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Premarket Trading Watch List

Good morning Traders,

With stocks to watch and trades in play, on day trade alert side I’d like to see TL (diagonal trendline) on $OSTK break for a run. Also the overhead horizontal resistance on $AKBA for a run. We got the $IQ yesterday and first part of $OSTK and $AKBA. Check your charts sent out.

Congrats to $MARK longs, I didn’t get it but here’s your key resistance.

$MARK, premarket, chart, trading

Your resistance mark on $MARK should be 200 MA on weekly (pink) per beach side video last night #daytrading #premarket

On swing trade alert side resistance over head near on $SPY model and $AAPL chart models. Of course we’re swing trading $AKBA and $OSTK also. Managing many others, nothing specifically yet today for new entries, after oil reports API EIA we expect more swing trade positioning / entries. $VIX and $OVX are on close watch for long starts soon-sh (see Sunday Swing Trade $STUDY Webinar video for more). There are countless plays on watch and many in play right now.

Also the $NTRA break out set-up is super interesting here, really strong yesterday – also see the weekend $STUDY videos for this and chart model sent out on Swing Trade Alert feed.

Oil trading alerts Sunday overnight and Monday were super quiet for both myself and EPIC V3.1.1, however, I expect this to change at latest after API could be sooner, for now see hourly for range trade – it’s a range trade because of the time cycle rounding the trajectory per model.

We do have Fauci speak today so go easy.

Will be in live room and will get on mic if active trade starts.

Beach Side Video from yesterday with some comments to above trading.

Any questions let me know!

Curt

Article Topics; premarket, stocks, commodities, watchlist, $MARK, $AKBA, $OSTK, $IQ, $NTRA, $VIX, $OVX, $CL_F, $USO, $SPY


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Good morning Traders!

Crude oil topped out yesterday in its run up from lows April 28 – now (at time of writing I see price is spiking in premarket and bulls may take another run at highs). The OPEC pump is on.

We wrote a two part article on the time cycle work we are doing in crude oil trade specifically to the one hour time frame, we called the intra-week top tick almost to the penny and time, days in advance. You can read the article that includes the oil trading room minute by minute with trade alerts here.

It is important for all instruments of trade if you’re going to trade the future markets to understand what the machines are doing, they do drive price along with other reasons of course.

Our machine coding to equities, commodities, currencies and crypto are all rooted in the discipline of the analysis you will find in that article I reference (it is a two part article that is thick and difficult to read but if you put aside an hour you will understand the concept and it will help you in any trading of any instrument for daytrading and swingtrading).

Our timing with the recent profit trims in Gold $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD was excellent in the 1720s. Gold is now trading 1678.00 in premarket and we are looking at adds long at bottom of chart structure in your reports.

Natural Gas is up nicely this morning, we’re looking for adds to the long starter we have, however, I’m not sure where we are going to add, watch the alert feed.

Our profit trims in SP500 $SPY long positioning was executed quite well, we knew there was a high probability of time cycle inflections in to end of week (considering the Thursday afternoon oil time cycle peak) as alerted, so this worked out really well. Here also we’re looking for adds to the positioning, watch the alerts.

The Volatility long trade in to peak last cycle was near perfect with $VIX and $OVX (20s to 330s) and the alert last few days surrounding supports near was also spot on, we haven’t added to our long positioning yet, but it shouldn’t be far out.

The Bitcoin $BTC long positioning and recent trims on resistance are good but it’s still in bull mode this morning at time of writing 8938.00, so it’s an excellent swing trade no doubt, we’re watching for top of structure on model charting you have to see more profit trims.

Silver $SLV as expected is still under pressure and we’re just looking for adds to long positioning at chart model supports (see your reports).

Equities this recent cycle, timing was almost perfect, it was a great start to the cycle. I had called the cycle to start April 10, 2020 and the our models had it about 10 days prior (the models were closer than my call) but it couldn’t have been better. Timing cycles have been fantastic. Market highs we got, the down turn we nailed really hard and now this recent run up has been a good start. And even this week calling an interim rest in the cycle was spot on. Now we’re in $STUDY mode as we took our profits in to last few days.

I’ve received a number of personal notes from our Swing Trading Alerts platform users recently (on email mostly) and I think I’ll be asking you folks if I can post them anonymously to our website as swing trade reviews for other traders looking in to swing trading services. I appreciate hearing from you, it does make the work we do worthwhile when you hear about traders becoming disciplined consistently profitable traders. It will be good to meet as many of our new trading members as can make it out in the near future. Eventually most end up visiting the island.

Don’t miss the Sunday Swing Trade $STUDY Webinar series restarting this Sunday at 7 pm. If you’re not a registrant there are still 4 spots for this Sunday. If you can’t attend live the videos are sent out thereafter. 

I will be in a location this weekend again where high speed stable internet is 100% as we know the area well.

Next week will be very active in the live trading room and we start daytrading the swing trade set-ups on lower time frames also soon (this requires us updating the swing trade charting to lower time-frames for daytrading, coming soon).

EPIC V3.1.1 crude oil trading alerts have been firing very well post Black Swan code updates. Last night taking a short side trade that was almost to the minute perfect. Huge range in that short so it worked out well for our oil traders.

 

Beauty of a short sequence EPIC V3.1.1 started at 100 AM, chart, alert and article that explains why and how we knew the top price and time explained on this thread $USO $CL_F $UCO $SCO $GUSH $XLE

Beauty of a short sequence EPIC V3.1.1 started at 100 AM, chart, alert and article that explains why and how we knew the top price and time explained on this thread $USO $CL_F $UCO $SCO $GUSH $XLE

Themes will be the power of returns in the next time cycles in to the election and beyond, we’re working at these every day and you can expect a lot more swing trade set-ups over the weekend and in to next week.

Today my advice is to go very easy, put your time in to $STUDY, every hour invested in preparation for markets pays massive dividends.

I wouldn’t expect super active trade in the live room today, but you never know. I would however expect such next week to be extremely active as I’ll have my high speed line to work with and there are a number of videos I need to do, like a $STUDY on how to scan for swing trade set-ups, how to trade the one hour crude oil model we’ve recently locked in for our oil traders and various others.

Oh, and I have the most recent time cycle swing trade profit and loss in my hands, I’ll review and add study notes and send out this weekend. This will also help those looking for a current trade position listing. Blow out performance, it’s getting better as we go, which is good of course!

If you want direct access to me on Whatsapp send your request on email and I’ll connect on there with you. It works well as sometimes I am away from my trading desk and if you need a hand with a trade I’m right there right now.

As always if you need anything be sure to email [email protected] and have a great weekend!

Thanks

Curt

 

Article Topics; Premarket, Trading Room, #OPEC, #OOTT, $CL_F, $USO, Gold, Silver, $VIX, $SPY, $NG_F, $BTC, Themes, Swing Trading, $STUDY, Webinar, machine trading, time cycles, positioning, P&L

 


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PART 1: How to Swing Trade Volatility $VIX Time-Cycles and Achieve Much Higher Gains (ROI) in Equities, Commodities, Indices, Crypto and Theme Trades. 

In my opinion, this is the single most important skill a trader can possess, charting and trading time-cycle inflections within the markets.

Below is Part 1 of my new $STUDY guide series for swing traders and daytraders alike.

I am asked all the time why my Swing Trading win percentage is high, most assume I am a mystic of some sort because I always write about or share on social media charting or comments relating to market time-cycles. Seriously, people message me all the time with these sorts of assertions or questions.

In the technical analysis work I do in time-cycles there is nothing mystic about it at all. I don’t sit on a tripod, I don’t meditate (at least in the way you might imagine), I don’t look to the stars or special numbers. I use structural mathematical chart modeling and more often than not geometric charting structures built on Fibonacci levels.

Every financial instrument has a natural trading structure, patterns or as some refer to it as chart memory.

In nature all entities have a natural order or structure, this is the premise of Fibonacci. Financial instruments are natural in that they are traded on public markets by humans – this makes the instruments natural in structure.

However, there are times where specific events such as world calamities occur like COVID-19 Black Swan Event, the Iraq war, the 911 terrorist attack etc.

During these times the trading structure of financial instruments is more often than not divergent – or trading outside of its natural structure.

Central bank intervention (QE) can also cause divergent trade within a stock, commodity, indices etc as can company news (referring to publicly traded stocks). The smaller the company the more opportunity for divergent trade outside of the natural structure. Here the trade instrument or market liquidity becomes important.

If then random events cause the natural trade action of a stock (or whatever) to not be normal this is usually accompanied by increased volatility. A great example of this is the recent COVID-19 Black Swan Event and how it affected various markets around the world.

A specific example can be seen in the trade action of crude oil futures, and more specifically the trade volatility of crude oil, which is called or traded as symbol $OVX . Oil volatility (OVX) was trading in the 20’s (where we were accumulating based on time cycle work) and when the Black Swan event hit the price of $OVX Oil Volatility hit 334.00s, an incredible win. This was all based on time cycle work.

Below is a chart showing the trade action of OVX (Oil Volatility) during the COVID-19 Black Swan Event.

Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) chart showing oil trade volatility spiking from the 20s to 330s during black swan event.

Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) chart showing oil trade volatility spiking from the 20s to 330s during black swan event.

So if we know that specifically time cycle events (that normally come with increased volatility) occur within public markets then is it possible that knowing the structure of volatility (VIX) itself and related financial instruments such as oil volatility (OVX) can assist with a trader’s bias for trading various stocks, metals, currencies, crypto, indices and more?

The answer is yes. But it gets better.

Each instrument itself has its own natural order, or structure. The instrument structure say for example with Apple (AAPL) stock can then be charted on various time-frames from weekly, daily, hourly etc (we chart on thirteen time-frames). This provides a trader with the structure of timing for volatility and price trajectory on various time-frames, for investing, swing trading and daytrading.

And it even gets better (like the TV commercials haha) because when a trader understands how the volatility (VIX) and market time-cycles can line up and also with various themes (for example stock or sector themes) then things get really interesting for your ROI because now you have all structures of trade firing together in a symbiotic fashion. It becomes pure trading ecstasy.

This my friends is why our swing trading platform is so successful and why we structure our trade bias the way we do.

When the iron is hot we strike (time cycles) and when it cools we are taking profit and in deep $STUDY of the financial instrument structures and time cycles.

Another recent example is when the market bull seemed as though it would never stop, and four days before it stopped in a very volatile fashion we publicly announced that we were taking our profits and leaving our long positions behind, we cashed out. This, was done with time cycle work.

The tweet below explains (and shows the actual swing trade alerts) of some of our time cycle work,

I am explaining that I knew about the Black Swan event coming (called it Dec 19, 2019) and then on February 13, 2020 4 days before the market started to collapse we publicly announced we were taking our profits in the bull run home and closing longs.

And then even better yet, we sized in to shorting NIKE, WYNN and MASTERCARD for epic wins. This is where your profits are, in the time cycle inflections, everything else is $STUDY and positioning (managing size and getting your position and trajectory of trade right for the boom).

“Dec 19 call for pins to be pulled, last time cycle published, Feb 13 out of long positions 90% (publicly) then we hammered down short $NKE $WYNN $MA etc..

Why is this important?

For a victory lap? How bout truth.

#Timecycles, market instrument structure.

Natural law.”

 

So in part two of this article (it will be Premium member only) we will look specifically at Volatility (VIX) and how the time cycles within volatility work and then we’ll move to various stock theme swing trades we are looking at in this current time cycle along with also doing some articles over the coming days on the trade set-ups within this cycle for crypto, metals, indices, currencies and more.

This time period now is all about getting ready, understanding how time cycles work, starting to get our positioning in the various themes of trade and watching for the trajectories to line up between now and the peak of the next time cycle and the one after.

Also, before I forget, I am also going to be covering in articles for our members soon the need for a proper trading plan before entering your trade including how to size your trade, how to ebb and flow the support and resistance within the structure, sizing and trading the time cycle inflections of the instrument and more.

If you need help with a trade set-up email me at [email protected]

Thanks,

Curt

Part Two in this $STUDY Series can be found here:

 

Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter, Live Swing Trading Alerts, Study Guides).

Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).

Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).

Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).

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Article Topics; swing trading, time cycles, volatility, VIX, stocks, commodities, crypto, metals, indices, trading, currencies, Fibonacci, charting, markets, black swan events

 


IMPORTANT: Trading Team Note

This is likely one of the more important notes you will ever receive from me, the upcoming time-cycles are going to be historically important, the biggest in history past, present and future.

RE:  More Intra-Day Trading Near (Time Cycle Inflections)

Applies to: Live Trading Room, Oil Trade Alerts, Swing Trade Alerts. Stocks, SP500, $SPY, OIL, $CL_F, $USO, GOLD, $GLD, $GC_F, SILVER, $SLV, BITCOIN, $BTC, Volatility, $VIX, US Dollar, $DXY

Good evening team,

The recent time cycle that peaked last week was spot on, we nailed the run up (many plays in equities were 2-6x hits) and then the down (OVX 20s to 340s, VIX we nailed, shorting MasterCard, Nike and WYNN with size and many more) and then the recent bounce has been good to us and we sold the day before and early morning of the pull back in Wednesday trade.

The time cycles we follow were spot on and have been now for near 5 years – this is a considerable advantage in our overall bias with trade positioning and themes (more on this in another note).

For those that are not aware, our swing trading platform easily returns triple digits per year and this year we expect 4 digit returns+ and the win rate is high – easily 80%+ sometimes better. You are welcome to inspect our alert feed anytime to confirm for yourself.

Why do I point this out?

Because we are now entering another turn (we’re in the turn now). Time cycle inflections are important.

This particular time cycle inflection from the first week of April 2020 (peak) to the last week of August 2020 peak is going to be aggressive and we expect the next after that in to the US election to be even more so.

In fact, we expect the volatility or better described as range of markets to increase for at least the next 4 time cycles and even likely in to mid 2022 and possibly in to 2025.

We have been spot on so far with our forecasts and don’t expect different anytime soon, it is simply math and natural order.

So why am I sending this notice to our trading team?

In this inflection (turn) in to and running to the last week of August it is important we are really on top of the inflections in stocks (equities), oil trading and commodities, volatility, indices and the Dollar.

We make the majority of our profit in inflections. There are periods we are quiet and then boom it’s time to go, it is in the “GO” where the money is made.

The next “GO” should be at latest this time next week, by then we should start to see inflections in the markets to really size in to themes of trade. If you study our swing trading alert feed you will see the quiet times and then BOOM it’s GO TIME and then quiet and so on.

In this particular turn and in the other time cycle inflections over the next few years I will be doing a lot more intra day and intra week swing trading (really it is better described as inflection theme trading).

More specifically, I will be more active, higher frequency, working the edges of the ranges to get sizing in to the inflection trades. This means a very active trading room and the alert feeds too of course. Click here for oil trade alerts and here for swing trade alerts.

We have a new internet line being run sometime between now and then that will allow for considerably better stability for the machine trading and the simple live voice broadcasting in the room, until then, if you cannot hear something because of internet or click meeting server issues (COVID life internet issues with everyone working from home) let me know, email me and I’ll send you a note on the set-up.

Between now and then (early to mid next week) I will be in deep $STUDY preparing all of our set-ups. We have 200 stocks (equities) modeled on our trading platform that in large part need to be updated and then also the models for SPY, OIL, GOLD, SILVER, DXY, VIX and Bitcoin. The chart models take a lot of work to update, so if you don’t hear from me that is why haha.

If there are any trade set-ups you want me to review be sure to send them on email.

If you are not a member of the trading room because of the cost send me a note (I get it, it’s not cheap, the alerts are much more affordable I know) but I will find a way to get you a long term subscription and that brings the monthly cost way way down and reasonable for anyone to access (if you are wanting to attend the trading room, it works out to 3,000.00 year or about 9.00 a day with the 50% discount and there are ways to finance that).

If nothing else, get in to those Sunday Swing Trading $STUDY sessions, they’re cheap, literally the cost of coffee, 10 session blocks at 100.00 at 4 hours a session = 40 hours of intense trade set-up study for 100.00 and 50% less for current members of Compound Trading Group. Cheap. Non member price 100.00. Current member price 50.00 (use code “webinar50”). If you can’t attend we send a video report out to everyone anyway.

Yes, I am pushing you, for good reason.

I intentionally brought the swing $STUDY session pricing down to next to zero so everyone has an opportunity in these time cycles. There are no excuses. I cannot stress enough how much your future self will thank you for being in it to win it between now and the global financial reset coming.

Oh and we’re running another trader’s conference (10 in person, 20 online) as soon as the borders open again and everyone can fly – current clients get first pick on the 10 seats in person (see tweet thread and video).

And if there’s anything else I can assist with please do not hesitate to reach out because the next few time cycles will be life changing for traders that are ready for them. I mean that in a very literal way. Our returns could easily spike to 5 digit returns, I’m not exaggerating – these are HUGE time cycle coming. 

Other items of note are that 1. our crude oil machine trading is introducing CFD’s in the next few weeks, so this is huge because then smaller accounts will be able to increase the win rate considerably (more on this in a near term article) and 2. yes I am going to give in and do some mainstream articles, they’ve been asking for years and more recently more (our time cycle work has them wondering haha) and I think some people need to know about the opportunity right in front of them – I do have a sense of obligation to that (see tweet thread).

Peace and best,

Curt 

Reminder to existing clients! If you are on Whatsapp and want to have the fastest direct access to my trading desk send your whatsapp number to [email protected] and I’ll connect to you there also.

Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter, Live Swing Trading Alerts, Study Guides).

Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).

Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).

Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

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Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.