSC PT Raised to $107 at CJS Securities
Buy Nutanix $NTNX on ‘Unfounded Media Rumors’ – Needham & Company
$TRGP $VALE $UHS $SGRY $MD $LB $GFI $UNP
AMD, Nvidia stocks gain after Mizuho hikes target
(6) Recent Downgrades: $UAL $WK $BKU $FTNT $PLYA $DISCA $PRI $RHT $AU
Citi Downgrades Primerica $PRI to Sell
$FB-Facebook stock price target cut to $195 from $205 at J.P. Morgan
UBS downgrades Fortinet on “priced in” momentum https://seekingalpha.com/news/3391006-ubs-downgrades-fortinet-priced-momentum?source=feed_f … #premarket $FTNT
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Saudi Oil, Tariffs, $TLRY, $VKTX, $CARA, $PROQR, $SSW, $BABA, $SHOP, $BOX, $FB, $AGN, $AAPL, $DIS, $XBIO, $ARWR, $TSLA, $VIX, $WTI, $SPY, $DXY, $BTC
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Monday September 17, 2018.
In this edition: Tariffs, Pot, $CLRB, $TWTR, $AMZN, $BABA, $SHOP, $BOX, $DIS, $AAPL, $TSLA, $FB, $ARWR and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Sept 17 – Lead trader is in the main trading room for market open and mid day review today.
- September Live Trading Room Challenge, Coaching, News, Events, Q & A and More: information for existing members, those asking about our services and new on-boarding members
- The main live trading room going forward is open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with our Lead Trader Curtis.The exceptions are; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, special trading webinars or if the lead trader is not available.
- Week of Sept 17 – New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Week of Sept 17 – Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Week of Sept 17 – Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Week of Sept 17 – Trade Coaching Boot Camp Event videos become available on our website.
- Week of Sept 17 – The previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available on our website.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
Machine Trade Coding Team Mandate: In current development and roll-out (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Subscribers to read disclaimer.
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Sept 5 – Day Trading and Swing Trading CRONOS GROUP Inc. (CRON)
Aug 16 – Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.
Aug 12 – Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Earnings Season Charting July 24 $RIOT, $CELG, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA …
Swing Trading Special Report $CELG, $RIOT, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $MBRX, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA.
Swing Trading Special Report $SPY, OIL, $VIX, $DXY, $GOOGL, $HCLP, $ARRY, $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SSW
Swing Trading Set-ups Special Report; $VIX, $DXY, $SPY, $DIS, $RCL, $RKDA, $SQ, $HEAR, $TGTX, $SMIT
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Many of the set ups that we charted and alerted during coaching boot camp are likely to alarm early week, so I’m expecting trades for those, we are also updating the complete platform equity list charting in the same way (re-charting them all and alarming them etc) – so this week and going forward should become very active in the trading room and on alert feeds.
There’s a lot of news flow this morning so I’m likely to watch open and see which charting alarms before trading.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:38 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 94.94, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 69.40, Gold $GLD trading 1198.66, Silver $SLV trading 14.17, $SPY 290.88 (premarket), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6439.00 and $VIX trading 12.6.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $NEPT $CLRB $SIR $NBEV
Your Monday morning Wake Up Call:
$CLRB Cellectar stock surges 15% premarket after FDA fast tracks treatment for rare childhood cancer.
Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba begins its 2 day “Investor Day” today, though chairman Jack Ma won’t speak until tomorrow.
Catch the webcast here: https://www.alibabagroup.com/en/ir/home
$BABA
Your Monday morning Wake Up Call:
Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba begins its 2 day "Investor Day" today, though chairman Jack Ma won't speak until tomorrow.
Catch the webcast here: https://t.co/tofbNv3b0U$BABA
— Benzinga (@Benzinga) September 17, 2018
News:
Iran’s Export Pain Could Mean a Hot Winter for Oil. Producers may not have enough spare capacity to offset the impact of sanctions. https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2018-09-16/iran-s-export-pain-could-mean-a-hot-winter-for-oil
Metals and mining shares hit by news of Trump’s proposed China tariffs. https://www.ft.com/content/70917a9a-ba67-11e8-94b2-17176fbf93f5
Cannabis company Canopy Growth wins regulatory approval to expand production.
Your Monday morning Speed Read:
– Meredith sells Time Magazine to Salesforce’s Marc Benioff & wife Lynne for $190M $MDP $CRM
– FedEx Q1 results due after hours; analysts expect EPS $3.82 on $16.9B in sales $FDX
– Pot stocks buzzing on report Coca-Cola is #Cannacurious $KO $ACBFF
Your Monday morning Speed Read:
– Meredith sells Time Magazine to Salesforce's Marc Benioff & wife Lynne for $190M $MDP $CRM
– FedEx Q1 results due after hours; analysts expect EPS $3.82 on $16.9B in sales $FDX
– Pot stocks buzzing on report Coca-Cola is #Cannacurious $KO $ACBFF— Benzinga (@Benzinga) September 17, 2018
Shares knocked lower after new U.S. tariff threat on Chinese goods
Shares knocked lower after new U.S. tariff threat on Chinese goods https://t.co/x6Yh7oucy3
— Reuters (@Reuters) September 17, 2018
$AMZN Amazon investigating claims of employees leaking data for bribes.
Amazon investigating claims of employees leaking data for bribes https://t.co/QWMXDXqt0n
— Reuters (@Reuters) September 17, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Gritstone Oncology sets terms for IPO to raise up to $91.1 million
Qutoutiao prices IPO at $7 per ADS, raising $84 million
Navios ceases plan for IPO on Nasdaq
Tesla rival Nio to go public after pricing IPO at low end of expectations
Zekelman Industries to offer 41.8 million shares in IPO, priced at $17 to $19 each
Eventbrite to offer 10 million shares in IPO priced at $19 to $21 each
Cancer blood-testing company Guardant Health files for IPO.
Eli Lilly’s Elanco sets IPO terms to raise up to $1.45 billion before options
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$MU $ORCL $FDX $AZO $RHT $GIS $CBRL $DRI $APOG $THO $UNFI $CPRT $MLHR $SCS $SMMT $AMRK
#earnings for the week$MU $ORCL $FDX $AZO $RHT $GIS $CBRL $DRI $APOG $THO $UNFI $CPRT $MLHR $SCS $SMMT $AMRK https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/cAnHRobuy5
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 17, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for sometime).
CELLECTAR (CLRB) premarket up 20% on FDA news trading 2.64. $CLRB #premarket #daytrading
CELLECTAR (CLRB) premarket up 20% on FDA news trading 2.64. $CLRB #premarket #daytrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Per Sean alert in live daytrading room yesterday $SHOP got over resistance today targeting 166s next #tradealerts #daytrade
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Per Sean alert in live daytrading room yesterday $SHOP got over resistance today targeting 166s next #tradealerts #daytrade
BOX INC (BOX) Swing trading plan well in play with nice bounce off 50 MA on way to symmetrical price target. $BOX #Swingtrading #TradeAlerts
BOX INC (BOX) Swing trading plan well in play with nice bounce off 50 MA on way to symmetrical price target. $BOX #Swingtrading #TradeAlerts
$BABA long side premarket 165s swing trade targets 178.67 then 207.50 Dec 17, 2018. #swingtrading #trade #alerts
$BABA long side premarket 165s swing trade targets 178.67 then 207.50 Dec 17, 2018. #swingtrading #trade #alerts
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up scenario Number 2. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up scenario Number 2. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
PROQ THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) ran another 15% yesterday near a buy sell trigger resistance, trim in to it add above. $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade
PROQ THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) ran another 15% yesterday near a buy sell trigger resistance, trim in to it add above. $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
FACEBOOK (FB) On watch for wash-out snap-back trade now, main support and resistance marked on chart $FB #swingtrade #daytrade
FACEBOOK (FB) On watch for wash-out snap-back trade now, main support and resistance marked on chart $FB #swingtrade #daytrade
DISNEY (DIS) From this target above 110.50 targets 118.00 area and below targets 103.00 area. $DIS #swingtrading #daytrading
DISNEY (DIS) From this target above 110.50 targets 118.00 area and below targets 103.00 area. $DIS #swingtrading #daytrading
APPLE (AAPL) If it doesn’t get a bounce here at 20 MA then 212.65 is the retracement point to try for a bounce. $AAPL #swingtrading #daytrading
APPLE (AAPL) If it doesn’t get a bounce here at 20 MA then 212.65 is the retracement point to try for a bounce. $AAPL #swingtrading #daytrading
ALIBABA (BABA) If no bounce at 100 MA that is near it is most probable to bounce in 147 range. $BABA #swingtrading
ALIBABA (BABA) If no bounce at 100 MA that is near it is most probable to bounce in 147 range. $BABA #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
TESLA (TSLA) Wash out playing out as expected-alerted, watch Fri time cycle peak for trade of 280. $TSLA #daytrading #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) Wash out playing out as expected-alerted, watch Fri time cycle peak for trade of 280. $TSLA #daytrading #swingtrading
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Trump praises tariffs while trade talks with China hang in the balance https://bloom.bg/2MG87hw
Trump praises tariffs while trade talks with China hang in the balance https://t.co/NEgrpi9XvX pic.twitter.com/BmkWnQc59u
— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) September 17, 2018
Abu Dhabi is planning the biggest oil IPO in a decade.
Read:
Chart: The CBOE 10yr Treasury Volatility Index (VIX-equivalent) hits a record low amid growing complacency in rates markets –
Chart: The CBOE 10yr Treasury Volatility Index (VIX-equivalent) hits a record low amid growing complacency in rates markets – pic.twitter.com/femBOrkccw
— (((The Daily Shot))) (@SoberLook) September 17, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $SNMX $SIR $ABIL $NCTY $ARGX $NBEV $SFET $SWZ $TEVA $NLST $NEPT $TLRY $QTT $MDGS $GERN $CRON
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $HUYA $MOMO $BABA $MU
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
$FII $A $BBBY $GGB $AXP $MAC $PXD $PHG $MBUU $AVGO $MA $LULU $NXPI $VVV$OXM $MA $PBYI $JWN $TEVA $LUV
(6) Recent Downgrades:
$ARNC $HRL $ADS $ST $RVNC $VALE $V $COST $MCHP $SFM $AZO $CAKE $MCD $MU
When this censorship sh*show blows sky high $TWTR will take the biggest hit of the group $GOOGL $AAPL $FB
When this censorship sh*show blows sky high $TWTR will take the biggest hit of the group $GOOGL $AAPL $FB https://t.co/J11oULAKWV
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 17, 2018
Twitter stock falls after MoffettNathanson lowers target to $21
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Tariffs, Pot, $CLRB, $TWTR, $AMZN, $BABA, $SHOP, $BOX, $DIS, $AAPL, $TSLA, $FB, $ARWR.
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Friday September 14, 2018.
In this edition: $BABA, $NIO, $SHOP, $BOX, $DIS, $AAPL, $TSLA, $FB, $PRQR, $ARWR and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- September Live Trading Room Challenge, Coaching, News, Events, Q & A and More: information for existing members, those asking about our services and new on-boarding members.
- Friday Sept 14 – Trading Boot Camp Day 1
-
- The main trading room is reserved for Boot Camp Training attendees Fri, Sat, Sun. I’ll be live on mic live broadcast trading in main trading room #premarket 9:25 #daytrade momos, trading until approximately 11:00 AM, and at noon mid-day #swingtrading chart set-up reviews at 12:00. From 1:00 – 5:00 we start charting basics and any trading left for week and then Saturday and Sunday are intensive classroom days. If room is full message me so I can make room. GL today! Trading room link.
- September 6 premarket through September 31 the main live trading room will be open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) for a month of live recorded trading with our Lead Trader Curtis.The exception will be during the Cabarete Boot Camp Sept 14 – 16 (live trading room will be reserved for coaching event).The month of trading will then be posted to YouTube accompanied with highlight posts.
-
- Before Sept 14 – New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Before Sept 14 – Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Before Sept 14 – Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Sept 14-16, Cabarete – Trade Coaching Event – Learn How to Trade or Take Your Trading to the Next Level (public, retail).
Machine Trade Coding Team Mandate: In current development and roll-out (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Subscribers to read disclaimer.
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Sept 5 – Day Trading and Swing Trading CRONOS GROUP Inc. (CRON)
Aug 16 – Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.
Aug 12 – Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Earnings Season Charting July 24 $RIOT, $CELG, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA …
Swing Trading Special Report $CELG, $RIOT, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $MBRX, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA.
Swing Trading Special Report $SPY, OIL, $VIX, $DXY, $GOOGL, $HCLP, $ARRY, $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SSW
Swing Trading Set-ups Special Report; $VIX, $DXY, $SPY, $DIS, $RCL, $RKDA, $SQ, $HEAR, $TGTX, $SMIT
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
ALIBABA (BABA) swing trade alert is going well trading 167s premarket up from 165s start of swing.
$BABA long side premarket 165s swing trade targets 178.67 then 207.50 Dec 17, 2018. #swingtrading #trade #alerts
Set ups in $BOX and $SHOP below are on watch.
$NIO premarket trading near yesterday highs (IPO).
Currently have oil on watch in premarket. Favor 69.83 for end of Friday at this point on FX $USOIL $WTI, currently trading at mid quad waiting on decision.
Per my suggestion yesterday there is continued reason for a possible inflection in Gold and Silver to bullish side. There are still some hurdles but it seems near. $GLD $SLV
Also per my suggestion yesterday… Bitcoin has been recovering, so BTC is also watch that at this point. As noted previous I am trying to position for a run in to December. $BTC $XBT. Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin swaps launch has me intrigued.
If you missed premarket reports over last few days there were a number of swing trade set ups in there that could inflect and become decent trades.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:38 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 94.54, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 68.81, Gold $GLD trading 1205.66, Silver $SLV trading 14.18, $SPY 291.38 (premarket), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6461.00 and $VIX trading 12.2.
#Futures tick higher on hopes of U.S.-China trade talks –
#Futures tick higher on hopes of U.S.-China trade talks – https://t.co/O6C4StNTVM
— Investing.com News (@newsinvesting) September 14, 2018
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
Nio’s shares zoomed up 76 percent in the second day of trading after its IPO on the New York Stock Exchange. @KatrinaHamlin explains this unexpected, and implausible, U-turn:
https://www.breakingviews.com/considered-view/nio-zooms-from-carmaker-to-tech-star/
Nio's shares zoomed up 76 percent in the second day of trading after its IPO on the New York Stock Exchange. @KatrinaHamlin explains this unexpected, and implausible, U-turn: https://t.co/WFRJQHx10E
— Reuters Breakingviews (@Breakingviews) September 14, 2018
News:
Your Friday morning Speed Read:
– Amazon says it’ll decide on 2nd HQ location by year-end $AMZN
– Futures point to another spike for recently IPO’d electric vehicle co. $NIO, which rose as much as 95% Thursday
– Tomorrow’s the 10th anniversary of the collapse of #Lehman Bros.
Your Friday morning Speed Read:
– Amazon says it'll decide on 2nd HQ location by year-end $AMZN
– Futures point to another spike for recently IPO'd electric vehicle co. $NIO, which rose as much as 95% Thursday
– Tomorrow's the 10th anniversary of the collapse of #Lehman Bros. pic.twitter.com/ExM2Y3b5B7— Benzinga (@Benzinga) September 14, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Qutoutiao prices IPO at $7 per ADS, raising $84 million
Navios ceases plan for IPO on Nasdaq
Tesla rival Nio to go public after pricing IPO at low end of expectations
Zekelman Industries to offer 41.8 million shares in IPO, priced at $17 to $19 each
Eventbrite to offer 10 million shares in IPO priced at $19 to $21 each
Cancer blood-testing company Guardant Health files for IPO.
Eli Lilly’s Elanco sets IPO terms to raise up to $1.45 billion before options
Earnings:
Dave & Buster’s shares rise after earnings beat, guidance lifted
#earnings for the week
$ADBE $KR $PLAY $PVTL $SONO $FRAN $TLRD $SKIS $CASY $LMNR $BRC $MTRX $SAIC $EYPT $LAKE $CDMO $COOL $FARM $AGTC $IRET $OXM $PTN $ACET $RLGT $CSBR $PCYG $STRM $ERYP $LOVE (& $MAMS)
http://eps.sh/cal
#earnings for the week$ADBE $KR $PLAY $PVTL $SONO $FRAN $TLRD $SKIS $CASY $LMNR $BRC $MTRX $SAIC $EYPT $LAKE $CDMO $COOL $FARM $AGTC $IRET $OXM $PTN $ACET $RLGT $CSBR $PCYG $STRM $ERYP $LOVE (& $MAMS)https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/wHU5AlivAx
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 8, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for sometime).
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Per Sean alert in live daytrading room yesterday $SHOP got over resistance today targeting 166s next #tradealerts #daytrade
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Per Sean alert in live daytrading room yesterday $SHOP got over resistance today targeting 166s next #tradealerts #daytrade
BOX INC (BOX) Swing trading plan well in play with nice bounce off 50 MA on way to symmetrical price target. $BOX #Swingtrading #TradeAlerts
BOX INC (BOX) Swing trading plan well in play with nice bounce off 50 MA on way to symmetrical price target. $BOX #Swingtrading #TradeAlerts
$BABA long side premarket 165s swing trade targets 178.67 then 207.50 Dec 17, 2018. #swingtrading #trade #alerts
$BABA long side premarket 165s swing trade targets 178.67 then 207.50 Dec 17, 2018. #swingtrading #trade #alerts
ALIBABA (BABA) from recent trade alert for weekly 100 MA bounce watch, up premarket trading 164.76. $BABA #tradealerts #premarket
ALIBABA (BABA) from recent trade alert for weekly 100 MA bounce watch, up premarket trading 164.76. $BABA #tradealerts #premarket
NEMAURA (NMRD) Premarket trading 2.98 up 4.2%, up 32.7% yesterday hit daily 200 MA area and backed off in previous trade.$NMRD #daytrading.
NEMAURA (NMRD) Premarket trading 2.98 up 4.2%, up 32.7% yesterday hit daily 200 MA area and backed off in previous trade.$NMRD #daytrading.
FOMIX PHARMA (FOMX) premarket up 31.4% trading 7.78 on positive results, resistance 8.00 range $FOMX #daytrading #stocks
FOMIX PHARMA (FOMX) premarket up 31.4% trading 7.78 on positive results, resistance 8.00 range $FOMX #daytrading #stocks
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC Premarket near 200 MA support test after sel;-off, near time cycle peak Sept 14, possible turn $XBIO #swingtrade #daytrade #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC Premarket near 200 MA support test after sel;-off, near time cycle peak Sept 14, possible turn $XBIO #swingtrade #daytrade #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up scenario Number 2. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up scenario Number 2. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
FREDS INC (FRED) On day two of gap and go continued to struggle with 200 MA wall. $FRED #daytrading #swingtrade #premarket
FREDS INC (FRED) On day two of gap and go continued to struggle with 200 MA wall. $FRED #daytrading #swingtrade #premarket
PROQ THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) ran another 15% yesterday near a buy sell trigger resistance, trim in to it add above. $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade
PROQ THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) ran another 15% yesterday near a buy sell trigger resistance, trim in to it add above. $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
FACEBOOK (FB) On watch for wash-out snap-back trade now, main support and resistance marked on chart $FB #swingtrade #daytrade
FACEBOOK (FB) On watch for wash-out snap-back trade now, main support and resistance marked on chart $FB #swingtrade #daytrade
DISNEY (DIS) From this target above 110.50 targets 118.00 area and below targets 103.00 area. $DIS #swingtrading #daytrading
DISNEY (DIS) From this target above 110.50 targets 118.00 area and below targets 103.00 area. $DIS #swingtrading #daytrading
APPLE (AAPL) If it doesn’t get a bounce here at 20 MA then 212.65 is the retracement point to try for a bounce. $AAPL #swingtrading #daytrading
APPLE (AAPL) If it doesn’t get a bounce here at 20 MA then 212.65 is the retracement point to try for a bounce. $AAPL #swingtrading #daytrading
ALIBABA (BABA) If no bounce at 100 MA that is near it is most probable to bounce in 147 range. $BABA #swingtrading
ALIBABA (BABA) If no bounce at 100 MA that is near it is most probable to bounce in 147 range. $BABA #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
TESLA (TSLA) Wash out playing out as expected-alerted, watch Fri time cycle peak for trade of 280. $TSLA #daytrading #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) Wash out playing out as expected-alerted, watch Fri time cycle peak for trade of 280. $TSLA #daytrading #swingtrading
PROQ THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) premarket resistance watch at diagonal Fib line overhead and 22.75, above sees 27.55 implied $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade
PROQ THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) premarket resistance watch at diagonal Fib line overhead and 22.75, above sees 27.55 implied $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade
FREDS INC (FRED) Cleared 200 MA on daily, premarket next major resistance 50 MA on weekly. $FRED #daytrading #swingtrade #premarket
FREDS INC (FRED) Cleared 200 MA on daily, premarket next major resistance 50 MA on weekly. $FRED #daytrading #swingtrade #premarket
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
CLOUDERA INC (CLDR) Premarket up 6.5% trading 18.75 with 22.00 target. $CLDR #daytrading #swingtrading
CLOUDERA INC (CLDR) Premarket up 6.5% trading 18.75 with 22.00 target. $CLDR #daytrading #swingtrading
$BOX weekly leap frog perfectly through targets. #earnings #premarket
$BOX weekly leap frog perfectly through targets. #earnings #premarket pic.twitter.com/1xTDdq2BdY
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 28, 2018
Tapped the top of the resistance per below, retraced as predicted below. Move done. Thanks Tony. $DXY $UUP #USD @dxyusd_index
Tapped the top of the resistance per below, retraced as predicted below. Move done. Thanks Tony. $DXY $UUP #USD @dxyusd_index https://t.co/JMFbDchqtS
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 22, 2018
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things
-Florence hits Carolina
-Low trade talk hopes
-Carney’s Brexit warning
-Markets rise
-Data due
https://bloom.bg/2CU6pJF
#5things
-Florence hits Carolina
-Low trade talk hopes
-Carney's Brexit warning
-Markets rise
-Data duehttps://t.co/rh7ZNF2sQt pic.twitter.com/WGa5Dn4uKs— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) September 14, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $SHLD $NIO $RLGT $LPL $KNDI $YI $PIR $AMD $PLAY $MYSZ $TEUM $SHPG $WYNN $CLF $MHLD $MU $LVS $HUYA
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
$ADBE $CMI $ZGNX $DISCA $GLW $YELP $SQ
$AMD (AMD) PT Raised to $40 at Argus; Shares Not Overvalued @Street_Insider
NVIDIA $NVDA PT Raised to ‘Street High’ $350 at Needham & Company; Fast Becoming the ‘Wintel’ for AI
Nvidia shares rise after analyst says ‘dominance’ in machine learning spells even more upside
Nvidia shares rise after analyst says 'dominance' in machine learning spells even more upside https://t.co/8M4vFFPrDc
— CNBC (@CNBC) September 14, 2018
(6) Recent Downgrades:
$LEN
$CTRP
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, Alerts, $BABA, $NIO, $SHOP, $BOX, $DIS, $AAPL, $TSLA, $FB, $PRQR, $ARWR